Tuesday 3-27-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Tuesday, March 27

Spurs won their last four games with the Wizards; they’re 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to Washington. Three of last four series games went over. San Antonio won six of last seven games overall, but they lost eight of last nine road games. Spurs are 8-11-1 as road favorites. Under is 8-3 in their last 11 games. Wizards lost their last three games; they’re 2-1 as home underdogs this season. Last three Washington games stayed under.

Toronto is 5-3 in its last eight games with Denver; Nuggets covered their last five visits north of the border. Over is 8-1-1 in last ten series games. Denver is 3-4 in its last seven games; they’re 4-7-1 in last 12 games as road underdogs, 5-4 on road if they played night before. Three of their last four games went over. Raptors lost three of their last five games; they’re 2-7 in last nine games as home favorites. Four of their last six games went over.

Pelicans won four of last five games with Portland; over is 5-3-1 in last eight series games. Blazers are 1-4 vs spread in last five visits to Oregon. Portland won 14 of its last 16 games; they’re 5-1 in last six games as road underdogs. Three of their last four games went over total. New Orleans won four of its last five games; they’re 5-1 in last six games as home favorites. Five of their last seven games stayed under.

Rockets won last three games with Chicago; four of last six series games stayed under. Bulls are 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to Houston. Chicago lost its last five games; they’re 2-11 in last 13 games as road underdogs. Five of their last six games went over. Houston won 26 of its last 27 games; they’re 5-2 vs spread in last seven games home favorites. Under is 7-3 in their last ten games.

Home side won nine of last ten Cleveland-Miami games; Cavaliers are 1-3 vs spread in last four visits to South Beach. Three of last four series games stayed under. Cavaliers won their last five games, covered last four; they’re 3-12 in last 15 games as road favorites. Six of their last eight games went over. Miami won its last six home games; they’re 4-5 as home underdogs this year. Over is 7-3-1 in their last eleven games.

Kings won six of last eight games with Dallas; over is 5-5 in last ten series games. Mavericks are 1-3 vs spread in last four visits to Sacramento. Dallas lost its last five games; they’re 2-6 in last eight games as road underdogs. Four of their last five games went over the total. Sacramento lost three of its last four games; they’re 3-4 vs spread as home favorites. Four of their last five games stayed under.

Clippers won seven of last ten games with Milwaukee; Bucks are 3-2 vs spread in last five series games played in Staples, with last four of those staying under the total. Milwaukee is 5-3 in tis last eight games; they’re 3-7 in last ten games as road underdogs. Bucks’ last eight games all went over. Clippers lost five of their last seven games; they’re 4-7 in last 11 games as home favorites. Four of their last six games went over.

Warriors won six of last seven games with Indiana; three of last four series games went over the total. Pacers are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Oakland. Indiana won three of its last four games; they’re 5-2 vs spread in last seven games as road underdogs. Under is 8-2 in last ten series games. Golden State is 3-5 in its last eight games SU, 6-4 in last ten games as a home favorite. Under is 7-3 in their last ten games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Tuesday, March 27

Trend Report

SAN ANTONIO @ WASHINGTON
San Antonio is 21-2 SU in its last 23 games when playing Washington
San Antonio is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing at home against San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 9 games at home

DENVER @ TORONTO
Denver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
Denver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing Denver

CHICAGO @ HOUSTON
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Chicago's last 18 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

CLEVELAND @ MIAMI
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home

PORTLAND @ NEW ORLEANS
Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Portland is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games
New Orleans is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
New Orleans is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

DALLAS @ SACRAMENTO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Sacramento's last 8 games at home
Sacramento is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Dallas

INDIANA @ GOLDEN STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Indiana's last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Golden State's last 7 games at home
Golden State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Indiana

MILWAUKEE @ LA CLIPPERS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, March 27

