Thursday 9-6-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-06-2018, 05:14 AM

Atlanta Falcons vs. Philadelphia Eagles Preview and Predictions 09-06-2018 in NFL

NFL Previews 4th September 2018 by Gracenote
Falcons vs. Eagles Preview and Predictions

by Gracenote on 09/04/2018

After serving as the site of a months-long party in the wake of the Philadelphia Eagles' first Super Bowl title in franchise history, the City of Brotherly Love will host the 2018 NFL regular-season opener when the Atlanta Falcons pay a visit on Thursday. The Eagles, who embraced the "underdog" role despite being the top seed, began their postseason journey with a 15-10 triumph over the Falcons in the NFC divisional round.

Nick Foles, who has been named the starter for Thursday's contest, relieved the injured Carson Wentz (knee) late in the season and steered Philadelphia to a 41-33 win over New England in the NFL's signature game while garnering Super Bowl MVP honors in the process. With a wide receiver corps in flux due to injury, the Eagles -- who scored a league third-best 28.6 points per game in 2017 -- may need to rely on Jay Ajayi, Corey Clement and a ground game that ranked third with an average of 132.2 yards per contest. Atlanta's Matt Ryan, who is a Philly area native, followed his 2016 NFL MVP season by eclipsing 4,000 yards for his franchise-record seventh consecutive campaign before signing a five-year, $150 million contract on May 3. Five-time Pro Bowl wide receiver Julio Jones led the NFC with 1,444 receiving yards in 2017 and has four straight 100-plus receiving yard performances versus the Eagles, who boasted the NFL's stingiest pass defense in 2017.

TV: 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC. LINE: Eagles -2.5. O/U: 45

ABOUT THE FALCONS (2017: 10-6, 3RD IN NFC SOUTH): Devonta Freeman and fellow running back Tevin Coleman fueled Atlanta's eighth-ranked offense and kept defenses off balance last season by combining for over 2,100 yards from scrimmage and 16 touchdowns. Coach Dan Quinn, however, said he expects even more production out of the backfield this season, starting with a date against a Philadelphia team that had the third-best rush defense in 2017. "I think it's two good line of scrimmage teams. Who can do that better and execute better?" Quinn said. "... We didn't run it quite as well as we'd liked, but we know that's a big part of what we do and kind of marries up with the play-action and the keepers that going along with that. That's what makes us so difficult to defend." Freeman had a touchdown reception against the Eagles in their playoff encounter.

ABOUT THE EAGLES (2017: 13-3, 1ST IN NFC EAST): Philadelphia became the 11th team in NFL history with three players recording at least eight touchdown receptions last season, with Zach Ertz leading all NFC tight ends with 74 receptions and 824 yards to go along with a career-high eight scores. Alshon Jeffery (nine TDs) and fellow wideout Nelson Agholor (eight TDs) are on that list, with the former already ruled out for Thursday's contest as he recovers from offseason shoulder surgery. Defensive end Brandon Graham, who stripped Tom Brady of the ball in the final two-plus minutes of Super Bowl LII, had a career-high 9.5 sacks in 2017 and also had one in the last encounter against Atlanta. Linebacker Nigel Bradham also registered a sack in the last meeting versus the Falcons after collecting a team-leading 88 tackles in the regular season.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Atlanta LB Deion Jones joined Carolina's Luke Kuechly and Jacksonville's Telvin Smith as the lone players to record 100-plus tackles and three-plus interceptions last season.

2. Philadelphia's Markus Wheaton, who was cut by the team in May, was re-signed on Tuesday to add depth to the ailing wide receiver position.

3. The Eagles have won six of their last seven season openers while the Falcons have emerged victorious in three of their last four.

