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Friday 5-18-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
Always try to get the best bang for my buck and I believe you are getting that with the Padres tonight they almost pulled off the upset last night in Pittsburgh as they lead most of the game but gave the game away late. Ian Nova goes for the Pirates and he has been getting pounded in his last couple starts he has allowed 14 runs in his last 3 starts and Tyson Ross goes for the Padres he is 2-3 with a 3.40 ERA this year. He has had good stuff striking out 53 in 47.2 innings. I'll invest in the plus money here and take the Padres rotation #903
MIT Friday MLB Free Pick: Minnesota Twins -135 - The Brewers are 1-5 in Brent Suter's last 6 starts and that includes 0-3 in his last 3 on the road. The Twins won Kyle Gibson's first two starts this season but he has pitched even better in his 5 starts since then. Gibson has allowed only 18 hits in 30 innings while striking out 37 batters over his last 5 outings. Minnesota off of a loss but previously won 8 of 11. Gibson gives Twins a big edge on the mound in this one plus they are at home. MIT Free Pick: MINNESOTA
Chip's FREE MLB Winner
Philadelphia at St. Louis 8:15 ET
Cardinals over Phillies- This should be the pitching matchup of the day as Philadelphia sends former Cy Young Award winner Jake Arrieta (3-1, 2.59 ERA) to the hill to face the Cardinals Michael Wacha (4-1, 3.09). Wacha who is 2-2 in five starts against the Phillies has allowed two runs or fewer in five straight starts and hasn't lost since March 31. Arrieta is winless in his last three starts but is 8-4 with a 2.27 ERA against the Cardinals but is only 2-3 with a 4.21 ERA at Busch Stadium. Although Philadelphia has won three straight and seven of eight while the Cards has dropped three straight at home for the first time this season the 'Red Birds' get the nod. Take ST. LOUIS!
May 18 '18, 7:05 PM in 2h
MLB | A's vs Blue Jays
Play on: A's +109 at 5Dimes
Free Pick on Oakland +109
I recommending a play on the A's as a short road underdog against the Blue Jays on Friday. Oakland is playing good baseball right now. The A's are 17-12 in their last 29 games with 9 of the 12 losses coming against 3 of the best teams in the Astros, Yankees and Red Sox. While the A's are trending in the right direction, Toronto is just 10-17 after their impressive 12-5 start to the season.
The A's took the series opener 10-5 as they stayed hot at the plate with 14 hits, including 3 home runs. Oakland has now homered in all 7 of their games on their current 10-game road trip and lead the league with 44 bombs on the road this season.
Good chance they continue to hit it out of the park Friday, as Toronto will send out Marco Estrada, who has allowed 10 homers in his first 8 starts. Estrada has a 5.32 ERA and 1.432 WHIP overall and has given up 12 runs on 19 hits in just 18 innings over 3 home starts. Take Oakland!
May 18 '18, 7:10 PM in 2h
MLB | ARI vs NYM
Play on: OVER 7 +100
Take 'Over' Arizona at N.Y. Mets (7 p.m., Friday, May 18)
That is now back-to-back free play winners in this space as last week's Atlanta-Miami 'over' hit with ease. Let's get three in a row here, and don't forget that I have a 7-Unit MLB Play set for Thursday. As for this free play, I expect this line to be either 7.5 or 8.0. But I also think that both teams are due for a breakout here. Their humidor is depressing Arizona's offensive numbers and their totals numbers. The Diamondbacks are averaging just 2.7 runs over their last 10 games. But all but two of those games were played at home. The two on the road? They both easily went 'over' and they scored 11 total runs. The Mets have been in the same boat. They are averaging 2.4 runs per game over their last 10. But they have too many good hitters for that to continue for much longer. Both pitchers are spotty in the zone and throw way too many pitches. Steve Matz has back-to-back starts allowing just one run. But prior to that he had surrendered 14 runs in just over 12 innings. Zach Godley has given up four or more runs in three of his last four starts and four of his last six. I think the hitters will have the better of this matchup, and I see this one going 'over'.
May 18 '18, 8:10 PM in 3h
MLB | Rangers vs White Sox
Play on: Rangers -100 at pinnacle
White Sox right-hander starter Carson Fulmer (2-3, 6.23 ERA) is in struggling form right now and fade material. Chicago's first-round pick (No. 8 overall) in 2015, has had big issues with command at the big-league level.
In his last two outings, Fulmer has allowed 10 runs (nine earned) in 5 1/3 innings against the Minnesota Twins and Chicago Cubs. He has allowed 17 baserunners during that span including 10 hits, six walks and a hit batter. His pitching opponent Matt Moore may also not inspire bettors, but In six career starts against the White Sox, Moore is 5-1 with a 1.67 ERA and gets my backing tonight.
I know the White Sox won a rare game yesterday, but they have not won back to back games since April and are not yet ready to make any kind of run, behind a offense that averages just 3.4 rpg at home in offense.CHI WHITE SOX are 4-15 against the money line in home games this season.
MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TEXAS) - poor AL offensive team ( 4.2 or less runs/game) against a team with a below avg. bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more ), with a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season are 50-25 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.
Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the moneyline
May 18 '18, 7:10 PM in 2h
MLB | Diamondbacks vs Mets
Play on: Mets -155 at betonline
Play - NY Mets w/DeGrom (Game 906).
Edges - Mets: DeGrom 1.83 ERA with 1.04 WHIP this season … Diamondbacks: Godley 5.40 ERA with 1.75 WHIP away, and 2.92 ERA with 1.14 WHIP home this season… With the visiting team 0-3 in Godley’s career team starts in this series, we recommend a 1* play on the NY Mets. Thank you and good luck as always.
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