Monday 5-21-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Rickenbach

May 21 '18, 8:35 PM in 4h
NBA | Celtics vs Cavs
Play on: Cavs -6½ -109 at 5Dimes

Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NBA Game #706 Monday Free Pick Cleveland Cavaliers (-) vs Boston Celtics @ 8:35 ET - Sorry Celtics fans but this is no April Fools joke. Dating back to April 1st, Boston is 1-8 SU in 9 road games! Looking at just their last 8 road games the Celtics have a 2-6 ATS record. Also, Boston is 10-0 SU (and ATS!) in their last 10 home games. So if you simply played the home team in the Celtics last 18 games (10 at home, 8 on the road), you would have a combined 16-2 (89%) ATS record. Until this pattern changes I see no reason to fade it here! Cleveland is shooting the ball very well right now and is playing with a ton of confidence when on their home floor. The Cavaliers have shot at least 46.2% from the field in 5 of their last 6 games. In fact their combined shooting percentage in those 5 games is 53%! Also, the Cavs have rattled off 6 straight home wins in these playoffs since dropping their opening game of the post-season versus Indiana. Couple all of the above with this line at -6.5 and I expect not only the SU win but also the ATS cover for the home favorite in this one. Free Pick CLEVELAND

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ross Benjamin

May 21 '18, 8:05 PM in 3h
MLB | NYY vs TEX
Play on: OVER 9½ -103

Ross Benjamin has a NBA, MLB, and NHL winners on Monday’s card that are up for sale and ready to cash! Since 2012, Ross is 145-99 (59%) with his NHL Stanley Cup Playoff picks and those 244 selections came at an average money line price of -106. Additionally, Ross is a stellar 19-11 (63%) L30 with his MLB picks and that includes 9 money line underdog winners.
Yankees (Tanaka) @ Rangers (Colon) 8:05 PM ET
Game# 961-962
Play On: Over 9.5
Masahiro Tanaka has made 2 career starts at Texas and posted a large 9.90 ERA and 2.20 WHIP during these outings. Furthermore, Tanaka has seen each of his previous 6 outings go over the total. His pitching adversary will be 45-year-old Bartolo Colon who’s enjoying a great beginning to 2018. However, Colon made 2 starts against the Yankees last year and compiled a massive 12.28 ERA. Colon has also allowed 6 home runs at home this season in just 17 2/3 innings pitched. Texas is 45-22 (67.2%) over the total at home during the past 2 seasons when facing a team with a winning record. The Rangers enter today with a poor season record of 18-30 (.375). The Yankees are 11-2 (84.6%) over the total this season when facing a team with a win percentage of .380 or less. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness

May 21 '18, 8:10 PM in 3h
MLB | Orioles vs White Sox
Play on: Orioles -109 at GTBets

This is a 1* Free Play on the Baltimore Orioles (8:10 EST).
While neither of these starters instills much confidence, I still think that Andrew Cashner and the hard-hitting visiting side have the advantage.
Cashner (1-5, 4.83 ERA) most recently gave up three runs while striking out six over 5.2 innings in a loss to the Phillies on Wednesday. Cashner fell one out shy of posting his second straight quality outing. Note that Cashner is 0-4 with a 5.35 ERA at home, but a respectable 1-1 with a 3.78 ERA on the road this season.
The home side counters with the volatile Hector Santiago (0-1, 5.29) who gave up two runs with three walks over five innings in a no-decision against the Pirates on Wednesday. It was likely Santiago’s best overall effort of the year, which clearly isn’t saying much. To go along with his sub-par 5.29 ERA, the southpaw also owns an uninspiring 27/19 K/W over 32.1 innings thus far. Also note that Santiago is 0-1 with a ballooned 6.59 ERA at home this year.
I think Cashner continues his progression, while recent form displayed by Santiago suggests that he’s in line for another tough evening. Consider Baltimore in this particular matchup.
Good luck…Larry

