1/5/09

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Vegas Hotsheet - CFB

Paid Pick: Texas
Comp: Over 51.5

[Guest]

Re: 1/5/09

BRUCE FELDMAN

Monday, Jan. 5

Texas 28, Ohio State 20: Expect the Buckeyes to come out fired up and move the ball well, but eventually the UT D-line will make some big plays and force a couple of mistakes from Terrelle Pryor. I do expect the OSU secondary to do a solid job of slowing down the UT offense, though.

[Guest]

Re: 1/5/09

NHL
Write-up


Monday, January 5

Hot teams
-- Oilers won three of their last four home games.

Cold teams
-- Penguins lost their last four games, outscored 18-7. Rangers lost four of their last five games.
-- Islanders lost 14 of their last 16 games.

Totals
-- Three of last four Ranger games went over the total.
-- Last five Islander games all went over the total.

Back-to-Back
-- Penguins are 3-3 if they play again the next night.

Series Records
-- Rangers won three of last four games vs Pittsburgh, with three of the four games going to OT/SO.
-- Home side won last two Islander-Oiler games.

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Trend Sheet
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7:00 PM PITTSBURGH vs. NY RANGERS
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Pittsburgh's last 22 games when playing NY Rangers
Pittsburgh is 1-8 SU in their last 9 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
NY Rangers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of the NY Rangers last 20 games at home


9:00 PM NY ISLANDERS vs. EDMONTON
NY Islanders are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing Edmonton
NY Islanders are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games on the road
Edmonton is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Edmonton is 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing NY Islanders

[Guest]

Re: 1/5/09

NBA
Write-up


Monday, January 5

Hot Teams
-- Miami won six of its last eight games; Spurs won seven of last eight.
-- Toronto won its last two games, but is 3-7-1 vs spread in their last eleven road games.
-- Jazz won four of its last five home games.
-- Nuggets won five of their last six games. Pacers won their last couple games, covered three of last four.

Cold Teams
-- Nets lost six of their last nine games. Kings are 1-7 since they changed coaches, but are 4-3-1 against the spread (4-1 as road dog).
-- Warriors are 3-10 in their last thirteen games (1-3 vs spread last four).

Back-to Back
-- Kings are 4-3 vs spread if they play again the next night.
-- Toronto is 4-2-1 vs spread if they played the night before.

Totals
-- Eight of last eleven Miami games stayed under the total.
-- Three of Nets' last four games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last ten Milwaukee games stayed under the total.
-- Last four Golden State games all went over the total.
-- Last six Denver games all went over the total.

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Trend Sheet
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7:30 PM SACRAMENTO vs. NEW JERSEY
Sacramento is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
New Jersey is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Jersey's last 6 games


7:30 PM SAN ANTONIO vs. MIAMI
San Antonio is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Miami
San Antonio is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami's last 11 games


8:00 PM TORONTO vs. MILWAUKEE
Toronto is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Toronto is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 10 games


9:00 PM GOLDEN STATE vs. UTAH
Golden State is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games
Golden State is 5-19 SU in its last 24 games
Utah is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Golden State
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Golden State


9:00 PM INDIANA vs. DENVER
Indiana is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Indiana is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games on the road
Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games

[Guest]

Re: 1/5/09

Money Maker of MyDollarPicks

Ohio State/Texas Over 52 -130 5 units
Ohio State +9 -130 vs Texas 10 units (upgraded from 5 to 10)

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Re: 1/5/09

Raging Bull Handicappers

3* Blackburn/Blyth o2.5 -155 (English FA Cup)

This is a 3pm est match.

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Re: 1/5/09

Break Your Bookie

20 Star

Ohio State +8- (college football) This is our second biggest bowl game play, our biggest will be coming later on this week. Texas has not faced a defense as talented as this Buckeyes team. Malcolm ******* is one of the best defensive players in all of college football, the same can be said for Laurinitis. The last time Colt Mccoy went against this defense they could only put up 7 points at home. The moneyline at +260 has tremendous value as well, but we'll jump at the 8 points. BET BIG ON THIS PLAY.

[Guest]

Re: 1/5/09

Fairway Jay

Regular Ohio St/ Texas Under

[Guest]

Re: 1/5/09

Lee Sterling

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Underdog Special Ohio St

[Guest]

Re: 1/5/09

DOC Sports

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5 Units Ohio St

[Guest]

Re: 1/5/09

BOWL RECORDS FOR THE NEWSLETTERS POSTED ABOVE AND THEIR PLAYS


Nelly’s Green Sheet = 27 -33 ( 18-12 SIDES AND 9-21 TOTALs )---RATING 1: TEXAS (-9½) RATING 1: ‘UNDER 53½’


THE SPORTS MEMO = 16-15 --THE UNDER

MARC LAWERENCE PLAYBOOK = 14-16 --- OHIO ST

NORTHCOAST POWER SWEEP = 19-10---RATING: 3* OHIO ST

CKO = 3-6--- NO PLAY

THE GOLD SHEET = 12-20 ---TEXAS


THE SPORTS REPORTER = 18-13--- OHIO ST

Brand X Sports, Mike Volpe Bowl Package = 15-21---5* Texas Longhorns -9 AND 5* OVER 53


NORTHCOAST POWER PLAYS = 9 - 4--- 2* OHIO ST

Winning Points = 14-17 --- OHIO ST

Logical Approach = 29-27 ( 15-13 SIDES AND 14-14 TOTALS )---TEXAS a 3 Star Selection and the UNDER a 2 Star Selection

