Sunday 3-11-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-11-2018, 06:36 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Aqueduct - Race #4 - Post: 2:52pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $50,000 Class Rating: 91

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#2 SPRING FOR MORE (ML=5/1)
#3 MADDIZASKAR (ML=7/2)

SPRING FOR MORE - This horse ran off the board at Aqueduct last out on a muddy track. She should improve today without the off-track conditions. MADDIZASKAR - A thoroughbred coming back this promptly after a strong effort is a good omen.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 HEY BRACIOLE (ML=8/5), #1 FLICK OF AN EYE (ML=2/1),

HEY BRACIOLE - This probable favorite probably needs at least one race to get back into shape. Skip her today. This pony hasn't been on the track since December 4th. Not even any drills. FLICK OF AN EYE - Unlikely that this animal will finish better than she did last time when placing fifth.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #2 SPRING FOR MORE on the win end if we get at least 5/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,3]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-11-2018, 06:36 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Gulfstream Park

Gulfstream Park - Race 2

$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $.50 Bet 3 (Races 2-3-4) / $.50 Pick 4 (Races 2-3-4-5)

Claiming $12,500 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 82 • Purse: $22,000 • Post: 12:30
FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 9. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 11 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $10,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds

Race Type: Lone Trailer. NILE PRINCESS is the Lone Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * NILE PRINCESS: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. MAKING HAVOC: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. LADY COVENTRY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Hor se's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
3
NILE PRINCESS
6/1

5/1
1
MAKING HAVOC
7/5

5/1
2
LADY COVENTRY
9/5

6/1

P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
1
MAKING HAVOC
1

7/5
Front-runner
85

76

80.8

70.0

63.0
4
MISS STALWART
4

20/1
Front-runner
77

61

64.2

55.2

45.7
5
LAGO LINDO
5

8/1
Stalker
87

69

81.2

70.6

63.1
2
LADY COVENTRY
2

9/5
Stalker
83

78

79.8

74.5

70.0
3
NILE PRINCESS
3

6/1
Trailer
85

87

30.8

61.5

55.5
6
JAMIE'S DANCER
6

6/1
Alternator/Non-contender
86

71

43.4

65.2

58.7

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-11-2018, 06:37 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Remington Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 11 - Trial - 350y on the Dirt. Purse: $10000 Class Rating: 83

QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR THREE OLDS THAT WERE NOMINATED AND REMAIN ELIGIBLE. WEIGHT, 124 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 4 BRINGONTHEWAVE 10/1

# 5 CURLS HAPPY WAGON 4/1

# 1 GEESFLYINFREIGHTRAIN 15/1

BRINGONTHEWAVE looks competitive to best this group of animals and could score at a price in here. Reliable average Equibase speed figs in short races make this animal a solid choice. This pick will feel the med change - on Lasix today. Overall the speed figures of this horse look quite good in this contest. CURLS HAPPY WAGON - She has been running well and the speed figures are among the best in this group of horses. The Equibase Speed Fig of 83 from her latest race looks very good in here. GEESFLYINFREIGHTRAIN - Win percentage under similar conditions may be the key for this gelding.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-11-2018, 06:37 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Santa Anita Park

Santa Anita Park - Race 5

$1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $2 Rolling Double $1 Rolling Pick Three (Races 5-6-7) / $0.50 Late Pick 5 (Races 5-9) $1 Superfecta (.10 Min.) / $1 Rolling Super High 5

Optional Claiming $75,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 103 • Purse: $56,000 • Post: 1:34P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $10,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $75,000. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER AT A MILE OR OVER ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE OTHER THAN CLAIMING, OR STARTER AT A MILE OR OVER ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $75,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds

Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * ALL OUT BLITZ: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. CALEXMAN: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. JUSTIFY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. PEPE TONO: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. SHIVERMETIMBERS: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" desig nation or an "L" designation.
2
ALL OUT BLITZ
8/1

