March Madness Betting Info

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  • New York Knight
    IWS Member
    • Aug 2017
    • 4965

    #76
    Since 2008, BPI has given 16 seeds on average a 1.8% chance of beating the 1 seed.

    BPI currently gives Pennsylvania a 7.1% chance to beat Kansas.

    Only UNC-Asheville in 2012 had a better chance to advance as a 16 seed during that span.

    Comment

    • New York Knight
      IWS Member
      • Aug 2017
      • 4965

      #77
      Virginia DeAndre Hunter... the 6th man of the year in the ACC is out for the year with a broken left wrist


      Last year Oregon lost Chris Boucher prior to the NCAA Tournament and still reached Final Four. Can UVA overcome Hunter injury and do the same?

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      • New York Knight
        IWS Member
        • Aug 2017
        • 4965

        #78
        Radford Enters First Four Matchup vs LIU Brooklyn Red-Hot


        Though Radford has not played a game since winning the Big South on March 4, the Highlanders enter their First Four play-in game vs the LIU Brooklyn Blackbirds streaking. Radford has won its past seven games while holding opponents to just 53.6 points per game. Radford and LIU will meet in Dayton on Tuesday with the winner facing No. 1 seed Villanova on Thursday.


        LIU is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games as an underdog.

        The total has gone UNDER in LIU’s last 3 games.

        Radford is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games as a favorite.


        Radford coach Mike Jones cut his teeth learning under Shaka Smart at VCU, something that becomes apparent when you watch the Highlanders play defense. Radford ranks in the top 30 in the nation in points, assists and field goals allowed per game. Offensively, the team relies heavily on getting into the paint with Radford shooting an average of 21.6 three-pointers per game (163rd in the nation). The team relies heavily on freshman guard Carlik Jones to either drive or kick it to junior forward Ed Polite Jr.

        LIU may be the biggest Cinderella story of the NCAA Tournament. The Blackbirds have the second-most losses of any team in the tourney and finished the regular season fourth in the NEC. To the surprise of nobody, LIU made its miracle run through the NEC tournament thanks to the tandem of Raiquan Clark and Joel Hernandez, who averaged a combined 47 points while shooting 66.2 percent from the field. The issue for LIU will undoubtedly be dealing with the big men of Radford, as the Blackbirds traditionally start four guards with senior Zach Coleman the only forward.


        Team Betting Records & Power Rankings ...

        The LIU Brooklyn Blackbirds battle the Radford Highlanders, currently sitting with a 22-12 mark (7-8 ATS). The OVER/UNDER records, always important for totals betting, are 10-13 for the Blackbirds and 4-11 for the Highlanders.

        The Power Rankings at OddsShark show No. 211-rated Radford taking on No. 76-rated LIU Brooklyn in this contest.


        Recent Outings Betting Recap ...

        Radford got 13 points from Carlik Jones en route to a 55-52 victory over Liberty on Sunday at Kimmel Arena.

        Joel Hernandez went off for 32 points and added 7 rebounds for good measure, leading LIU Brooklyn to a 71-61 win over Wagner on Tuesday at Spiro Sports Center.

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        • New York Knight
          IWS Member
          • Aug 2017
          • 4965

          #79

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          • New York Knight
            IWS Member
            • Aug 2017
            • 4965

            #80
            CG Technology ... on LIUBROOK-RAD


            Radford opened -3.5, bet up to 5.5.

            "2X more Radford money on account, and 75% Radford money over the counter."

            70% of all cash on the total is on UNDER. Total opened 139, down to 136.5

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            • New York Knight
              IWS Member
              • Aug 2017
              • 4965

              #81
              CG Technology ... on STBON-UCLA


              UCLA opened -3, ticked up to 3.5, now back to 3

              "1.5X more UCLA money on account, and 80% of over-the-counter money on UCLA."

              On the total, 65% of money on OVER.

              Comment

              • New York Knight
                IWS Member
                • Aug 2017
                • 4965

                #82

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                • New York Knight
                  IWS Member
                  • Aug 2017
                  • 4965

                  #83
                  Faves/Dogs ... 1-1 ATS


                  Unders ... 2-0

                  Comment

                  • New York Knight
                    IWS Member
                    • Aug 2017
                    • 4965

                    #84
                    A 15 seed has upset a 2 seed four times since 2012.

                    Fifteen's are also 54.5% against the spread vs 2's since 1996.

                    Odds of a 15 upset? 4-1.


                    Iona +20.5 / +2500 moneyline
                    Lipscomb +19.5 / +2000
                    CS Fullerton +20.5 / +2750
                    Ga. State +14 / +850

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                    • New York Knight
                      IWS Member
                      • Aug 2017
                      • 4965

                      #85
                      A 13 seed has beaten a 4 seed in 12 of the past 17 NCAA tourneys.

                      Odds on a 13 upsetting a 4? -105


                      Charleston +9.5 / +400 moneyline
                      Marshall +11.5 / +550
                      UNC-Green +12.5 / +650
                      Buffalo +8.5 / +355

                      Comment

                      • New York Knight
                        IWS Member
                        • Aug 2017
                        • 4965

                        #86
                        12 seeds in the Round of 64 last 10 seasons of the NCAA tournament:


                        19-21 straight up

                        25-14-1 against the spread

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                        • New York Knight
                          IWS Member
                          • Aug 2017
                          • 4965

                          #87
                          11 is the new 12

                          Over the past 5 seasons, No. 11 seeds are 11-9 straight up and 12-8 against the spread vs 6 seeds.


                          Loyola-Chic +2 / +110 moneyline
                          St. Bonnie's +2.5 / +130
                          SDSU +4 / +165
                          ASU or Cuse N/A

                          Comment

                          • New York Knight
                            IWS Member
                            • Aug 2017
                            • 4965

                            #88
                            Consensus picks from Odds Shark for tonight ...


                            56% NC Central +5.5 vs Texas Southern

                            56% NC Central vs Texas Southern OVER 147

                            53% Arizona State -1.5 vs Syracuse

                            50% Arizona State vs Syracuse O/U 143

                            Comment

                            • New York Knight
                              IWS Member
                              • Aug 2017
                              • 4965

                              #89
                              3 seeds are 104-20 all-time against 14 seeds ... but ΒΌ of those losses have happened in the last 5 years.

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                              • New York Knight
                                IWS Member
                                • Aug 2017
                                • 4965

                                #90
                                Bet Labs ...

                                Gregg Marshall is 6-1-1 ATS when receiving <50% of bets in March Madness

                                33% of bets on Wichita State -11.5 vs. Marshall

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