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Wednesday 2-21-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
Feb 21 '18, 7:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Michigan vs Penn State
Play on: Penn State -2 -110 at YouWager
Free Pick on Penn State -
I'm recommending laying the short number here with the Nittany Lions at home against the Wolverines on Wednesday. Penn State simply isn't getting the respect they deserve here on their home floor. The Nittany Lions are 14-3 at home with the most recent hot game resulting in a 79-56 blowout win over Ohio State.
Michigan comes in with the slightly better record and are the bigger name, but I think this is a really tough spot for the Wolverines coming off a huge win at home over rival Ohio State.
Michigan is just 10-19 ATS in their last 29 games off a home win, while the Nittany Lions are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games, a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games when they come in having covered 3 of their last 4 and 11-3 ATS in their last 14 home games vs top tier teams that are outscoring opponents by 8+ ppg. Take Penn State!
Feb 21 '18, 8:30 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | St. John's vs Marquette
Play on: Marquette -4½ -109 at pinnacle
Jack’s Free Pick Wednesday: Marquette -4.5
The Marquette Golden Eagles are holding on to slim hopes of making the postseason. If they can run the table, which is very possible as their final four games are against St. John’s, DePaul, Georgetown and Creighton, they could get in.
The Eagles have new life after picking up two huge road wins in their last three games. They went on the road and upset Seton Hall 88-85 as 6-point underdogs. They also upset Creighton 90-86 as 6-point underdogs. Now they will be looking for revenge from a 78-86 loss at St. John’s on February 10th less than two weeks ago, only adding to their motivation.
There’s no question St. John’s comes in playing its best basketball of the season with four straight victories that followed up an 0-11 start in Big East play. But with that success also comes some respect from the betting markets. And I think this number is now low enough to pull the trigger on Marquette as only 4.5-point home favorites over the Red Storm tonight.
St. John’s is 0-6 ATS following three or more consecutive wins over the last two seasons. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings in this series. Marquette is 18-8 ATS when playing just its 2nd game in 8 days over the last three seasons. Bet Marquette Wednesday.
Feb 21 '18, 9:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-B | Iowa vs Minnesota
Play on: Minnesota -3 -104 at 5Dimes
Both of these teams have flat out stunk up the joint this season. The Gophers were once ranked in the Top 15 if you can believe that.
I will take Minnesota here for a few reasons. First, it is senior night for the Gophers which always adds some value to the home team and gives them motivation even though their season has gone bad. They didn't quit last game going into OT @ Wisconsin so I think they will show up. Also Iowa has been awful on the road just 4-11 SU. The Gophers get their revenge here tonight!
Feb 21 '18, 7:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Michigan vs Penn State
Play on: Penn State -2½ -108 at 5Dimes
My 1* Free Play is on Penn State (7:00 EST).
The 22-7 Michigan Wolverines are at Penn State to take on the 19-10 Nittany Lions on Wednesday night and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side.
Michigan comes in off a 74-62 win over Ohio State on Sunday, while Penn State lost to Purdue 76-73 in its latest action. Note that this is a “revenge” game of sorts for the Nittany Lions after the Wolverines took the lone meeting last year 72-69.
Michigan averages 74 PPG and it concedes 63.5. The Wolverines would limit Ohio State to 41 percent shooting and they’d get 17 points from Muhammad-Ali Abdur Rahkman in their most recent victory.
Penn State had its four game win streak snapped in its tight setback to the No. 6 Boilermakers, shooting 50 percent from the floor, but allowing Purdue to hit 49 precent itself. Tony Carr was a bright spot in the losing cause with 19 points, five boards and five assists.
The Lions have still won four of their last five games and they come into this one averaging 76.1 points and conceding 66.3.
Additionally I’ll point out Michigan is just 4-6 ATS already this year off a win against a conference rival, while Penn State is 4-2 ATS this season off a loss against a conference foe.
The Nittany Lions have allowed an average of just 61.3 points over their last three home games, which I think spells trouble for a Michigan side which has so averaged only 74 PPG this year.
I feel the conditions are right for a home side blowout and I will indeed highly recommend a second look at Penn State in this matchup.
Good luck…Larry
Feb 21 '18, 7:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | North Carolina vs Syracuse
Play on: OVER 143 -110
UNC at Syracuse
over 143
This total just missed out as a PREMIUM PICK. Syracuse is at home and they play a solid zone defense but UNC is full of juniors and seniors that are used to the defense of Jim Boeheim's squad. Syracuse has played some low scores but most were against defensive teams like Virginia or struggling offensive teams like Pitt.
UNC has Maye, Williams, Berry and Cam Johnson to score. There should be late points from free throws and 3's to get this over the total.
Feb 21 '18, 8:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Loyola-Chicago vs Southern Illinois
Play on: Southern Illinois +3 -105 at betonline
Play - Southern Illinois (Game 736).
Edges - Salukis: 5-0 SU and 3-1-1 ATS with revenge in conference games this season… Ramblers: 1-3 SUATS in this series… With SIU looking to avenge a 14-point loss to Loyola and playing its Last Home Game of the season, we recommend a 1* play on Southern Illinois. Thank you and good luck as always.
Feb 21 '18, 8:05 PM in 2h
NHL | Senators vs Blackhawks
Play on: Blackhawks -170 at pinnacle
5-1 over my last 6 NHL Free Pick!
3-1 over the last two days. 71% Hot Run over my last 38 Premium Picks. Hump Day Special Tonight! 4 Big Winners for ONLY $35. Act Now - Win Now
NHL Free Pick: Chicago Blackhawks
The Senators have been a bad team all season and have really struggled on the road. Chicago beat up on Ottawa 8-2 back in January and we may see the same results again. The Blackhawks are the better team her. Lay it and play with the home team.The Chicago Blackhawks remain on their home ice on Wednesday and will host the LA Kings. Chicago is 25-27-8 on the season and are 7th in the Central. The Blackhawks are 1-8-1 over their last ten games and lost to LA 3-1 at home on Monday. Chicago is 13-14-3 on their home ice. Anton Forsberg will make the start in the goal for Chicago. Forsberg is 6-12-3 on the year with 59 goals. Forsberg carries a 2.96 goals against average and a .908 save percentage.
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