Friday 7-6-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369858

    #31
    Friday's Diamond Notes
    Kevin Rogers

    Hottest team: Cubs (7-1 last eight)

    Chicago is one victory away from becoming the second National League to reach the 50-win mark. The Cubs are riding a six-game winning streak after pulling off a pair of interleague home sweeps over Minnesota and Detroit. The offense has been scorching the last eight games by scoring at least five runs in each of these contests, including reaching double-digits four times.

    The Cubs are in a rare revenge spot after getting swept in a four-game series at Cincinnati in late June. The Reds invade Wrigley Field on Friday afternoon as Cincinnati has won four of five. Southpaw Mike Montgomery takes the mound for the Cubs looking to extend this hot streak as Chicago owns a 5-2 record in his past seven starts. Montgomery allowed four runs in six innings of work in an 8-6 loss to the Reds on June 24 as Cincinnati heads to Chicago for the first time this season.

    Coldest team: Tigers (2-14 last 16)

    Detroit returned home after getting swept in a two-game set at Wrigley Field and put together another loss in Thursday’s defeat to Texas. The Tigers have dropped five consecutive games at Comerica Park with their last home victory coming on June 14 against Minnesota. Due to the dreadful play of the White Sox and Royals, the Tigers have managed to sit in third place of the AL Central, but remain 12 games behind the Indians past the halfway point of the season.

    Game 2 of the four-game set at Comerica Park takes place tonight as Jordan Zimmermann tries to get the Tigers in the win column. Zimmermann is coming off a solid effort in his last start at Toronto by scattering five hits and allowing one run in seven innings of a 9-1 blowout as a +175 underdog, but Detroit owns a 1-3 record in his four home starts.

    Hottest pitcher: Dereck Rodriguez, Giants (3-1, 3.16 ERA)

    The son of Ivan “Pudge” Rodriguez has delivered in short time since entering the San Francisco rotation in June. Rodriguez is unbeaten in his last four starts, while the right-hander has yielded one earned run in his previous 13.1 innings of work. Rodriguez delivered 6.1 shutout innings in a 7-0 trouncing of Arizona his last time out, but the Giants will be looking to snap a four-game losing streak on Friday against the Cardinals.

    Coldest pitcher: Sonny Gray, Yankees (5-6, 5.44 ERA)

    Things haven’t worked out well for the New York right-hander of late, as the Yankees have been shut out in each of Gray’s last two starts. In the losses to the Rays and Red Sox, Gray has been tagged for 13 hits and 10 runs in nine innings of work, while allowing six runs to Boston for the second time this season. Gray will try to turn things around at Toronto on Friday,

    Biggest OVER run: Reds (6-1-1 last eight)

    Cincinnati’s offense has caught fire of late as the Reds plated 20 runs in their series victory over the White Sox, while putting up 20 runs in the final two wins of their previous series against the Brewers. In the four-game sweep of the Cubs in late June, the Reds crossed home plate 31 times, while Cincinnati has scored fewer than four runs once in the last 17 games. The Reds square off with the Cubs this afternoon at Wrigley Field as Tyler Mahle heads to the mound, looking for his seventh win. Mahle has seen the UNDER connect in five of seven road starts this season.

    Biggest UNDER run: Phillies (8-1 last nine)

    Philadelphia welcomes in cross-state rival Pittsburgh tonight as the Phillies have allowed three runs or less during all four games of their current winning streak. The Phillies cashed the UNDER in eight of nine games on their recent homestand with the lone OVER coming in a 17-7 loss to the Nationals, but Philadelphia yielded eight runs to Washington in the other three matchups. Nick Pivetta tries to get on track for Philadelphia tonight as he was knocked around for seven runs in 1.2 innings in that 10-run defeat to Washington last Friday night. Philadelphia is on a 4-0 OVER run in Pivetta’s previous four starts, but the Phillies limited the Pirates to five runs in a four-game sweep at Citizens Bank Park in April.

    Matchup to watch: Dodgers vs. Angels

    The annual “Freeway Series” begins tonight in Anaheim as the Angels return home from a brutal road trip. The Halos posted a 3-7 record on its four-city road trip, capped off by a series loss against red-hot Seattle, while the Angels own a 3-9 mark in the past 12 games overall. The Dodgers are headed in the opposite direction by winning four straight games, including pulling off a dominating three-game sweep of the Pirates by outscoring Pittsburgh, 31-8.

