Saturday 7-28-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369858

    #46
    Marc Lawrence

    Jul 28 '18, 9:05 PM in 8h
    MLB | Mariners vs Angels
    Play on: Mariners +110 at betonline

    Play - Seattle Mariners w/Hernandez vs Barria (Game 927).
    Edges - Mariners: Hernandez 8-4 L12 away team starts during July … Angels: Barria 0-7 with 5.19 ERA last seven team starts; and 4-8 team starts at night this season. We recommend a 1* play on Seattle. Thank you and good luck as always.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369858

      #47
      Dave Price

      Jul 28 '18, 7:10 PM in 6h
      MLB | Dodgers vs Braves
      Play on: Braves +117 at betonline

      Dave’s Saturday Free Play:
      1* on Atlanta Braves +117
      The Key: The Atlanta Braves will be hungry for a victory Saturday after dropping 3 straight, including the first 2 games of this series to the Dodgers. Max Fried sports a 3.00 ERA in his 3 starts this season and can handle his own. What stood out in this game is that Alex Wood can’t figure out the Braves. Wood is 1-3 with a 6.05 ERA and 2.12 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts against Atlanta. Atlanta is 10-2 after batting .200 or worse over a 3-game span this season. The Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. Take Atlanta.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369858

        #48
        John Ryan

        Jul 28 '18, 8:10 PM in 7h
        MLB | A's vs Rockies
        Play on: A's +1½ -160 at BMaker

        Ryan is 2-0 ATS with CFL 10-Star playsand his proven SIM Algorithm program has graded a Monster 10-star for you to unload on. His research report provides you with optimized betting strategies and the machine learned projectionsillustrating why this play is expected to cover by 10 or more points. In all sports for 2018, his 10-stars have gone 37-11 for 77% winners.
        John Ryan Sports Research Report
        @JohnRyanSports1


        The Play and the Matchup

        Oakland Athletics using the Run Line
        OAKLAND (61 - 43) at COLORADO (54 - 47)

        Saturday, 7/28/2018 8:10 PM
        BRETT ANDERSON (L) vs. ANTONIO SENZATELA (R)
        SIM grading
        5 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
        Recommended Strategy
        Place a 7-star wager on the Athletics using the +1.5 Run Line, which currently priced at -175. An alternative wager that optimizes the combination of money line and run line is to place a 3-star wager on the run line and 2-star wager using the money line (A’s are installed as a +120 dog).
        SIM Projections and Results
        The Athletics are projected to have at least nine hits and will have at least 4 more hits than the Rockies. When on the road an achieving these measures, the A’s are a remarkable 175-15 for 92% averaging a -140 Run Line wager and making $15,127 per $100 wager for a nice 54% ROI.

        The following database system query has done quite well on its’ own merit and serves to support the projections from the SIM.
        Play on road teams using the Run Line after a road loss in inter-league play where the team had nine or more hits, scored 1 or no runs, and had a minimum of 13 LOB.
        23-11 for 68% averaging a -137 Run Line wager for a 23% ROI.
        A’s are coming off a loss where they had nine hits and 13 men left on base (LOB). They had bases loaded with the two outs TWICE and failed to score in their 3-1 loss to Colorado. Following this type of loss, the A’s are 12-4 on the Run Line averaging a -166 wager and producing a 21% ROI.
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369858

          #49
          Ross Benjamin

          Jul 28 '18, 6:10 PM in 5h
          MLB | Indians vs Tigers
          Play on: Indians -1½ -120 at 5Dimes