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SAN ANTONIO (43 - 31) at WASHINGTON (40 - 33) - 3/27/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 1042-911 ATS (+39.9 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 832-707 ATS (+54.3 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 193-148 ATS (+30.2 Units) in March games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 157-111 ATS (+34.9 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 93-53 ATS (+34.7 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 52-34 ATS (+14.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 348-285 ATS (+34.5 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 215-150 ATS (+50.0 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in home games this season.
WASHINGTON is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 3-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 4-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (40 - 34) at TORONTO (54 - 20) - 3/27/2018, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 177-225 ATS (-70.5 Units) when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
TORONTO is 186-229 ATS (-65.9 Units) in home games in the second half of the season since 1996.
TORONTO is 34-55 ATS (-26.5 Units) in home games on Tuesday nights since 1996.
TORONTO is 193-243 ATS (-74.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 5-0 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (45 - 28) at NEW ORLEANS (43 - 31) - 3/27/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 40-26 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all games this season.
PORTLAND is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
PORTLAND is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in March games this season.
PORTLAND is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
PORTLAND is 48-31 ATS (+13.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
PORTLAND is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
PORTLAND is 37-25 ATS (+9.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 6-5 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 6-5 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (24 - 49) at HOUSTON (60 - 14) - 3/27/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
HOUSTON is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 to 18 points this season.
HOUSTON is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points this season.
HOUSTON is 53-72 ATS (-26.2 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games in non-conference games this season.
HOUSTON is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 3-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 3-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (44 - 29) at MIAMI (39 - 35) - 3/27/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 26-46 ATS (-24.6 Units) in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 15-40 ATS (-29.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
MIAMI is 87-65 ATS (+15.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 53-34 ATS (+15.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 35-19 ATS (+14.1 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games in March games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 45-29 ATS (+13.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 22-7 ATS (+14.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 5-4 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 5-4 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (22 - 51) at SACRAMENTO (24 - 50) - 3/27/2018, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
DALLAS is 12-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
DALLAS is 408-334 ATS (+40.6 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 501-421 ATS (+37.9 Units) in road games since 1996.
DALLAS is 184-140 ATS (+30.0 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 8-2 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 7-3 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (39 - 34) at LA CLIPPERS (39 - 34) - 3/27/2018, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 69-87 ATS (-26.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 371-452 ATS (-126.2 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 265-322 ATS (-89.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 12-21 ATS (-11.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
MILWAUKEE is 199-244 ATS (-69.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
MILWAUKEE is 76-48 ATS (+23.2 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 41-22 ATS (+16.8 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 166-210 ATS (-65.0 Units) in home games in the second half of the season since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 219-274 ATS (-82.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 3-2 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 3-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (43 - 31) at GOLDEN STATE (54 - 19) - 3/27/2018, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 3-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 4-0 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, March 27


San Antonio @ Washington

Game 761-762
March 27, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Antonio
122.689
Washington
116.990
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 5 1/2
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 1 1/2
201
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
(-1 1/2); Over

Denver @ Toronto

Game 763-764
March 27, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
115.199
Toronto
126.756
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 11 1/2
230
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 9
226
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-9); Over

Portland @ New Orleans

Game 765-766
March 27, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
125.550
New Orleans
120.169
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 5 1/2
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 1 1/2
222
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(+1 1/2); Under

Chicago @ Houston

Game 767-768
March 27, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
108.695
Houston
123.142
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 14 1/2
213
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 17 1/2
218
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+17 1/2); Under

Dallas @ Sacramento

Game 771-772
March 27, 2018 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
114.680
Sacramento
113.873
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 1
198
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Sacramento
by 1 1/2
205
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+1 1/2); Under

Cleveland @ Miami

Game 769-770
March 27, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
120.153
Miami
120.800
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 1
224
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 3 1/2
218 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+3 1/2); Over

Milwaukee @ LA Clippers

Game 773-774
March 27, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
116.378
LA Clippers
120.785
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 4 1/2
228
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 3
225
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(-3); Over

