Wednesday 6-20-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Belmont Park

RACE #7 - BELMONT PARK - 4:41 PM EASTERN POST
7.0 FURLONGS TURF THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD $35,000.00 CLAIMING $42,000.00 PURSE

#3 BELGIAN
#1A MAY BE A DIAMOND / #1 LIGHT THE VOW
#4 MONGO NATION
#5 BASELINE

#3 BELGIAN will enjoy a considerable speed advantage on this field this afternoon, and has produced a quartet of "POWER RUNS" in his last five starts, hitting the board in three of those "adventures," including a "POWER RUN WIN" in his 4th race back. The 12-1 BOMB, #1A MAY BE A DIAMOND has hit the board in three of his last four starts, with two of those efforts, including a win in his 2nd race back, also qualifying as "POWER RUNS." His stablemate, #1 LIGHT THE VOW, is the overall pace profile leader in this field sprinting at today's "specialized distance" of 7.0 furlongs on the turf.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Belmont Park

06/20/18, BEL, Race 2, 2.04 ET
1M [Turf] 1.31.01 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $55,000.
(UP TO $9,900 NYSBFOA) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN OR CLAIMING
Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (2-4) - Pick 4 (.50) Races (2-5), Double
Best in race - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Top Horse Win Percent 29.29, $1 ROI 1.01, For Race Category Non-Maiden Turf
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer FLAGS
100.0000 2 Acorn Street 5-1 Saez L Cox Brad H. TW
097.6604 7 Hoponthebusgus 6/5 Franco M Rodriguez Rudy R. SE
095.8490 8 Hope's Roar 3-1 Ortiz. Jr. I Abreu Jorge R. J
093.9984 4 Miss Munnings 7/2 Arroyo A S Kimmel John C. C
093.6888 1 Transaction Tax 10-1 Alvarado J Contessa Gary C. L
092.3194 5 Tiz Priceless 8-1 Cohen D Kimmel John C.
091.3945 6 Woundwithhereyes 4-1 Fragoso P Ferraro James W.
089.4458 3 Say Cin Cin 5/2 Rider TBA Adsit Abigail C.
If Race Is Off Turf
Top Horse Win Percent 32.50, $1 ROI 1.04, For Race Category Non-Maiden Dirt
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer FLAGS
100.0000 2 Acorn Street 5-1 Saez L Cox Brad H. TW
097.2219 8 Hope's Roar 3-1 Ortiz. Jr. I Abreu Jorge R. JF
097.1347 7 Hoponthebusgus 6/5 Franco M Rodriguez Rudy R. S
096.7639 1 Transaction Tax 10-1 Alvarado J Contessa Gary C. L
096.6462 4 Miss Munnings 7/2 Arroyo A S Kimmel John C. EC
094.0678 5 Tiz Priceless 8-1 Cohen D Kimmel John C.
093.5535 6 Woundwithhereyes 4-1 Fragoso P Ferraro James W.
092.2178 3 Say Cin Cin 5/2 Rider TBA Adsit Abigail C.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Delaware Park - Race #3 - Post: 2:15pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 81

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#1 COLOR ME SEXY (ML=4/1)


COLOR ME SEXY - That last work tells me this mare is set for a top effort. This jockey/trainer duo has been producing a very profitable ROI, right at +240. Speed is always important in horse racing, but the lone speed horse is always dangerous. This front running sort is running a shorter distance today. Should help her winning probability. I think this mare is coming into top form.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 EVEN BETTE (ML=2/1), #4 BIG MOMMA (ML=3/1), #2 OUR PRINCESS BELLE (ML=6/1),

EVEN BETTE - This mare hasn't had any recent favorable outcomes in short distance affairs. Difficult to play her in this event. Mediocre speed figure last out at Parx Racing at 6 furlongs. Don't believe this less than sharp equine will improve too much in today's race. BIG MOMMA - Probably won't make much of a mark today. OUR PRINCESS BELLE - Hard to bet on any mount to turn things around if there is no reward to taking the risk. This mare hasn't had any on the board results in short distance contests in the last sixty days.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - COLOR ME SEXY - Racing pattern would suggest this horse is fit for today's race. Should do well.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #1 COLOR ME SEXY to win if you can get odds of 1/1 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Pass

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Evangeline Downs
Evangeline Downs - Race 1

Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3) Pick 4 (Races 1-2-3-4)