PREDICTION: Falcons 24, Eagles 14

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-06-2018, 07:19 AM

NFL
Dunkel

Week 1

Thursday, September 6

Atlanta @ Philadelphia

Game 451-452
September 6, 2018 @ 8:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
143.294
Philadelphia
139.361
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 4
35
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 3
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+3); Under

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-06-2018, 07:19 AM

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 1

Thursday, September 6

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ATLANTA (11 - 7) at PHILADELPHIA (16 - 3) - 9/6/2018, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing on a Thursday since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 2-0 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 2-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-06-2018, 07:20 AM

NFL

Week 1

Trend Report

Thursday, September 6

Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games
Atlanta is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Atlanta is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games on the road
Atlanta is 4-12-1 ATS in its last 17 games when playing Philadelphia
Atlanta is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Atlanta's last 13 games when playing Philadelphia
Atlanta is 1-7-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Atlanta is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games
Philadelphia is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games
Philadelphia is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Philadelphia is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games at home
Philadelphia is 12-4-1 ATS in its last 17 games when playing Atlanta
Philadelphia is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Philadelphia's last 13 games when playing Atlanta
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Philadelphia is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing at home against Atlanta

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-06-2018, 09:22 AM

San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds Preview and Predictions 09-06-2018 in MLB

MLB Previews 5th September 2018 by Gracenote
Top prospect Francisco Mejia is expected to make his first start for San Diego on Thursday when the Padres open a four-game series against the host Cincinnati Reds. Mejia, who is rated as the No. 1 catching prospect by MLB pipeline, was acquired from the Cleveland Indians in July for two-time All-Star left-hander Brad Hand and right-hander Adam Cimber.

Mejia struck out as a pinch hitter in Tuesday's 6-0 loss to the Arizona Diamondbacks in his first at-bat with San Diego, and is expected to get a long look down the stretch. "He's hit everywhere he's been his entire life," Padres manager Andy Green told reporters. "He's got unique bat-to-ball skills and an ability to put all sorts of pitches in play." The Reds lost 3-2 to the Pittsburgh Pirates on Wednesday as they suffered a three-game sweep, and have dropped 11 of their past 14 contests. Scooter Gennett, who leads the National League with a .320 batting average, went 1-for-5 on Wednesday after stringing together five straight multi-hit outings and seven in his past eight contests.

TV: 6:40 p.m. ET, FS San Diego, FS Ohio (Cincinnati)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Padres LH Eric Lauer (5-7, 5.01 ERA) vs. Reds RH Luis Castillo (8-11, 4.83)

Lauer missed a month with a forearm strain before returning to face the Colorado Rockies on Aug. 30 when he gave up one unearned run and no hits over five innings. The 23-year-old has struggled on the road with a 2-3 record, 5.48 ERA, 1.83 WHIP and .317 batting average against. Lauer defeated the Reds on June 2 when he gave up one run and five hits over five innings.

Castillo allowed two hits over 6 2/3 scoreless innings and struck out a career-high 11 while beating St. Louis in his last start. The 25-year-old has given up two or fewer earned runs in six of his past eight starts and gave up five in each of the other two. Castillo is 0-1 with a 5.91 ERA in two career starts against the Padres with the loss occurring on June 3 when he gave up four runs and six hits over 4 2/3 innings.

WALK-OFFS

1. The Reds are 1-2 against the Padres this season and haven't won the season series since 2012, when they took six of eight meetings.

2. San Diego OF Hunter Renfroe was hitless in four at-bats on Tuesday after going 16-for-46 with five homers and 11 RBIs during an 11-game hitting streak.

3. Cincinnati 3B Eugenio Suarez, who is tied for the NL lead with 100 RBIs, was 1-for-10 with seven strikeouts in the series against the Pirates.

PREDICTION: Reds 6, Padres 4

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-06-2018, 09:22 AM

Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals Preview and Predictions 09-06-2018 in MLB

Going into the season, this weekend's four-game series between the Washington Nationals and the visiting Chicago Cubs looked like it would be a pivotal one between pennant contenders. It turns out it's a big one for the Cubs but more of a last gasp for the Nationals, who are barely clinging to their slim postseason hopes as the series begins Thursday.

The Cubs hold the best record in the National League and have a four-game lead over Milwaukee in the NL Central after a 6-4 win over the Brewers on Wednesday. Chicago has won 11 of its last 15 overall and took two of three from Washington last month to help sink the Nationals' playoff hopes. Washington has lost five of its last seven to fall two games below .500 and 7 1/2 games behind Atlanta in the NL East. The Nationals dropped the finale of their three-game series against visiting St. Louis 7-6 despite 16 hits Wednesday.

