Friday 3-23-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358335

    #76
    Dave Price

    Mar 23 '18, 8:05 PM in 2h
    NBA | Bucks vs Bulls
    Play on: Bucks -5 -108 at 5Dimes

    Dave’s Friday Free Play:
    1* on Milwaukee Bucks -5
    The Key: The Milwaukee Bucks will be without Giannis tonight, but they have enough to get the win and cover against the tanking Bulls tonight. The Bulls are resting all of their best players. They have lost 3 in a row coming in, including an 18-point loss at New York and a 33-point home loss to Denver in their last two games. If that’s not the sign of a tanking team I don’t know what is. The Bucks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Take Milwaukee.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358335

      #77
      Dustin Hawkins

      Mar 23 '18, 7:05 PM in 1h
      NBA | Nuggets vs Wizards
      Play on: Wizards -133 at pinnacle

      Free Play on Wizards -133
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358335

        #78
        Stephen Nover

        Mar 23 '18, 8:05 PM in 2h
        NBA | Bucks vs Bulls
        Play on: Bucks -5 -101 at 5Dimes

        Who is the worst team in the NBA right now? As bad as the Suns, Grizzlies and Hawks are, my choice is the Bulls. This wouldn't be the case if the Bulls were healthy. But without their three best players - Kris Dunn, Lauri Markkanen and Zach LaVine - the Bulls are a JV team. And a bad one at that. The Suns at least have Devin Booker. The Grizzlies have Marc Gasol. The Hawks have Dennis Schroder. Who do the Bulls have left? This is Chicago's starting lineup: Cameron Payne, Justin Holiday, Denzel Valentin, Paul Zipser and Cristian Felicio. That reads more like a law office than a starting NBA roster. Denver was 11-23 on the road and minus its leading scorer, Gary Harris, when it played the Bulls at United Center two days ago. The Nuggets won by 33 points. The Bucks aren't likely to have Giannis Antetokounmpo for this game. Antetokounmpo suffered a sprained ankle in the Bucks' last game this past Wednesday. The Bucks don't need their star player, however, to bury the Bulls. Milwaukee still will have the three best players on the court in Kris Middleton, Eric Bledsoe and Jabari Parker. The Bucks also have the far superior bench. Now let's come to motivation, which is crucial at this late juncture of the season. The Bucks are clinging to a playoff spot. They can't afford a loss to the lowly Bulls. Not with a home game on tap against the Spurs followed by a four-game West Coast trip. There's no guarantee either that Antetokonumpo will return to the lineup soon. So the Bucks aren't going to screw around here. They will rally around their superstar being out and easily defeat this patsy. Chicago's incentive? Below the surface it's to increase its chances of getting a higher draft lottery pick. That's why the Bulls aren't in any rush to get their best players back on the court. It's why they are playing 10 people, but not veteran Robin Lopez, their best center. This series has a road team bias, too, with the visitor covering the past six times. (Editor's note: Stephen Nover is one of the top NBA 'cappers in North America and has a special 2-for-1 discount package going in the NBA today in addition to this free selection.)
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358335

          #79
          Hunter Price

          Mar 23 '18, 7:05 PM in 1h
          NBA | Nuggets vs Wizards
          Play on: Wizards -133 at pinnacle

          1* Free Pick on Wizards -133
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358335

            #80
            Ray Monohan

            Mar 23 '18, 7:05 PM in 1h
            NCAA-B | Clemson vs Kansas
            Play on: Kansas -5 -105 at 5Dimes

            Kansas -5
            Kansas holds a nice edge on Clemson here Friday night, making them worth a flyer in this spot.
            The Jayhawks situationally are in such a nice spot.
            For starters, they have dominated the ACC as of late. The Jayhawks enter Friday 5-1 ATS in their last 6 against the conference. That dominance comes from their depth and ability to really control the paint, something ACC teams lack of doing.
            Along with that, Clemson has been a struggle against the Big 12. The Tigers have gone 0-4 ATS in their last 4 against the conference.
            Some trends to note. Jayhawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games. Jayhawks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 NCAA Tournament games.
            Look for Kansas to really dominate inside, getting Clemson on edge early.
            Back Kansas.
            Good Luck, Razor Ray.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358335

              #81
              John Martin

              Mar 23 '18, 7:35 PM in 1h
              NBA | Nets vs Raptors
              Play on: Raptors -12 -103 at pinnacle

              1 Unit FREE PLAY on Toronto Raptors -12
              The Toronto Raptors are trying to clinch home-court advantage in the Eastern Conference. They lead the Celtics by 4.5 games and would like to clinch as soon as possible to get their guys some rest down the stretch. Now they host the Brooklyn Nets, a team they have simply owned. The Raptors are 11-0 SU & 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings with the Nets. They have won seven of those 11 games by double-digits, including their 120-87 home win in their lone meeting in Toronto this season. Give me the Raptors.
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358335

                #82
                Doug Upstone

                Mar 23 '18, 7:05 PM in 1h
                NBA | Nuggets vs Wizards
                Play on: OVER 217 -110

                The total in this clash has dipped three points to 217.5 and there are two ways to look at what happened. One, the adjustment is incorrect as both teams have shown a recent tendency toward playing Over's. The other way to view this total is the road/home comparison, with Denver at 218.2 total points and Washington at 215. So what side is correct? I'll side with the OVER with the Nuggets on a 16-5 OVER run and the Wizards 8-1 OVER when playing only their second game in five days.
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358335

                  #83
                  Sal Michaels

                  Mar 23 '18, 7:35 PM in 1h
                  NBA | Wolves vs Knicks
                  Play on: OVER 224 -110

