Friday 5-11-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Preview: Reds at Dodgers
Gracenote
May 11, 2018

Riding their first three-game winning streak of the season, the Cincinnati Reds are turning to their newest addition for Friday’s contest against the host Los Angeles Dodgers. Matt Harvey is set to make his Reds debut and will get the start in place of struggling left-hander Brandon Finnegan, who was sent to Triple-A Louisville.

Harvey was pitching out of the New York Mets’ bullpen before being acquired in a trade on Tuesday, and Reds manager Jim Riggleman doesn’t expect the 29-year-old to work more than four or five innings on Friday. Cincinnati opened its seven-game road trip Thursday with a 4-1 victory as Scooter Gennett led the way with three hits, including a go-ahead, two-run double in the sixth inning and a solo homer in the eighth. The Reds snapped their eight-game losing streak against the Dodgers, who have dropped 11 of their last 16. Rookie Walker Buehler tossed six strong innings on Thursday, but the bullpen continued to be a concern with Pedro Baez and Daniel Hudson each allowing a run during an inning of work.

TV: 10:10 p.m. ET, FS Ohio (Cincinnati), SportsNet LA (Los Angeles)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Reds RH Matt Harvey (0-2, 7.00 ERA) vs. Dodgers RH Kenta Maeda (2-2, 4.02)

Harvey recorded a 2.53 ERA from 2012-15 but has posted a 5.93 mark over the last three years and is hoping for a fresh start in Cincinnati. “It’s been kind of a roller coaster, battling from injuries and trying to get back to where I wanted to be and knew I can be,” he told reporters. “I want to work on fully getting back to where I really want to be.” Matt Kemp is 4-for-16 with three homers against Harvey, who is 1-2 with a 4.50 ERA in four career starts versus the Dodgers.

Maeda did not factor into the decision Saturday against San Diego after allowing three runs and four hits in five innings. The 30-year-old has recorded at least seven strikeouts in four of his six turns this season but only has completed six frames twice. Maeda is 1-0 with a 2.00 ERA in two career games (one start) against Cincinnati and owns a 16-7 record and 2.98 ERA in 32 career contests (29 starts) at Dodger Stadium.

WALK-OFFS

1. Reds RHP Rasiel Iglesias has not allowed a run in his last six appearances covering 6 2/3 innings.

2. Los Angeles INFs Justin Turner (wrist) and Logan Forsythe (shoulder) both are expected to begin minor-league rehab assignments this weekend.

3. The Reds are 8-12 since Riggleman was named interim manager on April 19.

PREDICTION: Dodgers 7, Reds 3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

W/L Trends
Cincinnati

Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League West.
Reds are 27-59 in their last 86 road games.
Reds are 16-35 in their last 51 during game 2 of a series.
Reds are 4-9 in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Reds are 4-10 in their last 14 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Reds are 14-37 in their last 51 overall.
Reds are 14-37 in their last 51 games on grass.
Reds are 7-19 in their last 26 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Reds are 14-41 in their last 55 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Reds are 3-9 in their last 12 games following a win.
Reds are 2-6 in their last 8 Friday games.
Reds are 9-27 in their last 36 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Reds are 2-8 in their last 10 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

LA Dodgers

Dodgers are 26-9 in their last 35 vs. National League Central.
Dodgers are 117-55 in their last 172 home games.
Dodgers are 77-37 in their last 114 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Dodgers are 37-18 in their last 55 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Dodgers are 2-5 in their last 7 games following a loss.
Dodgers are 1-4 in their last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Dodgers are 1-4 in their last 5 overall.
Dodgers are 1-4 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Dodgers are 1-4 in their last 5 games on grass.
Dodgers are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Dodgers are 1-5 in their last 6 Friday games.
Dodgers are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Dodgers are 7-1 in Maedas last 8 Friday starts.
Dodgers are 5-1 in Maedas last 6 starts vs. National League Central.
Dodgers are 7-2 in Maedas last 9 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Dodgers are 10-3 in Maedas last 13 home starts.
Dodgers are 6-2 in Maedas last 8 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Dodgers are 2-5 in Maedas last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Dodgers are 2-5 in Maedas last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Dodgers are 1-4 in Maedas last 5 starts.
Dodgers are 1-4 in Maedas last 5 starts on grass.
Dodgers are 1-5 in Maedas last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.