Sports Insights = 6-3 --- NO PLAY

The Edge Vegas Experts = 1-5--- TEXAS

Pointwise = 12-19 -- TOP PLAY TEXAS

Bruce Feldman = 20-10--- NO PLAY
Senior writer with ESPN The Magazine


Kevin O'Neil's "The Max" - 9-15--- OHIO ST

[Guest]

Re: 1/5/09

THE GOLD SHEET = 12-20

FIESTA BOWL
OHIO STATE (10-2) vs. TEXAS (11-1)
Monday, January 5 Night at Glendale, AZ (Grass Field)

*Texas 30 - Ohio State 16—Intriguing psychological angles color this battle
between two of the nation’s most storied programs. One-loss Texas is ticked
off after getting “BCSed” out of a spot in the championship game by rival
Oklahoma despite a straight-up win over the Sooners in October. Does an
impressive Fiesta victory give the Longhorns claim to at least a share of the
national title, à la USC in 2003? Meanwhile, the Buckeyes are eager for an
opportunity to reassert their “manhood” after being emasculated by Florida &
LSU in the last two BCS championship games.
Although many observers seem to see the essence of the on-field matchup
as a simple tussle between the top-10 offense of Texas (476 ypg) vs. the top-
10 defense of Ohio State (allowing only 279 ypg), the decisive factor in this
game might end up being the Longhorns’ underrated stop unit. Sure, the
Buckeyes have the most accomplished RB in slammin’ jr. Beanie Wells (121
ypg rushing TY). And, according to Columbus insiders, OSU has recently been
working on some wrinkles that put athletic true frosh QB Terrelle Pryor &
pocket-passing sr. Todd Boeckman, the former starter, on the field at the same
time. But we believe the speed & quickness of the Texas defensive front 7 will
prove too much to handle for the slowish Buckeye OL.
While Wells & Pryor might occasionally break free, UT’s penetrating sr. DE
Brian Orakpo & jr. LB Sergio Kindle (combined 19½ sacks & 28 tackles for
loss!) are going to blow up lots of plays in the OSU backfield and limit the
Buckeyes to “3-and-out” on many possessions. The majority of sustained
drives are much more likely to come from the Longhorns and their star jr. QB
Colt McCoy (78%, 32 TDP, just 7 ints.). He has the accuracy & patience to
eventually wear down the stingy OSU defense—which allowed more than 21
points only once so far this season—and give Texas a decent shot at covering
this substantial (but not unfair) impost.

[Guest]

Re: 1/5/09

THE SPORTS REPORTER = 18-13


MONDAY, JANUARY 5
FIESTA BOWL
University of Phoenix Bowl –- Glendale, AZ

RECOMMENDED
OHIO STATE over TEXAS by 1
You certainly can’t blame the Longhorns for being bitter – they were edged out by
Oklahoma for the title game and their QB lost the Heisman race by a nose. The frustration
was evident in player interviews, but they better put on their hiking shoes and get
over it, ‘cause they’re facing a team seeking their own redemption. Ohio St. has folded
in their last three big-time, non-conference games – each time on the national stage. The
dog cover here will be earned by a solid defense and a play-making QB. The Buckeye
defense is a vet bunch that will be able to subdue a relatively one-dimensional Texas
offense. All-American LB Laurinaitis will be asked to spy QB Colt McCoy – keeping the
Longhorn’s leading rusher from making plays and extending drives. After Colt, the running
game is decent, but not great and Tressel gets d-tackle Denlinger back filling out
the 4-man d-front rotation. If Texas is forced to chuck it on most downs – the Ohio St.
secondary is very solid and won’t allow WRs Shipley and Cosby run wild. Offensively,
Buckeye QB Pryor developed significantly during the year, leading his team to 30+ points
in four of their last five. It all starts with his ability to run the football, and despite their
#2 ranked rush defense, Texas gave up 101 rushing yards and 7.8 yards per carry to
mobile Baylor QB Griffin. Pryor’s legs will open up holes for RB Wells, which will open up
high percentage pass plays against a defense that starts two freshmen safeties.
Database jockeys will point to prior years to tell you how this Big Ten team will get beaten
down. They can have their bytes and bits, while we plan on giving Vegas fits. OHIO
STATE, 24-23

[Guest]

Re: 1/5/09

Brand X Sports, Mike Volpe Bowl Package = 15-21


Fiesta Bowl Monday January 5
Ohio State Buckeyes versus Texas Longhorns
Line Texas -9 Total 53

I can’t help but wonder what the heck, Utah, Texas Tech, TCU, Alabama
Georgia and Boise State are thinking about Ohio State playing in this game and not them.

This could be U-G-L-Y.

5* Texas Longhorns -9
Bonus
5* OVER 53 (I am pretty sure Texas will go OVER 53 by themselves)

[Guest]

Re: 1/5/09

Wild Bill
Ohio St +10 1/2 (5 units)
Texas is not a good bowl favorite and this field is geared for the underdog the past few years. Remember Boise vs Oklahoma? Remember Pitt winning big in this one? Pryor & B Wells will be the difference here along with some defensive pressure Colt McCoy has not seen in a long while. OSU defense much better than the likes of Okie State, Tx Tech or Oklahoma...Ohio St pulls off the upset 34-31...

Over 53 1/2 Ohio St-Texas (5 units)