5/1
5
CALEXMAN
20/1

7/1
8
JUSTIFY
2/5

7/1
3
PEPE TONO
6/1

8/1
4
SHIVERMETIMBERS
5/1

9/1

P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
5
CALEXMAN
5

20/1
Front-runner
101

99

137.5

91.0

83.5
8
JUSTIFY
8

2/5
Front-runner
97

103

97.6

97.6

91.1
4
SHIVERMETIMBERS
4

5/1
Front-runner
93

95

88.9

92.2

87.2
6
PLATINUM EQUITY
6

20/1
Alternator/Front-runner
94

86

77.9

71.1

59.6
1
CURLY'S ROCKET
1

6/1
Stalker
97

97

89.6

89.6

79.6
2
ALL OUT BLITZ
2

8/1
Stalker
105

95

81.5

99.5

92.0
3
PEPE TONO
3

6/1
Trailer
99

91

75.9

88.4

79.4
7
TAP FEVER
7

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
88

88

59.7

83.4

69.4

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-11-2018, 06:38 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Tampa Bay Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $10400 Class Rating: 92

FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 11. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 4 PLAINS WARRIOR 7/2

# 3 DANNY'S TURBO 5/2

# 8 STABLEFORD (GB) 4/1

My selection for this event is PLAINS WARRIOR. Wismer has a formidable 22 percent win rate with entries running at this distance and surface. Should definitely be given consideration in this race if only for the quite good speed figure earned in the last contest. This handler has the top return on investment in this group of horses in this race with entries racing at this distance and surface. DANNY'S TURBO - Has been racing solidly and has among the strongest speed in the race for today's distance. Gallardo has been hot the last month, winning at a nifty 16 percent clip. STABLEFORD (GB) - This gelding looks good here since Wismer has a strong winning percentage with horses going this distance. With Morales aboard him, this gelding ought to be able to break out quickly in this event.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-11-2018, 06:38 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Turf Paradise - Race #2 - Post: 1:57pm - Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,000 Class Rating: 80

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#3 A COLT FOLLOWING (ML=8/1)
#5 MOOGIE WOOGIE (ML=6/5)

A COLT FOLLOWING - For my money, a bullet workout is the best indicator of readiness there is. Look at that last one - 47.0. Very impressive. Last raced at Turf Paradise with a poor post. I swiped some data from The Brain, and his computer says the inside should be a big help to this one today. Another way to determine class is earnings per race entered. This animal has the top in the bunch. I think he'll be close at the finish. MOOGIE WOOGIE - Horse's last race was at Turf Paradise in a race with a class rating of 87. Dropping a significant amount in class rating today puts him in a solid position in this event. This jockey and conditioner's horses have been producing a lucrative return on investment. This gelding notched a nice fig of 76 in his last event. That rating should be lofty enough to score today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 HOUDINI HILL (ML=3/1), #7 BRO DEREK (ML=7/2), #1 AWESOME WONDERER (ML=4/1),

BRO DEREK - When looking at today's class figure, he will have to garner a better fig than in the last race to be competitive in this dirt route. AWESOME WONDERER - This gelding hasn't been showing me anything in the last couple of efforts. The fig last race out doesn't fit very well in this event when I look at the Equibase class figure of today's race. Mark this horse as a likely underpriced contender. I checked out his pps and he hasn't done well out of the one slot.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - A COLT FOLLOWING - Taking a very big Equibase class figure tumble today. Let's cash in on the drastic drop.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#3 A COLT FOLLOWING is going to be the play if we are getting 5/2 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,5]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-11-2018, 09:55 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Sunday, March 11

Pennsylvania @ Harvard

Game 819-820
March 11, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pennsylvania
58.924
Harvard
54.447
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pennsylvania
by 4 1/2
138
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pennsylvania
by 2
132
Dunkel Pick:
Pennsylvania
(-2); Over

Davidson @ Rhode Island

Game 821-822
March 11, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Davidson
63.326
Rhode Island
68.867
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Rhode Island
by 5 1/2
147
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Rhode Island
by 2
139 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Rhode Island
(-2); Over

Kentucky @ Tennessee

Game 823-824
March 11, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kentucky
72.339
Tennessee
71.498
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kentucky
by 1
133
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tennessee
by 1
140
Dunkel Pick:
Kentucky
(+1); Under

TX-Arlington @ Georgia State

Game 825-826
March 11, 2018 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
TX-Arlington
56.545
Georgia State
55.662
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
TX-Arlington
by 1
144
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgia State
by 1 1/2
150
Dunkel Pick:
TX-Arlington
(+1 1/2); Under

Houston @ Cincinnati

Game 827-828
March 11, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
68.785
Cincinnati
76.420
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 7 1/2
135
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
by 4 1/2
127 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(-4 1/2); Over

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-11-2018, 09:55 AM

NCAAB

Sunday, March 11

Ivy League tournament, Philadelphia
Penn/Harvard split pair of games this year, with home side winning both meetings. Harvard is 7-3 in last ten series games; teams split last six. Quakers are playing this on their home court; they’re 8-0 in Ivy home games this season. Crimson lost last three visits here, by 10-3-3 points, though they did win here yesterday, beating Cornell by 19. Only two Harvard guys played more than 30:00. Penn has easy time in their semi-final game; they’re 11-2 in last 13 games, with a win over St Joe’s in there. No Quaker played more than 29:00 yesterday.

