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4 Unit Play Take #929 Los Angeles Dodgers -120 over Seattle (10:10pm est):
The Seattle Mariners got off to a great start to this season but have since come back down to earth going just 15-21 in their last 36 games overall. The Mariners have struggled against the better teams in the league of late with a 13-21 record when facing teams with an above .500 record this season. They go with lefty Wade LeBlanc in this one. LeBlanc hasn't pitched well the last few months with an ERA above 5.00 in his last 10 starts.
The Los Angeles Dodgers counter here with rookie starter Walker Buehler. The right-handed Buehler has made 14 starts for the Dodgers this year and has posted a solid 3.32 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP on the season. He's coming off one of his best starts of the year last time out pitching 7 shutout innings versus the Colorado Rockies. In his last 3 starts Buehler has been fantastic with a 1.40 ERA overall.
2 Unit Play Take #408 Detroit -3 over New York Giants (7:00pm est):
It's been a very profitable trend in recent years to bet on 1st year NFL head coaches in their preseason home debuts as these guys want their teams to play well so they can bring some excitement and confidence to their new teams/fans before the start of the regular season. We have a situation that fits this angle with the Detroit Lions and 1st year head coach Matt Patricia playing at home versus the New York Giants. The Lions lost last week on the road in Oakland 16-10 to the Raiders in what was an ugly game by Detroit. One big factor in that loss was the Lions played without their starting quarterback Matthew Stafford. Look for Stafford to lots of work here in this one against the Giants. Patricia has talked this offseason about the Lions being a more physical football team this year. I'm looking for the Lions to come out and play with a lot of energy and effort for their hometown fans and those two things are huge for a team in a preseason game. Take Detroit here.
1 Unit Play Take #409 Kansas City +1 over Atlanta (7:00pm est):
Information is huge in the NFL preseason and the word out of Kansas City is that Chiefs head coach Andy Reid will play his starting quarterback Patrick Mahomes an extended amount of time in this one. A lot of what Mahomes does skills wise usually translates to success for a NFL quarterback in preseason play. We seen that last year for Mahomes as he played very well in exhibition play posting a solid 109.3 quarterback rating. The Chiefs didn't look good last week early on in their 17-10 loss at home to the Houston Texans as they fell behind 14-0 early on in the game. Look for KC to place a much bigger emphasis here on playing better in this one. On the other side of things the Atlanta head coach Dan Quinn hasn't shown much interest in winning preseason games as the Falcons have dropped 8 of their 10 games in weeks 1-3 since Quinn took over the team. Take Kansas City in this game.
4-Unit Play. Take #920 Boston (-1.5, +110) over Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. Friday, August 17)
Boston is a ridiculous 50 games over .500 on the season and they have a chance to win the most games in the regular season ever. They have already gone 9-4 against the Rays on the season and I think they will get the job done and win tonight as well. Brian Johnson will start the game for the Red Sox and he has pitched well as a starter or in relief this season. Ryne Stanek will do something that few players have ever done as he will be the starter for tonight's game after pitching an inning of relief in yesterday's contest. Stanek will only pitch and inning or two, if he lasts that long, because Boston hitters have had his number as they have hit .429 off him. Boston is 11-2 in August and I think they keep it rolling with another win tonight.
Play Boston -180 over Tampa Bay
Boston has won 52 of the last 71 games when playing as a favorite of -150 or higher and they have won 108 of the last 179 games coming off a loss in their last game.
Play Washington -360 over Miami
Miami has lost 81 of the last 118 games when playing as an underdog of +150 or higher and they have lost 40 of the last 60 road games.
Play Cleveland -375 over Baltimore
Baltimore has lost 70 of the last 100 games when the total posted is between 8.5 and 10 runs and they have lost 68 of the last 91 games when playing as an underdog of +100 or higher.
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