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Saturday 7-7-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
Jul 07 '18, 4:05 PM in 35m
MLB | Phillies vs Pirates
Play on: Phillies +118 at 5Dimes
1* Free Pick on Phillies
I like the value here with the Phillies as a short road underdog against the Pirates in Saturday's MLB action. Philadelphia laid it on Pittsburgh Friday in a 17-5 blowout win and have now won 4 straight and 6 of their last 7. I look for the Phillies to stay hot and cash in an easy win here against a struggling Pirates team that has lost 3 straight and are just 14-29 in their last 43 overall.
Philadelphia also looks to have a strong edge on the mound, as they send out Jake Arrieta, who is 12-6 with a 2.81 ERA and 0.937 WHIP in 22 career starts against Pittsburgh. The Pirates will counter with Jameson Taillon, who has a 4.59 ERA and 1.595 WHIP in his last 3 starts and an ugly 6.39 ERA and 1.579 WHIP in 3 career starts against the Phillies. Take Philadelphia!
Jul 07 '18, 4:10 PM in 40m
MLB | Rays vs Mets
Play on: Rays -126 at pinnacle
Jack’s Free Pick Saturday: Tampa Bay Rays -126
The New York Mets have been a train wreck over the last few months. They are 18-40 in their last 58 games overall, including 8-22 in their last 30 home games. We’ll gladly fade them this afternoon and back the Rays.
Blake Snell is one of the most underrated starters in baseball. He has gone 11-4 with a 2.24 ERA and 1.012 WHIP in 18 starts this season, including 3-0 with a 0.84 ERA and 0.938 WHIP in his last three starts. He has shut down the Yankees and Astros both this season, which says all you need to know about how good he is.
Steven Matz has been decent at 4-6 with a 3.46 ERA in 16 starts, but he’s no match for Snell in this one. Matz has been at his worst at home, going 1-3 with a 4.57 ERA in eight starts at Citi Field.
The Rays are 5-0 in their last five during Game 2 of a series. Tampa Bay is 5-0 in Snell’s last five starts during Game 2 of a series. The Rays are 5-1 in their last six games vs. a left-handed starter. The Mets are 6-20 in their last 26 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Bet the Rays Saturday.
Jul 07 '18, 7:15 PM in 3h
MLB | MIA vs WAS
Play on: UNDER 7 +110
Max Scherzer is 10-5 with a 2.16 ERA in 18 starts for the Nats with 10 of those going under the total. The righty has a 3.39 ERA and a WHIP of 1.066 in 15 career starts against the Marlins. He allowed three runs and 10 hits over his last 14 innings at home against this lineup. Miami doesn't scare many teams with a group that is towards the bottom in runs scored. Wei-Yin Chen has a good history against this Nats team whom he held to one run and three hits in just over seven innings last year. He's given up just one earned run over his last two starts so the lefty is getting better. Washington is hitting .217 against left-handed starters going under in 15 of their 26 games against them. Miami's bullpen stinks so we'll see if they can stay away for the most part in this one. I think this one goes under the total.
Jul 07 '18, 7:15 PM in 3h
MLB | Dodgers vs Angels
Play on: Dodgers -1½ +110 at 5Dimes
Dave’s Saturday Free Play:
1* on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (+110) The Key: After a rare blown save from Kenley Jansen last night, the Los Angeles Dodgers should respond with a big victory today over the Angels. The Dodgers have a big edge on the mound tonight. Ross Stripling is 6-2 with a 2.65 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in 12 starts this year. He’ll be opposed by Deck McGuire, who was awful in his lone start this year, yielding 5 earned runs in 3 1/3 innings in a 2-8 loss to the Orioles on July 1st. The Dodgers are 11-2 in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning record. The Dodgers are 11-3 in their last 14 games following a loss. The Angels are 1-10 in their last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Take the Dodgers on the Run Line.
Jul 07 '18, 10:10 PM in 6h
MLB | Padres vs Diamondbacks
Play on: Diamondbacks -190 at betonline
On Saturday night, Play On NL favorites with a money line of -150 or more like ARIZONA with a slugging percentage of .400 or lower, against a pitcher whose WHIP is 1.25 or lower, with a slugging percentage of .330 or worse over their last three games. In the last five years, teams like the D-Backs are 36-7, 83.7 percent.
Boston (Price) @ Kansas City (Keller) 7:15 PM ET Game# 923-924 Play On: Under 9.0
At the time of this writing, Boston was listed as a large -190 money line favorite. Red Sox starting pitcher David Price has gone 15-5 under the total since 2017 when he’s a money line favorite of -110 or more.
Kansas City’s Brad Keller has an impressive 2.14 ERA during 6 starts in 2018, and that includes a 1.71 ERA thru his previous 3 outings. The maligned Royals bullpen has compiled a sparkling 1.14 ERA throughout their last 7 games. Kansas City is arguably the least productive offensive team in all of baseball. As a matter of fact, they’ve averaged just 2.7 runs scored per game during its previous 7 appearances. Bet on this game to go under the total for my Saturday 7/7 MLB free pick of the day.
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