Atlantic 14 tourney, Washington DC
Davidson/Rhode Island split pair of games this year; home side won both. Rams won first meeting Feb 9, then lost rematch 63-61 in Charlotte March 2, when URI was just 6-24 on arc, 5-11 on foul line. Rams are 4-3 in A-14 meetings with Davidson, beating Wildcats 84-60 in this event LY. URI is 4-3 in its last seven games overall; they made 14-31 on arc, rallied back from down 11 in 2nd half in 90-87 win over St Joe’s yesterday. Wildcats won 10 of last 12 games; they played three starters 38:00+ in 82-70 win over St Bonaventure yesterday, pulling away late.

SEC tournament, St Louis
Tennessee beat Kentucky twice this season, 76-65 in Knoxville Jan 6, then 61-59 in Rupp Arena Feb 6, when Volunteers outscored Kentucky 9-4 over last 2:53 of game. Tennessee won its last six games; they drubbed Arkansas by 18 yesterday- no Hog played more than 29:00. Kentucky won six of its last seven games, winning last two days by 13-23 points; three of their guys still played 31:00+ Saturday. Wildcats won last three SEC tournaments; they’re 21-3 in last 24 SEC tourney games. Vols are in SEC final for first time since ’09, when they lost to Miss State by 3.

Sun Belt tournament, New Orleans
Tex-Arlington won five in row, eight of last ten games- they played only seven guys yesterday, three of them 35:00+ in upset win over top-seed ULL. UTA is most experienced team in nation; six of seven guys who played yesterday are seniors. Georgia State/Tex-Arlington split pair of games this year, with home side winning both; State is 5-4 overall in Sun Belt meetings with UTA. Panthers played three guys 30:00+ in 73-67 win yesterday; they held on to win after PG Simonds got in foul trouble- they led by 18 in 1st half. State won 14 of its last 18 games.

AAC tournament, Orlando
Cincinnati is 29-4 this year, but they split pair with Houston, losing 67-62 in Texas Feb 15; Bearcats are 8-2 in AAC meetings wth Houston. Cincy won its last six games, but they were down 13 at half to Memphis yesterday before storming back to win 70-60. Three Bearcats played 31:00+. Houston won 10 of its last 11 games, with only loss at Memphis; Cougars won 10 of last 11 games, winning tough 77-74 game with Wichita Saturday. Three Houston kids played 30:00+ yesterday. Both of these teams are in NCAA’s, so they’re just playing for a trophy here.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-11-2018, 09:56 AM

NCAAB

Sunday, March 11

Trend Report

PENNSYLVANIA @ HARVARD
Pennsylvania is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Pennsylvania is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Harvard is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Harvard is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games

KENTUCKY @ TENNESSEE
Kentucky is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Kentucky is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Tennessee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Tennessee is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Kentucky

DAVIDSON @ RHODE ISLAND
Davidson is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Davidson is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Rhode Island is 20-3 SU in its last 23 games
Rhode Island is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Davidson

TEXAS-ARLINGTON @ GEORGIA STATE
Texas-Arlington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Texas-Arlington's last 7 games when playing Georgia State
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Georgia State's last 7 games when playing Texas-Arlington
Georgia State is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home

HOUSTON @ CINCINNATI
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 8 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games when playing Houston

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-11-2018, 09:56 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Sunday, March 11

