1-4-08

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  • Mr. IWS
    215 Hustler
    • Sep 2006
    • 100257

    #1

    1-4-08

    Steven Budin-CEO

    SUNDAY'S PICK
    50 DIME



    PHILADELPHIA



    Note From Steve Budin:



    Philadelphia is a solid -3 as this play is released.



    If you have Philadelphia -3, I suggest you buy down the 1/2 point to -2 1/2 so you get the win should Philadelphia win by three.



    If for some reason you get Philadelphia at -3 1/2 - even after shopping around - buy down the 1/2 point to -3 so you get the push should Philadelphia only prevail by a field goal.



    Take it from a former bookmaker and the guy who fathered the offshore sportsbook industry that too many gamblers and handicappers needlessly buy half points on all types of numbers. But the ONLY number that matters from a bookmaker's perspective is 3 because of overtime and that's why its the only number they (bookmakers) charge the extra juice for. Once again, we're using the power of money - our bulging bankroll - against the bookmaker in this case.



    Why not buy a little extra insurance at a few cents on the dollar to protect your investment? As CEO of a multi-million dollar company I can tell you it's the right move, just like I knew it was the right move when as a bookmaker I saw smart players doing the same thing when the opportunity presented itself.
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  • Mr. IWS
    215 Hustler
    • Sep 2006
    • 100257

    #2
    Re: 1-4-08

    Docs Sports

    4 Unit Play. #42 Take Philadelphia Eagles -3 over Minnesota Vikings
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    Comment

    • Mr. IWS
      215 Hustler
      • Sep 2006
      • 100257

      #3
      Re: 1-4-09

      Thank You for ordering from Pro Sports Plays

      Baltimore has won and covered the spread in 10 of the last 13 games when the line is between +3 and -3.

      Sunday NFL Football

      Take Baltimore (-3) over Miami
      1:00 EST Game Time

      Baltimore has won and covered the spread in 6 of the last 7 games as a favorite and they have also won and covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games when the total posted is between 35.5 and 42 points.



      Take Philadelphia (-3) over Minnesota
      4:30 EST Game Time

      Philadelphia has won and covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 games to end the regular season and they have also won and covered the spread in 5 of the last 6 games vs. Minnesota.
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      Comment

      • Mr. IWS
        215 Hustler
        • Sep 2006
        • 100257

        #4
        Re: 1-4-08

        Al DeMarco
        Sunday's Pick

        15 Dime - Ravens
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        • Mr. IWS
          215 Hustler
          • Sep 2006
          • 100257

          #5
          Re: 1-4-08

          Tim Trushel
          Minnesota / regular
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          Comment

          • Mr. IWS
            215 Hustler
            • Sep 2006
            • 100257

            #6
            Re: 1-4-08

            ATS Financial pick for today is

            3 Unites on the UNDER 41 in the Phil/Minn game.
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            Comment

            • Mr. IWS
              215 Hustler
              • Sep 2006
              • 100257

              #7
              Re: 1-4-08

              Feist

              5* Mia
              Platinum PHILLY
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              Comment

              • Mr. IWS
                215 Hustler
                • Sep 2006
                • 100257

                #8
                Re: 1-4-08

                ATS Lock Club
                Balt. -3 4units
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                • Mr. IWS
                  215 Hustler
                  • Sep 2006
                  • 100257

                  #9
                  Re: 1-4-08

                  Jimmy Boyd

                  5* NFC Wild Card GOTY on Vikes +3

                  Let's be completely honest, the Eagles are very very lucky to be in the postseason. They did win 4 of their last 5 games but everything else had to happen perfectly to get them in. The Eagles are just a 3-4 team on the road this season where their offense has struggled. The Vikes have won 5 of 6 down the stretch, including a confidence boosting win over the reigning Super Bowl champs in their season finale. Minnesota is 6-2 in home games where its defense has been outstanding. Plays on home teams (MINNESOTA) - off 2 or more consecutive unders, in a game involving two good offensive teams (23-27 PPG) are 34-9 ATS since 1983. The Eagles are 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite of 3 points or less and 2-11-1 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite of 3 points or less. We'll pound the Vikes.


