Monday 5-14-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369829

    #91
    Ross Benjamin

    May 14 '18, 7:10 PM in 1h
    MLB | CLE vs DET
    Play on: UNDER 8½ +103


    Cleveland (Carrasco) @ Detroit (Fiers) 7:10 PM ET
    Game# 909-910
    Play On: Under 8.5 (+103)
    Carlos Carrasco has made 7 starts against Detroit since 2016 and posted a magnificent 1.66 ERA during those outings. That includes a complete game performance versus the Tigers earlier this season in which allowed just 3 hits while walking only 2. Carrasco has gone 13-2 under the total during the past 2 seasons in 15 road night game starts. Cleveland has gone over the total in just 6 of 17 away games this season while collecting a poor .208 team batting average and .633 OPS.
    Michael Fiers has made 4 career starts against Cleveland since 2016 and had an impressive 2.42 ERA while doing so. The Tigers much maligned bullpen staff has shown dramatic improvement throughout their last 7 games. That’s clearly indicated by their combined 2.96 ERA during that stretch. Detroit has gone 19-10 (65.5%) under the total this season when facing a right-handed starting pitcher like they’ll see tonight. Bet on this game to go under the total for my free pick of the day.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369829

      #92
      John Martin

      May 14 '18, 7:10 PM in 1h
      MLB | Indians vs Tigers
      Play on: Indians -1½ -125 at pinnacle

      1 Unit FREE PLAY on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-125)
      The Cleveland Indians are swinging hot bats right now. They have scored 6 or more runs in four straight games and a combined 32 runs in those four contests. They should stay hot against the Tigers and Mike Fiers, who is 3-2 with a 4.73 ERA in six starts this season, including 1-1 with a 5.73 ERA in two home starts. The Indians give the ball to Carlos Carrasco, who is 5-1 with a 3.61 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in eight starts this year, and 3-0 with a 2.48 ERA and 0.86 WHIP in four road starts. Carrasco is 8-1 with a 1.45 ERA in his last 12 starts against the Tigers, yielding just 12 earned runs in 74 1/3 innings. Give me the Indians on the Run Line Monday.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369829

        #93
        Brandon Lee

        May 14 '18, 9:40 PM in 4h
        MLB | MIL vs ARI
        Play on: UNDER 8 +100

        10* FREE MLB PICK (Under 8)
        I'll take my chances here with the UNDER on the total in Monday's matchup between the Brewers and Diamondbacks. In year's past Arizona's Chase Field has been one of the more hitter-friendly parks in the big leagues. However, they added in the humidor this offseason to try to counter the ball flying out of the park. It appears to have worked. Arizona is only averaging 3.6 runs/game at home with the average combined score in their home games at just 6.8 runs.
        Hard to not like another low scoring game at Chase Field. Arizona's offense is in major funk right now and a big reason for that is Goldschmidt is in the midst of the worst slump of his career. Until he gets going, the Diamondbacks will struggle to put up runs, so don't be surprise if Milwaukee's Junior Guerra bounce back in a big way after a couple of poor outings. The Brewers also figure to find it hard to score against Arizona's Pat Corbin, who enters with a 2.02 ERA in 8 starts overall and owns a 1.32 ERA in 5 starts at home. Give me the UNDER 8!
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369829

          #94
          Jesse Schule

          May 14 '18, 9:40 PM in 4h
          MLB | MIL vs ARI
          Play on: UNDER 8 +102

          Brewers vs D'Backs Free Pick May 14, 2018 The Arizona Diamondbacks live and die with slugger Paul Goldschmidt, and it's no surprise that while he's batting .068 in May, Arizona has lost eight of 12 games this month. The Brewers are in town tonight, and I expect to see a pitcher's duel in the desert. Patrick Corbin will toe the slab for Arizona, and he's been dealing. Corbin (4-0, 2.12 ERA) allowed one run on three hits, fanning seven in five innings in a no decision versus the Dodgers his last time out. All four of his wins have come at home, where he owns a 1.32 ERA in five starts. The Brewers hand the ball to Junior Guerra, who has been having a solid season in his own right. Guerra (2-3, 3.09 ERA) allowed four runs on six hits, striking out nine in five innings in a home loss to Cleveland his last time out. He's 1-1 with a 1.59 ERA in two starts away from Milwaukee this season. The under is 18-6-2 in Arizona's last 26 home games, and 8-3-1 in their last 12 overall.
          Take UNDER.
          GL, Jesse Schule
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369829

            #95
            Mike Lundin

            May 14 '18, 10:10 PM in 4h
            MLB | COL vs SDG
            Play on: UNDER 7 -112

            #MLB FREE PICK FROM MIKE LUNDIN
            The Colorado Rockies' bats are cold at the moment. They've scored just 19 runs through their last five games (more than half of them in an 11-10 loss against Milwaukee) and they've struck out 60 times in their past six games.
            Here they'll face Joey Lucchesi (3-2, 2.98 ERA) who will make his third start against the Rockies. The 24 year old rookie has yet to allow an earned run against Colorado and he has struck out 15 Rockies hitters through 11 innings of work. He knocked out six while holding the Nats to one run in five innings his last time out.
            The Rockies turn to another southpaw in Tyler Anderson (2-1, 4.23 ERA) who has posted a 1.80 ERA in five career starts against the Friars, and he has limited them to two earned runs through 12 frames on the season. San Diego ranks 27th in the major leagues with a .227 AVG this year.
            Under is 14-3 in Rockies last 17 overall. Under is 5-1 in Padres last six overall. Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
            Free pick on COL @ SD to go UNDER the total.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369829

              #96
              MIT Simulator

              Mon NBA Free Pick

              Golden State vs. Houston, 05/14/2018 21:00 EDT

              Money Line: -115 Houston

              Sportsbook:
              TopBet

              MIT Monday NBA Free Pick: Houston Money Line -115 - Rockets are the small favorite in this match-up and the money line is the way to go with that price only slightly above -110. Golden State is 1-5 SU and ATS this season as an underdog and Houston was favored by as much as 2.5 in this one before the markets started showing their favoritism toward the Warriors. Of course with Golden State's huge group of stars they are a "public" team and the value here is with the Rockets as they certainly earned home court in this match-up. The Warriors are just 19-32-3 this season versus teams with a winning record. GS is 10-12 ATS when entering a game with 3 days or more of rest while the Rockets are 12-5 ATS with those same parameters. Warriors are only 6-7 SU in their last 13 road games. Houston is 25-2 SU in their last 27 home games. MIT Simulation forecasts a home blowout in Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals Monday.
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369829

                #97
                Tony Brown

                Tony's *5 Nba free play

                Golden State vs. Houston, 05/14/2018 21:00 EDT

                Total: -105/+225 Over

                Sportsbook:
                Bodog

                Fp: Houston#1 scoring team I'm the leauge at 112 and golden state 1a at 111.9 the top to scoring teams in the league in the finals this total can be made by half time making the over my Nba free play
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