TV: 7:05 p.m. ET, MLB Network, NBCS Chicago, MASN (Washington)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Cubs RH Kyle Hendricks (11-10, 3.77 ERA) vs. Nationals RH Stephen Strasburg (7-7, 4.09)

Hendricks has posted three straight quality starts, allowing three runs over 20 innings during that stretch. The 28-year-old held Philadelphia to one run over six frames in a win last time out after tossing seven scoreless innings to beat Cincinnati in his previous start. Hendricks is 2-2 with a 2.72 ERA in six career starts against the Nationals.

Strasburg struggled in his return from the disabled list Aug. 22, but he has pitched better his last two times out. The 30-year-old didn't get a decision Saturday against Milwaukee, but he held a potent Brewers lineup to two runs over six innings for his second straight quality start. Strasburg is 1-1 with a 2.08 ERA in five regular-season starts against the Cubs.

WALK-OFFS

1. Cubs LF Kyle Schwarber hit his 25th home run Wednesday, joining Anthony Rizzo and Billy Williams as the club's only left-handed hitters with multiple 25-homer seasons before age 26.

2. Washington SS Trea Turner (11-for-31) and OF Adam Eaton (11-for-34) are riding seven-game hitting streaks.

3. Rizzo has recorded multiple hits in three of his past four games, going 7-for-12 over that stretch.

PREDICTION: Cubs 5, Nationals 4

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-06-2018, 09:22 AM

Cleveland Indians vs. Toronto Blue Jays Preview and Predictions 09-06-2018 in MLB

MLB Previews 5th September 2018 by Gracenote
The Cleveland Indians shook off a three-game funk with consecutive victories and look to post their 80th win of the season when they open a four-game set against the host Toronto Blue Jays on Thursday. The Indians are cruising to the American League Central title and their magic number to clinch stands at eight.

Cleveland third baseman Jose Ramirez will be back in the lineup after a day off and he has failed to homer in his last 17 appearances but still ranks third in the majors with 37. Edwin Encarnacion was 2-for-4 in Wednesday's 3-1 victory over the Kansas City Royals and he is one blast away from his seventh straight 30-homer campaign, and six away from his sixth 100-RBI season. Toronto racked up 16 hits on Wednesday while rolling to a 10-3 triumph over the Tampa Bay Rays. The victory was just the third in the past 10 games for the Blue Jays, who are 13 games below .500 while experiencing a subpar season.

TV: 7:07 p.m. ET, STO (Cleveland), Sportsnet, TVA (Toronto)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Indians RH Shane Bieber (8-3, 4.66 ERA) vs. Blue Jays RH Sam Gaviglio (3-7, 5.02)

Bieber allowed four runs and nine hits over 5 1/3 innings of a loss to the Tampa Bay Rays in his last start after winning his previous three decisions. The 23-year-old hasn't walked anyone over his last three turns and issued just 15 all season (against 87 strikeouts) across 85 innings. Bieber is 4-0 with a 4.44 ERA in eight road starts.

Gaviglio allowed four runs and seven hits over 5 2/3 innings against the Baltimore Orioles in his last turn while losing for the seventh time in his past eight decisions. The 28-year-old was sharp six days earlier while beating Baltimore when he gave up two runs and six hits over seven innings. Gaviglio has pitched well at home by going 2-1 with a 2.68 ERA in 11 appearances (nine starts) this year.

WALK-OFFS

1. Blue Jays SS Aledmys Diaz went 2-for-4 with a three-run homer on Wednesday to end an 11-game stretch without going deep.

2. Cleveland 3B Josh Donaldson (calf), recently acquired from the Blue Jays, won't play in the series as he is on a minor league rehab stint and ineligible to be activated until Sept. 11.

3. Toronto RHP Marcus Stroman (blister on right middle finger) will miss his Sunday start and LHP Thomas Pannone is expected to start in his place.

PREDICTION: Indians 7, Blue Jays 4

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-06-2018, 09:23 AM

Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Preview and Predictions 09-06-2018 in MLB

The Arizona Diamondbacks needed to catch their breath after losing eight of 11 games, and the combination of Tuesday's victory over San Diego followed by a day off provided what they hope is a spark entering Thursday's opener of a four-game home series with the Atlanta Braves. The series could be a playoff preview considering the Braves lead the National League East and Arizona sits within striking distance in the NL West, but both teams have stumbled lately.