Indiana @ Golden State

Game 775-776
March 27, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
00.000
Golden State
00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana

Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
( );

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, March 27

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W KENTUCKY (27 - 10) vs. UTAH (22 - 11) - 3/27/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W KENTUCKY is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all games this season.
W KENTUCKY is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
W KENTUCKY is 61-33 ATS (+24.7 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
W KENTUCKY is 52-26 ATS (+23.4 Units) in March games since 1997.
W KENTUCKY is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
W KENTUCKY is 61-33 ATS (+24.7 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
W KENTUCKY is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in non-conference games this season.
W KENTUCKY is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) after scoring 80 points or more this season.
W KENTUCKY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all tournament games this season.
W KENTUCKY is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MISSISSIPPI ST (25 - 11) vs. PENN ST (24 - 13) - 3/27/2018, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PENN ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Tuesday, March 27

Tuesday’s NIT games (New York City)
Western Kentucky/Utah are both long way from home; Hilltoppers won games at Oklahoma State/USC last week to get here- they’re #155 experience team that plays pace #143 and is 10-5 outside C-USA. WKU won 11 of its last 14 games; they won by 4 at USC (playing without Metu) in only Pac-12 game this season. Utah is 11-3 outside Pac-12; they won in OT at St Mary’s in last game to get here. Utes won nine of last 11 games; they’re #33 experience team that plays pace #299. Utah gets 37.8% of its points behind arc; WKU opponents shot 36.1% behind arc to this point (#237).

Penn State figures to have large crowd edge playing in NYC; Nittany Lions won five of last six games, winning last two games at Notre Dame/Marquette to get here. Penn St is making third trip to NYC this season- they lost 98-87 to Texas A&M in Brooklyn in only SEC game this year, won two of three in Big 14 tourney on this floor earlier this month. Lions are #244 experience team that plays pace #211. Mississippi State won games at Baylor/Louisville to get here; they’re #325 experience team that plays pace #214. Bulldogs beat Nebraska at home by 7 in only Big 14 game this season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Tuesday, March 27

Trend Report

WESTERN KENTUCKY @ UTAH
Western Kentucky is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Western Kentucky is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games
Utah is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games

MISSISSIPPI STATE @ PENN STATE
Mississippi State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Mississippi State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Penn State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Penn State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Tuesday, March 27


Western Kentucky @ Utah

Game 777-778
March 27, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Western Kentucky
67.869
Utah
68.698
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 1
133
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Western Kentucky
by 2
142
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(+2); Under

Mississippi State @ Penn State

Game 779-780
March 27, 2018 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Mississippi State
71.096
Penn State
69.544
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Mississippi State
by 1 1/2
129
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Penn State
by 3
137
Dunkel Pick:
Mississippi State
(+3); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAA Tournament's biggest betting mismatches: Final Four
Monty Andrews

You won't find many weaknesses on the Villanova Wildcats' roster - particularly on the offensive end, where Villanova boasts the nation's No. 1 scoring offense at 86.6 points per game.

Loyola-Chicago Ramblers (11) vs. Michigan Wolverines (3) (-5, 128.5)

Loyola-Chicago's turnover troubles vs. Wolverines' elite ball security

The Loyola-Chicago Ramblers were staring at insurmountable odds to reach the Final Four heading into the NCAA Tournament - and yet, here they are, just two wins away from the most improbable collegiate title in history. But the Ramblers still have work to do as they take on the favored Michigan Wolverines on Saturday night in San Antonio. Loyola-Chicago will need to do plenty right to advance to Monday's title game - starting with taking extra-good care of the basketball.

Hot shooting and timely defense has been the trademark of the Ramblers' run to the Final Four in their first NCAA Tournament appearance in more than three decades - but those proficiencies have also masked significant struggles when it comes to turnovers. Loyola-Chicago upended Kansas State 78-62 in Elite Eight action despite losing the turnover battle 15-6 - an extension of its regular-season woes, when it finished outside the top 250 nationally in percentage of possessions leading to a TO (17.3).