OU Trends
Cincinnati

Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Under is 5-1 in Reds last 6 games following a win.
Over is 5-1 in Reds last 6 vs. National League West.
Under is 4-1 in Reds last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Under is 7-2 in Reds last 9 during game 2 of a series.
Under is 6-2 in Reds last 8 overall.
Under is 6-2 in Reds last 8 on grass.
Under is 8-3 in Reds last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 18-7-1 in Reds last 26 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 14-6-1 in Reds last 21 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 7-3 in Reds last 10 Friday games.

LA Dodgers

Over is 3-0-1 in Dodgers last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 9-1-1 in Dodgers last 11 vs. National League Central.
Under is 3-1-1 in Dodgers last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Over is 14-5 in Dodgers last 19 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 8-3 in Dodgers last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 5-2 in Dodgers last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Under is 4-1 in Maedas last 5 home starts.
Under is 4-1 in Maedas last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 5-2-1 in Maedas last 8 starts during game 2 of a series.
Over is 20-8-1 in Maedas last 29 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Over is 7-3 in Maedas last 10 starts vs. National League Central.
Over is 16-7 in Maedas last 23 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Head to Head

Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.
Reds are 26-56 in the last 82 meetings.
Reds are 10-29 in the last 39 meetings in Los Angeles.

Umpire Trends - Alan Porter

Home team is 4-1 in Porters last 5 Friday games behind home plate.
Under is 4-1 in Porters last 5 games behind home plate.
Road team is 4-1 in Porters last 5 games behind home plate.
Under is 5-2 in Porters last 7 games behind home plate vs. Cincinnati.
Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 games with Porter behind home plate.
Dodgers are 0-5 in their last 5 games with Porter behind home plate.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Preview: Cardinals at Padres
Gracenote
May 11, 2018

Tommy Pham returned to the lineup after a two-game injury absence and resumed his strong start to the season. Pham homered and scored both runs in the St. Louis Cardinals' series-opening win over the host San Diego Padres, and the team seeks another victory when the four-game set continues on Friday.

Pham went 2-for-4 with his sixth blast of the season in Thursday's 2-1 victory to raise his batting average to .330, which is fourth-best in the National League. St. Louis is hoping its leadoff hitter will ignite a suddenly sluggish offense that has registered just four runs over the last three games. San Diego also is struggling with the bats and has produced just three runs over its last three contests after accumulating just five hits in the opener. Eric Hosmer was hitless in four at-bats on Thursday to fall to 2-for-24 during a seven-game stretch, with both hits being homers.

TV: 10:10 p.m. ET, FS Midwest (St. Louis), FS San Diego

PITCHING MATCHUP: Cardinals RH Luke Weaver (2-2, 5.60 ERA) vs. Padres LH Eric Lauer (1-1, 5.79)

Weaver is winless over his last four starts and has posted a porous 9.00 ERA during the stretch. The 24-year-old lasted just four innings in his last turn as he gave up four runs and six hits against the Chicago Cubs. Weaver won his lone career start against the Padres when he allowed three hits over seven scoreless innings and matched his career best of 10 strikeouts on August 23.

Lauer is making his fourth career start and is pitching at Petco Park for the first time. The 22-year-old picked up his first career victory in his last turn, when he blanked the Los Angeles Dodgers on seven hits over six innings at Monterrey, Mexico. Lauer has given up 20 hits and walked seven in just 14 innings for a 1.93 WHIP and is allowing opponents to bat .323 against him.

WALK-OFFS

1. The Cardinals placed staff ace Carlos Martinez (lat strain) on the 10-day disabled list and recalled fellow RHP Mike Mayers from Triple-A Memphis.

2. San Diego 3B Christian Villanueva is 0-for-26 over his last eight contests.

3. St. Louis INF Matt Carpenter fanned in three of his four hitless at-bats in the opener and is 1-for-21 with nine strikeouts over his last seven games.

PREDICTION: Cardinals 3, Padres 2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

W/L Trends
St. Louis

Cardinals are 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cardinals are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Cardinals are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
Cardinals are 15-3 in their last 18 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a win.
Cardinals are 6-2 in their last 8 overall.
Cardinals are 6-2 in their last 8 games on grass.
Cardinals are 41-14 in their last 55 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Cardinals are 7-3 in their last 10 during game 2 of a series.
Cardinals are 1-4 in their last 5 road games.
Cardinals are 8-1 in Weavers last 9 starts with 5 days of rest.
Cardinals are 6-1 in Weavers last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.
Cardinals are 6-1 in Weavers last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Cardinals are 6-2 in Weavers last 8 road starts.
Cardinals are 6-2 in Weavers last 8 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cardinals are 5-2 in Weavers last 7 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cardinals are 11-5 in Weavers last 16 starts.
Cardinals are 11-5 in Weavers last 16 starts on grass.

