Thursday 6-28-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Doug Upstone

Jun 28 '18, 3:45 PM in 2h
MLB | COL vs SFO
Play on: OVER 7½ +104

On Thursday afternoon, Play Over on Thursday road teams when the total is 7 to 8.5 like COLORADO, a marginal losing team (46% to 49%), playing a winning team. Most of the time this is to close out a series like this one and the Over is 44-16 the last five years.

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Kenny Walker

Jun 28 '18, 3:05 PM in 1h
MLB | Mariners vs Orioles
Play on: Orioles +150 at MyBookie

Free Pick on Orioles

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Brad Diamond

Jun 28 '18, 7:05 PM in 5h
MLB | Nationals vs Phillies
Play on: Phillies -132 at 5Dimes

FREE SELECTION:
PHILADELPHIA (NOLA) OVER WASHINGTON (ROARK)

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Steve Janus

Jun 28 '18, 7:10 PM in 5h
MLB | Brewers vs Reds
Play on: Reds -101 at betonline

1* Free Sharp Play on Reds -101
My money is on Cincinnati to stay hot and cash in a winning ticket at home against the Brewers on Thursday. The Reds have come out of nowhere to go 9-1 over their last 10 games. They are getting decent pitching during this run, but it's been the offense that has been the difference. Cincinnati has scored at least 4 runs in all 10 games and have hit at least 6 runs in 8 of the 10. I look for the offense to keep rolling here against Brewers' starter Junior Guerra, while Cincinnati starter Anthony Desclafani stays hot and keeps Milwaukee's offense in check. Bet the Reds -101!

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Dustin Hawkins

Jun 28 '18, 9:00 PM in 7h
CFL | Ottawa vs Calgary
Play on: Ottawa +8 -110 at BMaker

Free Play on Ottawa +8 -110

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Dave Price

Jun 28 '18, 3:45 PM in 2h
MLB | COL vs SFO
Play on: OVER 7½ -115

Dave’s Thursday Free Play:
1* on Rockies/Giants OVER 7.5
The Key: Expect plenty of runs in this game between the Rockies and Giants to get OVER the 7.5-run total today. Neither starter has been very good this season. Jon Gray is 7-7 with a 5.42 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in 16 starts. Chris Stratton is 4-2 with a 5.08 ERA and 1.77 WHIP in 8 home starts. Gray is 0-2 with a 5.24 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts vs. San Francisco. Stratton is 1-0 with a 6.00 ERA and 2.33 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts vs. Colorado. The OVER is 19-6-2 in Rockies last 27 overall. The OVER is 4-0-1 in Gray’s last 5 starts. The OVER is 5-1 in Stratton’s last 6 home starts. Take the OVER.

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Frank Sawyer

Jun 28 '18, 2:00 PM in 27m
Soccer | Tunisia vs Panama
Play on: Panama 0¾ -121 at betonline

Take Panama plus the +0.5 Goal-Line versus Tunisia. It might be tempting to take Tunisia (0-0-2) in this match given their fine showing in their first match of this tournament in their narrow 2-1 loss to England where they endured a heartbreaking second goal in the second-half stoppage time. But the Eagles of Carthage have not won a match in a World Cup in forty years. Tunisia is 0-4-9 in their last thirteen World Cup matches going back to 1978. And this team is loaded with injuries which severely impacted their defense in their 5-2 loss to Belgium on Saturday. Panama is looking for their first ever World Cup victory as debutantes in this tournament — so they will be playing this match with maximum effort. The Canal Men are an experienced and physical side that will be tougher in this match than they have appeared in this difficult group featuring England and Belgium. The value is with the underdogs — take Panama plus the +0.5 Goal-Line. Best of luck — Frank.

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Red Dog Sports

Jun 28 '18, 2:00 PM in 27m
Soccer | Belgium vs England
Play on: Draw +215 at YouWager

Draw +215
Our free soccer play for Thursday takes place in the World Cup. Take the draw between England and Belgium.
ENG 1
BEL 1

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Scott Rickenbach

Jun 28 '18, 2:10 PM in 37m
MLB | MIN vs CWS
Play on: OVER 9 -109

Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach MLB Game #963 Thursday Free Pick OVER the total in Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins @ 2:10 ET - These two lineups are very familiar with the pitchers they'll be facing here. Not only did they face them last summer, they've already faced them twice so far this season! Chicago's Lucas Giolito is off of one of his better starts. However, he still allowed 4 earned runs in that outing and the White Sox right-hander has a 9.91 ERA at home this season! As for the Twins Jake Odorizzi, he has an ugly 9.25 ERA in his last 3 starts. Yesterday's game stayed under the total but the White Sox have averaged scoring 7.2 runs per game their last 5 games. Also, prior to that under, Chicago was 7-0 to the over in their 7 prior games. As for the Twins, they had averaged scoring 5 runs per game in their 4 road games prior to getting shut down last night. They'll bounce back against Giolioto but look for Odorizzi to also get rocked here. Minnesota has not recorded back to back unders in the past two weeks and I don't expect that trend to change here. This should be a back and forth slugfest Thursday afternoon. Free Pick OVER the total in the Chicago White Sox game

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Doc's Sports

Jun 28 '18, 7:10 PM in 5h
MLB | Brewers vs Reds
Play on: Reds -103 at 5Dimes

Free MLB Baseball Prediction From Doc’s Sports :
Take Cincinnati over Milwaukee (7 p.m., Thursday, June 28)
You are going to great value with the Reds on Thursday Night behind Desclafani. The Reds have been able to score their fair share of runs at home, and they get a good arm behind them at home on Friday Night with Desclafani winning his last 3 starts, including holding the Cubs to 2 runs and 3 hits in 6.1 innings in his last game (11-2 Win for Reds) and he held the Pirates to 2 runs in nearly 6 innings and beat the Cards 6-3 as well. The Reds have won 4 of his last 5 starts and this will be a good public fade as the Brewers offense continues to struggle and with Desclafani having already beaten some of the elite teams in the National League. We like him to keep rolling against Junior Guerra, who the Brewers have lost 3 of his last four Starts.