It isn't enough that the Wolverines boast one of the top scoring defenses in the nation (63.1 points per game against, eighth-fewest in the country). Michigan also takes care of the ball as well as any team in Division I. The Wolverines commit an average of 9.2 turnovers per contest; only Virginia (8.5) has been better. Michigan will be content to play a plodding, slow-paced game and take advantage of the Ramblers' turnovers - and given past history, there could be a lot of them.

Ramblers' dynamic discipline vs. Wolverines' free-throw aversion

Loyola-Chicago is one of only four No. 11 seeds to reach the Final Four - and the South Region champions don't intend to stop there. But oddsmakers aren't so sure the tournament Cinderella has much magic left in it; Bet365 has the Ramblers installed as a +900 longshot to win the championship. That said, all four teams have played well enough to win the title - including Loyola-Chicago, which can prevail against the imposing Wolverines if it continues to be one of the country's most disciplined teams.

It's hard enough to boast a top-five scoring defense as the Ramblers do (62.4 ppg against) - but to do so without sending opponents to the free-throw line is truly impressive. Loyola-Chicago is one of only three NCAA teams to limit opponents to fewer than 10 made free throws per game, and its 13.9 attempts surrendered per game are sixth-fewest in the country. And that stinginess has extended to the NCAA Tournament, with the Ramblers allowing an average of 11.3 free-throw attempts in their first four games.

That number probably won't climb much - if at all - against a Wolverines team that was positively dreadful at getting to the foul line during the season, averaging just 11.5 makes (312th overall) on 17.4 attempts (271st). And even if Michigan can find a way to draw fouls against the Ramblers, there's no guarantee it will capitalize; the Wolverines have shot an abysmal 66.2 percent from the free-throw line so far this season, good for 321st overall. If this one comes down to free throws, Loyola-Chicago has the edge.

Villanova Wildcats (1) vs. Kansas Jayhawks (1) (+5, 155.5)

Villanova's free-throw bonanza vs. Jayhawks' foul-shot foibles

While the left side of the NCAA Tournament bracket was full of stunning upsets and unpredictable finishes, the right side played out exactly as the bracketeers imagined - with the top seeds prevailing in the East and Midwest Regions, respectively, to set up a 1-vs.-1 Final Four matchup Saturday in San Antonio. But oddsmakers consider the Villanova Wildcats more worthy of a No. 1 seed, making them a comfortable fave vs. the Kansas Jayhawks thanks in some part to a considerable edge at the free-throw line.

You won't find many weaknesses on the Wildcats' roster - particularly on the offensive end, where Villanova boasts the nation's No. 1 scoring offense at 86.6 points per game while ranking sixth in field-goal percentage (49.9) and 19th in 3-point success rate (40 percent). The Wildcats are also as automatic as they come when it comes to free throws, converting at a 78-percent clip through 38 games - good for eighth in the country. If Kansas puts Villanova on the line, the result could be devastating.

The same most certainly cannot be said for the Jayhawks, who have been a below-average free-throw-shooting team for most of the season (70.5 percent, 215th overall) - and it nearly derailed their national title hopes twice, as they shot just 69.2 percent in a four-point win over Seton Hall and 63.6 percent in a four-point triumph over Clemson. They can ill afford a similar showing Saturday against a Villanova team that has proven to be one of the top-shooting teams in the nation.

Wildcats' mediocre assist prevention vs. Jayhawks' sensational ball distribution

Not surprisingly, the Wildcats are the oddsmakers' choice to claim the national championship, installed at -105 on Bet365; Michigan is next at +260, while the Jayhawks sit third at +350 despite being the top seed in the Midwest Region. But while Villanova is far and away the top remaining team in the tournament, it's not perfect - and if the Jayhawks can take advantage of the edge they have in the ball distribution department, they might be in line for the upset.

