Monday 4-30-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-30-2018, 05:28 AM

Philadelphia 76ers vs. Boston Celtics Preview and Predictions 04-30-2018

29th April 2018 by Gracenote
the boston celtics needed everything they had to survive a seven-game, first-round series with the milwaukee bucks. their reward is an eastern conference semifinals matchup with one of the hottest teams in the league in the rested philadelphia 76ers, who visit second-seeded boston for game 1 of a rivalry-fueled best-of-seven series monday night.

"it's more than you can imagine, just a great feeling," celtics big man al horford told reporters after the first-round series, during which the home team won every game. "our fans really gave us that energy. this is why you work so hard in the regular season, to put yourself with home-court advantage." the third-seeded 76ers needed five games to get past miami in the opening round and have been waiting for an opponent since finishing that series tuesday night, affording more rest for the team that is far healthier coming into the series. "i can see in their faces that they are spirited, they are rested, for sure," philadelphia coach brett brown told reporters saturday. "but they're also antsy. they want to play." the celtics won three of four meetings during the regular season, including a matchup in london on jan. 11.
tv: 8 p.m. et, tnt
about the 76ers: while players may be antsy to play again, the prolonged rest cannot be a bad thing for star center joel embiid, who returned from an orbital fracture to play the final three games of the series with the heat. he averaged 18.7 points and 10.3 rebounds in those three games and shot 8-of-14 from the floor in game 5 after struggling a bit with his shot in the previous two contests. jj redick was philadelphia's top scorer versus the heat with 20 points per game while rookie ben simmons showed he is well-suited for the big stage, averaging 18.2 points, 10.6 rebounds, nine assists and 2.4 steals in the series.
about the celtics: the big question heading into game 1 will be the status of shooting guard jaylen brown, who left the clincher against milwaukee due to a hamstring injury and hopes to not miss any time. "i was told that if we got in a pinch that he could play," coach brad stevens told reporters after the win. "we decided that that was not going to happen. with hamstrings, let's see how he feels tomorrow." brown averaged 17.9 points against the bucks, just a shade behind horford (18.1), who will take on the assignment of matching up with embiid.
buzzer beaters

1. embiid was held to 17.3 points on 38.5 percent shooting in three matchups with boston during the regular season.
2. celtics pg terry rozier had 26 points on 10-of-16 shooting and nine assists in game 7 against milwaukee.

3. the rivals last met in the playoffs in 2012, when boston won a conference semifinals matchup in seven games.

prediction: 76ers 106, celtics 104

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-30-2018, 05:29 AM

Boston Bruins vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Preview and Predictions 04-30-2018

29th April 2018 by Gracenote
the brad marchand-patrice bergeron-david pastrnak line looks to match their performance from the opener when the boston bruins visit the tampa bay lightning on monday night for game 2 of the eastern conference semifinals. marchand (one goal) and pastrnak (four assists) each posted four points while bergeron had two goals to go along with an assist as the trio combined for a plus-12 rating in saturday's 6-2 victory.

"it's another character win for us. now we just move on to game 2," pastrnak told reporters. "we're having fun. we need to play a little bit simple, especially at the beginning and just put pucks deep. we are good when we're fast on the forecheck and getting pucks back, so we just need to keep playing like that." tampa bay finished with a 36-24 edge in shots in game 1, but could not contain the top line and made just enough mistakes to thwart their chance to climb back in the contest after falling behind 2-0. "we have to raise the battle level in the defensive zone," lightning coach jon cooper told reporters. "for all the battle level we had in the offensive zone, if we turn that into the defensive zone for some of those plays, maybe they don't go in." tampa bay's leading scorer nikita kucherov (five goals, 10 points in the playoffs) attempted eight shots in game 1 and only two ended up on net while the lightning got goals from defensemen dan girardi and rookie mikhail sergachev.
tv: 7 p.m. et, nbc sports network, cbc, tva
about the bruins: goalie tuukka rask made 34 saves in game 1, including several big stops in the first period and with a one-goal lead later in the contest, after a subpar performance in the first round against toronto (.899 save percentage). "it's a new series," rask told reporters. "you try to come off on top in the first game, try to get the lead. that's what my focus was. like every game, you try to give your team a chance to win." left wing rick nash scored twice in the series opener after managing one goal in the first round and rookie defenseman charlie mcavoy added two assists to give him three in the playoffs.
about the lightning: the ondrej palat-brayden point-tyler johnson line, along with defensemen anton stralman and ryan mcdonagh, was matched up against the bergeron trio in game 1 and likely will get the job again - if all are healthy - despite the numbers. "there was just some tough coverage moments where i think everything they shot went in," cooper told reporters. "they were opportunistic, but that's how you win games." point, who was a minus-5 in game 1, and palat (minus-4, five shots) missed practice sunday for body maintenance but cooper told reporters sunday that they both should be fine for game 2.
overtime

1. tampa bay g andrei vasilevskiy, who is 1-4-1 in six career regular-season games with a .922 save percentage versus boston, stopped 18 of 23 shots saturday.

