March Madness Betting Info

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  • New York Knight
    IWS Member
    • Aug 2017
    • 4965

    #376
    Syracuse (11) vs Duke (2) Trends:


    The last time Duke faced an (11) seed, they lost to VCU (2007).

    Syracuse is 5-1 SU & ATS in its last 6 as a Tourney underdog.

    The last time Duke was a double-digit favorite in the Sweet 16, they lost to Indiana (2002).

    Comment

    • New York Knight
      IWS Member
      • Aug 2017
      • 4965

      #377
      Texas Tech (3) vs Purdue (2) Trends:


      Purdue is on a 2-12 ATS run when favored.

      Purdue is 1-5 SU & ATS in the Sweet 16 since 1995.

      (2) seeds are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs (3) seeds.

      Comment

      • New York Knight
        IWS Member
        • Aug 2017
        • 4965

        #378

        Comment

        • New York Knight
          IWS Member
          • Aug 2017
          • 4965

          #379
          CG Technology ...


          Early liabilities for tonight with 4 hours until tip off ... in order:

          Villanova / Clemson / Texas Tech, Syracuse

          Comment

          • New York Knight
            IWS Member
            • Aug 2017
            • 4965

            #380
            LV SuperBook ...


            West Virginia vs. Villanova (-5.5, 152.5)

            77% of the bets are on the Wildcats, But 56% of the money is on the Mountaineers

            Comment

            • New York Knight
              IWS Member
              • Aug 2017
              • 4965

              #381
              Purdue is seeking its first Elite 8 appearance since 2000.

              The Boilermakers have lost all three Sweet 16 games under Matt Painter, including a 32-point loss last year to Kansas, the largest tournament loss in Purdue history.

              Comment

              • New York Knight
                IWS Member
                • Aug 2017
                • 4965

                #382
                Since 2007 NCAA tourney, the Big Ten is 8-18-3 (31%) ATS in the Sweet16 - least profitable conference in the Bet Labs database

                Purdue -2 vs. Texas Tech

                Comment

                • New York Knight
                  IWS Member
                  • Aug 2017
                  • 4965

                  #383
                  The Greek Sportsbook‏ ...

                  Sharp Action

                  SYR / DUKE under

                  Comment

                  • New York Knight
                    IWS Member
                    • Aug 2017
                    • 4965

                    #384
                    STEAM ...


                    UNDER WV / VILL (1st Half)
                    UNDER SYR / DUKE (1st Half)
                    OVER TT / PUR
                    OVER CLEM / KAN

                    Comment

                    • New York Knight
                      IWS Member
                      • Aug 2017
                      • 4965

                      #385
                      No. 5 Clemson Tigers vs. No. 1 Kansas Jayhawks

                      Open: -4 / Move: -4.5 / Move: -5 / Move: -4.5 / Move: -5


                      Kansas is one of two No. 1 seeds remaining in the NCAA Tourney. The Jayhawks (29-7 SU, 19-15-1 ATS) topped a pesky Pennsylvania squad in the opening round, then fended off a late Seton Hall run Saturday for an 83-79 win as a 4.5-point favorite.

                      Clemson posted a pair of double-digit wins to reach this 7:07 p.m. ET tip in the Midwest Region. On Sunday, the Tigers (25-9 SU, 19-12 ATS) hammered Auburn 84-53 as a 2-point underdog Sunday.


                      “Finally, a game where the smart money seems to be aligned on one side,” Fields said (D.J. Fields, odds consultant for offshore sportsbook Bookmaker)

                      “We have watched money coming in on the Jayhawks ever since we opened up Kansas as a 4-point favorite. We have smart money holding Kansas -4 and -4.5, and it wasn't until we went to 5 that we started to see some buyback on Clemson. Thankfully, a small contingency of gamblers has seen Kansas as overvalued at that line, to help keep us balanced.”

                      Comment

                      • New York Knight
                        IWS Member
                        • Aug 2017
                        • 4965

                        #386
                        No. 5 West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Villanova Wildcats

                        Open: -5.5 / Move: -5 / Move: -5.5 / Move: -5 / Move: -5.5 / Move: -5 / Move: -4.5 / Move: -5 / Move: -5.5 / Move: -5 / Move: -5.5 / Move: -5 / Move: -5.5 / Move: -5


                        Villanova is the other No. 1 seed that survived the NCAA Tourney’s opening weekend. The Wildcats (32-4 SU, 24-12 ATS) easily won and cashed in both their games last week, including an 81-58 rout of Alabama as an 11-point chalk Saturday.