It might seem like nit-picking, but the Wildcats have not been great at defending opposing passers. Villanova surrenders 13.6 assists per game - ranking 189th overall - and surrenders an assist on 53.1 percent of opposing shots made, placing it outside the top 200 in that category. And good passing was the key to beating the Wildcats during the regular season; Villanova surrendered an average of 16.5 assists while allowing a helper on 56.4 percent of opponents' made shots in their four losses.

If Jayhawks bettors are looking for reason for optimism, this is the place to start. The Jayhawks average a whopping 16.9 assists per contest, the 13th-best mark in the country. And while their 0.564 assists per made field goal ranks just 77th overall, they're a top-20 team in assist-to-turnover ratio (1.43). And that sensational ball movement is heating up as the tournament goes on, with Kansas recording 52 assists over its past three games. Look for the Jayhawks to spread the ball around at will Saturday night.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Long Sheet

Tuesday, March 27

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CAROLINA (33-31-0-11, 77 pts.) at NEW JERSEY (39-28-0-8, 86 pts.) - 3/27/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 33-42 ATS (-17.0 Units) in all games this season.
CAROLINA is 15-22 ATS (-11.6 Units) second half of the season this season.
CAROLINA is 5-13 ATS (-8.6 Units) on Tuesday nights this season.
CAROLINA is 20-34 ATS (+55.1 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 14-26 ATS (+40.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NEW JERSEY is 40-36 ATS (+2.1 Units) in all games this season.
NEW JERSEY is 9-4 ATS (+13.7 Units) when playing with 2 days rest this season.
NEW JERSEY is 14-28 ATS (-15.2 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW JERSEY is 7-5 (+3.3 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
NEW JERSEY is 7-5-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.6 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY ISLANDERS (31-34-0-10, 72 pts.) at OTTAWA (26-37-0-11, 63 pts.) - 3/27/2018, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY ISLANDERS are 31-44 ATS (+75.5 Units) in all games this season.
NY ISLANDERS are 11-25 ATS (+40.2 Units) second half of the season this season.
NY ISLANDERS are 26-14 ATS (+11.3 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 26-48 ATS (-22.5 Units) in all games this season.
OTTAWA is 97-80 ATS (-7.9 Units) in a home game where where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
OTTAWA is 7-18 ATS (+30.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 4-4 (+0.4 Units) against the spread versus NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 4-4-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.5 Units)

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PITTSBURGH (43-27-0-6, 92 pts.) at DETROIT (27-37-0-11, 65 pts.) - 3/27/2018, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 4-11 ATS (-8.7 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 111-64 ATS (+17.7 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 66-48 ATS (+114.7 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights since 1996.
PITTSBURGH is 23-8 ATS (+10.8 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
DETROIT is 27-48 ATS (-63.5 Units) in all games this season.
DETROIT is 116-139 ATS (-121.5 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 5-3-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.0 Units)

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BOSTON (47-17-0-10, 104 pts.) at WINNIPEG (46-19-0-10, 102 pts.) - 3/27/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 46-30 ATS (+5.1 Units) in all games this season.
WINNIPEG is 22-4 ATS (+16.8 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
WINNIPEG is 16-3 ATS (+11.2 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
BOSTON is 48-27 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all games this season.
BOSTON is 42-26 ATS (+13.3 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 27-11 ATS (+9.1 Units) second half of the season this season.
BOSTON is 78-61 ATS (+142.7 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights since 1996.
BOSTON is 61-48 ATS (+113.7 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.
BOSTON is 199-224 ATS (+479.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 4-1 (+2.9 Units) against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 4-1-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

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SAN JOSE (43-23-0-9, 95 pts.) at ST LOUIS (42-28-0-5, 89 pts.) - 3/27/2018, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE is 8-6-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.8 Units)