    Kenta Maeda takes the mound for the Dodgers in the opener as he is coming off a loss to the Rockies in his last start in spite of striking out nine batters in seven innings. The Dodgers own a 5-2 record in Maeda’s past seven trips to the mound, while posting a 7-0-1 mark to the UNDER in his previous eight starts overall. Last season, Maeda dominated the Angels as a -200 home favorite in a 4-0 victory as he tossed seven scoreless innings.

    Felix Pena makes his fourth start for the Angels since entering the rotation in late June. The right-hander picked up his first win as an Angel in a 7-1 rout of the Orioles in his last outing as he went 5.1 innings and allowed five hits. The Halos have won six of their last eight home openers, while the two southern California rivals split four matchups in 2017.

    Betcha didn’t know:
    The Marlins built a seemingly safe 9-0 lead over the Nationals on Thursday before melting down and falling, 14-12. Not only were Washington money-line winners ecstatic, but those that bet on the run-line with the Nats were also victorious. That victory marked Washington’s 12th consecutive win over Miami dating back to last season as 10 of those triumphs have come by two runs or more.

    Biggest public favorite:
    Red Sox (-320) at Royals

    Biggest public underdog:
    Braves (+115) at Brewers

    Biggest line move:
    Twins (-118 to -135) vs. Orioles
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369858

      #32
      WNBA
      Dunkel

      Friday, July 6



      Seattle @ Atlanta

      Game 611-612
      July 6, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Seattle
      110.932
      Atlanta
      109.923
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Seattle
      by 1
      155
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Seattle
      by 3 1/2
      159
      Dunkel Pick:
      Atlanta
      (+3 1/2); Under
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369858

        #33
        WNBA
        Long Sheet

        Friday, July 6


        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        SEATTLE (13 - 5) at ATLANTA (8 - 8) - 7/6/2018, 7:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        SEATTLE is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1997.
        SEATTLE is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
        ATLANTA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a home underdog of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 3 seasons.
        ATLANTA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
        ATLANTA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        ATLANTA is 7-1 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
        ATLANTA is 5-3 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
        5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369858

          #34
          WNBA

          Friday, July 6


          Trend Report

          Seattle Storm
          Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
          Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games
          Seattle is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
          Seattle is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games on the road
          Seattle is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
          Seattle is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing Atlanta
          Seattle is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
          Seattle is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
          Atlanta Dream
          Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games
          Atlanta is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games at home
          Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games at home
          Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
          Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing Seattle
          Atlanta is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Seattle
          Atlanta is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Seattle
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369858

            #35
            CFL Betting Recap - Week 3
            Joe Williams

            League Betting Notes

            -- Favorites went 3-1 SU in Week 3
            -- Favorites went 3-1 ATS in Week 3
            -- Home teams posted a 3-1 SU record in Week 3
            -- Home teams posted a 3-1 ATS record in Week 3
            -- The 'Under' went 3-1 in Week 3

            Analysis

            The games on Thursday and Friday nights were pretty cut and dry. The favorites and the home teams each covered, rather handily in the Friday contests, and there was a good amount of defense with the exception of one game.

            Calgary (3-0) is off to its usual solid start, humbling Ottawa (1-1) in a 2016 Grey Cup rematch by a 24-14 margin to cover seven and a hook. The two teams played a defensive battle which saw just one quarter with more than 10 points, the final stanza. As such, the 'over' (56.5) was never seriously threatened. The RedBlacks are 0-4-2 SU in the past five regular-season meetings (yep, two ties), and 2-4 ATS in the past six. The RedBlacks do have that win in the Grey Cup against the Stamps, however.

            Hamilton (2-1) is off to a solid start, winning and covering for a second straight game in a 31-17 victory over Winnipeg (1-2) behind QB Jeremiah Masoli. The former standout at Oregon has recorded eight straight 300-yard games, just in case you were wondering why Johnny Manziel isn't playing.

            Edmonton (2-1) got off to a sluggish start in their divisional battle with BC Lions (1-1). In fact, the visitors fired out to an 11-0 lead thanks to some early miscues by the Eskimos. However, the Esks outscored the Lions 15-3 in the second quarter, and 24-8 in the second half to run away from the visitors and easily cover a 6 1/2-point number. Edmonton is having no problem putting points on the board, averaging 31.7 PPG through three outings. As you would imagine, the 'over' is a perfect 3-0.