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ASA

Jun 28 '18, 3:05 PM in 1h
MLB | SEA vs BAL
Play on: OVER 9½ -131

ASA FREE PLAY on OVER: Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners, Thursday at 3:05 PM ET

Yesterday's game was a wild one that totaled 15 runs. We expect another one here. While the Mariners Mike Leake is off of a strong start, he is not a strikeout pitcher. In his 3 prior starts he had struck out a total of only 8 in 20 innings. The reason that is important here is because the Orioles are known for being an aggressive lineup at the plate and being free swingers. However, facing a non-strikeout pitcher generally means more contact for the O's and when Baltimore's hitters are making contact they certainly are quite dangerous. The Orioles have averaged 5.2 runs and 10 hits per game their last 5 home games. The over is 4-1 in the Orioles last 5 games versus a right-handed starter not named Max Scherzer (he shuts most everyone down). The Mariners enter this game having averaged scoring 5.5 runs per game their last 6 games. Seattle has been swinging the bats very well and they've averaged 10 hits per game their last 8 games. They'll take advantage of Orioles starter Jimmy Yacabonis. At the big league level, Yacabonis struggles with allowing too many walks. Look for him to again struggle with command here and the Mariners will take advantage. FREE PLAY: Bet OVER in Baltimore in afternoon action Thursday!

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Ross Benjamin

Jun 28 '18, 7:05 PM in 5h
MLB | Nationals vs Phillies
Play on: Phillies -126 at YouWager

Washington (Roark) @ Philadelphia (Nola) 7:05 PM ET
Game# 957-958
Play On: Philadelphia -126
Washington is a dismal 4-11 in their last 15 games and that includes 1-7 during their previous 8 on the road. Tanner Roark has been terrible during his last 3 starts while posting a large 8.16 ERA and 2.02 WHIP. Roark has been unimpressive in his 2 starts against Philadelphia this season and that’s proven by a 7.59 ERA during those appearances. Despite his recent struggles, Roark has a very respectable 1.22 WHIP during 15 starts in 2018. However, Philadelphia is an extremely profitable 16-4 this year when facing a National League starting pitcher with a season WHIP of 1.25 or less.
The Phillies are 7-0 at home this year when Aaron Nola is their starting pitcher, and their right-handed hurler’s 1.86 ERA throughout those outings has been a major reason for those successes. Nola will be facing a Washington lineup which has averaged a mere 2.4 runs scored per game thru its last 7 times out. Bet on Philadelphia as a money line wager for my Thursday 6/28 MLB free pick of the day.

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Larry Ness

Jun 28 '18, 7:10 PM in 5h
MLB | Brewers vs Reds
Play on: Brewers -105 at BMaker

My free play is on the Mil Brewers at 7:10 ET. The 34-46 Cincinnati Reds are in last place in the NL Central, 12 1/2 games back of the first-place Milwaukee Brewers. However, the Reds improved to 9-1 in their last 10 games by rallying for a 6-5 win at NL East-leading Atlanta on Wednesday, the team's their fifth come-from-behind victory in that span. The Reds welcome the Brewers to Cincinnati tonight, as the division rivals begin a four-games series. Milwaukee has lost three of four after splitting a two-game interleague series against Kansas City (enter having also lost six of its last 10 games) but the Brewers have won five straight in the series, including a three-game sweep at Cincinnati from April 30-May 2.
Taking the mound in tonight's series opener will be Milwaukee's Junior Guerra (3-5, 2.82 ERA), opposed by Cincy's Anthony DeSclafani (3-1, 4.09 ERA. Guerra did not factor in the decision against St. Louis on Friday, extending his winless drought to seven starts despite striking out seven and giving up just one run on three hits over five-plus innings. Guerra is 0-2 in his last seven starts, with Milwaukee going 3-4. Guerra is 1-1 with a 4.76 ERA against Cincinnati in five games (including four starts) in his career.
DeSclafani enters having won his last three starts, after holding the Cubs to two runs on three hits over a season-high 6 1/3 innings in his last outing, while also helping himself by belting a grand slam. He also gave up two runs on three hits in his previous start at Pittsburgh, with all four runs in the past two starts coming via solo homers. DeSclafani is 2-2 with a 4.15 ERA in five appearances (four starts) versus the Brewers.
Yes, the Reds are the hotter team but the Brewers are easily the better team and while Guerra's record doesn't show it, he enters this contest having gone eighth consecutive starts in which he has not allowed more than three runs (2.62 ERA in that span). Guerra blanked the Reds on one hit over 5 2/3 innings in a no-decision back on April 17, a game the Brewers won 2-0. I'll take the first-place club over the last-place one.
Good luck...Larry

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