Friday 7-27-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Dustin Hawkins

Jul 27 '18, 8:10 PM in 2h
MLB | TEX vs HOU
Play on: UNDER 8½ -105

Free Play on Rangers vs Astros under 8½ -105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness

Jul 27 '18, 7:05 PM in 1h
MLB | Mets vs Pirates
Play on: Pirates -160 at BMaker

My free play is on the Pit Pirates at 7:05 ET. The Pittsburgh Pirates lost 14 of 20 games before going on an 11-game winning streak from July 11 through July 24th, a stretch which allowed them to move past the St Louis Cardinals into third-place in the NL. However, the Pirates have now have lost two straight games by a combined 16-6 score, after the New York Mets matched their second-highest scoring output of the season in Thursday's 12-6 victory. New York pounded out 14 hits in the win while winning its third straight game and falling two runs shy of equaling their top offensive effort of the campaign. Yesterday's contest was the opener of a nine-game homestand for 53-51 Pittsburgh, with three games remaining in the weekend series at PNC Park against the 43-57 New York Mets.
Game 2 of the series will feature New York lefty Jason Vargas (2-6, 8.60 ERA) going up against Pittsburgh's Ivan Nova (6-6, 4.28 ERA). Vargas was an off-season free agent acquisition for the Mets and has turned out to be a huge dud. He is slated to be activated off the 10-day disabled list to make his first start since June 19 due to a calf strain. The veteran lefty has made only nine starts in 2018 and the team is 2-7, minus-$504 against the moneyline. Along with his bloated ERA, he also owns a 1.83 WHIP and opponents are batting .344 against him. Vargas is 1-0 with a 9.00 ERA in four career appearances (one start) against Pittsburgh.
Pittsburgh's Nova beat Cincinnati 9-2 on Sunday, giving up two runs on five hits over 6 2/3 innings (team has won his last three outings). Nova has issued just four walks over 36 innings in his last six outings and has displayed outstanding control (19 walks in 19 starts) all season. Nova allowed three runs and five hits over six innings in a no-decision against the Mets on June 27 and is 1-0 with a 3.18 ERA in five career appearances (four starts) against the Mets.
Vargas struck out 19 batters in 12 innings while making two rehab starts at Single-A Brooklyn but will be looking to break a three-start losing streak. His performance could help determine his status in the rotation, with Noah Syndergaard likely to return from illness next week. In his last start before going on the DL, on June 19 against Colorado, Vargas gave up seven runs on nine hits in a season-low 2 1/3 innings (not a good omen, right?). Meanwhile, Nova is 4-1 with a 3.40 ERA in eight starts (team is 6-2) since being reinstated from the DL from a right ring finger sprain). Take the Pirates.
Good luck...Larry

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pro Computer Gambler

Jul 27 '18, 8:30 PM in 2h
CFL | Toronto vs Winnipeg
Play on: Toronto +11 -128 at 5Dimes

CFL SYSTEM: The Under is 75-26-1 (65.3%) when the road team just coughed up 3+ turnovers and the total is set high, over 50 now. (Take the Under in Winnipeg as our Top play this week)

Pre-Week 10 Road dogs >+2 pts., no more than 3 games below .500 not off of a close win or loss go 60-22-1 73.2% ATS as long as they aren't on extremely short rest and the opponent isn't extremely well rested. (Take the Argonauts)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee

Jul 27 '18, 7:05 PM in 1h
MLB | Royals vs Yankees
Play on: Royals +1½ +130 at MyBookie

10* FREE MLB PICK (Royals +1.5, +130)
I'll take my chances here with Kansas City on the +1.5 run line Friday at New York. I actually think the Royals have a decent shot at winning this one outright, but feel there's a little more value on the run line. KC will send out Brad Keller, who has a solid 3.75 ERA in 9 starts and is coming off a strong outing at home against the Twins, where he allowed just 3 runs on 3 hits with 8 strikeouts in 7 innings. Yankees were already without Gary Sanchez and are now down Aaron Judge, who is out at least 3 weeks. New York also sends out the slumping C.C. Sabathia, who has a 5.94 ERA and 1.440 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Give me the Royals +1.5 (+130)!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Art Aronson

Jul 27 '18, 8:30 PM in 2h
CFL | Toronto vs Winnipeg
Play on: Winnipeg -11 -105 at YouWager

