1-3-09

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-3-09

Stan sharp

double dime

san diego + 2 over indy @ 8 et


stan believes the momentum the chargers have in running the table to make the playoffs will carry over to todays first round game .yes it is true that the colts have the longest winning streak in the nfl right now but the fact is they haven't beaten anyone . Last weeks win over tennesee as tennesee rested a lot of players. Stan has sandiego winning by 7 to 10 points tonight.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-3-09

ATS Lock Club Baskets!!
West. Kentucky GOM 8*
Mich St. 6*
Troy 5*
Ill.St. 4*

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-3-09

atslocks.com

Atlanta -1 at Arizona: Atlanta -1 (5 unit)/Over 50.5 (15 unit)

Indianapolis -1 at San Diego: Indianapolis -1 (15 unit)

UConn vs Buffalo +6.5: Buffalo +6.5 (5 unit)

Cleveland State -8 at Detroit: Cleveland State -8 (10 unit)

Creighton at Illinois State -2: Illinois State -2 (5 unit)

Niagra -13 vs Manhattan: Niagra -13 (10 unit)

Pittsburgh +3.5 at Georgetown: Pittsburgh +3.5 (5 unit)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-3-09

RON RAYMOND’S 5* CBB SILVER BULLET BEST BET
Pick # 1 East Carolina (22.5)




RON RAYMOND’S 5* NBA BEST BET WINNER!
Pick # 1 New Jersey Nets (6.0)



RON RAYMOND’S 5* NFL PLAYOFF GAME OF THE YEAR
Pick # 1 IndianapoIis Colts (1.0)



4 2009-01-02 RON RAYMOND’S INTERNATIONAL BOWL WINNER! (61% PVI RATING)
Pick # 1 Connecticut (-7.0)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-3-09

indiancowboy

5*: Penn State +9 is our 5* Big 10 GOM today.

5* NBA GOM Winner on Sacramento +8.5 over Pistons.
December GOM: Bucks Outright over Jazz.
Winning 7 of 10 Days in the NBA.
Now, 24-8 Lifetime on 5* Selections:

And, why not? Penn State is a top 70 ranked team going on the highway to a Wisconsin team ranked in the top 50. Folks, that is only a differential of 15 spots. Wisconsin comes off a big win against Michigan on the road defeating them by double-digits and now they return home. But, this isn't your daddy's Penn State basketball team. This team is very different this year. Penn State once again is a top 65 team. This is the same team that defeated Georgia Tech on the road 85-83 as fairly big dogs. This team also defeated top 40 Northwestern at home by 4 points. Want to know something about Northwestern? They are a top 40 team and frankly, I think they are better than Wisconsin. Heck, watch Northwestern cash on the ML today against Michigan State despite the fact I stayed away from that game as NW comes off a tough loss on the road and return home in conference play against Michigan State. But, back to our play here. For Penn State to be getting 9 points as they are a 12-2 team, and only losses come by 6 and 5 to Temple and Rhode Island on the road is a lot of points. In short, the line is inflated here as Wisconsin is the public favorite year in and year out and they return home after a big win over Michigan on the road. Thus, 65% or more favor Wisconsin here. But, the true spread according to my numbers should be no more than 4-5 points. Remember as well that Penn State was devastated with injuries last year. Well, they have those players back, the backups more seasoned and experienced and this team is playing with a chip on its shoulder as they are tired of being the stepchild of the Big10. Penn State lost to Wisconsin last year by a score of 77-41. You don't think this team remembers that 36 point loss on the road? Well, they play in that same stadium, have their starters back, their backups are even better, this is expected to be a low scoring game and we are getting 9 points on top of that and Wisconsin by no means is blowing teams out or has the capability of blowing teams out. Look at what Wisconsin has done even when they win as this is a half court type offense that is very methodical and not an up and down type of team. After all, Coach Bo has never had this team has a run and gun type of team as it has always been slow and steady. Thus, although it is nice for a power ranking win straight up, it is not as nice for an ATS cover. This is why you see Wisconsin at 6-5 ATS this year and Penn State at 5-2 ATS this year. Wisconsin only beat Idaho State by 2 at home and Coppin State by 11. They are a type of team that stays in all and if not most ballgames (exception probably Georgetown) but this team struggles against teams that can shoot the ball well on the perimeter and Penn State has no trouble scoring so if Penn State takes an early lead in this game, Wisconsin will still stay in their element and crawl back in it. I look for Penn State to have the more potent offense here, great revenge, Wisconsin by no means is the type of teams that blow teams out, this is a conference game and Penn State will be very game here and who knows, maybe even win this baby outright and cause some shock waves in the conference as they will do week in and week out all year long (as will Northwestern for that matter). Folks, the Big 10 is changing and some of the mid ranked teams in this conference will be extremely strong this year. Nittany Lions are 4-0 ATS when facing a spread of this margin of 7 to 12 points as underdogs.