San Diego

Padres are 17-36 in their last 53 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Padres are 7-15 in their last 22 overall.
Padres are 7-15 in their last 22 games on grass.
Padres are 4-9 in their last 13 Friday games.
Padres are 4-9 in their last 13 home games.
Padres are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Padres are 6-16 in their last 22 vs. a team with a winning record.
Padres are 8-22 in their last 30 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Padres are 7-22 in their last 29 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Padres are 2-8 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Padres are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Padres are 3-13 in their last 16 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Padres are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. National League Central.

OU Trends
St. Louis

Under is 3-0-1 in Cardinals last 4 overall.
Under is 3-0-1 in Cardinals last 4 on grass.
Under is 3-0-1 in Cardinals last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 8-1 in Cardinals last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Under is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 Friday games.
Under is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 vs. National League West.
Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 games following a win.
Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
Under is 6-2-1 in Cardinals last 9 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 6-2-1 in Cardinals last 9 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 5-2-2 in Cardinals last 9 road games.
Under is 5-2-2 in Cardinals last 9 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 10-4-2 in Cardinals last 16 during game 2 of a series.
Over is 6-1-2 in Weavers last 9 starts during game 2 of a series.
Over is 5-1-2 in Weavers last 8 starts with 5 days of rest.
Under is 4-1 in Weavers last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 3-1-1 in Weavers last 5 starts vs. National League West.

San Diego

Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 Friday games.
Over is 5-1-1 in Padres last 7 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Padres last 5 overall.
Under is 4-1 in Padres last 5 on grass.
Under is 4-1 in Padres last 5 home games.
Under is 4-1 in Padres last 5 games following a loss.
Under is 4-1 in Padres last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 3-1-1 in Padres last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 9-4 in Padres last 13 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Head to Head

Cardinals are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in San Diego.
Under is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings.
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in San Diego.
Cardinals are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Umpire Trends - Lazaro Diaz

Road team is 6-0 in Diazs last 6 Friday games behind home plate.
Road team is 4-0 in Diazs last 4 games behind home plate.
Road team is 4-0 in Diazs last 4 games behind home plate vs. San Diego.
Home team is 7-0 in Diazs last 7 games behind home plate vs. St. Louis.
Under is 12-3-1 in Diazs last 16 games behind home plate.
Home team is 5-2 in Diazs last 7 Friday games behind home plate vs. St. Louis.
Over is 9-4 in Diazs last 13 games behind home plate vs. San Diego.
Under is 21-10-1 in Diazs last 32 games behind home plate vs. St. Louis.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd

May 11 '18, 8:10 PM in 3h
MLB | TEX vs HOU
Play on: OVER 7½ -110

Free pick on Astros/Rangers OVER
I'm recommending a play on the OVER in Friday's AL West action that has the Astros hosting the Rangers. The fact that Houston has Justin Verlander on the mound will have most expecting a lower-scoring game. Especially with Texas' starter Cole Hamels coming in looking good over his last 3 starts.
Even if both starters throw well, I still think it's going to be tough keeping these two offenses in check. Both sides are capable of eclipsing this total on their own and both come in good form. Houston has scored 24 runs on 42 hits in their last 3 games and Texas has scored 16 on 25 hits in their last 3.
OVER is 7-2-1 in the Rangers last 10 vs a team with a winning record, 6-1 in their last 7 vs a right-handed starter, 5-01-1 in their last 6 road games vs a team with a winning home record and a perfect 5-0 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series. Take the OVER!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mark Wilson

May 11 '18, 7:05 PM in 2h
MLB | Mets vs Phillies
Play on: Mets +144 at 5Dimes

Free Play on Mets +144

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones

May 11 '18, 7:10 PM in 2h
MLB | Royals vs Indians
Play on: Indians -1½ -123 at pinnacle

