Monday 6-4-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Long Sheet

Monday, June 4

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (35 - 24) at SAN DIEGO (27 - 34) - 10:10 PM
JULIO TEHERAN (R) vs. CLAYTON RICHARD (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TEHERAN is 18-34 (-17.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN DIEGO is 72-84 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 35-23 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 19-12 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
ATLANTA is 9-3 (+7.9 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters this season.
ATLANTA is 42-44 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JULIO TEHERAN vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
TEHERAN is 4-2 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 3.76 and a WHIP of 1.044.
His team's record is 4-4 (-0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-4. (-0.4 units)

CLAYTON RICHARD vs. ATLANTA since 1997
RICHARD is 0-6 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 7.05 and a WHIP of 1.990.
His team's record is 0-6 (-6.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.4 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA (31 - 27) at SAN FRANCISCO (29 - 30) - 10:10 PM
ZACK GODLEY (R) vs. JEFF SAMARDZIJA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 209-159 (+40.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 1191-1046 (+80.2 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 578-398 (+74.5 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997.
ARIZONA is 125-99 (+19.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 62-42 (+18.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 88-67 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 74-50 (+21.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 93-128 (-33.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 62-89 (-31.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SAMARDZIJA is 30-43 (-20.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAMARDZIJA is 15-32 (-19.0 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997. (Team's Record)
SAMARDZIJA is 42-55 (-26.1 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
SAMARDZIJA is 8-14 (-11.9 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAMARDZIJA is 34-51 (-25.2 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
SAMARDZIJA is 10-27 (-18.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 4-2 (+1.4 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.9 Units)

ZACK GODLEY vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
GODLEY is 2-1 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.31 and a WHIP of 1.164.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)

JEFF SAMARDZIJA vs. ARIZONA since 1997
SAMARDZIJA is 3-4 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 4.14 and a WHIP of 1.290.
His team's record is 4-8 (-4.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-5. (+1.6 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS CITY (21 - 38) at LA ANGELS (32 - 28) - 10:05 PM
DANNY DUFFY (L) vs. NICK TROPEANO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 11-28 (-14.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
KANSAS CITY is 18-11 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 8-17 (-12.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
LA ANGELS are 14-18 (-8.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
LA ANGELS are 5-12 (-10.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
LA ANGELS are 9-17 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.1 Units)

DANNY DUFFY vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
DUFFY is 2-1 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.200.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.0 units)

NICK TROPEANO vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
TROPEANO is 1-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.3 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY YANKEES (37 - 17) at DETROIT (28 - 31) - 1:10 PM
LUIS SEVERINO (R) vs. DREW VERHAGEN (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against DETROIT this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

LUIS SEVERINO vs. DETROIT since 1997
SEVERINO is 2-1 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 2.70 and a WHIP of 1.440.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

DREW VERHAGEN vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY YANKEES (37 - 17) at DETROIT (28 - 31) - 7:10 PM
DOMINGO GERMAN (R) vs. MICHAEL FIERS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 19-13 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
DETROIT is 48-86 (-31.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 61-100 (-31.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against DETROIT this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

DOMINGO GERMAN vs. DETROIT since 1997
No recent starts.

MICHAEL FIERS vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
FIERS is 0-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 6.19 and a WHIP of 1.475.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-4. (-4.1 units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Dunkel

Monday, June 4


Atlanta @ San Diego

Game 951-952
June 4, 2018 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
(Teheran) 15.331
San Diego
(Richard) 13.971
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego
-115
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(-105); Under

Arizona @ San Francisco

Game 953-954
June 4, 2018 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
(Godley) 15.694
San Francisco
(Holland) 14.240
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
-115
8
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(-105); Under

Kansas City @ LA Angels

Game 955-956
June 4, 2018 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
(Duffy) 13.521
LA Angels
(Tropeano) 16.477
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Angels
by 3
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Angels
-185
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Angels
(-185); Over

NY Yankees @ Detroit

Game 957-958
June 4, 2018 @ 1:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Yankees
(Severino) 16.569
Detroit
(Verhagen) 14.983
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Yankees
by 1 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-265
9
Dunkel Pick:
NY Yankees
(-265); Over

NY Yankees @ Detroit

Game 959-960
June 4, 2018 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Yankees
(German) 14.772
Detroit
(Fiers) 16.602
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-200
10
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+170); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Monday, June 4


Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers

Streaking: Luis Severino, New York Yankees (8-1, 2.31 ERA, $1000)

The New York Yankees ace hurler is still in pole position on the Covers pitchers money list following his seven-inning, 11-strikeout performance against the Houston Astros. The Bronx Bombers are 11-1 in his 12 starts this season and 26-3 in his last 29 regular season outings dating back to last year.

He owns a 0.97 WHIP and opposing batters are hitting just .196 off the right-hander this season. He’s pitching the first game of the Yanks-Tigers doubleheader today and oddsmakers have New York set as -250 road chalk.

Slumping: Domingo German, New York Yankees (0-3, 5.45 ERA, -$62)

This 25-year-old is still looking for his first win as a starter for the Yankees this season. He has a high strikeout rate (10.83 per nine innings) but he’s gets into trouble by allowing too many baserunners (1.40 WHIP). He’s allowed at least four runs in each of his last three trips to the bump and the Yanks are 0-2 in his last two outings.

New York is a -200 favorite in Game 2 of the doubleheader against Detroit.

Monday’s Top Trends

*The Yankees are 12-4 in their last 16 road games.
*The Over is 4-0 in the last four games between the Yanks and Tigers.
*The Royals have lost 19 of their last 27 series openers.
*The Under is 5-0 in the Angels’ last five games.
*The Braves are 9-2 in their last 11 games against sub .500 teams.
*The Padres are 5-1 in their last six games.
*The Under is 5-0 in the Braves’ last five games.
*The Giants are 5-0 in their last four home games.

