Monday 6-18-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369837

    #16
    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mountaineer Park
    Mountaineer Park - Race 3

    $1 Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5) $.50 Trifecta $1 Exacta Box ($.20) Superfecta


    Maiden Special • 1 Mile 70 yards • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 60 • Purse: $14,100 • Post: 7:44P
    FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. (IF NECESSARY WILL BE RUN SAME DISTANCE MAIN TRACK.).
    Contenders

    Race Analysis
    P#
    Horse
    Morn
    Line

    Accept
    Odds


    Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * LITTLE PAISA: Today is a horse's first or second race on turf, and turf starters from thi s sire have a win percentage of at least 15 (minimum of 50 starts). Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. SCIENCE TO WIN: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating.
    3
    LITTLE PAISA
    8/1

    5/2
    6
    SCIENCE TO WIN
    6/1

    6/1




    P#

    Horse (In Running Style Order)

    Post

    Morn
    Line

    Running Style

    Good
    Class

    Good
    Speed

    Early Figure

    Finish Figure

    Platinum
    Figure
    7
    EL CUPIDO
    7

    6/1
    Front-runner
    0

    0

    75.8

    38.9

    29.9
    6
    SCIENCE TO WIN
    6

    6/1
    Alternator/Front-runner
    61

    52

    76.4

    56.2

    50.2
    10
    EYE LIKE ROOSTER
    10

    5/1
    Alternator/Stalker
    52

    41

    54.3

    54.3

    41.8
    9
    Z MARDI GRAS
    9

    8/1
    Alternator/Stalker
    50

    56

    53.1

    9.5

    0.0
    1
    MAX'S LAST
    1

    6/1
    Alternator/Stalker
    0

    0

    52.3

    42.7

    33.7
    4
    SENOR WILBUR
    4

    10/1
    Trailer
    66

    59

    60.6

    43.8

    33.3
    3
    LITTLE PAISA
    3

    8/1
    Alternator/Trailer
    75

    65

    65.4

    56.9

    53.9
    2
    VINNY BAG O DONUTS
    2

    15/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    55

    48

    40.8

    36.5

    21.5
    8
    WILDWOODSIMMARD
    8

    3/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    0

    0

    0.0

    0.0

    0.0








    Unknown Running Style: ZY (12/1) [Jockey: Rocha Wladimir - Trainer: Pearson Michael A].
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369837

      #17
      Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

      Bar

      Parx Racing - Race #4 - Post: 2:16pm - Maiden Special - 7.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $45,000 Class Rating: 67

      Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

      #2 GOODNIGHT MOON (ML=6/1)
      #7 BERBERSLILBRIEBRIE (ML=5/1)


      GOODNIGHT MOON - Sneaky speed on this one. She'll probably be stalking horses on the back side, then crush them down the stretch. Trainer, Merryman, has been deliberate with this filly off the layoff. Look for a solid effort today. Took a significant drop in class rating last time around the track at Parx Racing. Returning to a similar level right here. Should perform well in this race. BERBERSLILBRIEBRIE - Finished out of the money last out at Parx Racing, but was within five lengths of the winner. Opening at 5/1 makes me think she's got a chance. This is this filly's first try on the turf. Ran well finishing second on March 30th. The track was slow that day, so I think this animal will take to the turf. Ran a lackluster race at Parx Racing last out. Racing on a fast track puts this filly at the top of my list of contenders.

      Vulnerable Contenders: #3 BEACH DIVA (ML=2/1), #8 MUTABAAHYIA (ML=7/2),

      BEACH DIVA - Trying to beat this entrant this time at the value of 2/1. MUTABAAHYIA - Just don't think she is worth it at the likely odds.