There are plenty of red flags around the Braves, who managed to cough up a 7-1 eighth-inning lead Wednesday to fall 9-8 to Boston, finishing an nine-game homestand 3-6. Atlanta third baseman Johan Camargo committed a critical error in the six-run eighth against the Red Sox, and the Braves allowed 11 unearned runs on the homestand after giving up the same number in their previous 41 games. The Braves would be in even more trouble were it not for 20-year-old rookie outfielder Ronald Acuna, who belted his eighth leadoff homer in 44 starts at the top of the lineup Wednesday. Arizona center fielder A.J. Pollock went 2-for-4 in Tuesday's 6-0 win over the Padres and has reached base in 18 of his past 21 home games, while first baseman Paul Goldschmidt has reached safely in 38 of his past 39 games overall while hitting .344 in that span.

TV: 9:40 p.m. ET, FS Southeast (Atlanta), FS Arizona

PITCHING MATCHUP: Braves RH Anibal Sanchez (6-5, 2.98 ERA) vs. Diamondbacks RH Zack Greinke (13-9, 2.97)

Sanchez has provided everything the Braves could have hoped for when they signed the veteran in spring training, as he concluded August with a 2.93 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP in six starts. The 34-year-old has surrendered only three runs (two earned) in his past two outings, a loss at Miami on Aug. 25 and a no-decision against Pittsburgh on Aug. 31. Sanchez got a no-decision against Arizona in Atlanta on July 13, striking out six with one run allowed in six innings.

Greinke continues authoring another outstanding season, entering Wednesday fifth in the NL in WHIP (1.05) and sixth in WAR for pitchers (4.1), while sitting seventh in strikeouts (176). The 34-year-old lost four of his six August starts despite posting a 2.97 ERA and holding opponents to a .201 batting average. Greinke, who gave up three runs on six hits over 7 1/3 innings to fall to the Los Angeles Dodgers on Friday, beat the Braves in Atlanta on July 14 with 7 2/3 shutout innings.

WALK-OFFS

1. The Braves lost two-of-three to Arizona at home in July, and since the start of 2013 are 29-64 on the road against NL West foes (4-5 on the road this season; 9-18 overall).

2. Arizona will flip LHP Robbie Ray and RHP Zack Godley in the rotation, lining up Ray to start Sunday's series finale and Godley - who has been placed on paternity leave - to start Monday against Colorado.

3. Diamondbacks OF David Peralta has eight doubles, five homers and 14 RBIs in his past 19 home games, but is 1-for-12 against Atlanta this season.

PREDICTION: Diamondbacks 7, Braves 3

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-06-2018, 05:22 PM

MLB
Long Sheet

Thursday, September 6

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SAN DIEGO (55 - 86) at CINCINNATI (59 - 81) - 6:40 PM
ERIC LAUER (L) vs. LUIS CASTILLO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 23-46 (-16.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
SAN DIEGO is 144-179 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 23-24 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
SAN DIEGO is 15-7 (+14.7 Units) against the money line after getting shut out over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 23-21 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season.
CINCINNATI is 413-375 (-81.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

ERIC LAUER vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
LAUER is 1-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 1.400.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

LUIS CASTILLO vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
CASTILLO is 0-1 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 5.90 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

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CHICAGO CUBS (82 - 57) at WASHINGTON (69 - 71) - 7:05 PM
KYLE HENDRICKS (R) vs. STEPHEN STRASBURG (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1777-1819 (-262.9 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 58-53 (-15.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1313-1355 (-203.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 96-82 (-21.0 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 865-794 (-152.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
HENDRICKS is 28-27 (-13.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HENDRICKS is 7-12 (-12.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season. (Team's Record)
CHICAGO CUBS are 26-9 (+11.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 69-71 (-27.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 20-24 (-10.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
WASHINGTON is 33-36 (-21.2 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 35-35 (-20.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
WASHINGTON is 44-43 (-11.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
WASHINGTON is 55-48 (-9.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
WASHINGTON is 33-35 (-11.7 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
WASHINGTON is 35-38 (-11.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
WASHINGTON is 12-20 (-12.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

KYLE HENDRICKS vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
HENDRICKS is 3-2 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 2.85 and a WHIP of 1.183.
His team's record is 6-2 (+4.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-2. (+4.0 units)