2. pastrnak has 17 points, second-most in franchise history for the first eight playoff games behind rick middleton (19 in 1983).
3. lightning d victor hedman, a finalist for the norris trophy, notched an assist in game 1 after failing to post a point in the first round.

prediction: bruins 4, lightning 3

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-30-2018, 05:29 AM

Vegas Golden Knights vs. San Jose Sharks Preview and Predictions 04-30-2018

29th April 2018 by Gracenote
the san jose sharks rebounded from their first loss of the postseason and hope to prevent the visiting vegas golden knights from doing the same when the teams meet for game 3 of the western conference semifinals monday night. the sharks were pounded 7-0 in game 1, but fought back from a two-goal deficit and earned a 4-3 double-overtime victory saturday to take over home-ice advantage in the series.

logan couture scored his second goal of the game 5:13 into the second overtime on the power play to complete the turnaround that san jose coach peter deboer expected from his team: "we were better in every situation, and i knew we would be." defenseman brent burns had two goals and an assist in game 2 for the sharks, who recorded 47 shots and scored twice with the man advantage in seven tries. vegas, which gave up four goals saturday after surrendering three in the first five games of the postseason, got two tallies from william karlsson before permitting three in a 12:07 span during the second period. "they better be ready because we didn't show up for 45 minutes (saturday)," golden knights coach gerard gallant told reporters. "we played a great game the other night and competed and battled. and (in game 2), whether we thought it was going to be easy or what we thought, i don't know."
tv: 10 p.m. et, nbc sports network, cbc, tva
about the golden knights: vegas was the fifth-least penalized team during the regular season - second in fewest minutes per game at 6:49 - but were called for 11 in game 2 and two in the second overtime. "our game is to roll our four lines over, and that's something we couldn't do the first two periods," defenseman nate schmidt told reporters. "we've got to make sure we screw the heads back on and make sure that you're disciplined, because you can't put this team on the power play." forward reilly smith has four assists in the series and seven overall in the playoffs to tie karlsson for the team lead with seven points in five games.
about the sharks: couture boasts 13 shots in the series after registering seven in saturday's win and shares the team lead in points (seven) during the playoffs with captain joe pavelski, who set up a pair of goals in game 2. left wing evander kane, who had three goals and an assist in the first five games of the postseason, should be back in the lineup after serving a one-game suspension for a violent cross check. goalie martin jones gave up eight goals on 42 shots in the first two contests of the series after permitting four on 132 attempts in the first round, but was 19-10-2 with three of his four shutouts at home during the regular season.
overtime

1. vegas g marc-andre fleury owns 67 career playoff wins, one behind andy moog for 10th on the nhl's all-time list.

2. san jose f joe thornton is skating with the team after missing more than three months because of a knee injury and is considered day-to-day.
3. the golden knights had killed off 17-of-18 power-play attempts in the first five games of the playoffs before going 5-for-7 on saturday.

prediction: sharks 4, golden knights 3

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-30-2018, 05:41 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Sam Houston
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Maiden - 330y on the Dirt. Purse: $9000 Class Rating: 60

QUARTER HORSE 330Y, FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 5 BANDIDO SHAKE EM 10/1

# 8 JESS SPIRIT 7/2

# 4 JESS A DEAL 15/1

BANDIDO SHAKE EM has a competitive shot to take this race and is a decent value-based bet given the 10/1 line. Ought to be given a shot as Sanchez has been among the top trainers with two-year olds. This selection will feel the med change - with second time Lasix today. He is out of a very good barn. JESS SPIRIT - He will almost certainly show formidable support based on trainer numbers which can be very important in two-year old races. JESS A DEAL - Bard and Calderon have won 23 percent of their races giving this racer a very strong chance. Profitable jockey and trainer team, with a +1 return on investment. This lot is much softer than the last one she ran against.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-30-2018, 05:41 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Parx Racing
Parx Racing - Race 9