                  4* Major Sunday AFC Wild Card BEST BET on Dolphins +3.5

                  Since losing to Baltimore in mid-October, the Dolphins won 9 of their final 10 games to close out the season. I don't read much into Miami's earlier season loss to the Ravens because I feel it is key that the Dolphins will be playing with the veteran signal caller Chad Pennington on their side while the Ravens go to battle with a rookie. Experience counts for a lot in the playoff at the QB spot and it will be the deciding factor here. The Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in this matchup. The Dolphins are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0. The Ravens are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in January and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as a road favorite. Take the points.
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                  • Mr. IWS
                    215 Hustler
                    • Sep 2006
                    • 100257

                    #10
                    Re: 1-4-08

                    Marc Lawrence
                    13-0 ATS Playoff Super System Play!
                    Miami +3
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                    Comment

                    • Mr. IWS
                      215 Hustler
                      • Sep 2006
                      • 100257

                      #11
                      Re: 1-4-08

                      A. Gomes

                      Baltimore Ravens @ Miami Dolphins

                      We have in here the lowest totals line of the weekend and honestly I think this line is too high and it should have been at least at 35 points. Make no mistake. This game won't be a game where the offenses will be in evidence just like yesterday in the game between Arizona and Atlanta. It will be the defense which will decided the game. Both teams feature a run-first mentality, ranking in the bottom third of the league in pass attempts per game. Baltimore is similar to Atlanta in the fact that both teams have a rookie QB, but the big difference between the two teams is that Baltimore is a defensive minded club, while Atlanta is an offensive minded team. So, the Ravens will likely play this game with an ultra conservative nature considering they start a rookie at QB. Expect to see the clock moving on a consistent basis with plenty of running. The defense of Miami has been consistent the whole season and especially at the end of the regular season, where they won 9 of their last 10 games. Unlike many defenses, Miami's defense is healthy. Pass rusher Joey Porter has had an MVP-type season and linebacker Channing Crowder has emerged as an upper tier player. During the season, the Dolphins showed to be more comfortable on defense at stopping the run than at stopping the pass attempts from their opponents and even this fits well in today's matchup.

                      On the other side, we can't much about the defense of the Ravens but praise them. We all know they are a top class defense, as they lead the league with 27 interceptions and with safety Ed Reed being the star player of the squad with 9 interceptions. The problem is that today we won't have any interceptions, as Miami uses an ultra conservative offensive style. Do you know who has the better % of completed passes this season? Kurt Warner? Peyton Manning? No! It's Chad Pennington with 67.4%! The way of confirming that we are in front of a conservative offense is the fact that Miami leads the league in TO differential with +17! The team has just turned the ball over 13 times during the whole season! On the other side, on this very same stat we confirm that Baltimore is also conservative, as they are 3rd in this stat with +13.

                      These two teams have already faced each other during the regular season, with the Ravens winning by 27-13. I've watched that game and back at the time, the Dolphins were using and abusing the wild cat formation. The Ravens went to Miami and they had the lesson well studied and stopped their offense, managing a TD with a return from an interception. Today Miami won't take as many risks as they took in that game and this game has everything to be a low scoring game. Both teams with rush the football and we have all seen how very few errors these two teams make. Take the under in here.

                      Pick: 3 units (Regular Play) on Under 38,5
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                      • Mr. IWS
                        215 Hustler
                        • Sep 2006
                        • 100257

                        #12
                        Re: 1-4-08

                        Alan Boston

                        Lock of the year

                        Southern Illinois
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                        • Mr. IWS
                          215 Hustler
                          • Sep 2006
                          • 100257

                          #13
                          Re: 1-4-08

                          kelso Clubs FB


                          3 units Balt/Miami UNDER 38
                          3 units Phil/Minn OVER 41
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                          • Mr. IWS
                            215 Hustler
                            • Sep 2006
                            • 100257

                            #14
                            Re: 1-4-08

                            Teddy Covers

                            20 star Baltimore

                            15 star Minn
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                            Comment

                            • Mr. IWS
                              215 Hustler
                              • Sep 2006
                              • 100257

                              #15
                              Re: 1-4-08

                              SEABASS Steam Play 100* - Cal Santa Barbara
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