STEPHEN STRASBURG vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
STRASBURG is 2-2 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 1.48 and a WHIP of 0.884.
His team's record is 5-2 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-4. (-1.7 units)

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ATLANTA (76 - 63) at ARIZONA (75 - 64) - 9:40 PM
ANIBAL SANCHEZ (R) vs. ZACK GREINKE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 11-22 (-11.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
SANCHEZ is 11-25 (-14.7 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 169-136 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 23-11 (+11.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 121-93 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 96-72 (+13.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
GREINKE is 61-26 (+21.4 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 45-12 (+21.7 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -175 to -250 since 1997. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 141-76 (+45.9 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 107-54 (+37.5 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 71-32 (+28.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
ATLANTA is 76-62 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 96-91 (+24.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 26-21 (+17.3 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 39-29 (+16.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
ATLANTA is 47-43 (+21.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 25-18 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
ATLANTA is 58-41 (+17.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ATLANTA is 36-26 (+8.7 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
ATLANTA is 103-85 (+29.6 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
ATLANTA is 20-12 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ARIZONA is 26-28 (-11.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
ARIZONA is 902-804 (-102.3 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
ARIZONA is 16-19 (-10.8 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
ARIZONA is 635-580 (-79.6 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters since 1997.
ARIZONA is 22-36 (-18.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ARIZONA is 13-19 (-10.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against ATLANTA this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

ANIBAL SANCHEZ vs. ARIZONA since 1997
SANCHEZ is 4-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 3.71 and a WHIP of 1.125.
His team's record is 6-2 (+4.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-4. (-1.1 units)

ZACK GREINKE vs. ATLANTA since 1997
GREINKE is 4-2 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 2.60 and a WHIP of 0.914.
His team's record is 6-4 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-4. (+1.9 units)

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CLEVELAND (79 - 60) at TORONTO (63 - 76) - 7:05 PM
SHANE BIEBER (R) vs. SAM GAVIGLIO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 79-60 (-16.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 21-24 (-19.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
CLEVELAND is 34-31 (-10.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CLEVELAND is 46-40 (-17.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CLEVELAND is 60-44 (-13.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CLEVELAND is 44-34 (-9.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
TORONTO is 49-44 (+6.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CLEVELAND is 34-13 (+18.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 63-76 (-11.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 32-43 (-14.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
TORONTO is 83-103 (-24.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 57-81 (-28.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 2-1 (+2.1 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

SHANE BIEBER vs. TORONTO since 1997
No recent starts.

SAM GAVIGLIO vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
No recent starts.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-06-2018, 05:22 PM

MLB

Thursday, September 6

National League
Padres (55-86) @ Reds (59-81)
Lauer is 0-2, 8.44 in his last four starts under is 6-3-2 in his last 11. Team in his starts: 6-13, 2-7 away
5-inning record: 8-9-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-19

Castillo is 2-2, 5.24 in his last four starts (over 3-1). Team in his starts: 14-13, 8-4 home
5-inning record: 12-14-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-27

Padres lost three of their last four games; they’re 10-13 in road series openers. Under is 5-1 in their last six games. Cincinnati lost six of its last eight games; they’re 11-11 in home series openers. Over is 3-1 in their last four home games.

Cubs (82-57) @ Nationals (69-71)
Hendricks is 3-1, 2.42 in his last four starts; under is 7-1 in his last eight. Team in his starts: 14-14, 5-8 away
5-inning record: 11-11-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 14-28

Strasburg is 1-0, 3.00 in his last two starts; over is 4-1 in his last five. Team in his starts: 9-8, 4-6 home
5-inning record: 8-6-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-17

Cubs split their last eight games; they’re 14-9 in road series openers. Over is 3-1 in their last four games. Washington lost five of its last seven games; they’re 6-1 in last seven home series openers. Over is 9-3 in its last 12 home games.

Braves (76-63) @ Diamondbacks (75-64)
Sanchez is 0-2, 4.02 in his last five starts; under is 4-1-1 in his last six. Team in his starts: 10-9, 6-4 away
5-inning record: 7-9-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-19

Greinke is 1-1, 2.57 in his last two starts; under is 10-2 in his last 12. Team in his starts: 16-12, 8-6 home
5-inning record: 17-7-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 9-28

Braves lost six of their last eight games; they’re 8-2 in last ten road series openers. Their last seven road games stayed under. Arizona lost four of its last five games; they’re 2-8 in last ten home series openers. Arizona’s last 11 games stayed under the total.

