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Friday 3-16-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
Your Friday freebie is New Mexico State plus the points against Clemson.
Aggies in San Diego will at least have the crowd in their corner, and that may be enough to inspire this very dangerous New Mexico State team to the OUTRIGHT upset win over the wilting Clemson Tigers.
Let's take a quick look at the tale of the tape: In Neutral Site Games, the Aggies average 76 points per game for, and allow 67 points against. The Tigers come in with a 73 points per game for, and 70 points against average. NMSU also owns an offensive glass edge by +6 over Clemson on neutral floors.
Brad Brownell's team became a different team when they lost their stud forward Donte Grantham and his 14-plus points per game, and almost 7 boards a game. This is a team that staggered to a 3-5 straight up ledger their last 8 games played.
State comes in riding a 6-game winning streak, and they did score early season out-of-conference wins in Hawaii over both Davidson and Miami-Florida (ACC), so do not expect them to bow down to this ailing ACC edition. The Ags Zach Lofton is arguably the best player on the floor of Veijas Arena, and his forward sidekick, Jemerrio Jones and his 13+ boards per game will keep Clemson from dominating on the glass.
Dangerous spot for the higher-seeded Tigers, and again, an outright win would not be a surprise at all. The fact we are nabbing a couple of baskets only makes me like this selection better.
Friday night dog barking loud with New Mexico State.
After hitting Buffalo outright over Arizona yesterday with my free play, tonight I'm playing the Bucknell plus the points against Michigan State.
Michigan State is making this a statement game, as it believes it should be more than a No. 3 seed. And I worry the Spartans will overplay their hand, and make costly mistakes that will allow the Bucknell Bison to hang around.
Sure, the Bison are at a disadvantage in terms of caliber of play, but yesterday Buffalo was in the same position, against Arizona. One might think the Spartans will have to play well below their best for a shot at an upset. And we all know it’s hard to imagine coach Tom Izzo allowing Michigan State to let down in this game.
But I have to remind you the Big Ten has had nearly two full weeks of rest, and I wonder if Michigan State comes out flat in this game.
I'm guessing there will be spells of lethargic play for Michigan State, which I'm guessing will win this between 6 and 8.
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