      STRAIGHT WAGERS:
      #2 GOODNIGHT MOON is going to be the play if we are getting 7/5 or better

      EXACTA WAGERS:
      Box [2,7]

      TRIFECTA WAGERS:
      2 with 7 with [3,5,9] Total Cost: $3

      SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
      Pass
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369837

        #18
        Info Plays

        Jun 18 '18, 8:40 PM in 7h
        MLB | Mets vs Rockies
        Play on: Rockies +121 at 5Dimes

        1* Free Play on Rockies +121
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369837

          #19
          Cole Faxon

          Jun 18 '18, 10:05 PM in 8h
          MLB | Diamondbacks vs Angels
          Play on: Diamondbacks +111 at YouWager

          FREE PLAY on Diamondbacks +111
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369837

            #20
            Bobby Conn

            Jun 18 '18, 10:05 PM in 8h
            MLB | Diamondbacks vs Angels
            Play on: Diamondbacks +111 at YouWager

            1* Free Play on Diamondbacks +111
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369837

              #21
              Jimmy Boyd

              Jun 18 '18, 7:10 PM in 6h
              MLB | White Sox vs Indians
              Play on: Indians -250 at betonline

              Free Pick on Cleveland Indians -
              I got no problem playing Cleveland as a a massive home favorite against the White Sox. The Indians are going to be extremely motivated in the series opener against Chicago after losing 2 of 3 to the Twins at home over the weekend. Cleveland did manage to win the finale over Minnesota on Sunday, so they got some momentum and will be facing a White Sox team that has lost 4 straight.
              Even after losing 2 of 3 to the Twins, the Indians are still 21-13 at home, where they are averaging 5.6 runs/game. With Trevor Bauer on the mound, I'm confident Cleveland can outscore Chicago. Bauer has a 2.69 ERA and 1.121 WHIP in 14 starts. He comes in having struck out 10+ batters in each of his last 4 starts. In his last 3 starts against the White Sox, he's struck out 28 hitters in 20 innings of work. He also gave up 4 or fewer hits in each start. Take Cleveland!
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369837

                #22
                Jack Jones

                Jun 18 '18, 8:15 PM in 7h
                MLB | Rangers vs Royals
                Play on: Royals +105 at MyBookie

                Jack’s Free Pick Monday: Kansas City Royals +105
                It’s not often I’m looking to back the Kansas City Royals. But they’re up against another last-place team in the Texas Rangers tonight and I like the value we are getting with them as home underdogs in Game 1 of this series.
                Ian Kennedy has posted a respectable 4.40 ERA in eight home starts this season. Kennedy has posted a 3.59 ERA and 1.219 WHIP in seven career starts against the Rangers as well.
                Bartolo Colon has come back down to reality of late. He is 1-3 with a 9.51 ERA in his last five starts, giving up 25 earned runs in 23 2/3 innings. Colon is also 0-1 with a 9.34 ERA in his last two starts against the Royals, allowing 9 earned runs in 8 2/3 innings.
                Texas is 8-25 in road games vs. AL teams who score 3.9 or fewer runs per game over the last three seasons. The Rangers are 5-21 in their last 26 during Game 1 of a series. Texas is 10-25 in its last 35 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Bet the Royals Monday.
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369837

                  #23
                  Totals Guru

                  Jun 18 '18, 10:15 PM in 9h
                  MLB | MIA vs SFO
                  Play on: UNDER 7½ -118

                  Free Total Annihilator On Marlins vs Giants under 7½ -118
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369837

                    #24
                    Sal Michaels

                    Jun 18 '18, 10:05 PM in 8h
                    MLB | ARI vs LAA
                    Play on: UNDER 7½ -114

                    Free Play on Diamondbacks vs Angels under 7½ -114
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369837

                      #25
                      Kenny Walker

                      Jun 18 '18, 10:15 PM in 9h
                      MLB | Marlins vs Giants
                      Play on: Giants -146 at BMaker

                      Free Pick on Giants
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369837

                        #26
                        Dustin Hawkins

                        Jun 18 '18, 7:05 PM in 5h
                        MLB | Yankees vs Nationals
                        Play on: Nationals +121 at BMaker

                        Free Play on Nationals +121
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369837

                          #27
                          Mark Wilson

                          Jun 18 '18, 8:40 PM in 7h
                          MLB | NYM vs COL
                          Play on: OVER 9½ +100

                          Free Play on Mets vs Rockies over 9½ +100
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369837

                            #28
                            Marc Lawrence

                            Jun 18 '18, 8:15 PM in 7h
                            MLB | Rangers vs Royals
                            Play on: Rangers -100 at pinnacle

                            Play - Texas Rangers vs Kennedy (Game 965).
                            Edges - Rangers: 14-3 L17 games in this series … Royals: 1-7 Mondays this season; and Kennedy 1-6 career team starts versus Rangers. With that we recommend a 1* play on Texas. Thank you and good luck as always.
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369837