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PENNSYLVANIA (23 - 8) vs. HARVARD (18 - 12) - 3/11/2018, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HARVARD is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HARVARD is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
HARVARD is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
HARVARD is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
HARVARD is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after a conference game this season.
HARVARD is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
HARVARD is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
HARVARD is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
HARVARD is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HARVARD is 4-2 against the spread versus PENNSYLVANIA over the last 3 seasons
HARVARD is 3-3 straight up against PENNSYLVANIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DAVIDSON (20 - 11) vs. RHODE ISLAND (25 - 6) - 3/11/2018, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
RHODE ISLAND is 3-3 against the spread versus DAVIDSON over the last 3 seasons
RHODE ISLAND is 4-2 straight up against DAVIDSON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KENTUCKY (23 - 10) vs. TENNESSEE (25 - 7) - 3/11/2018, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 5-1 against the spread versus KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 4-2 straight up against KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TX-ARLINGTON (21 - 12) vs. GEORGIA ST (23 - 10) - 3/11/2018, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TX-ARLINGTON is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGIA ST is 18-4 ATS (+13.6 Units) in road games revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.
TX-ARLINGTON is 51-25 ATS (+23.5 Units) as an underdog since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
TX-ARLINGTON is 3-2 against the spread versus GEORGIA ST over the last 3 seasons
TX-ARLINGTON is 4-1 straight up against GEORGIA ST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (26 - 6) vs. CINCINNATI (29 - 4) - 3/11/2018, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 119-160 ATS (-57.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 4-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 4-2 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-11-2018, 09:56 AM

SEC Championship betting preview and odds: Kentucky vs. Tennessee

Kentucky Wildcats vs. Tennessee Volunteers (Pick, 136)

Game to be played at Scottrade Center, St. Louis, Missouri

No. 4 seed Kentucky is playing some of its best basketball of the season at the right time and looks to record a fourth consecutive SEC Tournament Championship when it takes on second-seeded Tennessee on Sunday in St. Louis. The Wildcats allowed 49 points in the quarterfinals and scored an 86-63 triumph against Alabama in the semifinals Saturday for their sixth victory in the last seven games after losing four straight.

“They’re growing up,” Kentucky coach John Calipari told reporters. “The best thing that happened to my team, not me personally, was the four losses in a row. … They needed to be told you’re not good enough, and you’re not going to do this by yourself. You’ve got to unpack your bags, and let’s get this together as a team.” While Coach Calipari has not been a fan of confernce tournaments, the Wildcats have now won 11 consecutive SEC tourney games, going 9-1-1 ATS. No. 12 Tennessee poses a very difficult challenge while riding a six-game winning streak, and the Volunteers have beaten the Wildcats twice this season - by 11 at home in early January and by two at Kentucky on Feb. 6. Tennessee edged Mississippi State in the quarterfinals before rolling past Arkansas 84-66 in the semifinals to reach its first SEC final since 2009 and give itself a chance for its first title since 1979. “We just have a standard we’re trying to play towards,” Volunteers junior forward Admiral Schofield told reporters. “The biggest thing is we try to go out to every game with that mindset, like we’re trying to perfect our standard. We haven’t done that yet, so we’re a hungry team. We still want more.”

TV: 1 p.m. ET, ESPN

BETTING STATS:

BETTING ACTION AND LINE MOVES: Tennessee opened as 1-point chalk and overnight action on Kentucky has pushed that number all of the way down to a Pick 'Em on Sunday morning. The total hit betting boards at 138.5 and has been bet down to 136 as of Sunday morning.

MATCHUP CHART:

ABOUT KENTUCKY: Sophomore Wenyen Gabriel drained all seven attempts from 3-point range en route to scoring a career high-matching 23, leading the way after the 6-9 forward arrived Saturday averaging just 6.1 points. “I came in with more focus, and I just let it fly,” Gabriel told reporters after the win. “My teammates trusted me, and the shots fell today.” Guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 17 points and 8.5 assists while forward P.J. Washington has contributed 16 points and 7.5 rebounds per game in the SEC Tournament.

ABOUT TENNESSEE: The Volunteers have been a balanced group offensively and received big games from a pair of players outside their top four scorers in the semifinals. Sophomore guard Jordan Bone scored 19 on 8-of-11 shooting after 10 straight games in single digits and 6-11 forward Kyle Alexander scored 12 against Arkansas after totaling 13 in his previous five contests. Schofield is averaging 14.5 points and 7.5 rebounds in the tournament while SEC Player of the Year Grant Williams is contributing 11 and eight, respectively, but is 5-of-17 from the field.