Second Half Daily Double / Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta

Claiming $5,000 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 83 • Purse: $19,000 • Post: 4:31P
(PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 30. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $4,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds

Race Type: Lone Trailer. AVALANCHE ROCK is the Lone Trailer of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * LET'S BE FRANK: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 day s. SIENA INDIAN: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. IT BEHOOVES ME: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. GASUPTHEJET: Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 5 0 yards if a Quarter Horse race). KOWBOY KING: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
7
LET'S BE FRANK
5/2

6/1
4
SIENA INDIAN
20/1

7/1
3
IT BEHOOVES ME
15/1

7/1
5
GASUPTHEJET
12/1

7/1
10
KOWBOY KING
7/2

8/1

P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
4
SIENA INDIAN
4

20/1
Front-runner
89

76

98.8

65.8

57.3
10
KOWBOY KING
10

7/2
Alternator/Front-runner
84

82

87.4

75.0

63.5
7
LET'S BE FRANK
7

5/2
Alternator/Stalker
84

80

84.6

72.8

63.3
5
GASUPTHEJET
5

12/1
Alternator/Stalker
86

81

69.8

68.4

60.4
1
DEMON BUSTER
1

6/1
Alternator/Stalker
81

74

65.2

71.6

67.6
3
IT BEHOOVES ME
3

15/1
Alternator/Stalker
83

75

61.5

84.1

72.1
8
BABY CAT
8

10/1
Alternator/Stalker
83

74

49.6

71.2

61.7
9
AVALANCHE ROCK
9

15/1
Trailer
86

74

14.8

67.0

51.0
2
SUNNY PUZZLE
2

8/1
Alternator/Non-contender
85

77

77.0

69.2

52.2
11
R POWER GRID
11

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
88

81

69.6

62.0

43.5
6
SEVE
6

12/1
Alternator/Non-contender
84

84

64.0

70.2

56.7

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-30-2018, 05:42 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Sunray Park
Sunray Park - Race 4

Daily Double / $1 Exacta / 50 Cent Trifecta / 10 Cent Superfecta Third Leg Pick 4

Claiming $5,000 • 870 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 78 • Purse: $5,200 • Post: 4:12P
QUARTER HORSE 870Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2018 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $4,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds

Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * WAR KHAL: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. CALYPSO KING: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. CAVALRY MAN: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. ROCKY'S HIGH (T): Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. ROLL ON DIEGO (T): Horse ranks in the top three in T rackMaster Power Rating.
8
WAR KHAL
5/2

5/1
7
CALYPSO KING
10/1

6/1
5
CAVALRY MAN
3/1

7/1
6
ROCKY'S HIGH (T)
20/1

9/1
1
ROLL ON DIEGO (T)
12/1

9/1

P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
1
ROLL ON DIEGO (T)
1

12/1
Average
79

72

5.6

0.0

0.0
2
FIRST FULL POCKET
2

9/2
Fast
72

66

3.3

0.0

0.0
3
TALKIN HILLS
3

8/1
Average
80

70

5.3

0.0

0.0
4
ZORRO'S STORM (T)
4

7/2
Average
76

73

5.3

0.0

0.0
5
CAVALRY MAN
5

3/1
Average
83

76

5.2

0.0

0.0
6
ROCKY'S HIGH (T)
6

20/1
Average
79

77

5.4

0.0

0.0
7
CALYPSO KING
7

10/1
Fast
79

79

3.5

0.0

0.0
8
WAR KHAL
8

5/2
Average
85

79

3.7

0.0

0.0

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-30-2018, 05:42 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Thistledown - Race #5 - Post: 3:40pm - Optional Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $35,700 Class Rating: 76

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#5 LA QUEBRADA (ML=8/1)
#6 FLASHY G (ML=10/1)
#3 ROWLANDS BIG SMILE (ML=6/1)
#7 CONUMDRUM RED (ML=4/1)