          Cleveland (Clevinger) @ Detroit (Hardy) 6:10 PM ET
          Game# 917-918
          Play On: Cleveland -1.5 (-120)
          Blain Hardy has been terrible in his last 2 starts while posting a 9.00 ERA and 2.00 WHIP. Detroit enters today having lost 9 of its last 12 games at home. The Tigers have been offensively challenged of late which is proven by their poor .607 OPS throughout their previous 7 games.
          Cleveland has gone a dominating 11-3 versus Detroit this season. Furthermore, the last 9 of those Indians wins came by 2 runs or more. The Indians are coming off wins in each of their last 2 games by scores of 8-3 and 4-0. Since 2017, Cleveland has gone 34-9 following 2 straight wins by 4 runs or more. The Indians Mike Clevinger has compiled a stellar 2.62 ERA during 10 starts on the road this season. Bet on Cleveland for a run line wager as my Saturday 7/28 MLB free pick of the day.
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369858

            #50
            Frank Sawyer

            Jul 28 '18, 4:05 PM in 3h
            MLB | CHC vs STL
            Play on: OVER 8½ -110

            Take Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Cubs and the St. Louis Cardinals listing both starting pitchers Jose Quintana and Miles Mikolas. St. Louis (52-51) won the opening game of this series by a 5-2 score. The Cardinals have then played 4 straight games Over the Total after a win. St. Louis has also played 5 of their last 6 home games Over the Total. Chicago (60-43) has played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total after a loss. The Cubs have also played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total. Take the Over while listing both starting pitchers. Best of luck — Frank.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369858

              #51
              Scott Rickenbach

              Jul 28 '18, 9:00 PM in 7h
              CFL | Calgary vs Saskatchewan
              Play on: OVER 47 -105

              Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach CFL Game #367 Saturday Free Pick OVER the total in Saskatchewan Roughriders vs Calgary Stampeders @ 9 ET - I am well aware of the fact that both of these teams have been trending under this season. I also know that each of the last 5 meetings between these divisional foes has resulted in an under. The fact is that these trends are due to get busted up on Saturday night in Saskatchewan. The Roughriders balanced offense (huge performance on the ground last week) gives them a dual threat attack that the Stampeders certainly didn't have to face when they hosted Montreal last week. With that said, look for Saskatchewan to put up a lot more points than many are expecting this week. However, are they really going to hold down a Calgary offense that has helped lead the way to an undefeated start this season? Of course not! The Stampeders will put up some big points here. Look for a much more 'entertaining' contest than many are expecting here. The D of each of these teams has played so well in recent weeks that it is taking attention away from two fully capable offenses. The Riders still have momentum from scoring 21 points late in last week's win at Hamilton. As for Calgary, they've been able to "turn off the jets" in a lot of games this season due to huge leads but this game is expected to be much more competitive (note the line of less than a TD). In a tough battle for the Stamps on the road, this one should fly over the total. Free Pick OVER the total in Saskatchewan
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369858

                #52
                Dustin Hawkins

                Jul 28 '18, 4:00 PM in 2h
                CFL | Ottawa vs Hamilton
                Play on: Hamilton -4½ -110 at BMaker

                Free Play on Hamilton -4½ -110
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369858

                  #53
                  John Martin

                  Jul 28 '18, 7:10 PM in 6h
                  MLB | Blue Jays vs White Sox
                  Play on: White Sox +120 at GTBets

                  1 Unit FREE PLAY on Chicago White Sox +120
                  The Blue Jays plan to make this a bullpen game tonight. That’s because they traded J.A. Happ to the Yankees and don’t have a starter lined up for this one. They will actually start reliever John Axford. I don’t agree that the Blue Jays should be favored over the White Sox because of it. Especially since Lucas Giolito has really found his groove of late for Chicago. He will be aiming for his fourth consecutive quality start after going 2-1 with a 2.29 ERA in his last three outings against the Astros, Royals and Angels. He has allowed just 10 hits and 5 runs in 19 2/3 innings in those three starts. The Blue Jays are 7-16 in their last 23 road games. Give me the White Sox.
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369858

                    #54
                    Stephen Nover

                    Jul 28 '18, 6:40 PM in 5h
                    MLB | Phillies vs Reds
                    Play on: Phillies -120 at betonline

