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Tuesday 2-27-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
Feb 27 '18, 10:05 PM in 3h
NBA | Kings vs Blazers
Play on: UNDER 210½ -101
Free Pick on Kings/Blazers UNDER
I'm recommending a play on the UNDER in Tuesday's NBA action that has the Blazers hosting the Kings. This will be the 4th meeting between these two teams this season, so they are familiar with one another. The previous meeting in Portland saw a mere 192 points scored in the Blazers 102-90 win. While the two teams did combined for 218 in the most recent meeting, the UNDER is still a dominant 25-9 in the last 34 meetings in the series.
Kings simply aren't a great offensive team and they come in averaging a mere 97.5 ppg on the road. They also don't figure to be pushing the pace much here on no rest after playing last night against the Timberwolves. Portland has won their first two out of the break, but the offense wasn't exactly great in either win. In fact they shot just 39.4% from the field last time out against the Suns, who have an almost identical defensive efficiency rating as the Kings for the season.
UNDER is 25-11 in the Blazers last 36 games vs a team with a losing record and 8-1 in their last 9 when playing on 2 days of rest. UNDER is also 19-7 in the Kings last 26 vs at team with a winning record and 5-1 in their last 6 when playing on no rest.
Adding to all of this is a great system in play for this contest. UNDER is 55-23 (71%) going back to 1996 when you have a total of 210 to 219.5 with a team (Kings) that have lost 3 or more games in a row and are well rested (playing 4 or less games in 10 days). Take the UNDER!
Feb 27 '18, 7:00 PM in 12m
NCAA-B | Ball State vs Central Michigan
Play on: Ball State PK -106 at pinnacle
Ball State PK This play just missed out on our premium card. The Ball State Cardinals and the Central Michigan Chippewas face off on Tuesday night, and in this game the Cardinals have the value.
These teams are very similar but the Cardinals are playing better basketball right now. They come into this game having won five of the last six games, and the offense has been rolling averaging 86.6 points per game over the last five.
For Central Michigan they are only averaging 73 points per game over the last five. They won't have enough offense in this game, and that will be the difference.
Some trends to note. Road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Chippewas are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
Back Ball State.
5* FREE Cappers Club Play.
Feb 27 '18, 11:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-B | Boise State vs San Diego State
Play on: San Diego State -2½ -110 at BMaker
COLLEGE HOOPS 75 DIME GAME SD ST -2.5
Boise State won the first meeting between the teams this season but that was at the Taco Bell Arena. The Broncos are just 6-4 on the road while San Diego State has reeled off an 11-2 record at home this season. San Diego State has been playing well down the stretch as they are trying to peak at the right time with the Mountain West Tournament right around the corner. Playing at home, you have to give the Aztecs the upper hand in a close game, especially with Boise State pretty much locked into the #2 seed
According to my algorithms, I have SD St by 6 points.
Feb 27 '18, 10:05 PM in 3h
NBA | Kings vs Blazers
Play on: Blazers -11½ -110 at MyBookie
Jack’s Free Pick Tuesday: Portland Trail Blazers -11.5
This is a good spot to fade the Sacramento Kings. They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days after a 100-118 home loss to the Minnesota Timberwolves last night. They won’t have a whole lot left in the tank here for the Blazers tonight.
Meanwhile, the Blazers come in on two days’ rest and are playing some of their best basketball of the season right now. They are 5-1 SU & 4-2 ATS in their last six games overall. One of those wins was a 118-100 victory at Sacramento as 5-point favorites. Look for a similar final score here in the rematch in Portland this time around.
The Blazers are 9-0 in their last nine home meetings with the Kings with six of those victories coming by 12 points or more. The Blazers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games. The Kings are 7-17 ATS in their last 24 vs. Western Conference opponents. Bet the Blazers Tuesday.