                  Free Play on Wolves vs Knicks over 224 -110
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358335

                    #84
                    Kenny Walker

                    Mar 23 '18, 8:05 PM in 2h
                    NHL | Ducks vs Jets
                    Play on: Ducks +130 at 5Dimes

                    Free Pick on Ducks
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358335

                      #85
                      Frank Sawyer

                      Mar 23 '18, 9:55 PM in 4h
                      NCAA-B | Texas Tech vs Purdue
                      Play on: OVER 137 -105

                      Take Over the Total in the game between the Texas Tech Red Raiders and the Purdue Boilermakers. I have a suspicion that this game may turn into a small-ball battle — and that will facilitate a fast tempo with plenty of scoring on both sides at the expense of defense. Head coach Matt Painter has had a week now to formulate a new game plan after Isaac Haas broke his elbow last week in their game with Cal-State Fullerton. His backup, Matt Harms is a better player on defense (which is why I am not making this an official play for clients) — but he might not offer enough on offense to complement the Boilermakers’ outstanding perimeter players. Purdue has played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total in the NCAA Tournament — and the Over is 23-7-1 in their last 31 games played on a neutral court. Don’t be surprised if Chris Beard deploys a small lineup himself that features his rising star in Zach Smith playing the 5 position. Texas Tech (26-9) has comes off a 69-65 win over Florida that finished above the 133.5 point total — and they have then played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total. The Red Raiders have also played 19 of their last 28 games Over the Total when playing just their second game in eight days. Take the Over. Best of luck for us — Frank.
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358335

                        #86
                        Info Plays

                        Mar 23 '18, 7:05 PM in 1h
                        NBA | Nuggets vs Wizards
                        Play on: Wizards -131 at pinnacle

                        1* Free Play on Wizards -131
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358335

                          #87
                          Brad Diamond

                          Mar 23 '18, 7:35 PM in 1h
                          NBA | Nets vs Raptors
                          Play on: UNDER 223 -110
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358335

                            #88
                            Scott Spreitzer

                            Mar 23 '18, 7:25 PM in 1h
                            NCAA-B | West Virginia vs Villanova
                            Play on: Villanova -4½ -119 at pinnacle

                            I'm recommending a play on Villanova minus the points on Friday. West Virginia rolled over Murray State and Marshall, but now it faces a giant leap in class in Villanova, which has won seven straight while covering five of its last six games. The Wildcats had no trouble in either of its first two tournament games against Radford and Alabama and the trio of Mikal Bridges, Jalen Brunson and Donte DiVincenzo combined for 53 of the 81 points against the Crimson Tide, which was held to 41.7 percent shooting. The Mountaineers have shown some lapses this season, especially away from home, and they shoot only 43.8 percent compared to 50.3 percent for Villanova, which also make 40.2 percent of its 3-point attempts. Villanova is 8-1 ATS its last nine neutral site games and 8-2 ATS its last 10 NCAA Tournament games. We recommend a play on Villanova minus the points on Friday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358335

                              #89
                              Scott Rickenbach

                              Mar 23 '18, 7:05 PM in 1h
                              NHL | Devils vs Penguins
                              Play on: Devils +186 at betonline

                              Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Game #3 Free Pick New Jersey Devils Money Line (+) @ Pittsburgh Penguins @ 7:05 ET - No doubt that the two-time defending champs are, of course, a great team. But they're laying 2 to 1 odds here against a Devils team that has already beaten them in both meetings this season and it was no fluke. New Jersey outshot Pittsburgh by a combined 76-54 in the two games. Also, the Penguins are off of a win but they've managed consecutive wins just once (in this case a 3-game streak) in the past month! Prior to their win versus Montreal, the Pens had lost 6 of their 11 prior games. While the Penguins are in a very solid spot, at least in terms of making the playoffs, the Devils are in a very tight spot and the much more desperate team when it comes to earning points. Couple that with the fact that the Penguins have a huge game with the Flyers on deck and I expect New Jersey to prove to be the hungrier team here. While it is true that the Devils are off of back to back losses on the West Coast, it is also true that prior to that they had won 7 of their 9 previous road games! Also, Keith Kinkaid will be in goal for New Jersey here and he has been rock solid in recent starts. The Devils also have won 10 of his 15 divisional games this season. The Penguins have been "spotty" with their play in their own end as they've allowed 3 goals or more in 5 of their last 6 games including at least 4 goals in all 3 losses. This is a great value spot with a huge dog as Pittsburgh is priced far too high given the situation. Free Pick NEW JERSEY
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 358335

                                #90
                                Brandon Lee

                                Mar 23 '18, 8:05 PM in 2h
                                NBA | Bucks vs Bulls
                                Play on: Bucks -5 -108 at 5Dimes

                                10* FREE NBA PICK (Bucks -5)
                                My money is on the Bucks to cover here on the road against the Bulls. I know Milwaukee will be without Giannis Antetokounmpo, but I don't think it's going to matter. While the Bucks lost their last game when Antetokounmpo (played only 17 minutes) suffered the injury, they still managed to put up 120 points on 55% shooting.
                                Milwaukee simply can't afford to take a night off because their star player is out, especially against a team as bad as the Bulls. The Bucks need every win they can get, as they are sitting 8th in the east standings. The good news is Chicago is in full on tank mode and just don't have the talent right now with Dunn, LaVine and potentially Markkanen (questionable) all out of the lineup. Last time out they lost at home to the Nuggets by 23 points and that's a Denver team that hasn't played well on the road (I cashed on the Nuggets -9). This is simply too good a price to pass up when it comes to fading the Bulls right now. Give me the Bucks -5!
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