Tuesday 8-7-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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WNBA

Tuesday, August 7

Trend Report

Las Vegas Aces
Las Vegas is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
Las Vegas is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Las Vegas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Las Vegas is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Las Vegas's last 8 games on the road
Las Vegas is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Las Vegas's last 11 games when playing Atlanta
Las Vegas is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Las Vegas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta Dream
Atlanta is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games
Atlanta is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games
Atlanta is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games at home
Atlanta is 4-13-1 ATS in its last 18 games when playing Las Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Atlanta's last 11 games when playing Las Vegas
Atlanta is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Las Vegas
Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Las Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing at home against Las Vegas


Seattle Storm
Seattle is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Seattle is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games
Seattle is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Seattle is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Seattle is 4-12-1 ATS in its last 17 games when playing Indiana
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games when playing Indiana
Seattle is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Seattle is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Indiana Fever
Indiana is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games
Indiana is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games
Indiana is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Indiana is 2-16 SU in its last 18 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Indiana's last 13 games at home
Indiana is 12-4-1 ATS in its last 17 games when playing Seattle
Indiana is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 7 games when playing Seattle
Indiana is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Seattle
Indiana is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle


Minnesota Lynx
Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Minnesota's last 10 games
Minnesota is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
Minnesota is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
Minnesota is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Chicago
Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago Sky
Chicago is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Chicago is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games
Chicago is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Chicago is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chicago's last 9 games at home
Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Chicago is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing Minnesota
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota


Washington Mystics
Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games
Washington is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games on the road
Washington is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Phoenix
Washington is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Phoenix
Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Washington is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Phoenix is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Phoenix's last 9 games
Phoenix is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Phoenix is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Phoenix's last 8 games at home
Phoenix is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Washington
Phoenix is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing Washington
Phoenix is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
Phoenix is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Phoenix's last 8 games when playing at home against Washington

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA Betting Recap - 7/23-8/6
Joe Williams


League Betting Notes (Monday, July 23 through Monday, Aug. 6)

-- Favorites went 12-8 straight up (SU)
-- Underdogs went 11-9 against the spread (ATS)
-- Road teams went 11-9 SU
-- Road teams went 12-8 ATS
-- The 'under' went 13-7

Team Betting Notes

-- Atlanta (18-10) remains atop the Eastern Conference thanks to another solid week on the hardwood. They continue to tick off straight-up wins, covers and 'under' results. Since July 8 they have been a 'Dream' for bettors, going 10-1 SU/ATS across the past 11 games while the 'under' has cashed in eight consecutive outings.

-- Chicago (10-18) had their two-game winning streak snapped in Atlanta on Friday, but they have been playing much better lately. They're 3-2 SU/ATS across the past five contests, but they face four difficult matchups in the next four before wrapping up with a home-and-home against lowly Indiana (5-23).

-- Connecticut (16-12) have been on quite the roll lately, winning four in a row while also covering a season-high four straight outings. It's a rather impressive resurgence considering they were 4-12 ATS in their previous 16 outings before the winning run.

-- Dallas (14-14) is struggling mightly, and it's not a good time considering they're smack dab in the middle of the playoff race. The Wings have dropped five in a row, and they're 1-4 ATS during the span. Defense hasn't exactly been a hallmark for Dallas lately, and they have struggled on offense. Those two things aren't a recipe for success. The 'under' has cashed in a season-high four in a row for Dallas.

-- The Fever haven't been a pushover like earlier in the season and they're going to enjoy playing spoiler down the stretch. They have won a season-high two in a row, and they're 3-2 SU/ATS across the past five outings. The 'under' has hit in four in a row, as their defense has been a bit better of late, too.

-- Los Angeles (17-11) has won consecutive games for the first time since June 24-26, as the Sparks have experienced uncharacteristic struggles this season. L.A. has still failed to cover back-to-back games since going 3-0 ATS in a three-game span from June 15-19. The 'under' has hit in three in a row for the Sparks.