                              #29
                              Larry Ness

                              Jun 18 '18, 8:15 PM in 7h
                              MLB | Rangers vs Royals
                              Play on: Royals -108 at 5Dimes

                              My free play is on the KC Royals at 8:15 ET. The Kansas City Royals had the bad luck to run into the defending champion Houston Astros over the weekend and were outscored 24-9 in getting swept in a three-game series. The 22-49 Royals sit in last place in the AL Central, as they get set to host the Texas Rangers on Monday in the opener of a three-game series. KC will be looking to snap a six-game slide and enter this contest a woeful 2-13 in June. The Royals' pitching staff has given up at least seven runs in each of the last four games and leads the majors in runs allowed (398) while owning the worst team ERA (5.37). The 29-44 Rangers are only slightly better than the Royals (Texas is also a last place team in the AL West) and enter with losses in seven of their last nine games (did win Sat & Sun against Colorado, ending a seven-game slide!). The Texas pitching staff owns a 4.92 ERA, which ranks 28th of 30 teams.
                              Bartolo Colon (3-4, 4.94 ERA) will take the mound for Texas and Ian Kennedy (1-6, 5.13 ERA) will get the nod for Kansas City. The ageless veteran Colon was hammered last time out in LA by the Dodgers, allowing eight runs on nine hits and a walk over 3 1/3 innings to suffer a 12-5 loss. The 45-year-old has been reached for at least six ERs in three of his last five outings and has served up 19 HRs in 74 2/3 innings in 2018. Colon posted a quality start against the Royals on May 26, yielding three runs on five hits and a pair of walks across seven innings without factoring in the decision (Texas won 4-3). He is 15-11 with a 5.00 ERA in 32 career games (31 starts) against the Royals.
                              Ian Kennedy is off his best start of the season this past Tuesday against Cincinnati, pitching eight scoreless innings. However, he could not get enough run support to earn the win, as KC lost 5-1 in 10 innings. Kennedy comes into this contest winless over his last 12 starts (KC is 2-10). Kennedy went up against Colon on May 26 and was also left out of the decision while allowing two runs on five hits and three walks over five innings in that 4-3 loss. Kennedy is 0-3 with a 4.40 ERA in seven career starts against Texas.
                              Pick your poison in this one. Colon owns a 9.51 ERA in his past five starts with opponents hitting .336 against him with a .710 slugging percentage. His season ERA has ballooned from 2.82 to 4.94 during that span while the season opponent's batting average climbed from .212 to .258 in that stretch. Then there is Kennedy, who is winless in his last 12 starts, going 0-6 with a 5.98 ERA since his last win on April 7 (Royals are 2-10). Yes, the Royals are are 10-26 at Kauffman Stadium, the worst home record in the majors. However, Texas is no better than a struggling last-place team (already 19 games out in the AL West), which over-performed yesterday in a 13-12 win over Colorado (the Rangers scored four runs in the ninth to steal the win!). Back to reality here and note that Kennedy comes in having allowed just one run over his last two starts (13 innings / 0.69 ERA). Take KC.
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 369837

                                #30
                                Brandon Lee

                                Jun 18 '18, 8:40 PM in 7h
                                MLB | Mets vs Rockies
                                Play on: Mets -117 at 5Dimes

                                10* FREE MLB PICK (Mets -117)
                                I'll take my chances here with the Mets going into Colorado and taking the series opener behind ace Jacob deGrom. New York finally has some positive vibes after taking the final two games at Arizona, including a 4-run rally in the 9th to take the finale 5-3. The Mets have scored as many runs in their last 2 games as they had in their previous 5 games. I think there's a good chance the offense carries over that momentum to hitter-friendly Coors Field. Colorado will send out Tyler Anderson, who has a 5.14 ERA and 1.536 WHIP over 5 home starts. As for deGrom, the guys been one of the best pitchers in the game to start 2018. He's got a 1.55 ERA and 1.008 WHIP in 14 starts. He's allowed a whopping 15 earned runs in 87 1/3 innings of work. It's also worth noting that while New York is riding a high after their comeback win, Colorado is riding a low after they gave up 4 runs in the bottom of the 9th to lose 13-12 at Texas on Sunday. Give me the Mets -117!
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