American League
Indians (79-60) @ Blue Jays (63-76)
Bieber is 2-0, 4.50 in his last five starts; under is 5-1-1 in his last seven. Team in his starts: 10-5, 5-2 away
5-inning record: 9-5-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-15

Estrada is 0-2, 15.64 in his last two starts; over is 6-3 in his last nine. Team in his starts: 11-13, 5-7 home
5-inning record: 9-11-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-24

Indians split their last eight games; they’re 9-5 in last 14 road series openers. Under is 5-2-1 in their last eight games. Toronto lost seven of its last ten games; they’re 13-10 in home series openers. Three of their last four games stayed under.

______________________________

Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 9/5
Ariz 37-24-10……34-23-10……..71-47
Atl 30-28-10…..34-27-10………64-55
Cubs 29-29-13……32-28-9…….61-57
Reds 22-44-5……25-32-10….…47-76
Colo 34-26-14……34-23-10……67-50
LA 34-24-8…….33-29-15……68-53
Miami 23-33-9…..31-30-15…….54-63
Milw 30-33-9…..36-26-7…….66-59
Mets 33-30-8……26-27-15…..59-55
Philly 27-28-15…..34-24-10……61-52
Pitt 31-29-8……32-27-13……..63-56
StL 36-25-11……30-31-7………66-56
SD 21-40-10……25-35-9…….46-75
SF 29-31-14…..27-25-15……56-56
Wash 29-28-13..…29-30-11……58-58

Orioles 19-42-12……21-37-11……40-79
Boston 36-28-14……41-18-6……..77-46
W Sox 23-40-6…..…24-38-10……47-78
Clev 27-27-13……44-19-10……..71-46
Det 25-37-10…..…30-30-11.……55-67
Astros 37-18-15……37-21-14…….74-38
KC 21-40-8…….29-33-10…..50-73
Angels 30-29-14……28-32-8……58-61
Twins 22-40-11……32-31-8…..54-71
NYY 33-24-11……42-23-8………75-46
A’s 26-32-11……32-27-13…..58-59
Sea 34-30-10……32-24-14…….66-52
TB 33-28-13……31-25-9……63-52
Texas 22-35-8…..28-39-8…….50-74
Toronto 19-39-11…24-32-15……43-71

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 9/5)
Ariz 29-70…….26-68…..…55
Atl 21-67……30-72………51
Cubs 14-71……..22-66……..36
Reds 18-72……..16-69……..34
Colo 23-73…….26-67.…….49
LA 22-65……..27-76..…..49
Miami 14-65……..21-75…….35
Milw 25-71…..…25-71…….50
Mets 27-71……..21-68……48
Philly 17-70……..22-69……39
Pitt 16-68……..21-74…….37
StL 25-72……..20-68…….45
SD 19-72……..19-69…….38
SF 15-72………21-70..…..36
Wash 25-70……..21-70…….46

Orioles 21-73……..20-68……..41
Boston 19-75……25-66………44
White Sox 19-68……20-71…….39
Clev 18-66…….29-72……..46
Detroit 24-72……..20-69….…44
Astros 20-69…..…17-72………37
KC 16-69..…….22-70…….38
Angels 19-71…..….18-68…….37
Twins 16-71………15-68…….31
NYY 16-68……..29-72………45
A’s 18-71…..…..21-72…….39
Seattle 28-72………22-70…….50
TB 22-74..……20-64…….42
Texas 10-65……20-74…….…30
Toronto 18-69………15-70….….33

Interleague play- 2018
NL @ AL– 71-67 NL, favorites +$100
AL @ NL– 69-61 NL, favorites +$218
Total: 140-128 NL, favorites +$318

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-06-2018, 05:23 PM

MLB

Thursday, September 6

Trend Report

San Diego Padres
San Diego is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games
San Diego is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
San Diego is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
San Diego is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
San Diego is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
San Diego is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Cincinnati is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games
Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Cincinnati is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
Cincinnati is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing San Diego
Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Diego
Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing at home against San Diego

