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Thursday 7-19-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
Dunkel Rating:
New York
106.686
Atlanta
111.248
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 4 1/2
167
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 9
162 Dunkel Pick:
New York
(+9); Over
Washington @ Dallas
Game 311-312
July 19, 2018 @ 8:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Washington
114.523
Dallas
112.669
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 2
179
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 4
176 Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+4); Over
Las Vegas @ Phoenix
Game 313-314
July 19, 2018 @ 10:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Las Vegas
104.197
Phoenix
114.684
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Phoenix
by 10 1/2
164
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Phoenix
by 8
169 Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(-8); Under
NEW YORK (7 - 15) at ATLANTA (13 - 9) - 7/19/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in July games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) after allowing 75 points or more this season.
NEW YORK is 106-75 ATS (+23.5 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 5-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 5-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON (13 - 9) at DALLAS (13 - 9) - 7/19/2018, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 323-381 ATS (-96.1 Units) in all games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 185-236 ATS (-74.6 Units) after a division game since 1997.
DALLAS is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in May, June, or July games this season.
DALLAS is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after allowing 75 points or more this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 4-3 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 4-3 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
LAS VEGAS (10 - 13) at PHOENIX (15 - 8) - 7/19/2018, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) in May, June, or July games this season.
PHOENIX is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after scoring 75 points or more this season.
PHOENIX is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
LAS VEGAS is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
LAS VEGAS is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in a road game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 over the last 2 seasons.
LAS VEGAS is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in road games in May, June, or July games over the last 2 seasons.
LAS VEGAS is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in road games after allowing 75 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
LAS VEGAS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
LAS VEGAS is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 6-2 against the spread versus LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 8-0 straight up against LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
New York Liberty
New York is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games
New York is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games
New York is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 6 games on the road
New York is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
New York is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
New York is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
New York is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta Atlanta Dream
Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 9 games
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Atlanta's last 11 games at home
Atlanta is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New York
Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing New York
Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against New York
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against New York
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing at home against New York
Washington Mystics
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games
Washington is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
Washington is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Washington's last 24 games when playing Dallas
Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas Dallas Wings
Dallas is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games
Dallas is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games at home
Dallas is 4-8-1 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Washington
Dallas is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Dallas's last 24 games when playing Washington
Dallas is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
Dallas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
Las Vegas Aces
Las Vegas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Las Vegas's last 6 games
Las Vegas is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Las Vegas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Las Vegas is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Las Vegas's last 5 games on the road
Las Vegas is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Phoenix
Las Vegas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Las Vegas's last 7 games when playing Phoenix
Las Vegas is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Las Vegas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Las Vegas's last 9 games when playing on the road against Phoenix Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Phoenix is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games
Phoenix is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games at home
Phoenix is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games at home
Phoenix is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Las Vegas
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Las Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 7 games when playing Las Vegas
Phoenix is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Las Vegas
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Las Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Phoenix's last 9 games when playing at home against Las Vegas
-- Favorites went 2-1 SU in Week 5
-- Underdogs went 2-1 ATS in Week 5
-- Home teams posted a 2-1 SU record in Week 5
-- Road teams posted a 2-1 ATS record in Week 5
-- The 'Under' went 3-0 in Week 5
Analysis
Calgary (4-0) opened the week with an emphatic 27-3 victory at Ottawa (2-2), as their defense was on full display again. The Stampeders are mostly known for their offense by casual fans, and they have scored at least 24 points in each of their four outings. However, they have yielded just 9.5 points per game (PPG) through four games, by far the best defense in the CFL. They moved to 4-0 ATS and the 'under' is a perfect 4-0, too.
The RedBlacks are 0-2 SU/ATS in two meetings with the Stamps, and 2-0 SU/ATS against everyone else. The good news is they will now have to face Calgary for the remainder of the regular season. Ottawa is also on a 3-0 'under' run.
Speaking of 3-0, the 'under' cashed in all three meetings this week, and is 6-1 over the past two weekend in the CFL.
Edmonton (3-2) snuck by Toronto (1-3) in a defensive battle in Northern Alberta, 16-15. The line was set at 54, but the 'under' came in by a mile. After opening with the 'over' in each of their first three games, the 'under' is 2-0 in the past two outings for Edmonton, both against Toronto. The Esks are also a dismal 1-4 ATS through five outings. They're off in Week 6.
The Argos have covered back-to-back outings after opening 0-2 SU/ATS. That's not where bettors are making money on the Argos, however. Toronto has averaged just 15.3 PPG through four outings, and the 'under' has hit in all of their contests to date.
Winnipeg (2-3) has alternated losses and wins through each of their first five outings. It didn't look like the outcome would be a loss in their second end of a home-and-home with the BC Lions (2-2), as they led in Vancouver by a 17-0 score at halftime. It was a defensive battle through the end of the third quarter, with the Blue Bombers leading 17-7. Then, the Lions struck hard. With two minutes remaining, the Lions found the end zone to tie the game at 17-17. It appeared overtime might be happening, but the Lions struck for a Ty Long field goal with :11 remaining in regulation to turn the tables on the Bombers after an ugly 41-19 beatdown last weekend.
