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Caesars Palace books ... Biggest need at this point
Texas A&M
Texas A&M
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CG Technology ...
Biggest need at this point ... the Lipscomb BisonComment
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LV SuperBook ...
Biggest needs at this point ...
Texas A&M / Lipscomb / Arkansas / Bucknell / Wichita State, and ClemsonComment
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29% of bets on Lipscomb +20.5 vs. UNC
In March Madness teams getting <30% of bets as dogs of 20 or more points: 13-3 ATS since 2005Comment
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Fading trendy underdogs in NCAA tourney: 60% ATS since 2005
69% of spread tickets on Providence +2.5 vs. Texas A&MComment
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Odds Shark ... Public ATS picks for Friday's Round of 64 games
63% UNC -21 vs Lipscomb
62% Virginia -20.5 vs UMBC
60% New Mexico St. +4.5 vs Clemson
59% MSU -13.5 vs Bucknell
57% Purdue -20 vs CS FullertonComment
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The Action Network ...
Betting percentages for Friday's first four games:
60% Purdue (-20)
58% Marshall (+12.5)
59% Cincinnati (-13.5)Comment
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Bovada ...
Moneyline
Providence: 78%
Texas A&M: 22%
Providence (+3): 62.6%
Texas A&M (-3): 37.4%
Total
Over 139: 73.5%
Under 139: 26.5%Comment
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Sports Insights ...
New Mexico State is the trendiest public pick of the day with 74% of wagers.Comment
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Which Friday NCAA Tournament Bets are Being Overvalued by the Public?
Public bettors did not make out well in the matchups we highlighted Thursday, easily losing with Gonzaga and St. Bonaventure while likely losing with South Dakota State as well, considering the number was +7.5 at the time our article posted.
#12 New Mexico State (+4.5) vs. #5 Clemson
9:55 p.m. ET
This game is driving an insanely large betting handle already with 73% of tickets and 79% of dollars wagered grabbing New Mexico State and the points. With one-sided action coming down on such a heavily-bet game, oddsmakers have been forced to drop the line from an opener of Aggies +5.5 down to +4.5. Trendy dog anyone?
Why the public loves New Mexico State ...
New Mexico State is the most popular 12-seed to advance to the round of 32 in ESPN’s Tournament Challenge brackets. Recreational bettors flood the college basketball market during the NCAA Tournament and there’s often a correlation between trendy upset picks and landing spots for public money, and this is a prime example.
# 15 Lipscomb vs. #2 North Carolina (-20)
2:45 p.m. ET
North Carolina opened as a 19.5-point favorite at Bookmaker.eu and bettors have been all over the Tar Heels. Seventy percent of tickets and 79% of dollars are laying the points, pushing this line up to -20.
Why the public loves North Carolina ...
UNC is the defending National Champion and is attempting to navigate its way to a third-straight title game. Conversely, today’s round of 64 game will be the first time Lipscomb has ever played in the NCAA Tournament.
#13 College of Charleston (+9) vs. #4 Auburn
7:25 p.m. ET
We’ve got another trendy dog alert with 68% of spread tickets backing College of Charleston. With the public loading up on the Cougars, oddsmakers have dropped the line from an opener of +11 down to +9 in an attempt to encourage Auburn action and offset building liability.
Why the public loves College of Charleston ...
To be completely honest, I have no idea why the public likes College of Charleston so much. However, with so much recreational money playing the same side and no sign of sharp action so far this week, don’t be surprised to see wiseguys buyback Auburn before this game tips.Comment
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Heavy support has moved New Mexico State from +5.5 to +4 vs. Clemson.
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Friday’s Sharp Report: Wiseguys Pounding Two NCAA Tourney Unders
Just like Thursday’s round of 64 matchups, professionals have had plenty of time to get down on today’s slate of NCAA Tournament games. Interestingly, sharp bettors have remained very disciplined regarding Friday’s games, selecting only a couple of spots to aggressively get down their action.
After examining percentages, line movement and bet signals, here are two NCAA Tournament bets that professional players are focusing on, including games that start at 2:45 and 3:10 p.m. ET.
#15 Lipscomb vs. #2 North Carolina Under 162.5
2:45 p.m. ET
Bookmaker.eu opened today’s Lipscomb-North Carolina matchup with a total of 164.5 and the majority of bettors have been lining up to play the over. Sixty-six percent of tickets and 79% of dollars wagered on the total have taken the over, yet the line has dropped to a consensus of 162.5 across the betting market.
According to our Bet Signals — available to all Sports Insights Sportsbook Insider Pro subscribers — professional bettors have hit the under multiple times this week, highlighted by three Reverse Line Moves and one Steam Move. While the majority of action is playing the over, it’s clear that professional money is driving this total down.
#10 Butler vs. #7 Arkansas Under 151
3:10 p.m. ET
In a game attracting a surprisingly large handle, 62% of tickets wagered on the total are currently on the over. However, our money percentages reveal that 56% of dollars wagered have actually taken the under, revealing why this total has dropped from an opener of 153.5 down to 151.
Two Reverse Line Moves and one Steam Move were also triggered on the under earlier this week, confirming that sharp action is responsible for this line movement.Comment
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Market Update ...
One-Sided Public $$$ on CINCINNATI.
Betting Syndicates on OPPOSITE Sides (GST +14 / CIN -13).
Betting Syndcates Also went OVER thru 130 - with some Buy Back at 131.5Comment
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Bet Labs ...
Majority of bets on Marshall +12.5 vs. Wichita State
Shockers 6-1-1 ATS in tourney when getting <50% of betsComment
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2nd HALF STEAM
TEXAS A&M
Multiple Betting Syndicates on Aggies for Game.Comment
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