-- It has been a strange season for Minnesota (15-14) and they're barely hanging on in the playoff race at the moment. The Lynx have gone in the tank at the worst possible time, losing three in a row while failing to cover four straight. The one thing that has been consistent is the 'under', cashing in three in a row and nine of the past 10. Overall, the under is 19-9 for the Lynx.

-- Unlike Indiana, who hasn't quit, New York (7-21) has really went into the tank lately. They have dropped six in a row and they're 1-5 ATS during the skid. Defense has been a problem for the Liberty, as they have allowed 80 or more points in six of the past seven and 14 of the past 17.

-- Phoenix (16-13) is another traditional powerhouse that is struggling this season. The Mercury have dropped five of the past six, while going 2-8 SU/4-6 ATS across the past 10 outings. Normally it would be good news that the Mercury close out the regular season with five straight home outings. However, they're just 5-7 SU overall and they have gone 0-4 SU/ATS in the past four in the Valley of the Sun.

-- Seattle (22-7) won a rare Monday morning game in New York, and the Storm have posted a 7-1 SU/ATS mark across their past eight outings. Next up is a battle between the top-seed Storm and the last-place Fever on Tuesday in Indianapolis.

-- Washington (16-11) is keeping Atlanta within their sights, winning two in a row. Total bettors are loving the Mystics lately, too, as the 'under' has hit in six of the past seven. There is no word if their cancelled game from Aug. 3 against Las Vegas (12-15) will be made up, but since there are playoff implications it is likely to be played. The Aces had a 25-hour commercial aviation travel odyssey to D.C. before deciding to cancel.

-- The travel caught up to the Aces, as they were humbled by 19 points on Sunday in Connectucit, and they have lost back-to-back games for the first time since June 24-27, a severe blow to their playoff hopes.

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Info Plays

Aug 07 '18, 8:05 PM in 10h
MLB | Mariners vs Rangers
Play on: Rangers +102 at YouWager

1* Free Play on Rangers +102

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Alex Smart

Aug 07 '18, 3:45 PM in 5h
MLB | Astros vs Giants
Play on: Giants +100 at betonline

Astros LH Dallas Keuchel (9-9, 3.61 ERA) vs. Giants LH Madison Bumgarner (4-4, 2.97)
Bumgarner the Astros starter today vs visiting Houston allowed just one run and seven hits over five innings in Thursday’s 8-1 victory over Arizona. The 4 time all star pitcher has also done well vs the Astros especially at home where he has seen his team win all 4 starts against them here in AT & T Park in his career and is 4-0 in his L/4 trips to the hill vs Houston posting a stingy 1.20 ERA in the process. I know the Astros answer with Kuechel, one of their top tier hurlers, but there is enough value here for me to recommend we take the Giants at home here this afternoon.
HOUSTON is 16-22 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season.HOUSTON is 5-13 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 24-16 against the money line in day games this season.
Play on the SF Giants to win on the moneyline

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dustin Hawkins

Aug 07 '18, 9:40 PM in 11h
MLB | Phillies vs Diamondbacks
Play on: Phillies +158 at YouWager

Free Play on Phillies +158

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Larry Ness

Aug 07 '18, 7:10 PM in 9h
MLB | Reds vs Mets
Play on: Reds +100 at 5Dimes

My free play is on the Cin Reds at 7:10 ET. The Mets pounded out 16 hits last night but scored a modest six runs. However, that was good enough for a 6-4 victory over the Reds. New York hopes for a third win in four tries Tuesday when the 46-64 Mets continue a three-game series at home against Cincinnati. The 49-64 Reds fell to 1-6 during their nine-game road trip and lost to New York for the 24th time in the last 32 meetings.
Sal Romano (6-9, 5.12 ERA) gets the start for the Reds after coming out of the bullpen in two of his last three outings, Romano returned to the rotation to take a loss Wednesday at Detroit, giving up four runs over 5 1/3 innings. He's been awful on the road in 2018, going 1-5 with a 5.62 ERA while striking out only 22 over 49 2/3 innings. Lefty Jason Vargas (2-7, 8.23 ERA) is scheduled to oppose Romano. Vargas matched his season high in strikeouts (seven) and innings (five) but still took the 4-2 loss to Atlanta on Thursday, permitting four runs in his second start back after spending over a month on the disabled list. The veteran has been mostly ineffective in his 11 starts this season , as the Mets are 2-9 in those outings (minus-$704 vs the moneyline).
The Mets have won 24 of their last 32 meetings with the Reds and enter this contest having won 10 of their last 11 games at Citi Field versus the Reds. However, the Mets are just 11-25 in their last 36 home games overall and how does one really trust Vargas here in 2018. Vargas was 18-11 in 2017 for KC, while going 20-12 in team starts, giving him a moneyline mark of plus-$1083 (6th-best among all starters). On top of that, Vargas is 1-1 with a 6.28 ERA in three career starts against the Reds. Sure, Romano is no bargain but he enjoyed one of his best starts of the season in a no-decision against the Mets back on May 9, allowing one run and striking out seven over six innings (Reds won 2-1). In fact, he is 1-0 with a 3.18 ERA in three career starts against the Mets, with the Reds winning all three. Take Cincy.
Good luck...Larry