Feb 27 '18, 8:05 PM in 1h
NHL | Blues vs Wild
Play on: Wild -145 at 5Dimes
Ricky's Free play on the Minnesota Wild -145:
Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. In tonight's game there's no doubt that the recent slump of St. Louis is particularly significant. The Blues have lost six straight and during that span they were shutout twice, scoring just six goals total in those six losses. They rank 22nd in the league in scoring, yet rank 4th in goals against. Trading away their second line center at the deadline doesn't make them any better in the short term.
Key Trends:
- The Wild are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- The Wild are 16-6 in their last 22 home games.
- The Under is 4-1 in Wild last 5 home games.
Verdict: Take Minny -145
Feb 27 '18, 9:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Davidson vs St Bonaventure
Play on: St Bonaventure -2 -102 at pinnacle
Here is a line that honestly doesn't make much sense to me. The Bonnies have all the motivation here for the fact that they have an chance to make the the tournament as an at large bid.
They are 12-1 at home this season and have rattled off 10 straight. I dont see them slipping up here as they will want revenge from earlier to Davidson as they beat them by 10 in that game. The key for that game was that Davidson knocked in 14 3's. That won't happen tonight @ St Bonaventure.
Feb 27 '18, 10:35 PM in 3h
NHL | Oilers vs Sharks
Play on: Sharks -139 at BMaker
As per usual, Ben Burns is enjoying a fantastic February. Yesterday, he started the new week with a PERFECT 4-0 SWEEP of the Monday board. Speaking of "perfect," Ben is now a PERFECT 6 FOR 6/100% with his L6 "top-rated" basketball plays. That continues a long-term run of BIG PLAY DOMINANCE on the hardwood; Ben's top-rated hoops have generated an INSANE $88.7K IN PURE PROFIT. He'll "add to the pile" with a pair of top rated basketball winners (1 NBA, 1 CBB) on Tuesday, part of a sweet 4-game overall card.
The home team has taken both meetings so far this season. The Oilers won 5-3 at Edmonton, back in December. The Sharks returned the favor with a 6-4 victory of their own, here at SJ, a couple of weeks ago. With the venue in their favor, a "desperate" Sharks team should again finish on top. Note that the Sharks outscore teams by a 3.2 to 2.7 average margin in their own building while the Oilers get outscored by an average of 3.1 to 2.8 on the road. Its true that the Oilers check in off three straight victories while the Sharks have dropped three in a row. However, its also true that Edmonton is 1-2 after three or more consecutive victories while SJ is 3-1 after three or more consecutive losses. With the Oilers also just 5-14 (-12.2) their last 19, after scoring four or more goals in their previous game, lets lay the wood with the home team. Consider SAN JOSE.
Feb 27 '18, 10:35 PM in 3h
NBA | Clippers vs Nuggets
Play on: Nuggets -4 -105 at 5Dimes
My 1* Free Play is on the Denver Nuggets (10:30 EST).
The 31-27 LA Clippers are in Denver to take on the 33-27 Nuggets on Tuesday night and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side.
Denver had its four game win streak snapped in a loss to Houston on Sunday, while the Clippers are so far 3-1 in their last four overall. The Clippers have been on a seven-game road trip and this is the final contest of that extended session.
Note that this is a revenge game for the Nuggets after the Clippers broke a three-game losing streak in the series with a 109-104 victory at home on January 17th.
LA will get caught “looking ahead” here, as a six-game home stand starts tomorrow night against Houston. LA has dealt with injury all year and it recently took another “hit” with the news that guard Avery Bradley has been lost for an extended period of time to injury.
Denver lost to Houston, but it’s won seven of its last nine overall. Nikola Jokic had a monster game in a losing cause to the Rocket with 21 points, 14 boards and eight assists, narrowly missing posting his fourth straight triple-double.
The Clippers are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine trips to Denver, while the Nuggets are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four following a SU loss.
In my opinion, the stage is set for a lop-sided home blowout. Consider Denver in this one.
Good luck…Larry
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