LA QUEBRADA - This mare is the longer price of the 'split' entry from the barn of Cowans. I'm optimistic this mare will run well today. Last workout was 2nd fastest of the day, which tells me she's sharp right now. This one has shown the class ability to win at different tracks. Making the move from Gulfstream Park for today's event, I have to believe she's ready to run. FLASHY G - The morning line odds on this mare are higher than those of the other entrant from the shedrow of conditioner Radosevich. Often the longer-priced part of a 'split' entry wins. Won her last after shipping in. I like her again. I like the hard fact that this mare's last speed rating, 90, is tops in this bunch. ROWLANDS BIG SMILE - TrackMaster keeps good stats on this type of information. This mare always seems to race well after a vacation. The October 11th race at Thistledown was at a class level of (81). Dropping to a lower level significantly, so she should be in a good position to win. Running over a familiar track, where she has won multiple times before, I have to put this thoroughbred at the top of my list of strong contenders. In my super secret file of handicapping angles, this is a good one. Horse's last two Equibase speed figures are higher than today's class rating. That indicates to me we have a strong contender here. CONUMDRUM RED - This filly is almost always on the board. Filly's win percentage is better than 50 percent in first and second starts off a vacation.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 SHELTOWEE'S POSSE (ML=3/1), #8 STRIKING LASS (ML=9/2), #1 NATURAL BLING (ML=5/1),

SHELTOWEE'S POSSE - This morning-line choice ran on Mar 17th and hasn't had a morning drill after that. Don't feel this steed will make an impact today. That last speed rating was substandard when compared with today's Equibase class figure. STRIKING LASS - Not easy to bet on any horse in a short distance clash at 9/2 when she hasn't shown any competitive efforts in sprints in the last sixty days. I cannot play this confirmed non-winner. Gets the assignment finished now and then. NATURAL BLING - This horse doesn't have a champion's demeanor. Often finishes in the place and show hole. Ran well to finish second on March 17th, but hasn't had even one workout since then. Will not be easy for this thoroughbred to beat this group off of that last speed rating. Unlikely to improve enough to run a figure anywhere near today's Equibase class figure, so put her on the vulnerable competitors list.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - FLASHY G - This magnificent animal is a contender in today's race. Her last two speed numbers 81 and 90 are better than today's class rating 76.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Go with #5 LA QUEBRADA on top if we're getting at least 6/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,5,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-30-2018, 05:43 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Turf Paradise - Race #8 - Post: 4:41pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,000 Class Rating: 69

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#10 WAHINE BLING (ML=3/1)
#8 ITSHERPREROGATIVE (ML=4/1)

WAHINE BLING - The March 24th affair at Los Alamitos (Quarter Hor was at a class level of (92). Dropping down in class ranks considerably, so she should be in a good position. ITSHERPREROGATIVE - Was in a $3,000 Claiming race at Turf Paradise last time around the track. That race had an Equibase class figure of 75 and she is moving down today. A certain solid contender. You always have to be on the prowl for bankroll building rider/trainer duos; we have an instance right here. The most recent speed figure of 72 is the top last race speed rating in the bunch.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 MOOSSA'S LEGACY (ML=9/2), #5 WILD FIBS (ML=5/1), #1 GOLD JOURNEY (ML=8/1),

MOOSSA'S LEGACY - Can't bet on this entrant in today's sprint of 5 1/2 furlongs. Hasn't even finished in the money in a short distance contest of late. Doubtful that the fig she garnered on Apr 9th will be enough in this race. WILD FIBS - Finished second in her most recent effort with a pedestrian rating. When I look at today's class figure, it would take an improved performance to prove victorious after that in this field. GOLD JOURNEY - This mare hasn't had any recent good results in sprint events. I find it hard to bet on her in this race.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #10 WAHINE BLING on the win end if we get at least 3/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [8,10]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-30-2018, 05:43 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Will Rogers Downs
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $19800 Class Rating: 61

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 2 INDIAN BELLA 5/2

# 5 RARE POPPY 3/1

# 7 GOSPEL RUNNIN GAL 9/2

I think INDIAN BELLA is a very strong choice. She has to be given a chance given the formidable speed figures. This filly gets a boost with Delorme in the saddle. Should compete quite well in the early speed contest which bodes well with this group. RARE POPPY - Boasts formidable Equibase Speed Figs on average overall when measured up against the rest of this field. Engel has a solid 24 percent win rate with entries running at this distance and surface. GOSPEL RUNNIN GAL - Had one of the most favorable speed figs of this group in her last race. She has posted solid figures under today's conditions and will probably fare well against this group.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-30-2018, 07:13 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Monday, April 30

Pittsburgh @ Washington

Game 901-902
April 30, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
(Taillon) 16.879
Washington
(Roark) 16.012
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-120
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(+100); Over

Philadelphia @ Miami

Game 903-904
April 30, 2018 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
(Arrieta) 14.720
Miami
(Straily) 13.651
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
-150
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-150); Under