            The surprise of the weekend was in Regina, as Montreal (1-2) surprised Saskatchewan (1-2) by a 23-17, winning straight up as 10 1/2-point underdogs to make any moneyline bettors (+425) very happy.

            Team Betting Notes and A Look Ahead

            -- The red-hot Ti-Cats hit the road for Regina to try and keep the Roughriders down. Hamilton hasn't had luck against the Mean Green lately, getting swept in two non-covers last season. They have dropped three in a row in the series dating back to a 53-7 win in the Hammer back on Aug. 20, 2016. Hamilton's last win in Saskatchewan came in a 31-21 victory July 26, 2015 as 1 1/2-point road 'dogs.

            -- The RedBlacks and Alouettes will play their first divisional games of the season in Week 4. Ottawa had its way with Montreal last season, sweeping all three meetings while also going 3-0 ATS. The 'under' cashed in each of the three contests, too. Montreal has dropped four in a row and went 0-4 ATS against Ottawa dating back to Aug. 19, 2016. The 'under' is also 5-1 in the past six meetings.

            -- The Esks catch Toronto (0-2) coming off a bye. The Argos hope the rest does them some good. They're 0-2 SU/ATS so far, with an average of just 13.0 PPG on the board while allowing 34.0 PPG. The 'under' has hit in both contests. These sides split a pair of regular-season meetings last season, with both teams protecting their home field. The Argos are 1-4 SU/2-3 ATS across the past five in this series.

            -- In Saturday's late game, the Lions and Bombers square off. Winnipeg has dominated this series of late, at least against the number, going 5-2 SU and 6-1 ATS in the past seven meetings. That includes a 3-1 SU/ATS mark in their past four home meetings with BC. The 'over' is an impressive 6-2 in the past eight in this series, too.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369858

              #36
              CFL Betting Notes - Week 4
              David Schwab

              Friday, July 6

              Ottawa RedBlacks (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS) at Montreal Alouettes (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS)

              Point-spread: Ottawa -5 ½
              Total: 48 ½

              Game Overview

              The RedBlacks blasted Saskatchewan in their season opener in Week 2 with Trevor Harris completing 26-of-36 passes for 345 yards and two scores. Against the best team in the CFL last Thursday night, Harris came back down to earth with 135 passing yards and one interception. He completed a dismal 44.8 percent of his 29 passing attempts. The lone bright spot was William Powell’s 123 yards rushing the ball on 13 carries. He has gained 217 yards on 32 carries in his first two games.

              Montreal’s defense came to life in that Week 2 upset over the Roughriders after allowing a combined 78 points in the first two games this season. Quarterback Drew Willy left that game in the third quarter due to injury and his status for this game remains unknown. In his place, Jeff Mathews completed 8-of-12 passes for 98 yards. The Alouettes’ ground game was not a factor in the stunning upset with 32 yards on 16 rushing attempts.

              Betting Trends

              -- Ottawa has a SU 8-1 edge in the last nine meetings and it has covered the spread in its last five road games against the Alouettes. The total has stayed UNDER in all five of those games.
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369858

                #37
                CFL
                Dunkel

                Week 4


                Friday, July 6

                Ottawa @ Montreal


                Game 353-354
                July 6, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Ottawa
                116.662
                Montreal
                95.775
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Ottawa
                by 21
                44
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Ottawa
                by 6
                48 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                Ottawa
                (-6); Under
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369858

                  #38
                  CFL
                  Long Sheet

                  Week 4


                  Friday, July 6

                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  OTTAWA (1 - 1) at MONTREAL (1 - 2) - 7/6/2018, 7:30 PM
                  Top Trends for this game.
                  OTTAWA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
                  OTTAWA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
                  OTTAWA is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
                  MONTREAL is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                  MONTREAL is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
                  MONTREAL is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
                  MONTREAL is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
                  MONTREAL is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
                  MONTREAL is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
                  MONTREAL is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

                  Head-to-Head Series History
                  OTTAWA is 5-1 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
                  OTTAWA is 5-1 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
                  5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369858

