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Thursday 8-30-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
Aug 30 '18, 8:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-F | Northwestern vs Purdue
Play on: UNDER 51½ -110
1* Free Pick on Purdue/Northwestern UNDER 51.5
The total has been set way too high for Thursday's rare Big Ten season opener that has Purdue hosting Northwestern. The Wildcats won last year at home by a final score of 23-13 and that contest didn't even come close to the total of 50.5.
This one won't either, as I look for both offenses to struggle to get going. Northwestern has 7 starters back on defense and will feature one of the best front 7's in the Big Ten. While Purdue will return 9 starters on offense, they only averaged 25.2 ppg last year.
One of the big reasons people will be drawn to the OVER is the fact that the Boilermakers only have 4 starters back on defense. The thing to keep in mind is it wasn't so much the talent as it was the coaching when it came to Purdue's big turnaround on defense last year.
The Boilermakers had 7 or more defensive starters return in each of the previous 3 seasons before Brohm and DC Nick Holt came to down. All 3 times they gave up 31+ ppg, including 38.3 in 2016 with 8 starters back. Holt basically took that same defense that was atrocious in 2016 and they gave up 20.5 ppg.
I'm not saying Purdue will be as strong on defense as they were a year ago, I just don't think the drop off will be as significant as some think. At the same time, Purdue's defense should benefit from this being a home game played under the lights, as Ross-Ade Stadium figures to be electric. Take the UNDER!
Aug 30 '18, 10:05 PM in 5h
MLB | Mariners vs A's
Play on: Mariners +130 at MyBookie
Jack’s Free Pick Thursday: Seattle Mariners +130
It’s now or never for the Seattle Mariners. They are 5.5 games behind the A’s for the final wild card spot in the American League. Now they have a four-game series here against the A’s with an excellent opportunity to make up some ground.
I’ll back Wade LeBlanc as an underdogs in Game 1 of this series tonight. LeBlanc is 7-3 with a 3.84 ERA and 1.139 WHIP in 21 starts this season. He has never lost to the A’s, going 2-0 with a 2.95 ERA and 1.146 WHIP in four career starts against them.
Frankie Montas is 5-3 with a 3.75 ERA and 1.457 WHIP in 10 starts this season for Oakland, including 2-2 with a 4.01 ERA and 1.459 WHIP in four home starts. He comes in scuffling a bit having given up 6 earned runs and 17 base runners over 9 1/3 innings in his last two starts.
The Mariners are 19-7 in LeBlanc’s last 26 starts, including 10-1 in his last 11 starts when working on 4 days’ rest. Seattle is 20-8 in its last 28 meetings in Oakland. Bet the Mariners Thursday.
Aug 30 '18, 7:00 PM in 2h
NFLX | Patriots vs Giants
Play on: Giants -2½ -105 at pinnacle
On Thursday night in Week 4 of the NFL Preseason, Play Against favorites like ATLANTA, PITTSBURGH and the N.Y. GIANTS, who are an average passing team (185-230 PY/game), against a poor passing defense (230-265 PY/game). In the last 24 preseasons, these teams are a dismal 3-22 ATS.
Aug 30 '18, 7:35 PM in 2h
MLB | Cubs vs Braves
Play on: Braves -123 at GTBets
1 Unit FREE PLAY on Atlanta Braves -123
I’ll get behind the Atlanta Braves and Mike Foltynewicz tonight over the Chicago Cubs. Foltynewicz has been excellent in his five August starts, going 3-1 with a 1.38 ERA in 32 2/3 innings with 36 strikeouts. He faced the Cubs earlier this season on May 15th and pitched 5 innings with 10 strikeouts without allowing a single earned run. The Cubs are 1-5 in Mike Montgomery’s last six starts. Give me the Braves.
Aug 30 '18, 8:00 PM in 3h
NFLX | Rams vs Saints
Play on: Rams +4 -109 at GTBets
Play - L.A. Rams (Game 121).
Edges - Rams: 8-2 ATS preseason away off a home game … Saints: 0-15 SU Thursdays preseason; and 0-4 ATS Game Four preseason; and 0-4 SUATS 2nd home game of the preseason … With that we recommend a 1* play on the Rams. Thank you and good luck as always.
Aug 30 '18, 7:15 PM in 2h
MLB | Pirates vs Cardinals
Play on: Cardinals -109 at BetPhoenix
Dave’s Thursday Free Play:
1* on St. Louis Cardinals -109 The Key: I like the price we are getting with the St. Louis Cardinals at home today against the Pittsburgh Pirates. The Cardinals are the team in contention while the Pirates are basically eliminated from the postseason. St. Louis starter John Cant is 2-1 with a 1.99 ERA in his last 4 starts, yielding just 5 earned runs in 22 2/3 innings. The Cardinals are 20-6 in their last 26 games overall, including 16-5 in their last 21 games following a loss. The Pirates are 1-4 in Musgrove’s last 5 starts. The Cardinals are 36-15 in their last 51 home meetings with the Pirates. Take St. Louis.
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