Sunday 9-2-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Diamond Trends - Sunday
Vince Akins

PLAY-ON TREND OF THE DAY:

-- We've used this one a few times before and it keeps winning. The Athletics are 21-0 SU after a game in which their bullpen allowed multiple runs and it is post All-Star break. The Athletics were the underdog in 9 of the 21 games and three of their last four.

PLAY-AGAINST TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Angels are 0-35 SU as a dog of more than 135 when they are off a game as a dog and their opponent's starter has a strike-per-ball ratio greater than 1.89 on the season and it is not a series opener.

HITTER-BASED TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Athletics are 15-0 SU in franchise history as a 130+ favorite after a game in which Matt Chapman was hitless in at least three at bats.

STARTER-BASED TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Red Sox are 9-0 SU in franchise history with Brian Johnson when they scored six-plus runs and won in his last start.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Diamondbacks are 6-0 SU as a 140+ dog off a game as a dog in which their bullpen allowed multiple runs. Arizona allowed fewer than two runs in all six games.

-- The Nationals are 6-0 SU at home after they did not hit a home run and it is post All-Star break. Washington has scored an average of 10.00 runs and allowed an average of 3.17 runs in this six games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA
Dunkel

Sunday, September 2


Atlanta @ Washington

Game 607-608
September 2, 2018 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
111.057
Washington
120.185
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 9
154
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 2
158
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-2); Under

Seattle @ Phoenix

Game 605-606
September 2, 2018 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
112.683
Phoenix
117.318
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Phoenix
by 4 1/2
175
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Phoenix
by 2
172 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(-2); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, September 2

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SEATTLE (28 - 9) at PHOENIX (23 - 16) - 9/2/2018, 5:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 8-5 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 7-6 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (25 - 12) at WASHINGTON (23 - 14) - 9/2/2018, 3:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 6-4 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 7-5 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA

Sunday, September 2

Trend Report

Atlanta Dream
Atlanta is 17-2-1 ATS in its last 20 games
Atlanta is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Atlanta's last 17 games
Atlanta is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Atlanta is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games on the road
Atlanta is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
Atlanta is 4-6-2 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Washington
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Washington
Atlanta is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Atlanta's last 12 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington Mystics
Washington is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Washington is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Washington's last 23 games
Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 10 games at home
Washington is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Washington is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Washington's last 12 games when playing at home against Atlanta


Seattle Storm
Seattle is 15-7 ATS in its last 22 games
Seattle is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games
Seattle is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Seattle is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games on the road
Seattle is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Phoenix
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
Seattle is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing Phoenix
Seattle is 15-8 ATS in its last 23 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Seattle is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Phoenix is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Phoenix's last 8 games
Phoenix is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games at home
Phoenix is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Seattle
Phoenix is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games when playing Seattle
Phoenix is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing Seattle
Phoenix is 8-15 ATS in its last 23 games when playing at home against Seattle
Phoenix is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Seattle

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mercury looking to knot series with Storm

PHOENIX (AP) Intensity is a main reason Phoenix is still alive in its WNBA semifinal series against Seattle. The Mercury had it in abundance in Game 3 on Friday night. The Storm, not so much.

That was the assessment of the Storm, anyway, in the wake of an 86-66 loss to Phoenix that cut Seattle's lead in the best-of-five series to 2-1.

''They clearly came out as a team whose back was against the wall and just had a very determined mindset,'' the Storm's Sue Bird said, ''much more intensity than we came out with. And with that, loose balls go your way. You've got aggressive people making shots. For us, we just never really amped it up.''

Another Mercury win on Sunday and the series would face a winner-take-all Game 5 Tuesday night in Seattle.

''Being down 0-2 to the best team in the league - not easy,'' Phoenix's Diana Taurasi said after the team went through a light workout on Saturday. ''But we took on the challenge and tomorrow's going to be just as difficult. Hopefully we bring that same effort.''

Yvonne Turner will be in the Mercury starting lineup for the second game in a row as Stephanie Talbot goes through the concussion protocol. Coach Sandy Brondello said she was hopeful Talbot would be back if there's a Game 5.

With Taurasi having a rare off night offensively, Turner emerged as a surprise star with 19 points. DeWanna Bonner had 27 points and 11 rebounds and Brittney Griner had 21 points and 11 boards for the Mercury.

Seattle got 19 points from Natasha Howard and 15 points and 11 rebounds from league MVP Breanna Stewart but lost its eighth consecutive playoff road game dating to 2011.

''I thought their energy was immediate and consistent,'' Storm coach Dan Hughes said. ''And I think it's about learning. Our team has all year I think learn things. You can talk about the environment and what the sense of urgency that Phoenix was going to have. But now we saw it. And so we have to be a team that learns something from that experience as to what now we have to do.''

Shoot better, would be one thing. The Storm shot 37 percent (29-of-79). Their 66 points were their second-lowest total of the season.

Taurasi said it's a great sign to see her team win when she wasn't that involved offensively, making just 3 of 11 shots and scoring eight points.

''It's huge,'' she said, ''and that feels good. I think it feels good for our group. It feels good for a lot of people on this team. Sometimes you need someone else to pull you through the hole.''

Turner's presence as essentially a second playmaker on the floor energized the Mercury. It was a breakout game for a player who built a reputation in Europe before finally getting a chance in the WNBA.

''She can do that,'' Brondello said. ''I think it helps any player when they start. It just really does. She's a great little player, a great little competitor. She does it every game over in Europe so it's good to see her get that opportunity and play really well.''