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MINNESOTA (42-24-0-9, 93 pts.) at NASHVILLE (48-16-0-11, 107 pts.) - 3/27/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 69-71 ATS (-30.3 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 10-19 ATS (-18.3 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 48-28 ATS (+14.8 Units) in all games this season.
NASHVILLE is 41-23 ATS (+8.9 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 262-207 ATS (+34.7 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
NASHVILLE is 22-10 ATS (+8.3 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
NASHVILLE is 26-13 ATS (+39.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NASHVILLE is 39-22 ATS (+14.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 7-6 (+0.9 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 7-6-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.5 Units, Under=-0.6 Units)

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PHILADELPHIA (38-25-0-13, 89 pts.) at DALLAS (38-30-0-8, 84 pts.) - 3/27/2018, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 51-82 ATS (+133.6 Units) in road games in March games since 1996.
DALLAS is 11-2 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
DALLAS is 21-4 ATS (+14.8 Units) in home games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 32-17 ATS (+11.2 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 38-38 ATS (-7.2 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 16-20 ATS (-17.3 Units) second half of the season this season.
DALLAS is 2-11 ATS (-13.9 Units) in March games this season.
DALLAS is 26-37 ATS (-20.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 15-22 ATS (-14.3 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 3-2 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 3-2-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.0 Units)

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COLUMBUS (42-29-0-5, 89 pts.) at EDMONTON (34-36-0-6, 74 pts.) - 3/27/2018, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLUMBUS is 7-1 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights this season.
COLUMBUS is 34-19 ATS (+14.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 168-154 ATS (+337.8 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
COLUMBUS is 42-29 ATS (+12.5 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 35-42 ATS (-32.0 Units) in all games this season.
EDMONTON is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 8-16 ATS (-9.3 Units) after a division game this season.
EDMONTON is 4-11 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games in non-conference games this season.
EDMONTON is 10-20 ATS (-12.9 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
EDMONTON is 8-17 ATS (-10.2 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLUMBUS is 3-2 (+0.3 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
COLUMBUS is 3-2-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.1 Units)

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ANAHEIM (39-24-0-13, 91 pts.) at VANCOUVER (27-40-0-9, 63 pts.) - 3/27/2018, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANCOUVER is 11-8 ATS (+21.3 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games this season.
ANAHEIM is 552-440 ATS (+39.2 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 28-18 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 27-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 134-130 ATS (+281.7 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 31-19 ATS (+10.6 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 8-20 ATS (+35.9 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
VANCOUVER is 20-41 ATS (+63.5 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 1-11 ATS (+13.5 Units) in home games in March games over the last 2 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 132-134 ATS (-70.5 Units) in home games vs. division opponents since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 1-8 ATS (+10.0 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more this season.
VANCOUVER is 2-11 ATS (-9.5 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
VANCOUVER is 9-27 ATS (+38.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 102-129 ATS (-54.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
VANCOUVER is 5-8 (+0.3 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
ANAHEIM is 8-5-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
8 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+6.1 Units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Tuesday, March 27

Trend Report

CAROLINA @ NEW JERSEY
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Carolina's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games on the road
New Jersey is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Jersey's last 5 games at home

PITTSBURGH @ DETROIT
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Detroit's last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

NY ISLANDERS @ OTTAWA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 6 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
NY Islanders is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 6 games when playing at home against NY Islanders
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Ottawa's last 9 games at home

MINNESOTA @ NASHVILLE
Minnesota is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Minnesota is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Nashville is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games
Nashville is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home

SAN JOSE @ ST. LOUIS
San Jose is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Jose's last 8 games
St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of St. Louis's last 8 games at home

BOSTON @ WINNIPEG
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games
Winnipeg is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Winnipeg is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

PHILADELPHIA @ DALLAS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia

COLUMBUS @ EDMONTON
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Columbus's last 5 games on the road
Columbus is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
Edmonton is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Edmonton's last 11 games when playing Columbus