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Art Aronson

Aug 07 '18, 7:05 PM in 9h
MLB | ATL vs WAS
Play on: UNDER 7½ +110

This is a 1* Free Play on the UNDER Braves/Nationals.
We think the UNDER is worth a second look in the second game of the double-header between the Braves and Nationals today. The visitors go with Sean Newcomb (10-5, 3.23 ERA) who comes in off back-to-back strong outings against the Dodgers and Marlins. Note that Newcomb is 6-3 with a 3.57 ERA on the road. The home side goes with Max Scherzer (15-5, 2.33) who gave up two runs off four hits while striking out ten in a victory over Cincinnati on Thursday. Note that his 210 strikeouts is No. 1 in the league and he’s 7-2 with a 2.61 ERA at home. Note as well that Atlanta has seen the total go UNDER in five of seven already this year as a road dog in the +175 to +250 range, while Washington has seen the total go UNDER in 101 of its last 165 against clubs with winning records. Consider a second look at the UNDER in this one.
AAA Sports

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Brandon Lee

Aug 07 '18, 9:40 PM in 11h
MLB | Phillies vs Diamondbacks
Play on: Diamondbacks -1½ +145 at 5Dimes

10* FREE MLB PICK (Diamondbacks -1.5, +145)
I'll gladly take my chances here with Arizona on the -1.5 run line at home against the Phillies. The Diamondbacks are coming off a momentum building 3-2 win in extra-innings on Monday. Arizona trailed 2-0 going into the bottom of the 9th, before scoring 2 runs and eventually winning the game in the bottom of the 14th inning. Tough way for Philadelphia to snap a 5-game winning streak and I think we could see the Phillies come out a bit flat here. It won't be easy bouncing back with Arizona sending out ace Zack Greinke, who has a 2.44 ERA and 0.977 WHIP in 12 home starts, a 1.71 ERA and 0.667 WHIP in his last 3 outings and is 7-2 with a 3.12 ERA in 11 career starts against Philadelphia. Phillies will counter with Nick Pivetta, who has an ugly 5.63 ERA and 1.489 WHIP in 10 road starts and a 5.71 ERA in his last 3 starts. Give me the Diamondbacks -1.5 (+145)!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Lundin

Aug 07 '18, 7:10 PM in 9h
MLB | Orioles vs Rays
Play on: Rays -163 at 5Dimes

#MLB FREE PICK FROM MIKE LUNDIN
Both the Baltimore Orioles and Tampa Bay Rays got Monday off, but the two AL East rivals are back in action Tuesday night with the opener of a three-game set at Tropicana Field.
The Rays hand the ball to Tyler Glasnow (1-2, 4.27 ERA) who was solid in his first start since coming over from Pittsburgh where he worked only out of the bullpen this season. Glasnow went three innings in his Rays debut, striking out five and allowing just two hits and one earned run. "I'm comfortable as a starter. I've done it my entire career so I'm glad I'm getting put back as a starter," Glasnow told reporters.
The Orioles hand the ball to Alex Cobb (3-14, 5.83 ERA) who is 0-3 with a 6.06 ERA in three starts against the Rays this season and he was reached for four runs (three earned) in six innings in a 4-3 loss here at the Trop on July 26.
The Rays lost the following three games of that four-game series, so I think they'll be fired up for this contest.
Free pick on Tampa Bay Rays.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian Bitler