Seattle had the WNBA's best regular-season record at 26-8. The Storm waited while Phoenix survived a pair of one-game playoffs against Dallas and Connecticut. The Storm won the season series with Phoenix 2-1. Seattle won twice in Phoenix, the Mercury once in Seattle.

''Of course we'd love to win tomorrow,'' Bird said, ''and they're going to be literally dying to win. So it's just going to be another tough game. It was physical yesterday. The refs let us play.

''I don't know. You don't want to analyze too much. You have an identity as a team and that's what got you here and you want to stick to that as much as possible while being smart and making the adjustments that you have to make.''

The Atlanta Dream lead the Washington Mystics 2-1 in the other best-of-five semifinal series with their Game 4 also on Sunday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 12
David Schwab

Week 11 Betting Recap

For the second week in a row, the underdogs in the CFL were the best bet against the spread at 3-1. Edmonton got things going last Thursday in a 25-24 loss to Hamilton as a 3 ½-point underdog on the road. In Friday’s action, Montreal pulled off the straight-up upset with a last-second 25-22 victory against Toronto as a five-point underdog at home.

Saturday’s doubleheader of games got underway with Calgary bouncing back from last week’s unexpected loss with a solid 39-26 victory over Winnipeg as a 7 ½-point home favorite. Week 11 closed things out with Saskatchewan squeezing past British Columbia 24-21 after closing as a 2 ½-point road underdog.

Sunday, Sept. 2

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (5-5 SU, 5-4-1 ATS) at Saskatchewan Roughriders (5-4 SU, 5-4 ATS)
Point-spread: Saskatchewan -3
Total: 54 ½

Game Overview

The Blue Bombers have lost their last two outings both SU and ATS coming into the first game of this West Division home-and-home clash. The total has gone OVER in both of those setbacks with the defense allowing a combined 83 points. Winnipeg is still the highest scoring team in the league with an average of 31.5 points through its first 10 games to help take the total OVER in seven of those outings.

Saskatchewan did what it had to do to get past BC last week and it has strung together four victories in its last six games both SU and ATS. The total stayed UNDER 50 ½-points against the Lions after it had gone OVER in three of its previous four games. One of the big reasons for the recent success has been the elevated play of Zach Collaros at quarterback. He thrown for 1,055 yards and four touchdowns in five starts this year.

Betting Trends

-- The Roughriders have covered ATS in six of their last nine home games against Winnipeg and the total has gone OVER in the last five meetings in Saskatchewan.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL
Dunkel

Week 12

Sunday, September 2

Winnipeg @ Saskatchewan

Game 643-644
September 2, 2018 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Winnipeg
113.301
Saskatchewan
114.665
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Saskatchewan
by 1 1/2
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Saskatchewan
by 4
53 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Winnipeg
(+4); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 12

Sunday, September 2

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WINNIPEG (5 - 5) at SASKATCHEWAN (5 - 4) - 9/2/2018, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 13-30 ATS (-20.0 Units) in road games in September games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 72-50 ATS (+17.0 Units) when playing on a Sunday since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 36-17 ATS (+17.3 Units) in home games in September games since 1996.
WINNIPEG is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-2 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 4-1 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL

Week 12

Trend Report

Sunday,September 2

Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Winnipeg is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games
Winnipeg is 18-5 ATS in its last 23 games on the road
Winnipeg is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Winnipeg's last 21 games on the road
Winnipeg is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Saskatchewan
Winnipeg is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games when playing Saskatchewan
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing Saskatchewan
Winnipeg is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
Winnipeg is 3-14 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
Saskatchewan Roughriders
Saskatchewan is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Saskatchewan is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Saskatchewan's last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Saskatchewan's last 7 games at home
Saskatchewan is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games when playing Winnipeg
Saskatchewan is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
Saskatchewan is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
Saskatchewan is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Saskatchewan's last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL

Week 12

Winnipeg (5-5) @ Saskatchewan (5-4) (-3.5, 54.5)— Winnipeg won five of its last six games in this series. Roughriders scored 40-24 points last two weeks to win both games as underdogs; Saskatchewan is favored for only second time this year; they lost first game SU at home to Montreal. Riders are 4-0 when they score 24+ points, 1-4 when they score less; under is 3-2 in their home games. Blue Bombers allowed 39-44 points in losing their last two games; they’re 2-3 on road, 0-2 vs spread as road underdogs.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Sunday, September 2

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MIAMI (10 - 3) vs. LSU (9 - 4) - 9/2/2018, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LSU is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF

Week 1

Trend Report

Sunday, September 2

Miami-FL @ Louisiana State
Miami-FL
Miami-FL is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Miami-FL's last 11 games

Louisiana State
Louisiana State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Louisiana State's last 5 games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF

Week 1

Sunday, September 2

Miami has 14 starters back, 7 on both sides of ball; Hurricanes’ OL has 55 returning starts, their QB has 14 starts. Miami covered only one of its last seven games on a neutral field. LSU has five starters back on both sides of ball; their OL has only 35 returning starts. Tigers will also have a new QB. Since 2012, LSU is 11-17 vs spread outside the SEC. Last three years, ACC teams are 20-14-1 vs spread when playing SEC opponents. This game is in Cowboys Stadium in Arlington, TX. These teams haven’t met since 2005.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 1

Sunday, September 2

Miami-FL @ LSU

Game 217-218
September 2, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami-FL
99.869
LSU
99.916
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LSU
Even
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami-FL
by 3
48
Dunkel Pick:
LSU
(+3); Under