Tuesday 8-21-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners Preview and Predictions 08-21-2018 in MLB

MLB Previews 21st August 2018 by Gracenote
Astros vs. Mariners Preview and Predictions

by Gracenote on 08/21/2018

Three-time American League batting champion Jose Altuve will return from a 21-game absence when the Houston Astros visit the Seattle Mariners on Tuesday for the middle contest of their three-game series. The reigning AL MVP injured his right knee on July 25 and Houston went just 8-13 during his time on the shelf.

Altuve is looking forward to getting back into the lineup after being on the disabled list for the first time in his eight-year career. "I'm excited," Altuve told reporters prior to Monday's 7-4 loss to the Mariners. "This is a great team. I know you guys know I love every single part about this team and the way they play. We're in first place and most likely we're going to be in the playoffs, and I have a lot of confidence in my teammates, and I just want to be a part of this." The Astros are tied for first place in the AL West with Oakland while the Mariners are just 3 1/2 games back after defeating Houston for the fifth straight meeting. Robinson Cano recorded three hits - including a tiebreaking three-run homer in the eighth inning - and is 9-for-26 in seven contests since returning from an 80-game suspension for violating Major League Baseball's performance-enhancing substances policy.

TV: 10:10 p.m. ET, AT&T SportsNet-Southwest (Houston), ROOT Northwest (Seattle)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Astros RH Brad Peacock (2-4, 3.19 ERA) vs. Mariners RH Mike Leake (8-7, 3.90)

Peacock will be starting for the first time this season after making 49 appearances out of the bullpen. The 30-year-old has made 67 career starts - including 21 last season, when he went a career-best 13-2 with a 3.00 ERA in 34 total contests. Peacock has registered 11 strikeouts over 5 1/3 scoreless innings in four appearances against Seattle this season and is 5-4 with a 4.42 ERA in 15 career games (nine starts) versus the club.

Leake has gone 0-3 over his last nine starts, last winning on June 23 against Boston. The 30-year-old was superb in his last outing as he allowed only two hits over eight scoreless innings against Oakland but settled for a no-decision. Leake is 0-2 with a 5.00 ERA in three starts against Houston this season and 6-6 with a 3.67 ERA in 15 career appearances (13 starts) versus the team.

WALK-OFFS

1. Mariners RHP Edwin Diaz recorded his 48th save in the series opener to match the single-season franchise record set in 2014 by Fernando Rodney.

2. Houston All-Star OF George Springer (quadriceps) was scratched from the opener but could be available on Tuesday.

3. Seattle activated SS Jean Segura from the paternity list and recalled OF Ben Gamel from Triple-A Tacoma while optioning OF Guillermo Heredia to the Rainers and RHP Matt Festa to Double-A Arkansas.

PREDICTION: Mariners 5, Astros 3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fairmount Park
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Claiming - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $5200 Class Rating: 64

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JUNE 21 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE IN 2018 ALLOWED 6 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 6 KISS'N ROSIE 5/2

# 7 SILENT CONGRATS 3/1

# 1 SHAKER BAKER 8/1

KISS'N ROSIE figures to be the bet in here. Has decent Equibase Speed Figures and has to be considered for a bet in this competition. Looks formidable to be close to the front end at the first call. Is a contender - given the 63 speed rating from her most recent race. SILENT CONGRATS - Exhibits the look of a lucrative play, averaging a solid 57 Equibase speed fig which is one of the best in this field. Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by Becker have shown sharp results lately.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Louisiana Downs - Race #5 - Post: 5:09pm - Maiden Special - 5.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $19,000 Class Rating: 62

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#1 OUR EASTER LILY (ML=3/1)
#9 LOST DOVE (ML=10/1)


OUR EASTER LILY - Jock jumped on this filly's back for the first time on Jul 24th. Should 'know' the horse even better in today's race. This horse ran well at Louisiana Downs on Jul 2nd. Bounced in the last race, but should rebound today with a sharp effort. With 'blinkers-on' this filly should be very competitive. She has the topmost EPS (earnings per start). Check out this one. LOST DOVE - The rider and conditioner combination have a favorable return on investment when they team up. Based on this filly's recent efforts, she should benefit from today's shorter distance.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 PAY ME N PENNIES (ML=5/2), #11 AVAS DISCREET EYES (ML=3/1), #5 GLORIETA (ML=4/1),