TRENDS:

* Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
* Under is 5-0 in Volunteers last 5 games following a ATS win.
* Under is 18-7-2 in the last 27 meetings.
* Wildcats are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

TIP-INS:

* Tennessee sophomore G Lamonte Turner has drained 9-of-18 from 3-point range the last four games and is at 40.5 percent for the season.
* Kentucky F Kevin Knox, a first team All-SEC pick, leads the team at 15.5 points per game but is 13-for-34 from the field the last three contests.
* Volunteers senior G James Daniel III scored in double figures (12) for the first time in 11 games and had no turnovers in 22 minutes Saturday.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-11-2018, 09:57 AM

AAC Championship betting preview and odds: Houston vs. Cincinnati

Houston Cougars vs. Cincinnati Bearcats (-4.5, 127.5)

Game to be played at Amway Center in Orlando, Florida

No. 8 Cincinnati can make its final statement toward earning a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament on Sunday when the top-seeded Bearcats face third-seeded Houston in the American Athletic Conference Tournament final in Orlando. Cincinnati has won six in a row and, with only four losses all season, is certainly in the mix to be on the top line when the Field of 68 is announced Sunday, while 21st-ranked Houston is comfortably in the field, as well.

The Bearcats have defeated SMU (61-51) and Memphis (70-60) in their first two games of this event as Gary Clark has averaged 14.5 points and 11.5 rebounds. Jarron Cumberland added 18 points versus Memphis after going scoreless against SMU, giving Houston one more weapon to worry about in the championship game. The Cougars rode Rob Gray's 33 points to a 77-74 win over Wichita State on Saturday, earning a trip to the AAC title game for the first time. Houston knows it can beat Cincinnati, as it did as recently as Feb. 15 when it snapped the Bearcats' national-best winning streak at 16 games.

TV: 3:30 p.m. ET, CBS

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BETTING STATS:

BETTING ACTION AND LINE MOVES: The Bearcats opened as 4.5-point chalk and that number has yet to move. The total hit the board at 131 and money coming in on the under has driven that number quickly down to 127.5.

MATCHUP CHART:

ABOUT HOUSTON: The Cougars only had seven turnovers in Saturday's win and that proved to be the difference, along with 7-of-15 combined 3-point shooting by Gray and Corey Davis Jr. The other three starters for Houston combined for only 13 points, although Nura Zanna did register a team-high nine rebounds off the bench. Gray has reached the 30-point plateau in two of his last three games and is averaging 24.7 points over his last six outings.

ABOUT CINCINNATI: The Bearcats committed only three turnovers against Memphis, which was critical because the team shot barely above 40 percent from the field for the second straight game. Kyle Washington contributed double-digit points for the fourth straight game but missed both of his 3-pointers, dropping him to 2-of-12 from outside the arc over the last four games. Jacob Evans is 1-of-11 from long distance over the last two outings and has made only 4-of-17 shots during that span, totaling nine points - four below his season average.

TRENDS:

* Cougars are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
* Bearcats are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
* Under is 7-1 in Cougars last 8 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
* Under is 6-1 in Bearcats last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
* Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.

TIP-INS:

* The Bearcats have previously won 30 games in a season twice - in 2001-02 and in 2016-17.
* Houston starting F Breaon Brady has gone 10 straight games without attempting more than three shots.
* Davis is 9-of-12 from 3-point range against Cincinnati this season.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-11-2018, 09:57 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, March 11

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TORONTO (48 - 17) at NEW YORK (24 - 42) - 3/11/2018, 1:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 37-28 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
NEW YORK is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
NEW YORK is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NEW YORK is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 6-5 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 9-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (22 - 43) at ATLANTA (20 - 46) - 3/11/2018, 3:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 7-3 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 7-3 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (51 - 15) at MINNESOTA (38 - 29) - 3/11/2018, 3:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 27-36 ATS (-12.6 Units) in all games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 59-33 ATS (+22.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 364-429 ATS (-107.9 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 5-3 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 7-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (36 - 30) at NEW ORLEANS (38 - 27) - 3/11/2018, 4:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 6-3 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 7-3 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (21 - 45) at DENVER (36 - 30) - 3/11/2018, 5:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 6-4 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 6-4 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (51 - 14) at DALLAS (21 - 45) - 3/11/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 406-330 ATS (+43.0 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 252-202 ATS (+29.8 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
DALLAS is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HOUSTON is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
HOUSTON is 101-64 ATS (+30.6 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
HOUSTON is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 7-4 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 9-2 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (38 - 28) at BOSTON (46 - 20) - 3/11/2018, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 39-24 ATS (+12.6 Units) in all games this season.
BOSTON is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
BOSTON is 45-31 ATS (+10.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
INDIANA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 66-47 ATS (+14.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 5-5 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 6-4 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (35 - 29) at BROOKLYN (21 - 45) - 3/11/2018, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 38-27 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games this season.
BROOKLYN is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
BROOKLYN is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
BROOKLYN is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BROOKLYN is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 85-60 ATS (+19.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 57-40 ATS (+13.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 38-25 ATS (+10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 38-20 ATS (+16.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 21-5 ATS (+15.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 4-4 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 5-4 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (38 - 27) at LA LAKERS (29 - 36) - 3/11/2018, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 21-43 ATS (-26.3 Units) in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
CLEVELAND is 11-38 ATS (-30.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
CLEVELAND is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) against Pacific division opponents this season.
CLEVELAND is 21-36 ATS (-18.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in non-conference games this season.
CLEVELAND is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
CLEVELAND is 7-21 ATS (-16.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CLEVELAND is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
CLEVELAND is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
LA LAKERS are 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 4-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 5-0 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-11-2018, 09:58 AM

