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Thursday 8-2-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
Aug 02 '18, 7:05 PM in 26m
MLB | CIN vs WAS
Play on: OVER 8 -110
1* Free Pick on Reds/Nationals OVER 8
While the Nationals will have their ace in Max Scherzer on the mound, I look for Thursday's series opener between Cincinnati and Washington to fly over the total set here by the books. The Nationals are coming off a 2-game series against the Mets where they scored 30 runs, which included that 25-run outburst on Tuesday.
I wouldn't be shocked if Washington eclipsed this total on their own, as the Reds are sending out Tyler Mahle, who is just 7-8 with a 4.53 ERA and 1.519 WHIP in 21 starts. Mahle has been especially bad of late, posting a 14.00 ERA and 2.889 WHIP in his last 3 starts. All 3 of the opponents in Mahle's last 3 starts have recorded at least 9 runs.
There's no question Scherzer is one of the elite starters in the game, but this is a solid Cincinnati offense and I think they can push across at least a couple runs in this one to secure the OVER.
OVER is 67-31-8 in the Reds last 106 games vs a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 and 8-0 in their last 8 road games vs a team with a winning record. OVER is also 5-1 in the Nationals last 6 home games and 4-0 in Scherzer's last 4 starts. Take the OVER!
Aug 02 '18, 7:10 PM in 31m
MLB | Yankees vs Red Sox
Play on: Red Sox -104 at betonline
Jack’s Free Pick Thursday: Boston Red Sox -104
The Boston Red Sox don’t want to give an inch to the rival Yankees right now. The Yankees are without their best hitter in Aaron Judge for the foreseeable future. They are also without their power hitting catcher in Gary Sanchez. They are vulnerable right now to say the least.
Brian Johnson might be the most underrated starter in baseball. All he does is win for the Red Sox while posting terrific numbers. Johnson is 1-1 with a 1.80 ERA in six starts this season or Boston.
C.C. Sabathia is starting to fade a little. He is 2-3 with a 4.67 ERA and 1.353 WHIP in eight road starts this season. Sabathia has really struggled of late, going 0-1 with a 6.45 ERA and 1.565 WHIP in his last three starts.
The Red Sox are 9-2 in Johnson’s last 11 starts, including 5-1 in his last six home starts. Boston is 38-15 in its last 53 home games. It’s rare that you get the opportunity to back the Red Sox at basically even money at home. Take advantage and bet the Red Sox Thursday.
Aug 02 '18, 8:00 PM in 1h
NFLX | Bears vs Ravens
Play on: Ravens -2½ -110 at 5Dimes
I will grab a hold of the one feature that to me makes the most sense, Ravens head coach John Harbaugh. Now in his 11th season, Harbaugh coaches the preseason like a rookie coach. He has a belief that all winning matters. Though he does not play his regulars more than anyone else, he teaches the non-starters that winning is part of the Baltimore organization culture and giving your best, no matter the circumstance, matters. That is why his teams are 27-13 ATS during NFLX action and they have rattled off six straight covers in Game 1. Baltimore -2.5.
Aug 02 '18, 8:00 PM in 1h
NFLX | Bears vs Ravens
Play on: UNDER 33 -123
Play - Bears-Ravens UNDER (Game 241-242).
Edges - Bears: 2-8 UNDER last 10 preseason games versus AFC foes … Ravens: 0-4 UNDER last 4 preseason games versus NFC foes; and 6-13 UNDER Game One preseason since 1999. With the Hall of Fame game having played UNDER the total in 4 of the last six years, we recommend a 1* play in the UNDER total. Thank you and good luck as always.
Aug 02 '18, 8:05 PM in 1h
MLB | Orioles vs Rangers
Play on: Rangers -134 at 5Dimes
Ricky's Free play on the Rangers:
Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. In today's game there is no doubt that the starting pitcher for the home team is particularly significant.
Key Trends:
- The Orioles are 5-13 in Cashner's last 18 starts.
- The Rangers are 4-0 in Gallardo's last 4 home starts.
- The Rangers are 19-7 in Gallardo's last 26 starts.
Verdict: Take Texas
Aug 02 '18, 9:00 PM in 2h
MLB | MIL vs LAD
Play on: UNDER 7½ -110
Ross Benjamin is releasing a 5* money line winner on tonight’s huge AL East showdown between the Yankees/Red Sox (7:10 ET). Since 4/21/2018, Ross’ MLB picks are a stellar 63-44 (59%) and at an average money line price of +109! Brewers (Chacin) @ Dodgers (Kershaw) 9:00 ET Game# 961-962 Play On: Under 7.5
Milwaukee pitcher Jhoulys Chacin has displayed excellent form during his previous 3 starts while posting a 1.50 ERA and 0.39 WHIP. Since 5/5/2017, Chacin has made 4 starts against the Dodgers and compiled a superb 1.61 ERA throughout those outings.
Clayton Kershaw has been dominant during his last 4 starts in collecting a 1.71 ERA in those appearances. Kershaw has made 1 start this year and 1 in 2017 against Milwaukee during which he gathered a sparkling 1.38 ERA and 0.77 WHIP while striking out 19 in 13.0 innings of work. Los Angeles has seen 5 of their last 6 games go under the total. Their only over in that sequence came last night and didn’t surpass the number until extra innings. Bet on this game to go under the total for my Thursday 8/2 MLB free pick of the day.
Aug 02 '18, 7:05 PM in 26m
MLB | Marlins vs Phillies
Play on: Phillies -1½ +115 at 5Dimes
1 Unit FREE PLAY on Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (+115)
Look for the Phillies to blow out the Marlins tonight. The Phillies have the better starter on the mound in Nick Pivetta, who has posted a 4.33 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 11 home starts this year. He has 79 strikeouts in 60 1/3 innings at home. Pablo Lopez is 2-2 with a 5.34 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in five starts for the Marlins this year. Pivetta pitched 5 2/3 shutout innings in a 5-0 win over the Marlins on April 5th in his only start against them this season. Miami is 0-11 in Thursday games this season, losing by 5.1 runs/game on average. Give me the Phillies on the Run Line.
Aug 02 '18, 8:05 PM in 1h
MLB | Padres vs Cubs
Play on: Cubs -1½ +130 at 5Dimes
10* FREE MLB PICK (Cubs -1.5, +130)
I'll gladly take my chances here with the Cubs on the -1.5 run line at home against the Padres. Chicago is coming off a 9-2 win over the Pirates and know this is a great opportunity to create some separation in the division, as they currently have just a 1-game lead over the Brewers. San Diego appears to have already thrown in the towel on 2018. They just set a franchise mark for futility in one month, as they went 5-20 in July and enter this contest having lost 7 straight. Cubs will turn to Mike Montgomery, who struggled in his last start at St Louis, but owns a 2.89 ERA in 5 home starts and is facing a Padres team that is hitting a mere .208 over their last 7 games. San Diego will counter with Robbie Erlin, who is making his first start since May 21st, as he's primarily been used as a middle-innings eater out of the pen. Erlin has made 14 relief appearances since his last start and only one of those have come in a game the Padres won. In his 2 previous starts this season, Erlin has allowed 12 runs on 13 hits in just 7 innings of work. Give me the Cubs -1.5 (+130)!
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