PAY ME N PENNIES - Hasn't been on the Louisiana Downs oval in the last few weeks. Cause for some concern. This mount likes to hit the board, but doesn't usually finish on top. Keep out of the top spot. AVAS DISCREET EYES - Should have at least finished in the money in the last two months in a short distance race to be worth it at low odds in a sprint. Run-of-the-mill speed rating last race out at Louisiana Downs at 5 furlongs. Don't think this entrant will improve too much today. GLORIETA - Hasn't hit the board in any sprint events of late. Improbable to see her doing it this time either.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - OUR EASTER LILY - Has been racing regularly since a freshening. By my calculation, horses hit their peak cycle in their 3rd or 4th race back. Watch out for this animal in this field.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Put your money on #1 OUR EASTER LILY on the nose if you can get odds of 7/5 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,9]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Mountaineer Park - Race #3 - Post: 7:44pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $12,000 Class Rating: 83

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#3 JET MAJESTY (ML=8/1)
#7 SEEING'N'BELIEVING (ML=8/1)


JET MAJESTY - Utilizing this jockey/trainer combination is a smart choice. In this race here, this horse has clearly shown signs that she likes the grass. Her speed figures are the highest in the field for this distance-surface. Strong average class rating on this horse. Should have the class ability to run well on the turf. I like this mare. Has the highest earnings per race entered in today's event. SEEING'N'BELIEVING - Horses out of the barn of Bernardini have been strong on the turf. Should do well today. Bernardini has an 'uncoupled' entry here. Best to watch out for the longer priced half. Have to make this mare a strong challenger; she comes off a nice contest on August 4th.

Vulnerable Contenders: #9 BRIDGET MOLONEY (ML=3/1), #1 MISTIE ROYALE (ML=4/1), #2 IVY O'DAY (ML=6/1),

BRIDGET MOLONEY - Tough to support any thoroughbred that runs as well as she did and then lays up and doesn't workout at all. MISTIE ROYALE - This mare has already been conquered as the favorite twice in a row. Hard to give her another chance. This mare will likely bounce, and not come close to the most recent speed figure of 87. IVY O'DAY - Don't believe this vulnerable equine is worth 6/1 in this event.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - JET MAJESTY - Horseplayers may say this animal can't control the pace. While this may be true, she is the sole solid stalker in this field. Won't be too far back when it counts - At the finish line.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #3 JET MAJESTY to win if you can get odds of 7/5 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
3 with 7 with [4,6,8] Total Cost: $3

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
3 with 7 with [1,2,4,6,8] with [1,2,4,6,8] Total Cost: $20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Presque Isle Downs
Presque Isle Downs - Race 3

$2 WPS / $2 Exacta / Trifecta (min .50 cent) / Superfecta (min .10 cent) $2 Daily Double / Pick 3 (min .50 cent) (Races 3-4-5) Jackpot Pick 6 (min .20 cent) (Races 3-8)


Maiden Special • 6 Furlongs • All-Weather • Ages 3 and up • CR: 77 • Purse: $27,000 • Post: 6:15P
(PLUS UP TO 30% PABF) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Lone Stalker. MIKADO is the Lone Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SHORE BET: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. MIKADO: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. MIAMI SMUGGLER: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. SUGAR BOW: Horse ranks in the to p three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
1
SHORE BET
3/1

9/2
3
MIKADO
6/1

5/1
4
MIAMI SMUGGLER
9/2

9/1
9
SUGAR BOW
5/2

10/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
2
DONALD
2

12/1
Front-runner
0

0

78.2

66.9

56.4
4
MIAMI SMUGGLER
4

9/2
Front-runner
78

72

65.3

46.6

38.6
8
STUNNING BABY
8

10/1
Alternator/Front-runner
74

64

46.2

66.6

57.1
3
MIKADO
3

6/1
Stalker
76

70

82.2

69.0

61.0
9
SUGAR BOW
9

5/2
Trailer
74

69

50.4

65.0

61.0
1
SHORE BET
1

3/1
Trailer
75

77

44.6

73.0

67.5
6
WHISPER BARROW
6

8/1
Alternator/Non-contender
75

74

64.0

63.0

53.0
5
MY BLIND DATE
5

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

21.8

52.1

37.1








Unknown Running Style: W H OHIO KID (15/1) [Jockey: Fox Kris - Trainer: Brooks Debbie L].

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Retama Park
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $7000 Class Rating: 84

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE JULY 21 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE JUNE 21 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000 TEXAS BRED CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 3 MAD RULER 15/1

# 4 TURN UP THE LIGHTS 2/1

# 7 EMPEROR T 4/1

MAD RULER has a decent shot to take this affair and is a decent value bet given the line at 15/1. He looks strong in this slot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the midpoint. TURN UP THE LIGHTS - He has put up solid figs under today's conditions and should fare well against this group. Martin should be able to get this gelding to break out quickly in this event. EMPEROR T - Boasts sound Equibase Speed Figures on average overall when compared with the rest of this field.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Thistledown
Thistledown - Race 4

$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6) $.50 Pick 5 (Races 4-5-6-7-8)


