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Monday 4-16-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
Apr 16 '18, 6:35 PM in 1h
MLB | MIA vs NYY
Play on: OVER 8½ -110
Free Pick on Marlins/Yankees OVER
I'm recommending a play on the OVER in Monday's MLB interleague action between the Yankees and Marlins. The series is being played at Yankee Stadium, where the ball flies out of the park. New York has played 6 home games so far this season and the averaged combined score in those games is 11.1. The conditions for today's game will be ideal for a high-scoring game, as the wind is expected to be blowing out to left at close to 15 mph.
A big reason this total isn't higher is because the Yankees have Luis Severino on the mound against a bad Miami offense. However, Severino was far from sharp in his last start, giving up 5 runs on 8 hits and 3 walks in just 5 innings. Even if he pitches well here, the Marlins figure to score a few runs. On the flip side, it wouldn't come as a surprise at all if the Yankees covered this total on their own. Miami is sending out Caleb Smith, who has a 4.73 ERA and 1.575 WHIP in 3 starts. Take the OVER!
Apr 16 '18, 7:35 PM in 2h
MLB | Phillies vs Braves
Play on: Braves +118 at BMaker
As a good strikeout pitcher, Foltynewicz generally puts bats to the bench in his games for Atlanta, as shown by his 18Ks in 15 innings over 3 starts. 28 yr old Freddie Freeman has more than enough of an arm to play 1B - and is a substantial offensive weapon with a .320 avg, 2HRs, and 12 RBI through 4.15.18. Atlanta has won 6 of their last 10 games - at home they will own this game. The very real issue with Philadelphia is that they are a bottom level hitting team with poor plate discipline. With over 123 strikeouts, and only batting .220 as a team. And obviously - the Philly rotation is still a big concern - with a very low strikeout ratio. Philadelphia's Carlos Santana has been playing really down this year after hitting .259 in 2017 - with a horrid .167 avg and a .259 OBP. On the road the Phils have been far worse than when at home. Braves are 7-3 in their last 10 home games. Atlanta wins this one on Monday night!
Apr 16 '18, 10:10 PM in 4h
MLB | Dodgers vs Padres
Play on: Padres +130 at 5Dimes
Jack’s Free Pick Monday: San Diego Padres +130
The San Diego Padres are feeling good about themselves with three straight victories coming into this series with the Los Angeles Dodgers. I think they are showing excellent value as +130 home underdogs here tonight in Game 1.
Robbie Erlin is 5-3 with a 2.71 ERA in 17 appearances (13 starts) at Petco Park. He isn’t getting the respect he deserves from oddsmakers tonight. Erlin is 1-1 with a 1.23 ERA and 0.682 WHIP in two career starts against the Dodgers, giving up just 2 earned runs and 10 base runners in 14 2/3 innings.
Hyun-Jin Ryu has been a major disappointment in a Dodgers uniform. He went 5-9 with a 3.77 ERA and 1.366 WHIP in 24 starts last season. The Dodgers have been a disappointment overall this season as they are off to just a 5-9 start. They are hitting just .239 and scoring 3.9 runs per game, including .221 and 3.0 runs per game on the road.
San Diego is 20-9 (+18.8 units) vs. an NL team with a batting average of .245 or worse over the last two seasons. The Dodgers are 0-7 (-10.7 units) as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. The Dodgers are 2-9 in Ryu’s last 11 starts vs. division opponents. Ryu is 1-8 (-8.1 units) against the money line in road night games over the last two years. Bet the Padres Monday.
Apr 16 '18, 8:05 PM in 2h
NBA | Heat vs 76ers
Play on: 76ers -6½ -106 at pinnacle
On Monday night in the NBA, Play Against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like MIAMI revenging a road loss of 20 points or more, against opponent off a home win scoring 110 or more points. Over the last five years, teams like the Heat are a miserable 9-32 ATS.
Apr 16 '18, 10:10 PM in 4h
MLB | Astros vs Mariners
Play on: Astros -123 at betonline
Play - Houston Astros w/Keuchel (Game 921).
Edges - Astros: Keuchel 4-0 L4 team starts in this series; and 5-1 L6 team starts during April… Mariners: 0-5 L5 home games in this series; and 0-6 L6 games overall in this series… We recommend a 1* play on Houston. Thank you and good luck as always.
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