                    #39
                    CFL

                    Week 4


                    Trend Report

                    Friday, July 6

                    Ottawa RedBlacks
                    Ottawa is 15-8 ATS in its last 23 games
                    Ottawa is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
                    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games
                    Ottawa is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
                    Ottawa is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
                    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games on the road
                    Ottawa is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Montreal
                    Ottawa is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Montreal
                    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 6 games when playing Montreal
                    Ottawa is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
                    Ottawa is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
                    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
                    Montreal Alouettes
                    Montreal is 1-13 ATS in its last 14 games
                    Montreal is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games
                    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games
                    Montreal is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
                    Montreal is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
                    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 6 games at home
                    Montreal is 1-8-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Ottawa
                    Montreal is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Ottawa
                    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing Ottawa
                    Montreal is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Ottawa
                    Montreal is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Ottawa
                    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing at home against Ottawa
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369858

                      #40
                      CFL

                      Week 4


                      Ottawa (1-1; -7.5, 48.5) @ Montreal (1-2)— Ottawa won last five series games, last three all by 18+ points; they won last five visits to Montreal, three by 15+ points. RedBlacks are 9-1 vs spread in last 10 series games; last five series games stayed under. Ottawa split its first two games after its Week 1 bye, losing 24-14 in its only road game, in Calgary. Alouettes lost their only home game 56-10 to Winnipeg, but went to Regina LW and upset the Riders as 10.5-point underdogs. Two of their three games stayed under.
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369858

                        #41
                        Mike Williams

                        Jul 06 '18, 7:05 PM in 5h
                        MLB | MIA vs WAS
                        Play on: OVER 8½ -121

                        1* on Marlins vs Nationals over 8½ -121
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369858

                          #42
                          Jimmy Boyd

                          Jul 06 '18, 8:10 PM in 7h
                          MLB | White Sox vs Astros
                          Play on: White Sox +1½ +130 at MyBookie

                          1* FREE Pick on White Sox +1.5 (+130)
                          I like the value here with Chicago on the +1.5 run line in Friday's contest against the Astros. Chicago should have won the opener, but blew a 3-2 lead in the bottom of the 9th and lost 4-3. I just think this series means a heck of a lot more to the White Sox than it does Houston and we will continue to see Chicago give the Astros a run for their money the rest of the series.
                          I like their chances here of keeping it close with Reynaldo Lopez on the mound. Lopez has been rock-solid in 2018, posting a 3.68 ERA in 17 starts. Last time out Lopez went on the road and held the Rangers to just 2 runs in 6 2/3 innings. He also was really good in his lone start against the Astros earlier this season, limiting Houston to just 1 run on 4 hits in 5 innings. Take Chicago +1.5!
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369858

                            #43
                            Jack Jones

                            Jul 06 '18, 2:20 PM in 1h
                            MLB | Reds vs Cubs
                            Play on: Cubs -151 at BMaker

                            Jack’s Free Pick Friday: Chicago Cubs -151
                            The Chicago Cubs have really turned it around since getting swept in a four-game series by the Reds for the first time since 1983. They have gone 7-1 in there last eight games overall, scoring at least 5 runs in all eight games, including 9 or more five times. Now they get a shot at revenge on the Reds with Cincinnati coming to town for this 3-game set.
                            I like the Cubs’ chances of winning Game 1 today thanks to their advantage on the mound. Mike Montgomery is 3-1 with a 2.43 ERA and 1.057 WHIP in seven starts this season. Montgomery is also 1-1 with a. 3.32 ERA and 1.154 WHIP in four career starts against Cincinnati.
                            Tyler Mahle is 6-6 with a 3.83 ERA and 1.418 WHIP in 17 starts this season for the Reds, including 4-3 with a 3.75 ERA and 1.599 WHIP in nine road starts. Mahle gave up 4 earned runs, 3 homers and 9 base runners in 6 innings in his last start against the Cubs on May 20th, taking the loss in a 1-6 home defeat.
                            The Cubs are averaging 8.8 runs per game in their last eight games. The Reds are 16-36 in their last 52 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Chicago is 6-0 in Montgomery’s last six starts during Game 1 of a series. Bet the Cubs Friday.
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369858

                              #44
                              Totals Guru

                              Jul 06 '18, 10:05 PM in 8h
                              MLB | LAD vs LAA
                              Play on: UNDER 9 -100

                              Free Total Annihilator On Dodgers vs Angels under 9 -100
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 369858

                                #45
                                Kenny Walker

                                Jul 06 '18, 7:10 PM in 6h
                                MLB | OAK vs CLE
                                Play on: UNDER 9 -110

                                Free Pick on under
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