NBA

Sunday, March 11

Knicks lost nine of last ten games with Toronto; five of last six series games stayed under. Raptors are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Manhattan. Toronto won its last seven games; they’re 5-2 vs spread in last seven games as road favorites. Five of their last six games went under the total. New York lost its last six games; they’re 0-6 in last six games as a home underdog. Six of their last eight games went over.

Bulls won their last three games with the Hawks; they’re 1-4 vs spread in last five visits to Atlanta. Six of their last nine games stayed under. Chicago lost seven of its last nine games; they’re 0-8 in last eight tries as road underdogs. Three of their last four games went under the total. Hawks lost seven of their last nine games; they’re 3-4 as home favorites. Eight of their last nine games stayed under.

Golden State won eight of its last ten games with Minnesota, but are 2-5-1 vs spread in last eight series games. Four of last six series games stayed under. Warriors won seven of their last eight games; they’re 2-8 vs spread in last ten road games. Four of their last five games stayed under. Timberwolves lost their last three games; they’re 2-1 as home underdogs. Eight of their last ten games went over.

Jazz won six of their last seven games with the Pelicans; they covered three of last four visits to Bourbon Street. Six of last eight series games went over. Utah won its last five games; they’re 8-2 vs spread in last ten road games. Eight of their last nine games stayed under. New Orleans won nine of its last ten games; check status of Davis (ankle). Pelicans are 2-2 vs spread in last four home games. Over is 7-2 in their last nine games.

Nuggets won four of last five games with Sacramento; five of last six series games stayed under the total. Kings are 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Denver. Sacramento is 3-2 in its last five games; they’re 7-3 vs spread in last ten road games. Kings’ last four games stayed under total. Denver is 3-4 in its last seven games; they’re 4-7 in last 11 games as home favorites. Eight of their last ten games went over.

Rockets won their last seven games with Dallas; they’re 4-1 vs spread in last five games in this arena. Seven of last eight series games stayed under. Houston had their 17-game win streak snapped Friday; they’re 9-2 vs spread in last 11 road games. Six of their last nine games went under the total. Mavericks lost seven of their last nine games; they’re 7-4 in last 11 games as home underdogs. Six of their last eight games went over.

Celtics won five of last six games with Indiana; four of last five series games went over the total. Pacers are 2-2 vs spread in their last four visits to Benton. Indiana won four of its last five games; they’re 4-2 in last six games as road underdogs. Eight of last nine Pacer games stayed under the total. Celtics won six of their last seven games; they’re 1-6 in last seven games as a home favorite. Over is 7-1-1 in their last nine games.

76ers/Nets split their last ten games; Philly is 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Brooklyn. Under is 6-3-1 in last ten series games. Sixers are 3-4 in their last seven games; they’re 1-5 in last six games as road favorites. Five of their last seven games stayed under. Brooklyn lost eight of its last ten games; they’re 1-4 in last five games as home underdogs. Four of their last five games went over.

Lakers lost their last seven games with Cleveland; last nine series games went over. Cavaliers are 2-3 vs spread in last five series games played in Staples. Cleveland is 4-5 in its last nine games; they’re 2-11 in last 13 games as road favorites. Seven of their last nine games stayed under total. Lakers won six of their last eight games; they’re 5-2 in last seven games as home underdogs. Over is 7-2-1 in their last ten games.

Sunday 3-11-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Sunday 3-11-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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