                    Ever been in a situation where you know your place of employment doesn't want you anymore, yet you still have to work one more day? It's a tough spot mentally and it's what Matt Harvey likely is dealing with today. The Reds are expected to deal Harvey before his next start. So you have to wonder about Harvey's state of mind. Maybe he reacts well, maybe he doesn't. But what we do know is Harvey hasn't been good in three years robbed of his great potential by serious elbow and shoulder injuries. Harvey has a 5.21 ERA this season. It was 6.70 last year. Clearly he's not the same pitcher. The Phillies are swinging hot bats. If you discount a two-run game against the Padres six days ago, they are averaging 6.7 runs in their last eight games. They have fortified their lineup trading for Asdrubal Cabrera, who already has 18 homers this year. The Reds' bullpen is down setup man Amir Garrett, who left yesterday's Reds' win with an Achilles' strain. Cincinnati closer Raisel Iglesias threw 25 pitches Friday night. So he carries a fatigue rating. Phillies starter Vince Velasquez is pitching his best ball with a 2.38 ERA in his last six starts. Opponents are batting just .134 against him during this time frame. The Phillies have a deep and underrated bullpen. They also have shown an excellent ability to bounce back winning 36 of the last 53 times following a loss. (Editor's note: Stephen Nover has his July Baseball Game of the Month going today in addition to this free selection. Stephen won his Canadian Football League Game of the Month two days ago.)
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369858

                      #55
                      Brandon Lee

                      Jul 28 '18, 6:40 PM in 5h
                      MLB | Phillies vs Reds
                      Play on: Phillies -124 at BMaker

                      10* FREE MLB PICK (Phillies -124)
                      I'll take my chances here with the Phillies on the road against the Reds. While Cincinnati won 6-4 on Friday, they are just 3-6 in their last 9 games. Philadelphia is not only the better team but are playing the better baseball right now and I look for them to bounce back in a big way on Saturday. I love the pitching matchup for the Phillies, as the Reds will send out Matt Harvey for what many believe will be his final start before he's traded. Harvey has had some nice moments with Cincinnati, but he's coming off an atrocious start at home against the Pirates, where he gave up 8 runs on 8 hits (4 HRs) in just 3 1/3 innings of work. The 4 runs scored by the Phillies on Friday was their lowest output in their last 6 games, as they come in averaging 6.7 runs over their last 7. Philadelphia will counter here with the red-hot Vincent Velasquez, who has a 0.60 ERA and 0.667 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Velasquez also owns a strong 2.42 ERA and 1.119 WHIP in 8 road starts this season. Give me the Phillies -124!
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369858

                        #56
                        Mike Lundin

                        Jul 28 '18, 7:05 PM in 6h
                        MLB | Mets vs Pirates
                        Play on: Pirates +1½ -131 at 5Dimes

                        #MLB FREE PICK FROM MIKE LUNDIN
                        **9-4 FREE PICKS IN JULY**
                        New York Mets ace Jacob deGrom (5-5, 1.71 ERA) owns a major league-leading 1.71 ERA, but he's not getting much run support. deGrom is winless through his last five starts and the Mets have scored a total of 15 runs in those games.
                        Here deGrom will come up agianst a red hot Pittsburgh Pirates team which has won 12 of its last 14 games, and I think the Bucs will at the very least keep this a close game.
                        Pittsburgh righty Trevor Williams (8-7, 4.11 ERA) has pitched 11 shutout innings through his past two starts, and he held the Mets to one run in seven inning of an 11-1 win last year.
                        The Pirates won the opener of this series 5-4 Friday night and Mets are 1-8 in deGrom's last 9 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Pirates are 5-1 in Williams' last 6 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
                        Free pick on Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369858

                          #57
                          Picks 2 Play

                          MLB BOSTON RED SOX ‑200
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369858

                            #58
                            Pinnacle Sports Picks

                            MLB CLEVELAND INDIANS ‑190
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369858

                              #59
                              VIP Sports Picks Las Vegas

                              MLB CLEVELAND INDIANS ‑190
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 369858

                                #60
                                DeadZone

                                MLB WASHINGTON NATIONALS ‑145
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