Team Betting Notes and A Look Ahead
-- A pair of .500 clubs meet in the Hammer when Saskatchewan (2-2) and Hamilton (2-2) square off. The Roughriders have posted a 5-2 ATS record in their past seven following a bye week. The Tiger-Cats are 6-0 ATS in their past six following a straight-up loss, and they're 7-2 ATS in the past nine overall. However, the Ti-Cats are also 4-10-2 ATS in the past 16 at home, while going 1-5 ATS in their past six after a bye.
-- Another battle of 2-2 clubs takes place when the Lions and RedBlacks battle each other in Canada's capital city. The Lions won and covered last week, but they're still just 3-8 ATS in the past 11 overall. They're also back on the road, and they're 1-7 ATS in their past eight away from home. The RedBlacks have rebounded nicely, going 5-0 ATS in their past five following a straight-up loss, and 8-2 ATS in the past 10 after a non-cover. While the 'over' is 5-2 in the past seven for BC, the 'under' is 15-5-1 in the past 21 for Ottawa, and 5-2-1 in the past eight at home. The 'under' is also 3-0-1 in the past four meetings in this series.
-- Two sub-.500 teams desperate for a win battle in Hogtown. The Blue Bombers had a rare non-cover last week on the road, as they're still 16-5 ATS in the past 21 on the road, and 17-8 ATS in the past 25 overall. They're also 10-1 ATS in the past 11 games following a non-cover. The Argos are 5-2 ATS in the past seven games overall, and that will be put to the test as they're 0-4 ATS in the past four meetings with the Bombers. The 'over' is also 4-0 in the past four meetings, and 5-1 in the past six in Toronto.
-- Montreal (1-3) is in search of a much-needed win, but it might not happen against the red-hot Stamps. Montreal has covered just five of their past 21 games overall, including 1-7 ATS in the past eight road outings. The Stamps have covered 20 of their past 28 at home. The 'under' is 5-0 in Montreal's past five, and 9-3 in their past 12 in the month of July. In addition, the under is 12-2 in the past 14 games on a Saturday. For Calgary, the under is 4-1 in their past five at home, and 19-7 in the past 26 games played on a Saturday.
-- The Alouettes have covered six of their past seven meetings with the Stamps, but they're just 2-6 ATS in the past eight trips to Calgary. The 'under' is also 6-2 in the past eight battles in this series.
With only three games on the CFL slate last week, the UNDER on the total line was the best bet with the books given that all three contests turned into low-scoring affairs.
Calgary remained perfect on the year both straight-up and against the spread with Thursday’s 27-3 victory against Ottawa as a three-point road favorite.
On Friday night, Edmonton squeaked past Toronto 16-15 as a 9 ½-point favorite at home and on Saturday the British Columbia Lions knocked off Winnipeg 20-17 as a 4 ½-point home underdog.
Thursday, July 19
Saskatchewan Roughriders (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS) at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS)
Point-spread: Hamilton -11
Total: 51 ½
Game Overview
This will be the second meeting in an extended home-and-home series after Saskatchewan beat the Tiger-Cats 18-13 on July 5 as a six-point home underdog. The total stayed UNDER 51 points in that victory and it has stayed UNDER in three of the Roughriders’ first four games. Brandon Bridge and David Watford were ineffective throwing the ball against Hamilton with a combined 148 yards passing. However, the Roughriders did rack-up 150 yards rushing on 23 carries.
Hamilton dropped to 2-2 (SU and ATS) with that loss after posting back-to-back victories against Edmonton on the road and Winnipeg at home in its previous two games. The total has stayed UNDER in three of the Tiger-Cats first four outings. Jeremiah Masoli was able to move the ball through the air against Saskatchewan in that first meeting with 333 total passing yards, but he could not get his team into the end zone. He is currently second in the CFL in passing with 1,378 yards through his first four games.
Betting Trends
-- Saskatchewan has won four of the last five meetings both SU and ATS with the total staying UNDER in four of the last five meetings in Hamilton.
SASKATCHEWAN (2 - 2) at HAMILTON (2 - 2) - 7/19/2018, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 136-99 ATS (+27.1 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 55-35 ATS (+16.5 Units) in July games since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 4-1 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 4-1 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Saskatchewan (2-2) @ Hamilton (2-2) (-10.5, 51)— Roughriders nipped Hamilton 18-13 at home two weeks ago, scoring winning TD with 1:50 left. TiCats didn’t score TD in game- total yardage was 429-298, Hamilton. Saskatchewan had last week off; they split first four games (under 3-1), losing 40-17 at Ottawa in their only road game. Hamilton also had last week off; they split first four games (under 3-1), beating Ottawa 38-21 in their only home game. Riders won last four series games, but lost three of last four series games in Ontario. Under is 7-2 in last nine series games.
Saskatchewan Roughriders
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Saskatchewan's last 9 games
Saskatchewan is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Saskatchewan's last 7 games on the road
Saskatchewan is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Hamilton
Saskatchewan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Saskatchewan's last 9 games when playing Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 5 games when playing on the road against Hamilton Hamilton Tiger-Cats
Hamilton is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
Hamilton is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hamilton's last 5 games
Hamilton is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Hamilton is 5-10-1 ATS in its last 16 games at home
Hamilton is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hamilton's last 6 games at home
Hamilton is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Saskatchewan
Hamilton is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Saskatchewan
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Hamilton's last 9 games when playing Saskatchewan
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hamilton's last 5 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan
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