Maiden Special • 5 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 74 • Purse: $21,000 • Post: 5:50P
(RAIL AT 20 FEET). FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. (PREFERENCE TO HORSES THAT HAVE NOT STARTED FOR LESS $20,000).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Lone Front-runner. BLACK JUSTICE is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * BLACK JUSTICE: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. To day is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs. HALF OF TIP TAP: Today is a horse's first or second race on turf, and turf starters from this sire have a win percentage of at least 15 (minimum of 50 starts). Horse has the highest averag e Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
2
BLACK JUSTICE
3/1

2/1
6
HALF OF TIP TAP
5/2

5/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
2
BLACK JUSTICE
2

3/1
Front-runner
74

68

68.0

66.4

61.9
4
NOBIZ WIND
4

12/1
Alternator/Stalker
0

0

128.0

52.1

46.1
6
HALF OF TIP TAP
6

5/2
Alternator/Stalker
69

58

82.5

63.5

58.0
8
D'ROCK
8

9/2
Alternator/Trailer
62

58

33.6

59.6

55.1
7
NIAGARA STORM
7

5/1
Alternator/Non-contender
53

38

57.8

44.6

35.6








Unknown Running Style: KINGSTON STREET (6/1) [Jockey: Inirio Junior - Trainer: Meza Martin M], REMEMBER ME POP (20/1) [Jockey: Louviere Wyatt - Trainer: Toups Brent], CUSTOM CHROME (6/1) [Jockey: Batista Alexis X - Trainer: Bruno Roland L].

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Finger Lakes
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $9000 Class Rating: 55

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES IN 2017-2018. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 4 ROSE OF SICILY 8/5

# 6 FROSTY ZEN 5/2

# 3 LITTLE NELL 4/1

I think ROSE OF SICILY is a quite good choice. Should best this group of animals here, showing quite good figs of late. Is a solid choice - given the 60 speed rating from her most recent race. Strong average speed figures in dirt sprint races make this animal a solid choice. FROSTY ZEN - Has run solidly when racing a dirt sprint race. Could beat this group given the 52 Equibase Speed Fig put up in her last outing. LITTLE NELL - McCabe is serious with this one, wheeling her back in next to no time. Had one of the top Speed Figures of this group in her last race.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fair Meadows
Fair Meadows - Race 8

Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 8-9-10)


Claiming $5,000 • 300 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 69 • Purse: $6,000 • Post: 7:55P
QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * SWEET AT THE WIRE: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. BIGTIME GUNS: Quarter horse has the highes t last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. SFS MISS MAESTRO: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Horse's average w inning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). QUICK CROWN ROYAL: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
6
SWEET AT THE WIRE
3/1

9/2
10
BIGTIME GUNS
7/2

5/1
7
SFS MISS MAESTRO
10/1

9/1
5
QUICK CROWN ROYAL
6/1

10/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
1
FEDERICKO1
1

15/1
Average
71

62

5.9

0.0

0.0
2
GIANT COURAGE
2

20/1
Slow
67

60

6.2

0.0

0.0
3
UNCLE GUS BOSS
3

10/1
Average
64

62

5.6

0.0

0.0
4
JESSATACTHISCORONA
4

5/1
Slow
68

62

8.4

0.0

0.0
5
QUICK CROWN ROYAL
5

6/1
Average
65

64

5.0

0.0

0.0
6
SWEET AT THE WIRE
6

3/1
Average
74

73

4.5

0.0

0.0
7
SFS MISS MAESTRO
7

10/1
Fast
73

60

3.3

0.0

0.0
8
LOOSE WHEEL
8

8/1
Average
61

61

4.8

0.0

0.0
9
DR LICKETY SPLIT
9

15/1
Average
61

58

4.3

0.0

0.0
10
BIGTIME GUNS
10

7/2
Slow
69

75

6.1

0.0

0.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Indiana Downs
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight - 7.5f on the Turf. Purse: $31000 Class Rating: 58

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 118 LBS. IF THIS RACE IS TAKEN OFF THE TURF, IT WILL BE RUN AT 1 MILE ON THE MAIN TRACK.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 4 PRINCESA BLANCA 7/2