Milwaukee @ Cincinnati

Game 905-906
April 30, 2018 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
(Chacin) 14.502
Cincinnati
(Fnnegan) 15.463
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
-120
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(+100); Under

Colorado @ Chicago Cubs

Game 907-908
April 30, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
(Freeland) 16.641
Chicago Cubs
(Lester) 13.726
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 3
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-175
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(+155); N/A

LA Dodgers @ Arizona

Game 909-910
April 30, 2018 @ 9:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Dodgers
(Strpling) 00.000
Arizona
(Greinke) 00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers

Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
( );

San Diego @ San Francisco

Game 911-912
April 30, 2018 @ 10:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
(Lauer) 12.493
San Francisco
(Smrdzja) 15.012
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 2 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
-160
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(-160); Under

Texas @ Cleveland

Game 913-914
April 30, 2018 @ 6:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas
(Hamels) 13.357
Cleveland
(Bauer) 16.140
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 3
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-185
8
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-185); Under

Tampa Bay @ Detroit

Game 915-916
April 30, 2018 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
(Faria) 17.506
Detroit
(Zmmrmnn) 13.863
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 3 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-115
9
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(-115); Over

Kansas City @ Boston

Game 917-918
April 30, 2018 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
(Hammel) 13.127
Boston
(Rdriguez) 17.715
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 4 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-230
9
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-230); Under

NY Yankees @ Houston

Game 919-920
April 30, 2018 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Yankees
(Gray) 17.920
Houston
(Morton) 19.132
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-150
9
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-150); Under

Toronto @ Minnesota

Game 921-922
April 30, 2018 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
(Sanchez) 16.719
Minnesota
(Lynn) 12.759
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 4
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-120
9
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(+100); Over

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-30-2018, 07:13 AM

MLB

Monday, April 30

National League
Pirates (17-11) @ Nationals (12-16)
Taillon is 0-2, 20.25 in his last two starts; under is 3-1 in his last four. Team in his starts: 3-2
5-inning record: 2-2-1. Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-5

Roark is 0-2, 3.79 in his last three starts (under 2-2-1). Team in his starts: 1-4
5-inning record: 2-1-2. Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-5

Pirates won their last five games; they lost last four road games. Under is 6-1-1 in their last eight road games. Washington lost six of its last eight games; they’re 4-9 at home. Under is 6-2 in their last eight games.

Phillies (16-11) @ Marlins (9-18)
Arrieta is 3-0, 2.61 in his last three starts (over 3-1). Team in his starts: 3-1
5-inning record: 2-0-2. Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-4

Straily is making his first ’18 start. He was 10-9, 4.29 in 33 starts LY, is 37-30, 4.25 in 109 career starts. Team in his starts: 0-0
5-inning record: 0-0. Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-0

Phillies lost four of their last six games; over is 5-1 in their last six games. Miami won four of its last five games; they’re 1-8 in series openers, 5-10 at home. Under is 6-1 in their last seven games.

Brewers (16-13) @ Reds (7-21)
Chacin is 2-0, 1.80 in his last three starts (under 4-2). Team in his starts: 4-2
5-inning record: 3-3. Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-6

Finnegan is 0-2, 8.76 in three starts this year (under 2-0-1). Team in his starts: 0-3
5-inning record: 1-2. Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-3

Brewers lost its last four games, scoring two runs; their last eight road games stayed under. Cincinnati is 3-9 at home; over is 6-2 in their last eight games.

Rockies (15-14) @ Cubs (15-10)
Freeland is 1-3, 4.33 in five starts this year (under 3-2). Team in his starts: 2-3
5-inning record: 2-2-1. Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-5

Lester is 2-1, 3.00 in his last four starts (over 3-2). Team in his starts: 4-1
5-inning record: 3-0-2. Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-5

Colorado lost three of its last four road games; under is 5-1 in their last six road games. Cubs won their last five home games; their last five games overall stayed under. Chicago is 6-3 in series openers.

Dodgers (12-15) @ Diamondbacks (19-8)
Stripling is making his first ’18 start; he’s allowed one run in 14.1 IP (10 relief stints) this season. Stripling has appeared in 81 MLB games (16 starts, 14 of them in ’16). Team in his starts: 0-0
5-inning record: 0-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-0

Greinke is 2-2, 5.55 in his last four starts (over 3-2). Team in his starts: 2-3
5-inning record: 2-1-2. Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-5

Dodgers lost five of their last six games; over is 6-1 in their last seven road games. Arizona won six of its last eight games; they’re 9-3 at home. Under is 7-0-1 in their last eight home games.