Jack’s Free Pick Friday: Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-123)
The Cleveland Indians come into this series with the Royals highly motivated. They have lost four of their last five overall. They should have no problem winning Game 1 by two runs or more Friday.
Trevor Bauer has been lights out for the Indians this season. He is 2-3 with a 2.52 ERA and 1.057 WHIP in seven starts, including 2-1 with a 1.91 ERA and 0.988 WHIP in four road starts. Bauer is also 2-4 with a 3.08 ERA in 11 career starts against Kansas City.
Jason Hammel is still in search of his first win this season. He is 0-4 with a 4.78 ERA in seven starts, 0-2 with a 5.47 ERA in four road starts, and 0-3 with a 7.00 ERA in his last three outings. Hammel is also 3-5 with a 4.87 ERA in 11 career starts against Cleveland.
Hammel is 0-9 against the money line vs. good power teams who average 1.25 or more home runs per game over the last two seasons. The Royals are losing in this spot by 3.5 runs per game on average. Hammel is 1-19 as a dog of +175 to +250 in his career. His teams are losing by 3.4 runs per game on average in this situation. Bet the Indians on the Run Line Friday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dana Lane

May 11 '18, 7:10 PM in 2h
MLB | Mariners vs Tigers
Play on: Mariners -150 at 5Dimes

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals Guru

May 11 '18, 10:05 PM in 5h
MLB | MIN vs LAA
Play on: UNDER 8½ -120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Walker

May 11 '18, 7:10 PM in 2h
MLB | Braves vs Marlins
Play on: Marlins +130 at MyBookie

Free Pick on Marlins

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc Lawrence

May 11 '18, 7:10 PM in 2h
MLB | Mariners vs Tigers
Play on: Mariners -141 at BMaker

Play - Seattle Mariners w/Gonzales (Game 973).
Edges - Mariners: Gonzales 27 Ks and 4 BBs last four starts … Tigers: Zimmerman host 2-5 team starts this season; and 4-7 last eleven team starts during May… We recommend a 1* play on Seattle. Thank you and good luck as always.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doug Upstone

May 11 '18, 9:40 PM in 5h
MLB | Nationals vs Diamondbacks
Play on: Nationals -191 at 5Dimes

On Friday night in baseball, Play Against NL underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 like ARIZONA, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season, against an opponent with a starting pitcher who gives up 0.5 or less home runs a start. In the last two decades, this rare system is 67-8, 89.3 percent.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Info Plays

May 11 '18, 7:05 PM in 2h
MLB | Rays vs Orioles
Play on: Rays +119 at betonline

1* Free Play on Rays +119

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dustin Hawkins

May 11 '18, 7:05 PM in 2h
MLB | Red Sox vs Blue Jays
Play on: Blue Jays +184 at BMaker

Free Play on Blue Jays +184

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rocky Atkinson

May 11 '18, 10:10 PM in 5h
MLB | Reds vs Dodgers
Play on: Dodgers -1½ +105 at BMaker

Rocketman Sports FREE MLB play Friday 5-11-18 Cincinnati @ LA Dodgers 10:10 PM EST
Play On: LA Dodgers -1.5 +105 The Cincinnati Reds travel to Los Angeles to take on the Dodgers on Friday night. Cincinnati is 11-27 SU overall this year while the LA Dodgers come in with a 16-21 SU overall record on the season. Matt Harvey is 0-2 with a 6.00 ERA overall this year, 0-1 with a 8.18 ERA on the road this season and 0-2 with a 7.87 ERA his last 3 starts. Kenta Maeda is 1-1 with a 1.98 ERA at home this season. Maeda is 1-0 with a 1.80 ERA in his 1 career start vs Cincinnati. Cincinnati is scoring only 3.9 runs per game on the road this year and 3.9 runs per game against right handed starters this season. Cincinnati is allowing 5.4 runs per game at night this year. LA Dodgers are allowing only 4 runs per game at home this year and 3.9 runs per game past 7 games overall. LA Dodgers have won 11 of 14 meetings with Cincinnati overall past 3 years including 6-1 at home. We'll recommend a small play on the LA Dodgers on the Runline tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky Rocky Atkinson has a 6* MLB winner for you for Friday. One of the BEST HANDICAPPERS in the world is on an impressive 114-92 55% MLB run over his last 214 picks! Join the same handicapper that has made $1,000/game bettors $10,020 since May 05, 2016 with his money line on Mets v. Phillies! Rocketman is documented hitting 70% the past 93 days with all premium picks in all sports! 70% over a 3 month period! WOW!