ANAHEIM @ VANCOUVER
Anaheim is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Anaheim is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Vancouver's last 12 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vancouver's last 5 games when playing Anaheim

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Dunkel

Tuesday, March 27


Carolina @ New Jersey

Game 1-2
March 27, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Carolina
10.797
New Jersey
12.302
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Jersey
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Jersey
-150
6
Dunkel Pick:
New Jersey
(-150); Over

NY Islanders @ Ottawa

Game 3-4
March 27, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Islanders
10.151
Ottawa
8.764
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Islanders
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ottawa
-120
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Islanders
(+100); Over

Pittsburgh @ Detroit

Game 5-6
March 27, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
9.562
Detroit
10.667
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
-220
6
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+180); Over

Boston @ Winnipeg

Game 7-8
March 27, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
12.688
Winnipeg
11.172
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Winnipeg
-135
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(+115); Over

San Jose @ St. Louis

Game 9-10
March 27, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Jose
00.000
St. Louis
00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Jose

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Jose

Dunkel Pick:
San Jose
( );

Minnesota @ Nashville

Game 11-12
March 27, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
10.085
Nashville
11.669
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Nashville
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nashville
-160
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Nashville
(-160); Under

Philadelphia @ Dallas

Game 13-14
March 27, 2018 @ 8:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
10.702
Dallas
9.274
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
-130
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+110); Over

Columbus @ Edmonton

Game 15-16
March 27, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Columbus
12.776
Edmonton
11.877
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Columbus
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Columbus
-145
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Columbus
(-145); Over

Anaheim @ Vancouver

Game 17-18
March 27, 2018 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Anaheim
12.480
Vancouver
10.926
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Anaheim
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Anaheim
-220
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Anaheim
(-220); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tommy Brunson

Once the opening game jitters subside, look for the Hilltoppers and the Utes to put enough points on the board in this semifinal meeting to see it land Over the total.

Western Kentucky is fresh off a 92-point quarterfinal performance in Stillwater against the Oklahoma State Cowboys, as each of their last pair in the NIT have landed Over the total. Overall, the 'Toppers have seen 9 of their last 13 games play Over the posted price. For the season Rick Stansbury's team is averaging close to 79 points per contest.

As for Utah, the Utes have only played Over the total in 1 of their last 6 contests, but they do average close to 74 points per game, and better still, the Over in Utah's neutral site contests is 11-3 their last 14.

Utah used their defense to get past St. Mary's in the last round, as they held the Gaels to only 58-points in their overtime victory. But do remember, the Utes are capable of lighting up the scoreboard, as they tallied 95-points in the game before at home against LSU.

I like this game to be played in the 70's, and the Over to be the way to go in the early semifinal from the Garden.

2* WESTERN KENTUCKY-UTAH OVER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Benton

Your Tuesday freebie is the Portland Trail Blazers.

If the playoffs started today, this would be a first round matchup, so expect a "tone" to be set tonight by one of these teams. My feeling is, it will be the visiting Trail Blazers that set that tone. Well, they definitely need this one a little more, as New Orleans has claimed the win in each of the last pair of meetings, and the Pels have also won straight up in 4 of the last 5. The Pelicans have also covered in 4 of those 5!

Why does it change tonight? Well, the Blazers did snap their 2 game losing streak - to Boston and Houston with a quality road win and cover at Oklahoma City on Sunday, and I believe that momentum carries over tonight against a New Orleans team that just lost by 23-points at Houston on Saturday night to snap a 4-game winning streak.

Portland does own a 20-13-2 road spread mark this season, while New Orleans has a below .500 home spread mark at 17-19-1 on the campaign.

This one is all about the Blazers proving that after a 1-4 slide over the last 5 meetings, they can actually step up and defeat this Pelicans club.

I like Portland to do just that tonight.

2* PORTLAND

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MVP Lock Club

NBA CLEVELAND CAVALIERS ‑3