Padres (10-19) @ Giants (14-14)
Lauer allowed seven runs in three IP (74 PT) in his first MLB start, an 8-0 loss in Colorado. Team in his starts: 0-1
5-inning record: 0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-1

Samardzija is 1-1, 6.23 in two starts this season (over 1-0-1). Team in his starts: 1-1
5-inning record: 1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-2

San Diego lost four of its last five games; they’re 4-0 in road series openers. Under is 9-2-1 in their road games. Giants won five of their last six games; under is 8-2-1 in their last 11 games.

American League
Rangers (11-18) @ Indians (14-12)
Hamels is 0-3, 5.63 in his last four starts (under 5-1). Team in his starts: 1-5
5-inning record: 2-3-1. Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-6

Bauer is 2-2, 2.20 in his last four starts (under 3-2). Team in his starts: 2-3
5-inning record: 1-1-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-5

Rangers won three of their last four games; over is 4-1-1 in their last six road games. Texas is 1-8 in series openers. Cleveland lost five of its last seven home games; over is 6-1 in their last seven home games.

Rays (12-14) @ Tigers (11-15)
Faria is 1-0, 3.45 in his last three starts (under 3-2). Team in his starts: 2-3
5-inning record: 2-2-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-5

Zimmerman is 1-0, 9.31 in five starts this season (over 4-1). Detroit scored 46 runs in his five starts. Team in his starts: 3-2
5-inning record: 4-1. Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-5

Tampa Bay won eight of its last nine games; over is 6-2 in their last eight. Tigers lost five of their last seven games; over is 4-2 in their last six home games.

Royals (7-20) @ Red Sox (20-7)
Hammel is 0-2, 3.66 in five starts this year (under 4-0-1). Team in his starts: 0-5
5-inning record: 3-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-5

Rodriguez is Team in his starts: 1-2
5-inning record: 2-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-5

Royals lost six of their last eight games; they’re 1-8 in series openers. Over is 5-2 in their last seven road games. Boston is 3-5 in its last eight games; under is 6-2 in those games.

New York (18-9) @ Astros (19-10)
Gray is 0-1, 11.45 in his last three starts (over 4-0-1). Team in his starts: 2-3
5-inning record: 2-2-1. Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-5

Morton is 3-0, 2.17 in five starts this year; his last three starts went over. Team in his starts: 3-2
5-inning record: 4-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-4

New York won its last nine games; under is 3-1 in their last four games. Astros won three of their last four games; over is 7-2-1 in their last ten games.

Blue Jays (15-12) @ Twins (9-14)
Sanchez is 1-2, 3.69 in five starts this year (under 5-0). Jays scored 13 runs in his five starts. Team in his starts: 1-4
5-inning record: 0-2-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-5

Lynn is 0-2, 7.71 in four starts this season (over 3-1). Team in his starts: 0-4
5-inning record: 0-3-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-6

Blue Jays lost four of their last five games; over is 3-0-1 in their last four games. Minnesota lost nine of its last ten games; 8 of those 10 games went over.

Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 4/29
Ariz 7-6-2……6-1-4…….13-7
Atl 7-5-3……6-3-3…….13-8
Cubs 6-5-3……4-5-2…….10-10
Reds 4-11-1……3-6-3…….7-17
Colo 8-8-2……6-5-1……14-13
LA 6-5-1…..6-7-2……..12-12
Miami 3-7-2…..6-5-4……..9-12
Milw 8-6-1…..6-7-1……..14-13
Mets 7-7-1……6-4-2…….12-11
Philly 3-4-4…..4-6-5……..7-10
Pitt 7-2-4……8-4-3…….15-6
St. Louis 9-3-3…….7-5……..16-8
SD 3-6-2…..4-12-1……..7-17
SF 6-4-5…..5-7-2……..11-11
Wash 9-5-1……7-5-1…….16-10

Orioles 2-7-4…….4-9-2……6-16
Boston 7-3-5……..5-4-3……12-7
White Sox 7-7………2-8-2…….9-15
Cleveland 6-3-3……6-5-4…….12-8
Detroit 4-8-1……7-6-2…….11-14
Astros 6-3-5……8-5-2…….14-8
KC 3-7-2……..5-10-1…….8-17
Angels 10-2-1……2-10-3……12-12
Twins 3-8-3……5-5-1………8-13
NYY 7-2-2……10-4-2…….17-6
A’s 4-6-4……5-6-3………9-12
Seattle 10-6-2……2-3-5…….12-9
TB 8-3-2……4-6-3……..12-9
Texas 6-5-2……5-9-2……..11-14
Toronto 4-5-2……5-8-3…….9-13