Allowance • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 77 • Purse: $24,000 • Post: 3:10P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 21 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE JUNE 21 ALLOWED 4 LBS. (CLAIMING RACES FOR $10,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN WEIGHT ALLOWANCES) (OHIO REGISTERED FOALS PREFERRED).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. BABY COLLETTE is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * BABY COLLETTE: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has run a Good Race w ithin the last 30 days. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. SOPHIE'S ANGEL: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
6
BABY COLLETTE
6/1

8/5
1A
SOPHIE'S ANGEL
3/1

7/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
6
BABY COLLETTE
6

6/1
Front-runner
45

79

82.5

74.9

64.4
1
BRAYDENS START
3

3/1
Alternator/Stalker
64

71

58.8

55.2

48.2
1A
SOPHIE'S ANGEL
7

3/1
Trailer
77

71

60.4

64.2

60.2
5
MISS LUCKY LIONEL
5

9/2
Trailer
54

57

36.0

50.0

41.0
2
KITTY EXPRESS
1

7/2
Trailer
71

58

27.8

51.2

44.7
3
SEMINARA
2

5/2
Alternator/Non-contender
68

65

59.0

48.2

41.2
4
BABY BEAR
4

8/1
Alternator/Non-contender
64

61

48.0

50.8

39.8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cole Faxon

Aug 21 '18, 8:10 PM in 1h
MLB | Reds vs Brewers
Play on: Reds +180 at YouWager

FREE PLAY on Reds +180

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sal Michaels

Aug 21 '18, 8:40 PM in 1h
MLB | Padres vs Rockies
Play on: Padres +1½ -115 at Bovada

Free Play on Padres +1½ -115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd

Aug 21 '18, 8:10 PM in 1h
MLB | Twins vs White Sox
Play on: White Sox +117 at GTBets

Free Picks on Chicago White Sox +117
The White Sox are quietly starting to play some decent baseball as we approach the end of the 2018 season. Chicago has won 4 of 5 and are really clicking on the offensive side of the ball. The White Sox have scored 5 or more runs in 6 of their last 7 games and are averaging 5.9 runs/game during this stretch.
I think they can stay hot at the plate here against the struggling Jose Berrios, who has an ugly 5.52 ERA and 1.840 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Berrios is also not the same guy on the road as he is at home. He's 8-2 with a 3.13 ERA at home and 3-6 with a 4.59 ERA on the road.
Chicago will counter with Michael Kopech, who is making his much anticipated debut. Kopech isn't just one of the elite prospects for the White Sox, he's considered one of the top prospects in the game. He's got 170 strikeouts in 126 1/3 innings at the minors this season and the even more impressive stat is he owns a 59-4 strikeout to walk ratio. I think he's more than capable of coming out in his first start and keeping a Twins offense that is hitting just .231 as a team on the road in check.
Minnesota is just 4-18 in Berrios last 22 road starts and the Twins as a team are a mere 1-7 in their last 8 road games against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their home games. Take Chicago!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn

Aug 21 '18, 8:10 PM in 1h
MLB | Twins vs White Sox
Play on: White Sox +117 at GTBets

1* Free Play on White Sox +117

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Club

Aug 21 '18, 10:10 PM in 3h
MLB | Cardinals vs Dodgers
Play on: Cardinals +173 at 5Dimes

Cardinals ML
This play just missed out on our premium card. The St. Louis Cardinals and Los Angeles Dodgers face off on Tuesday night and in this game as big underdogs the Cardinals have the value.
On the mound for the Cardinals is Daniel Poncedeleon who is making a spot start but has been really good as a reliever.
He will probably have a short start, but the Cardinals bullpen has been good the last couple of weeks.
The Cardinals are the value play here.
5* FREE Cappers Club Play on Cardinals ML
Good Luck, Cappers Club.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Walker

Aug 21 '18, 10:10 PM in 3h
MLB | Cardinals vs Dodgers
Play on: Dodgers -165 at YouWager

Free Pick on Dodgers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ross Benjamin

Aug 21 '18, 9:40 PM in 2h
MLB | LAA vs ARI
Play on: UNDER 8 +100

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Price

Aug 21 '18, 8:05 PM in 55m
MLB | Braves vs Pirates
Play on: Braves -114 at YouWager

Dave’s Tuesday Free Play:
1* on Atlanta Braves -114
The Key: The Pittsburgh Pirates just cannot get anything going offensively. They have scored a total of 5 runs in their last 5 games and have been shut out 3 times during this stretch. They have failed to score more than 4 runs in any of their last 9 games. Kevin Gausman is 3-1 with a 2.77 ERA in his last 4 starts and has pitched well since being traded to the Braves. He should be able to keep the Pirates’ bats in check tonight. The Pirates are 3-12 in Nova’s last 15 starts following a loss. Take Atlanta.