# 3 LUCKY GIRASOL 4/1

# 5 TWO WAY ROAD 9/5

PRINCESA BLANCA appears to be the bet in here. Has to be given consideration here on the basis of the figures in the speed section alone. Could beat this field given the 52 speed figure put up in her last outing. This lot is much softer than the last one she ran against. LUCKY GIRASOL - A solid 79 avg Equibase class figure may give this filly a distinct class edge against this field. Could provide positive returns based on quite good recent Equibase Speed Figures with an average of 51. TWO WAY ROAD - This field of horses is much softer than the last one she was up against. This filly could improve with second time Lasix.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Presque Isle Downs - Race #8 - Post: 8:20pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 65

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#3 ARGENTUM PUTEUS (ML=8/1)
#8 FIRST AND GOAL (ML=4/1)


ARGENTUM PUTEUS - Have to like the early speed on this one. No one else may even be close. Dominguez rode this thoroughbred for the initial time last time out and comes right back this race. Entered last at Presque Isle Downs in a race with a class rating of 77. Dropping significantly in Equibase class figure this time out puts him in a solid position right here. FIRST AND GOAL -

Vulnerable Contenders: #1A KIOWA CAN (ML=3/1), #1 WAR OR PEACE (ML=3/1), #2 KING MING (ML=9/2),

KIOWA CAN - This horse hasn't shown too much in the last pair of races. WAR OR PEACE - This favorite may be out of form without any recent works. This colt finished out of the money on May 14th and wasn't even close last time around the track either. KING MING - I'd like to see more conducive recent showings with morning line odds of 9/2. The rating in the last race doesn't fit very well in this race when I look at the class rating of today's race. Mark this entrant as a possibly overvalued equine.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - FIRST AND GOAL - I start with the classiest thoroughbred in the field then work my way down. This one's got the top earnings per start. No need to look further.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #3 ARGENTUM PUTEUS to win if you can get odds of 5/2 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,8]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd

Jun 20 '18, 3:45 PM in 6h
MLB | MIA vs SFO
Play on: UNDER 8 -110

Free pick on Marlins UNDER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones

Jun 20 '18, 7:05 PM in 9h
MLB | Mariners vs Yankees
Play on: Mariners +179 at 5Dimes

Jack’s Free Pick Wednesday: Seattle Mariners +179
The Seattle Mariners suffered a rare loss last night to the Yankees. They will be highly motivated to bounce back wth a victory in Game 2 tonight, and I love the value we are getting with them here.
Felix Hernandez has returned to form of late and just has a knack for shutting down the Yankees. In fact, Hernandez has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in eight of his last nine starts against the Yankees, including one run or fewer in six of those.
I think the oddsmakers are giving Jonathan Loaisga too much respect here tonight. He has only made one start this season and it came against the light-hitting Rays. He will face a much stiffer test here against the Mariners, who are 46-27 on the season.
The Mariners are 20-6 in their last 26 vs. a right-handed starter. Seattle is 35-17 in its last 52 games overall. The Mariners are 8-3 in Hernandez’s last 11 road starts. Bet the Mariners Wednesday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sal Michaels

Jun 20 '18, 2:20 PM in 4h
MLB | Dodgers vs Cubs
Play on: Dodgers +111 at betonline

Free Play on Dodgers +111

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dustin Hawkins

Jun 20 '18, 12:35 PM in 3h
MLB | Tigers vs Reds
Play on: Reds -115 at Bovada

Free Play on Reds -115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Price

Jun 20 '18, 12:35 PM in 3h
MLB | Braves vs Blue Jays
Play on: Braves +134 at BMaker

Dave’s Wednesday Free Play:
1* on Atlanta Braves +134
The Key: I like the price we are getting with the Atlanta Braves as road underdogs to the Toronto Blue Jays today. Anibal Sanchez has resurrected his career in Atlanta this season. He has gone 3-0 with a 1.93 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in 6 starts. The Braves are 5-0 in Sanchez’s last 5 starts. Atlanta is 6-0 in its last 6 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record. The Braves are 6-1 in their last 7 games overall. The Blue Jays are 0-4 in their last 4 home meetings with the Braves. Take Atlanta.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc Lawrence

Jun 20 '18, 8:10 PM in 10h
MLB | Rays vs Astros
Play on: Rays +231 at BMaker

Play - Tampa Bay Rays w/Eovaldi vs Morton (Game 965).
Edges - Rays: Eovaldi 4-0 career team starts vs Houston … Astros: Morton 6.00 ERA last three starts… With Eovaldi owning 16 Ks and 3 BBs in this three starts this season, we jump on this big ugly dog and recommend a 1* play on Tampa Bay. Thank you and good luck as always.