This is a 1* Free Play on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers.
Winnipeg smashed Toronto 38-20 last weekend and we think an even bigger blowout is in the cards this week. After suffering a horrible second half collapse in BC the week before, Matt Nichols and the Blue Bombers were firing on all cylinders against the defending champs last week. Argos’ backup QB James Franklin struggled for the most part against Winnipeg’s aggressive defensive attack and clearly it’s not going to get any easier tonight in this hostile environment. There are no easy answers for Toronto, which has dealt with chemistry issues from the “get go” this season. Note that the BOMBERS are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after scoring 36 or more points in their previous outing. Consider the home side in this one.
AAA Sports

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dennis Macklin

Jul 27 '18, 7:10 PM in 1h
MLB | PHI vs CIN
Play on: OVER 9 +100

DMack's Free Play for Friday, July 27, 2018 is on the Phillies/Reds Over
This looks to be a classic case of chuck and duck. Nick Pivetta is 1-2 with a 6.75 ERA in his L6 starts, the over is 6-0-1 in his L7 starts. Anthony DeScalfani is 1-2 with a 6.41 ERA in his L6, the over is 7-1-1 in his L9 starts. Add to the mix that the Phils are 7-1 over in their L8 and the Reds are 12-4 highballs over their L16 home games and we have a decent case on recommending the over and not to blink.

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Tony Brown
Tonys *5 Mlb Free Pick

Tampa Bay vs. Baltimore, 07/27/2018 19:05 EDT

Total: -105/+8½ Under

Sportsbook:
Bodog

Rays just 7 runs last 3 contest and the oriels only putting up 9 , games not played on paper but some stats can’t be ignored making the under my mlb free pick !

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian Bitler
Brian's 9* MLB Electric Dog

Kansas City vs. NY Yankees, 07/27/2018 19:05 EDT

Money Line: +254 Kansas City

Sportsbook:
PinnacleSports

I don't buy this ultra high plus money line. First off Sabathia has struggled lately really showing his age of 38 I don't believe he is healthy at all and the Royals love to play spoiler. Brad Keller is off his best start of his career as he went 7 innings only allowing 3 runs. No one is betting the Royals tonight makes me like them even more. Take the massive plus money by investing 9 units on the Royals tonight rotation #965

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Alex Smart
MLB

NY Mets vs. Pittsburgh, 07/27/2018 19:05 EDT

Money Line: -152 Pittsburgh

Sportsbook:
Betonline

JASON VARGAS (L) vs. IVAN NOVA (R)

Pittsburghs starter Nova is 4-1 with a 3.40 ERA in eight starts since being reinstated from the DL (right ring finger sprain) and I'm betting he helps deliver the cash to us this Friday night as New York returns fire with inconsistent left-hander Jason Vargas (2-6, 8.60 ERA).

The Mets won a 12-6 slugfest yesterday vs the Pirates , but are just 1-8 against the money line after a game with a combined score of 15 runs or more this season and 9-23 following a win.

NOVA is 9-2 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. NY METS are 9-22 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.

The Mets have lost 23 straight on the moneyline as a road dog of more than 135 after a game as a road dog in which they left 18+ men on base and it is post All-Star break.

MLB favorites with a money line of -150 or more (PITTSBURGH) - with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season-NL are 46-14 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the moneyline

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chase Diamond
Chase's 15* MLB LATE NIGHT BAILOUT

Milwaukee vs. San Francisco, 07/27/2018 22:15 EDT

Money Line: +120 Milwaukee

Sportsbook:
TopBet

This game features the 59-46 Brewers and the 52-52 Giants. Brewers added some bullpen help in Joakim Soria as they try to get a big win tonight to get them closer to division leading Cubs who they trail by 2.5 games so every game is crucial as we head into the stretch run. We are getting a nice line in this game due to Madison Bumgarner starting but he has very pedestrian numbers 3-3 with a 3.19 ERA 46 strike outs and 23 walks. Chase Anderson has allowed just 5 runs over 20.1 innings. Love the Brewers and him tonight to get us a win on the road. 15* Brewers

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Elite Sports Picks

MLB Pirates -145

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The Sports Consensus

MLB Cubs +105

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The Spot Player

CFL Toronto +10

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Profit On Sports

MLB Arizona -1.5 -120

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National Sports Service

MLB Astros -1.5 -135