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sean Murphy

May 21 '18, 8:10 PM in 3h
NHL | Lightning vs Capitals
Play on: UNDER 6 -120

Monday NHL Free play. My selection is on the 'under' between Tampa Bay and Washington at 8:10 pm et on Monday.
We've only seen one game go 'over' the total in this series, and that was the Capitals 6-2 rout in Game 2. With Washington's season on the line we'll undoubtedly see its best effort on Monday night, and I believe that lends itself to a relatively low-scoring affair.
Game 3 of this series was rather uneventful on Saturday as the Lightning jumped ahead early and never looked back in a 3-2 win. That game featured not only the fewest total goals in this series so far, but also the fewest number of shots on goal.
Andrei Vasilevskiy is locked in between the pipes for the Lightning right now and I'm confident he'll continue to play well on Monday night. Meanwhile, this is a pivotal game for Caps goaltender Braden Holtby, who could certainly use a banner performance in a must-win game nearing the end of what has been a tumultuous season.
While there's a good chance we're left with a 'push' on the total again in this one, I do feel there's a better chance the winner scores three or less and cashes our ticket. Take the under (8*).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin

May 21 '18, 8:15 PM in 3h
MLB | KC vs STL
Play on: UNDER 8½ +100

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Royals/Cardinals UNDER 8.5
Runs will be at a premium tonight between Kansas City and St. Louis. The Cardinals are sending Miles Mikolas to the mound. Mikolas is 5-0 with a 2.63 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in eight starts this season. He is also 2-0 with a 2.21 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in three home starts, and 2-0 with a 1.47 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in his last three starts. The Royals are only scoring 3.7 runs/game against right-handed starters this season. The Cardinals are only hitting .236 as a team. Ian Kennedy is good enough to limit them in this game. Kennedy is 25-9 to the UNDER in road games against good teams who outscore their opponents by 0.5 runs/game or more in his career. The UNDER is 9-3 in Kennedy’s last 12 starts. The UNDER is 10-2 in Cardinals last 12 games vs. a team that wins less than 40% of their games. The UNDER is 6-0 in Cardinals last six during game 1 of a series. Give me the UNDER.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee

May 21 '18, 7:40 PM in 3h
MLB | Diamondbacks vs Brewers
Play on: Brewers +103 at betonline

10* FREE MLB PICK (Brewers +103)
I'll take my chances here with Milwaukee at basically a pick'em on their home field. I'm not quite sure why Arizona is getting so much love in this one. The Diamondbacks are playing their worst ball of the season. They come in 1-10 in their last 11 games. The offense has been atrocious during this stretch. Arizona has scored 2 or fewer runs 8 times in their last 11. They do have a big name on the mound in Zack Greinke, but he's not been the same pitcher on the road as he has at home. Greinke has made 3 road starts and owns a 7.27 ERA and 1.443 WHIP. As for the Brewers, they are giving the rock to Chase Anderson, who will be returning from the DL after a stint with food poisoning. I think the time off was much needed and I like his chances of throwing it well in his first start back. Give me Milwaukee +103!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dennis Macklin

May 21 '18, 8:05 PM in 3h
MLB | NYY vs TEX
Play on: UNDER 9½ -105

DMack's Free Play for Monday, May 21, 2018 is on the Yankees/Rangers Under
The Yankees have been mashing but are not the same on the road as they are at Yankee Stadium. Tanaka was lit up a bit by Boston in his last start but two prior were very good. Go ahead and laugh at 40+year-old Bartolo Colon but "El Guapo" just keeps throwing strikes and is 2-1 with a 2.93 ERA for a very bad Ranger team. Yanks 9-7 to the under on the road this year and are 5-1 low as a road favorite at this price level this year. Play the Under.
The Mack Attack swept the board on Sunday and is locked and loaded with Celts/Cavs Game IV in Monday feature action.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Lundin

May 21 '18, 8:05 PM in 3h
MLB | Yankees vs Rangers
Play on: Rangers +1½ +100 at 5Dimes

#MLB FREE PICK FROM MIKE LUNDIN
The Rangers will be happy to get back home to Texas following a 3-6 road trip. They were shut out in a 3-0 loss to the White Sox in Chicago on Sunday, but I think they'll give the visiting Bronx Bombers all they can handle here with Bartolo Colon on the mound for the opener of a three-game series.
Colon (2-1, 2.82 ERA) is coming off 7 2/3 scoreless innings of four-hit ball at Seattle, his best performance of the season. His career numbers against the Yankees are not great, but we can note that Masahiro Tanaka (4-2, 4.73 ERA) is 0-2 with a 6.38 ERA in four career starts against Texas. He last faced the Rangers in an 11-5 loss on Sept. 8, 2017 in Arlington.
This game is the start of a seven-game, seven-day homestand for the Rangers, and I expect them to keep this a close game.
Free pick on Texas Rangers +1.5.