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Friday 2-23-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
Feb 23 '18, 7:35 PM in 1h
NBA | Bucks vs Raptors
Play on: Bucks +7½ -111 at pinnacle
Free Pick on Bucks +
I'm recommending grabbing the points with Milwaukee here in Friday's road game against the Raptors. Toronto went into the All-Star break riding a 7-game winning streak and are 9-1 in their last 10 overall. I think that has the Raptors getting way too much respect here against a quality Bucks team that has really been playing well. Milwaukee lost by 10 at home in their final game before the break, but are 9-3 in their last 12 overall.
Another key factor here is revenge. Toronto has won each of the first two meetings, including a blowout 19-point win at Milwaukee in the most recent meeting. The Bucks did keep it close in an earlier game at Toronto, losing by just 4 as a 6-point dog (note we are getting a full 1.5-points more on the road this time around).
Raptors have also gone just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs a team with a winning record, while the Bucks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Take Milwaukee!
Feb 23 '18, 7:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Yale vs Cornell
Play on: Yale -1 -115 at betonline
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The Cornell Big Red continue to play questionable defense with 6 of 10 Ivy teams scoring 79 or more points against them. It has been an incongruous year for the Eli with just a 1-4 SU road record in the league. The Yale Bulldogs haven’t lived up to their lofty goals this season, but the Bulldogs are still right in the thick of the hunt to make the Ivy League tournament standing third place in the league at 12-14 overall and 5-5 in conference.
Cornell has had a tough time slowing down their opposition this season ranking 331st in the nation in total defense compared to 129th in scoring. Look for YALE to get a big win here on Friday night.
Feb 23 '18, 8:05 PM in 2h
NBA | Wolves vs Rockets
Play on: Wolves +8½ -109 at 5Dimes
My 1* Free Play is on the Minnesota Timberwolves (8:05 EST).
The 36-25 Minnesota Timberwolves are in Houston to take on the 44-13 Rockets on Friday night and while I’m going to stop short in calling for an outright victory, I do believe that the stage is set for a much more competitive battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe.
Minnesota comes to town off a 119-111 home win over the Lakers in its final game before the break, while Houston posted a 100-91 home victory over Sacramento in its previous action.
Note that this is a “double revenge” in-season scenario for the Wolves, as the Rockets have already taken both previous meetings this year, winning 116-98 and 126-108.
Minnesota averages 109.7 PPG and it concedes 106.8. The Wolves rallied for 35 points in the fourth quarter in the victory over the Lakers, led by 24 points from Jimmy Butler. Big man Karl-Anthony Towns posted ten points and 18 boards in the winning cause.
Houston averages 114.1 PPG and it concedes 105.4. James Harden led the way in the win over the lowly Kings with 28 points and nine boards.
I’ll point out though that Minnesota has done extremely well in this spot for bettors all year by going 5-2 ATS in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent.
Conversely, this is a position in which Houston has struggled in by going just 12-14 ATS this season after three or more consecutive SU victories.
As mentioned off the top, everything points to this one being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last. Consider a second look at the Timberwolves tonight.
Good luck…Larry
Feb 23 '18, 10:35 PM in 4h
NBA | Mavs vs Lakers
Play on: OVER 223 -105
Jack’s Free Pick Friday: Mavs/Lakers OVER 223
It’s no surprise that the Lakers have played in three absolute shootouts in their three games since acquiring Isaiah Thomas. They have combined for 253, 256 and 230 points with their last three opponents, and they should come out of the All-Star Break even more of a potent offensive team and a worst defensive team simply by the addition of Thomas.
One of those shootouts came against the same team they are playing tonight in the Dallas Mavericks. The Mavericks beat the Lakers 130-123 at home for 253 combined points on February 10th just less than two weeks ago today. I expect a similar result in the rematch as both teams shot better than 54% in that first meeting.
Dallas is 15-3 OVER in road games vs. up-tempo teams who average 88 or more shots per game. The OVER is 33-16-2 in Lakers last 51 games when playing on 3 or more days’ rest. The OVER is 25-10-1 in Lakers last 36 vs. NBA Southwest Division opponents. The OVER Is 4-0 in Mavericks last four games following a loss. The OVER is 20-8 in Mavericks last 28 games when playing on 3 or more days’ rest.
Plays on the OVER on all teams where the total is 210 or more (LA Lakers) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points, off a cover where they lost straight up as an underdog are 83-43 (65.9%) over the last five seasons. Bet the OVER in this game Friday.
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