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 4/29)
Ariz 5-14……..4-11………..9
Atl 7-15……..7-13……….14
Cubs 3-14……..4-11…………7
Reds 3-16……..1-12………..4
Colo 7-17……..5-12..…….12
LA 5-12……..3-14..………8
Miami 4-12……..6-16………10
Milw 3-15……..1-13…..……4
Mets 5-15……..6-11………..11
Philly 2-11……..6-16…………8
Pitt 2-13……..3-15…………5
StL 4-14……..3-12………..7
SD 3-12……..2-16……….5
SF 1-13………5-14……….6
Wash 9-16……..5-13………14

Orioles 5-13……4-15………..9
Boston 5-15……..7-12………12
White Sox 4-15……4-12………8
Clev 3-12…….4-14……….7
Detroit 3-13…….3-13………6
Astros 3-13……4-13……….7
KC 2-12……..4-15………..5
Angels 6-13……..2-14……….8
Twins 4-14……..1-9……….5
NYY 3-11……..7-16………10
A’s 4-14……..5-14………9
Seattle 6-17……3-10……….9
TB 6-13…….3-13……….9
Texas 2-13……3-16……….5
Toronto 2-11……6-16……….8

Interleague play- 2018
NL @ AL– 15-5 NL, favorites -$146
AL @ NL– 4-3 NL, favorites -$108
Total: 19-8 NL, favorites -$ 254

Totals in interleague games
NL @ AL: Under 11-8-1
AL @ NL: Over 4-3
Total: Under 14-12-1

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-30-2018, 11:20 AM

Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Indians Preview and Predictions 04-30-2018

29th April 2018 by Gracenote
the cleveland indians hope to get better pitching than they did in their last series when they host the last-place texas rangers on monday for the opener of their three-game set. the indians gave up 32 runs - 22 in the final two games - while losing three of four against seattle and will send trevor bauer to the mound to try to turn around their fortunes.

cleveland yielded five runs in the second inning en route to sunday's 10-4 loss, and the bullpen surrendered 11 over the last two contests with all-star andrew miller (hamstring) on the disabled list. bauer, who owns the second-best era among indians starters, will face cole hamels in the series opener as texas seeks its fourth win in five games. the rangers saw their season-high three-game winning streak come to an end sunday with a 7-2 loss at toronto but has been much better on the road (7-6) than at home (4-12) in the early going. delino deshields went 4-for-12 with two doubles and a walk in the series against the blue jays to raise his average to .229.
tv: 6:10 p.m. et, fs southwest (texas), sportstime ohio (cleveland)
pitching matchup: rangers lh cole hamels (1-4, 4.41 era) vs. indians rh trevor bauer (2-2, 2.41)

hamels is winless in his last four trips to the mound but has not had much offensive support all season (15 runs in six starts). the 34-year-old native of san diego allowed two runs on five hits and two walks with five strikeouts across 6 1/3 innings in a loss to oakland on tuesday. jose ramirez is 5-for-11 with a double and edwin encarnacion has homered versus hamels, who is 1-2 with a 6.11 era in six career games against the indians.
bauer goes after his fifth straight quality start and 50th career victory after yielding seven runs over 28 2/3 innings in his last four outings. the 27-year-old ucla product gave up one run and four hits with a season-high eight strikeouts in 6 2/3 frames to beat the chicago cubs 4-1 on wednesday. bauer, who is 1-0 with a 3.67 era in four career games against texas, has handled nomar mazara (0-for-6, one strikeout) in a small sample.
walk-offs

1. texas rookie inf isiah kiner-falefa has hit safely in 10 of his last 11 games after recording his third double on sunday.

2. cleveland lf michael brantley is 8-for-19 during his five-game hitting streak, raising his average to .348.