Brian's 9* MLB Straight Winner

Houston vs. San Francisco, 08/07/2018 15:45 EDT

Money Line: -105 San Francisco

Sportsbook:
TopBet

Giants are looking for a split of this short 2 game series and send their ace Madison Bumgarner to the mound. He has been good since coming off the DL going 4-4 with a 2.97 ERA and seems to be getting better each start.

Dallas Keuchel has just not been as dominant this season he is 9-9 with a 3.61 ERA. Giants are still in it only 6 games back but need a win badly today. Houston has a huge series with 2nd place Mariners on deck so possible look ahead here.

San Francisco is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Houston

Invest 9 units on rotation #926 Giants

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Tony Brown

Tonys *5 Mlb free pick

San Diego vs. Milwaukee, 08/07/2018 20:10 EDT

Total: -105/+8½ Under

Sportsbook:
Bodog

Fp: padres rank last in runs hits and home runs with all the scoring being on sided 9 runs to beat us will be a chore making the under my mlb free pick

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MIT Simulator
MLB Tue Free Pick

Philadelphia vs. Arizona, 08/07/2018 21:40 EDT

Money Line: +146 Philadelphia

Sportsbook:
Betonline

MIT Simulator Tuesday Free Pick: Philadelphia +146: The Phillies blew last night's game in the bottom of the 9th. The bullpen has been very solid for Philadelphia so the blown 2-0 lead (and eventual loss in 14 innings) certainly was unexpected. Look for the Phillies to get payback tonight. Nick Pivetta gets the start for Philadelphia and he has been piling up strikeouts and the Diamondbacks haven't faced him in over a year. He should miss plenty of bats again tonight as a result. The Phillies did face Zack Greinke earlier this season and they got to him for 5 earned runs on 9 hits in just 6 innings in April. Look for Arizona to drop to 1-3 in his last 4 home starts. The Diamondbacks are 19-30 this season in games against teams with a winning record. The Phillies are 32-25 in games against teams with a winning record this season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc's Sports

FREE PLAY FROM DOC'S SPORTS

Minnesota vs. Denver, 08/11/2018 21:00 EDT

Point Spread: +1/-110 Minnesota

Sportsbook:
TopBet

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #279 Minnesota Vikings +1 over Denver Broncos (9p.m. Saturday, August 11) Both head coaches have outstanding records in the exhibition season but we will side with Mike Zimmer and his 13-4 record (12-5 ATS). The Vikings are 2-0 in Week 1 the last two years and have a solid rotation of quarterbacks. That is more than what can be said about the Broncos, as after Case Keenum there is a major drop-off in talent. Paxton Lynch appears to be a first round bust and Chad Kelly has not shown much either. Denver went 4-0 last year in preseason play and their coach was lucky to keep his job once the regular season completed. They need a different approach this year and expect that to be the case tonight in the Mile-High City. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports Weekend NFLX Week 1 card. Doc has a top 7 preseason handicapper in 2017 and we have been in business since 1971.

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Diamond Trends - Tuesday
Vince Akins


SU Play ON Trend of the Day:

-- The Royals are 15-0 SU as a home dog off a game as a dog in which they struck out their opponent at least ten times and it is post All-Star break and not a series opener.

SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

-- The Athletics are 0-15 SU in the first game of a series with rest as a dog off a home game in which they won by four-plus runs and used at least one reliever. Oakland has lost these 15 games by an average of 5.27 runs.

Hitter-Based Trend of the Day:

-- The Angels are 9-0 SU at home off a game as a favorite in which Justin Upton was hitless in at least three at bats. In their last three in this spot, the Halos won 11-2, 11-3 and 12-8.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day:

-- The Mariners are 14-0 SU with Felix Hernandez as a favorite when they lost both in his last start against their opponent and his last start.

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Vegas Investment Picks

MLB KANSAS CITY ROYALS +150