                        Likewise, West Virginia twice went off as a double-digit fave and cashed in the first two rounds of East Region play. On Sunday against Marshall, the Mountaineers (26-10 SU, 17-15 ATS) rolled to a 94-71 victory laying 13 points to reach tonight’s 7:37 p.m. meeting.

                        “March Madness is not a time for drastic line movement. The smart gambler may see some value early. However, due to the public's interest, the tightness of lines and the sheer volume written on each game, you just don't see significant decisions against smart money, and you don’t see late line movement,” Fields said. “Villanova vs. West Virginia is indicative of this. We opened Villanova as a 5.5-point favorite, but have since dropped the line down to 5. Every time we see smart money come in on Villanova (at -5), we see someone else we respect coming back on West Virginia (at +5.5). Will West Virginia’s press defense rattle ‘Nova, or will ‘Nova just take advantage and rain 3-pointers all night?”

                        Comment

                        • New York Knight
                          IWS Member
                          • Aug 2017
                          • 4965

                          #387
                          No. 11 Syracuse Orange vs. No. 2 Duke Blue Devils

                          Open: -11.5 / Move: -11


                          There’s already one No. 11 seed in the Elite Eight, with Loyola-Chicago advancing Thursday night, and Syracuse hopes to join the Ramblers. The Orange (23-13 SU, 17-17 ATS) – already winners of three tourney games, since they had to get through a play-in game – knocked out No. 3 seed Michigan State 55-53 as a 10-point pup Sunday.

                          Duke had very little trouble last weekend, pounding out two wins of more than 20 points. The Blue Devils (28-7 SU, 22-11 ATS) roasted Rhode Island 87-62 giving 9 points Saturday to reach tonight’s 9:37 p.m. ET tip in the Midwest Region.

                          “Duke is a better team than Syracuse. The Blue Devils cruised past Iona and Rhode Island, and opened up as 11.5-point favorites over the Orange,” Fields said. “However, double-digit favorites are only 10-8 ATS in this year's tournament, and we have seen enough reluctance from gamblers to lay the high number that we have nudged the line down to 11. The action has been split down the middle here, and we’ll be hoping to knock down the Duke teasers.”

                          Comment

                          • New York Knight
                            IWS Member
                            • Aug 2017
                            • 4965

                            #388
                            No. 3 Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. No. 2 Purdue Boilermakers

                            Open: -1.5 / Move: -1 / Move: -1.5 / Move: -2 / Move: -1.5 / Move: -2 / Move: -1.5


                            This is the only Elite Eight matchup to go precisely according to seeding, though both teams had to pull out tightly contested second-round games. Purdue (30-6 SU, 16-18-1 ATS) outlasted Butler 76-73 as a 4-point favorite Sunday, with the Boilermakers failing to cash for the 12th time in the last 15 games (2-12-1 ATS).

                            Texas Tech halted an 0-7-1 ATS purge while advancing to this 9:57 p.m. ET tipoff in the East Region. The Red Raiders (26-9 SU, 14-16-1 ATS) edged Florida 69-66 as a 1.5-point chalk Saturday.

                            “Smart money is seeing value in a Purdue team that would have been a 3- or 4-point favorite if not for the elbow injury to Isaac Haas,” Fields said, pointing to the likely absence of the Boilermakers’ standout center. “The Red Raiders love to score points in the paint, and if Haas isn't cleared to play, Purdue is going to need a big game from Matt Haarms if it wishes to keep its March Madness dreams alive. The line movement here is indicative of the split opinions we’ve been seeing. We opened at -1.5, before dropping down to -1, and then going back to -2 before the number seemed to settle in.”

                            Comment

                            • New York Knight
                              IWS Member
                              • Aug 2017
                              • 4965

                              #389
                              Sports Insights‏ ...


                              Friday Betting

                              71% on Nova -5.5 vs WVU
                              57% on Kansas -5 vs CLEM
                              55% on Cuse +11 vs DUKE
                              51% on Texas Tech +2 vs PUR

                              Comment

                              • New York Knight
                                IWS Member
                                • Aug 2017
                                • 4965

                                #390
                                Sports Insights‏ ...

                                Clemson vs. Kansas


                                Spread: 58% on Jayhawks -5

                                ML: 55% on Jayhawks -225

                                O/U: 64% on Over 144


                                25,520 total bets

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