3. the indians won six of their seven meetings with the rangers last season, including three of four at home.

prediction: indians 5, rangers 3

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-30-2018, 11:20 AM

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals Preview and Predictions 04-30-2018

29th April 2018 by Gracenote
the pittsburgh pirates have answered a five-game losing skid with wins in five straight outings fueled on the steam of a few sterling performances on the mound. the national league central-leading pirates (17-11) aim to continue their torrid stretch on monday when they begin a nine-game road trip with the first of four contests versus the washington nationals (12-16).

nick kingham carried a perfect game into the seventh inning as the pirates posted their second shutout victory of their win streak with sunday's 5-0 win over st. louis. batterymate elias diaz recorded his second three-hit performance in five days and his fifth multi-hit effort in eight outings for pittsburgh, which carries a 7-6 road mark into the nation's capital to face a washington club that is just 4-9 in front of its home fans. michael a. taylor joined matt wieters with a homer on sunday as the nationals collected just their second win in eight outings with a 3-1 triumph over arizona. taylor has ventured deep three times in his last seven outings, going 7-for-22 with five rbis and seven runs scored in that stretch.
tv: 7:05 p.m. et, at&t sportsnet pittsburgh, masn (washington)
pitching matchup: pirates rh jameson taillon (2-2, 4.91 era) vs. nationals rh tanner roark (1-2, 3.77)

taillon has tumbled in each of his last two outings, surrendering a total of 12 runs on 14 hits - including three homers - over 5 1/3 innings in losses to philadelphia and detroit. the 26-year-old aims to get back on track versus washington, against which he allowed one run on four hits in seven innings in his last encounter on sept. 30. ryan zimmerman is 3-for-4 versus taillon, but the right-hander has handcuffed the rest of the nationals roster to the tune of limiting the bunch to 4-for-31 with seven strikeouts against him.
after a superb performance in his season opener, roark fell to 0-2 in his last four outings on tuesday after yielding four runs on six hits across six innings of a 4-3 setback at san francisco. the 31-year-old permitted two homers in that clash and has been taken deep five times in his last four trips to the mound. roark fell to 2-1 in his career versus pittsburgh after getting blitzed for seven runs on eight hits - including two homers - in a 10-4 shellacking on may 18.
walk-offs

1. washington ss trea turner has been successful in all 12 stolen base attempts this season.

2. pittsburgh c francisco cervelli is 7-for-14 with two homers, eight rbis and three runs scored in his last four outings.

3. nationals of bryce harper has just two hits - albeit with eight walks - in his last five games.

prediction: nationals 4, pirates 2

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-30-2018, 11:21 AM

Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs Preview and Predictions 04-30-2018

30th April 2018 by Gracenote
After struggling at the plate over the weekend, the Colorado Rockies might be facing the wrong pitching staff in an attempt to turn things around when they begin their three-game road series against the Chicago Cubs on Monday. The Rockies were unable to score more than one run in any contest of their three-game series at Miami and now have to face a Cubs staff that gave up a total of two during a four-game sweep of Milwaukee.

Chicago has won four straight and six of its last seven to move a season-high five games above .500. The Cubs' rotation has posted six straight quality starts and hasn't allowed an earned run in its last 28 innings - the club's longest such streak since 1976. Veteran Jon Lester will try to extend the streak versus a Colorado lineup that managed only one extra-base hit in three games against the Marlins. The Rockies' pitching staff also has been solid, allowing just nine runs over the last five contests.
TV: 7:05 p.m. ET, ESPN, AT&T SportsNet-Rocky Mountain (Colorado), NBCS Chicago
PITCHING MATCHUP: Rockies LH Kyle Freeland (1-3, 4.33 ERA) vs. Cubs LH Jon Lester (2-1, 3.29)

Freeland was hit in the left heel by a line drive during his last start, but he still put together his best outing of the season. The 24-year-old struck out eight and limited the Padres to three hits over seven scoreless innings. Freeland faced the Cubs last season in Colorado and lost, allowing five runs - three earned - over six frames.

Lester was a hard-luck loser last time out, as he allowed only four hits over seven innings at Cleveland - three of which were solo homers. The 34-year-old has posted quality starts in three of his last four outings. Lester is 1-3 with a 2.73 ERA in four career turns against the Rockies.
WALK-OFFS

1. The Cubs have won four straight games despite scoring fewer than four runs in each for the first time since at least 1908.

2. Rockies RF Carlos Gonzalez (hamstring) was eligible to return from the disabled list Sunday and is expected to be back at some point during the series.
3. Chicago 3B Kris Bryant and 1B Anthony Rizzo each have been hit by a pitch seven times, tying them for the major-league lead.

PREDICTION: Cubs 5, Rockies 3

Monday 4-30-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Monday 4-30-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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