3 Unit Play. #261. Take Buffalo +6 over Uconn (January 3rd, Noon Eastern). If you wait until game time, you might even get this game at +6.5 or even +7. Whoopee, a Bowl game in Canada. That always gets the juices flowing. As per this game, it truly comes down to which team wants to be here as in most bowl games. Just take a look at Iowa vs. South Carolina, it was obvious Iowa wanted to be there and crushed South Carolina on what was a down here obviously for the SEC and an up here for the ACC. Or, look at Northwestern who obviously wanted to be there as compared to Missouri who nearly lost that game outright as it went into OT. That was one of our better calls of the week. The Bulls have played well this year including being competitive against Pittsburgh on the road covering as 13 point dogs and managed to hammer Ball State by 18 as 15 point underdogs. This team won their last 6 of 7 games to find themselves in a bowl game. Uconn has a great defense although they gave up 30+ points to Pittsburgh which you wouldn't be able to tell considering Pitt put up nothing against Oregon. This team is top 10 in the country in defense and 23rd in points allowed. Buffalo has an offense ranked 45th in the nation and a defense ranked 92nd. Uconn comes into this game stumbling losing their last 3 of 4 contests. I'd like to take the Big East team here but it seems Buffalo shows up for the big game as once again, they want to be here as they did not even imagine they will be in a Bowl situation a couple months ago. Uconn went from being a top 25 team to playing a bowl game in Canada. Buffalo went from potentially not even reaching a .500 season to playing in a Bowl Game. Throw all the stats out the window. Buffalo put up 40+ points on a top 50 defense. Uconn gave up 40+ points to an offense such as Pittsburgh. Let's keep it simple and go with the hotter team winning 5 of 6 coming into this game and who wants to be here.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-3-09

indiancowboy


NBA POD: 4 Unit Play: Minnesota Timberwolves +6.5 over the Chicago Bulls (Saturday @ 8:35pm est). Glad we cashed in our GOM, let's keep focused and go for 4-1 this week as we follow a 4-2 NBA week last week. Steady does it. We've always been about taking Underdogs that can win outright and this is no different. Once Kevin McChale took over this team, this team immediately changed for the better. He inherited this team due to the Garnett trade and he has taken ownershipe consequently. Thus, he is coaching for his standing with the team as well. Remember, in the first game he was on the sidelines, they covered against Utah nearly beating them outright. Then, they took the Spurs to the limit at home and before you know it, they went on the road to New York to win outright in dominating fashion (far more than what the Pacers did in their 2 point win yesterday), they came back home to beat the Grizzlies and then defeating the Warriors at home in a well played game from start to finish just yesterday. Remember, the Bulls are still not at full strength. There is no Kirk as he will be out until mid January. There is no Luol Deng either. Yes, the Bulls come off getting spanked to Cleveland so they will look to bounce-back here. But, the Bulls have been relatively dismal of late. They have lost 4 of their last 5 covers and 5 of their last 6 straight up including by nearly 20 to the Magic at home (their last home game) on 12/31 (we were on the over in that game that cashed). Yesterday we took a team that had their star player back in Kevin Martin of Sacramento. Well, the Twolves have not necessarily their star player back but someone who they expect a lot from when they traded for him in UF alumni Mike Miller. Miller provided 7 points in about 30 minutes action as he got hs feet wet in his first game back. Great - now he will look to get into double-digits. He spreads out the floor when it comes to opponents defenses and I look for him to play 30 minutes and give 15 points today. Why is this significant? Well, the Twolves believe it or not are a defensive team that rotate many players. McChale is from the era of Boston Celtics basketball where defense is key. Plus, this team has more offensive weapons than the Bulls do with Gomes, Jefferson, Foye and Miller. Thus, when McChale came down from the front office to coach this team, his players are responding, they have won 3 of their last 6 straight up (very significant considering they have won just 7 games all year and 3 of those 7 come this past week essentially), covered theri last 5 of 6 and have one of their best players back in Mike Miller, have more offensive weapons than Chicago and who knows, are a better defensive team that rotates more players and could very well win this game outright. We'll take the 6.5 here and look for the live dog to cash for us. The Timberwolves are 5-0 ATS when playing teams with a winning home record meaning that they are covering spreads which are inflated due to the lines being set on their straight up record rather than their recent improved play and ATS run of late as well.



3 Unit Play. Take Under 51 between the Indianapolis Colts @ San Diego Chargers. (January 3rd @ 8pm). Whenever these two teams play, the public jumps on the jock straps of the over. But, time and time again, we have noticed that these two teams play the under. Even in the last contest between these two teams, the final score was 23-20 as it went under the posted total of 48. The public keeps driving this total up. The last 3 of 4 meetings between these two teams have gone under with the exception being when San Diego was on the road and defeated Indy. But, once again, you have a Colts team that is dynamic on defense and it is the feature that has kept the glue on this team. Remember, the Colts did not put up offensive fireworks in many instances this year and that includes the game at Cleveland, having a 15th rated offense and nearly dead last in rushing in the NFL at 31st in the league. But, the defense has continued to be the stalwart of this team as they are 5th in pass defense and 7th in points allowed. In short, regardless of who wins this game, look for the game to dip under as it has historically done between these two teams - especially in a playoff type atmosphere.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-3-09

TOM STRYKER'S 20-4 ATS CBB CONFERENCE STATEMENT GAME

#590 MISSOURI ST (-) over Bradley at 8 PM EST

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-3-09

Heisman: 10* under sandiego