Chicago Cubs
Chi Cubs is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Chi Cubs is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games
Chi Cubs is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Chi Cubs's last 16 games on the road
Chi Cubs is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Chi Cubs is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games when playing Washington
Chi Cubs is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington Nationals
Washington is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Washington is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games
Washington is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Washington is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games at home
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs

Cleveland Indians
Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Cleveland is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Cleveland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games
Toronto is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
Toronto is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Toronto is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Toronto's last 12 games at home
Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland

Atlanta Braves
Atlanta is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Atlanta is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Atlanta's last 18 games
Atlanta is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games on the road
Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
Atlanta is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Atlanta is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Atlanta's last 9 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona Diamondbacks
Arizona is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games at home
Arizona is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Arizona is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Arizona is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Arizona is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Arizona's last 9 games when playing at home against Atlanta

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-06-2018, 05:23 PM

MLB
Weather Report

Thursday, September 6

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-06-2018, 05:23 PM

MLB
Dunkel

Thursday, September 6

San Diego @ Cincinnati

Game 901-902
September 6, 2018 @ 6:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
(Lauer) 14.650
Cincinnati
(Castillo) 13.536
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
-150
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego
(+130); Under

Chicago Cubs @ Washington

Game 903-904
September 6, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Cubs
(Hendrcks) 13.757
Washington
(Strasburg) 16.363
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 2 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-110
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-110); Over

Atlanta @ Arizona

Game 905-906
September 6, 2018 @ 9:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
(Sanchez) 15.153
Arizona
(Greinke) 17.071
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
-155
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(-155); Over

Cleveland @ Toronto

Game 907-908
September 6, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
(Bieber) 14.450
Toronto
(Gaviglio) 16.495
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-155
9
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(+135); Over

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-06-2018, 05:23 PM

MLB

Thursday, September 6

Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers

Streaking: Kyle Hendricks, Chicago Cubs (11-10, 3.77 ERA, $-906)

Kyle Hendricks had a very rough first half of the season, but he is really starting to round into the Kyle Hendricks we've been accustomed to seeing over the last few years. He's still down over nine units in starter earnings on the season, but has team wins in eight of his last 10 outings and looked tremendous in his last two starts - allowing only one run and eight hits in 13 innings of work.

"The Professor" gets the ball today as a +100 underdog in D.C. against Stephen Strasburg and the Nationals.

Slumping: Eric Lauer, San Diego Padres (5-7, 5.01, $-488)

Like most things with the San Diego Padres this season, Eric Lauer hasn't been great. He does happen to be coming off a five inning, no-hit performance against the Rockies in his last start, so we did have to get a bit creative for the Slumping Starting Pitcher with only four games on today's board.

In Lauer's last three starts against non-NL West opponents he owns a team win/loss record of 0-3, an ERA of 11.45, and a WHIP of 2.09. Lauer and the Padres will face a team outside their division this evening as +135 underdogs in Cincinnati against Luis Castillo and the Reds.

Pitchers Duel in D.C.

Tonight's game between the Cubs and Nationals is a battle between Kyle Hendricks and Stephen Strasburg that should go rather quickly.

As mentioned above in the Streaking Starting Pitcher section, Hendricks is really rounding into form and comes into tonight's start with an ERA of 1.35, a WHIP of 1.10, and an opponent's on-base percentage of .289 in his last three starts.

Strasburg has had great success against the Cubs with an ERA of 0.96 and a WHIP of 0.75 in his last four starts against the Northsiders.

Today's full game total of 8.5 seems high so look at the Under (-110), and Under 4.5 (-120) for the first five innings.

Snake Bite

We discussed in the Double-Play Picks section above that Zack Greinke is very good when pitching at Chase Field in Phoenix. The D-Backs are big favorites tonight for a reason, after all.

If you like the Diamondbacks to win tonight, and the -170 moneyline is a bit out of your acceptable range, definitely take the -1.5 runline into consideration. In Arizona's last 22 wins at home they have covered the -1.5 in 20 of them, with an average margin of victory of 4.6818.

You can get the -1.5 at around +135 and it presents decent value. You could also find some value with the D-Backs to have the most hits in the game at -110.

Thursday 9-6-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Thursday 9-6-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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