Weather Watch

The wind is blowing out at Detroit and San Francisco today.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL Stanley Cup Final Game 4 betting preview and odds: Golden Knights at Capitals

Vegas Golden Knights at Washington Capitals (-130, 5.5)

Caps lead series 2-1.

The Washington Capitals hope the momentum of their first-ever home win in the Stanley Cup Finals will go a long way toward recording another versus the Vegas Golden Knights in Game 4 on Monday, thereby bringing them one victory away from grabbing the chalice for the first time in franchise history. Three-time Hart Trophy winner Alex Ovechkin scored the signature diving goal in Saturday's 3-1 triumph, helping the Capitals claim a 2-1 edge in the series.

"I thought it was just sort of the right thing in our first victory in the Final at home that Alex would score the goal," coach Barry Trotz told reporters. "I thought that was a little bit of poetic justice, if you will, for all the tough times." Ovechkin matched a franchise high (John Druce) with his NHL high-tying 14th tally (Winnipeg's Mark Scheifele) to push his point total to 25 to reside two shy of fellow Russian Evgeny Kutznetsov, who rebounded from an upper-body injury in Wednesday's 3-2 win to score and set up a goal in Game 3. Tomas Nosek netted his fourth goal in five games on Saturday when he took advantage of Braden Holtby's misplay for the Golden Knights, who have dropped two in a row for the first time since the final two games of the regular season (April 5-7). "We had twice as much time off as they have in the playoffs. We should have a lot in the tank," Vegas defenseman Deryk Engelland told TSN. "I just think we're not playing our identity. We're trying to make too many plays.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, NBC, CBC, Sportsnet, TVA

SERIES PRICE (PER PINNACLE):



LINE HISTORY: The host Capitals opened as -125 favorites and as of Sunday night they are up slightly on the moneyline to -130. The total hit betting boards at 5.5 and has been steady.

CONSENSUS: Bettors are taking the road underdogs with 53 percent of wagers coming on the Knights. Users are also expecting high scoring game Monday with 65 percent of totals selections coming on the Over.

GOALIE SHOWDOWN (playoff stats only):
W L OTL GAA Save % SO
Marc-Andre Fleury 13 4 1 1.95 .937 4
Braden Holtby 14 7 2 2.13 .922 2

INJURY REPORT:

Golden Knights - LW William Carrier (Questionable, Upper Body), G Malcolm Subban (Questionable, Illness), D Clayton Stoner (Out Indefinitely, Abdominal).

Capitals - No injuries to report.

ABOUT THE GOLDEN KNIGHTS (64-28-5-3, 48-48 O/U): Shea Theodore has parlayed a solid season into a strong playoffs for Vegas, however his play in both Games 2 and 3 left a bit to be desired - and he knows it. "I just have to be much better than I was," said the 22-year-old defenseman, who saw his broken stick lead to Kuznetsov's goal at 12:50 of the second period while his botched clearing attempt resulted in fourth-liner Jay Beagle setting up Devante Smith-Pelly with 6:07 remaining in the third. Theodore also didn't do himself any favors by allowing Capitals defenseman Matt Niskanen to skate past him, resulting in Marc-Andre Fleury to be whistled for tripping to negate a Vegas power play in the latter stages of the second period.

ABOUT THE CAPITALS (63-32-8-1, 54-45 O/U): Beagle answered one assist in his previous eight games by setting up a pair of goals, including tapping the puck to Kuznetsov on a 2-on-1 rush. "(The assist isn't) as good as a goal, but I want it out of my hands when it's me and him, that's for sure," the 32-year-old Beagle said of Kutznetsov, who curiously referenced an NBA Hall of Famer in a nod to playing while at less than 100 percent. "It's emotional stuff. Like Michael Jordan, when he play(ed) his best game, he got hurt, got 53 points," the 26-year-old Kuznetsov told reporters, although it's not known which game he's referencing. "I mean like when you're hurt, you play a little better always."

MATCHUP CHART:



TRENDS:

* Golden Knights are 13-5 in their last 18 overall.
* Capitals are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. Western Conference.
* Under is 5-0-1 in Golden Knights' last 6 road games.
* Under is 14-3 in Capitals' last 17 vs. Pacific.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Dunkel

Monday, June 4


Vegas @ Washington

Game 7-8
June 4, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Vegas
13.239
Washington
15.190
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-125
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-125); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, June 4

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VEGAS (64-29-0-7, 135 pts.) at WASHINGTON (63-32-0-9, 135 pts.) - 6/4/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 64-41 ATS (+17.3 Units) in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 40-25 ATS (+2.8 Units) second half of the season this season.
WASHINGTON is 21-12 ATS (+6.6 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
WASHINGTON is 40-23 ATS (+13.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
WASHINGTON is 25-15 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
VEGAS is 65-36 ATS (+22.3 Units) in all games this season.
VEGAS is 15-8 ATS (+23.2 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
VEGAS is 16-6 ATS (+7.7 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
VEGAS is 12-3 ATS (+7.9 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game this season.
VEGAS is 38-20 ATS (+16.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
VEGAS is 24-14 ATS (+8.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
WASHINGTON is 8-15 ATS (+24.8 Units) in home games when leading in a playoff series since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
VEGAS is 3-2 (+0.7 Units) against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
VEGAS is 3-2-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.6 Units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Monday, June 4

Trend Report

Vegas Golden Knights
Vegas is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vegas's last 5 games
Vegas is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Vegas is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vegas's last 6 games on the road
Washington Capitals
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games
Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Washington is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games at home
Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home