March Madness Betting Info

[New York Knight]

Region Betting Report ...


East
Faves: 11-3 SU ... 9-5 ATS
O/U: 6-8

South
Faves: 5-6 SU ... 9-5 ATS
O/U: 5-7

Midwest
Faves: 9-4 SU ... 6-7 ATS
O/U: 6-7

West
Faves: 11-2 SU ... 5-8 ATS
O/U: 4-9

[New York Knight]

Conference Betting Report:


Big Ten
Faves: 6-1 SU ... 2-5 ATS
O/U: 4-4

ACC
Faves: 5-4 SU ... 4-5 ATS
Dogs: 5-1 SU & ATS
O/U: 5-10

SEC
Faves: 6-2 SU ... 5-3 ATS
Dogs: 2-4 SU & ATS
O/U 5-9

Big East
Faves: 5-2 SU ... 4-3 ATS
O/U: 6-4

Big 12
Faves: 7-1 SU ... 4-4 ATS
O/U: 5-5

[New York Knight]

Including First Four ... heading into the Sweet 16:


Fading the Public ... 24-28 ATS ... 29-23 O/U

DD Faves ... 15-3 SU ... 10-8 ATS

O/U With Totals of 135 or Less ... 3-7

[New York Knight]

Fade the Public Stats ...


< 50% 23-26 ATS (47%), -3.97 units

< 40% 16-12 ATS (57%), +3.22 units

< 35% 10-4 ATS (71%), +5.59 units

< 30% 3-1 ATS (75%), +1.82 units



Contrarian sweet spot: sub 40% bets

[New York Knight]

ATS


5-seeds: 6-1-1

7-seeds: 6-2

11-seeds: 7-3

4-seeds: 1-5

12-seeds: 0-3-1

[New York Knight]

Sports Insights ...

Villanova (80%) and Kentucky (78%) are popular early spread bets for the Sweet 16.

[New York Knight]

Bob Huggins teams are 3-9-1 ATS as an underdog in the Tournament.

Pulled two outright upsets - vs #1 seed Kentucky in 2010 Elite 8, vs #2 seed Duke in 2008 2nd round.

0-3 at WVU/Cincy as dog of greater than 5 points, losses by 39, 13 and 7.

[New York Knight]

Bill Self teams are 7-3 ATS as a favorite in the Sweet 16.

Been upset just once - by Michigan in 2013 as a 2-point favorite.

[New York Knight]

John Beilein has coached in five Sweet 16 games.

They have been decided by a combined 13 points (Lost by 1 / Won by 2 / Won by 2 / Lost by 3 / Won by 5)

[New York Knight]

John Calipari teams are 11-2 both outright and ATS in the Sweet 16.

6-0 at Kentucky

[New York Knight]

Last three years in Sweet 16, favorites are 15-7-1 ATS (one game was a pick)

5 of 23 won outright

11 favorites of 5+ points went 9-2 ATS ... Only team to lose outright was Arizona last year vs Xavier.

[New York Knight]

Kansas currently -4.5 vs Clemson.

Could be the 3rd one-seed to be less than a 5 point favorite in both the 2nd round and Sweet 16.

Other two ... 1994 Missouri (won and covered both) ... 1991 Ohio State (won/push Round 32, lost in Sweet 16)

[New York Knight]

11-seeds have played 6 Sweet 16 games vs 7 or 10 seeds.

11 seeds have won 5 of the 6 meetings, including 2006 George Mason and 2011 VCU, which both wound up reaching the Final Four

[New York Knight]

Gonzaga is 3-12 ATS in their last 15 tournament games as a favorite of greater than five points

(13-2 SU - lost to Wichita State in 2013 2nd round, Nevada 2004 2nd round)


Currently -5.5 vs Florida State.

[New York Knight]

South Point ...

Early play on Loy-Chicago / Texas A&M / Purdue / Syracuse and Kansas