Friday 9-7-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Texas Christian Horned Frogs vs. Southern Methodist Mustangs Preview and Predictions

NCAAF Previews 4th September 2018 by Gracenote
by Gracenote on 09/04/2018

No. 16 TCU did exactly what it was supposed to do in Week 1 by thrashing an FCS opponent, hopefully preparing it for a schedule that is about to get considerably tougher. The Horned Frogs will get their first shot in front of a visiting crowd when they travel across the Dallas-Fort Worth metro area to SMU on Friday.

TCU, which faces Ohio State in Week 3 before diving into the Big 12 slate, got a long look at the duel-threat abilities of sophomore quarterback Shawn Robinson in the 55-7 victory over Southern last week. "It was awesome just to be out there with my guys," Robinson told reporters after his five-touchdown performance. "We've been working since January. Just to finally get out there and get a game under our belts, it was a really, really cool experience." The Mustangs are going to need to step up on defense against Robinson and company after surrendering 529 total yards in a 46-23 loss at North Texas on Saturday. SMU, which is under the guidance of new coach Sonny Dykes, trailed 36-0 in the fourth quarter and allowed at least 31 points in seven consecutive games going back to last season.


TV: 8 p.m. ET, ESPN2. LINE: TCU -21.5

ABOUT TCU (1-0): Robinson's three passing TDs and two rushing scores gave him a leg up on fellow sophomore Michael Collins in what is still an open quarterback competition. Collins impressed with his arm strength in Week 1, adding a passing score and 71 yards in five attempts. "Mike can sling it," wide receiver Jalen Reagor, who caught one of Robinson's TD passes, told reporters. "He is pretty consistent, and just like Shawn, if he can gel and get in a rhythm then we can just mold into one."

ABOUT SMU (0-1): Dykes' offense managed only 24 yards in the first half against North Texas, and the Mustangs finished with four rushing yards in the contest. Dykes, who took over last December and coached the 51-10 Frisco Bowl loss to Louisiana Tech, served as an offensive analyst under Gary Patterson at TCU last season after being fired as the coach of California and is known for his offensive acumen. SMU's most explosive offensive player in Week 1 was running back Braeden West, who did his best work as a receiver with three catches for 86 yards and a touchdown, and also rushed for a score.

EXTRA POINTS

1. TCU CB Michael Onyemaobi suffered an undisclosed season-ending injury in Week 1.

2. TCU took 10 of the last 11 meetings in the series, including a 56-36 victory last season.

3. Horned Frogs freshman WR Derius Davis was named Big 12 Newcomer of the Week after catching a TD pass and returning a punt for a score in the opener.

PREDICTION: TCU 50, SMU 17

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ottawa RedBlacks vs. BC Lions Preview and Predictions 09-07-2018 in CFL

CFL Previews 4th September 2018 by Gracenote
by Gracenote on 09/04/2018

The Ottawa Redblacks look to bounce back from their most disappointing loss of the season when they visit the BC Lions on Friday. The Redblacks suffered a 21-11 setback to the last-place Montreal Alouettes in Week 12 to see their lead at the top of the East Division shrink to two points, and hope to get back on track by completing the season sweep of the Lions following a 29-26 victory July 20.

"I don't think it takes away from who we think we are as a team and where we think we're going to go," Ottawa wide receiver Greg Ellingson told reporters. "It's just a bump in the road and we'll make the adjustments." BC was forced to return to the drawing board during its week off following back-to-back losses, including a 24-21 defeat to the Saskatchewan Roughriders on Aug. 25. The last-place Lions, who have dropped four of their last five games, are fighting for their playoff lives after missing the postseason in 2017, and hope to avoid another long winter by knocking off an East Division opponent for the first time since a 22-10 win against Montreal in Week 1. "It's major gut check time," BC quarterback Travis Lulay told reporters. "You can best believe we're going to work our ass off to get where we need to be."

TV: 10 p.m. ET, TSN, ESPN Plus

ABOUT THE REDBLACKS (6-4): Trevor Harris completed 25-of-46 passes for 270 yards against the Alouettes, but finished without a touchdown toss for the second time in five games. Linebacker Kyries Hebert was suspended for the second time this season as he was handed a two-game ban by the league for a "reckless" hit on Montreal wide receiver B.J. Cunningham. Ottawa added defensive back Andrew Lue, who has played for four teams in his four-year CFL career, to the practice squad and released defensive lineman Evan Gill and Dalton Houghton.

ABOUT THE LIONS (3-6): Manny Arceneaux, who leads BC in receptions (32) and receiving yards (553), was placed on the six-game injured list after suffering a torn ACL in the loss to the Roughriders. "This gives somebody else an opportunity to get a little bit more of the limelight," Lions coach Wally Buono said. "There's also nothing wrong with bringing other guys into more of a leadership role as guys can step up." All-star linebacker Solomon Elimimian, who led the CFL with 144 tackles last season, is inching closer to a return after breaking his wrist July 14.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Ottawa K Lewis Ward has made 27 consecutive field goals -- the sixth-longest streak in league history.

2. BC's last two losses have come by a combined four points.

3. The Lions play five straight games against East Division opponents.

PREDICTION: Lions 28, Redblacks 26

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Belmont Park
RACE #8 - BELMONT PARK - 5:13PM EASTERN POST
The Christiecat Stakes
6.0 FURLONGS INNER TURF THREE YEAR OLD FILLIES STAKES $100,000 PURSE

#2 MIZ MAYHEM
#3 BROADWAY RUN
#4 TESORA
#5 KITTEN'S COVERGIRL

This race honors the career of Christiecat,, a granddaughter of Buckpasser, and a multiple, graded stakes winner. In her career, she had 35 lifetime starts, hitting the board in 24 of those of those outings, winning 11 times, netting nearly $800,000.00 in purses for her connections. Here in just the 4th running of "The "C-Cat," #2 MIZ MAYHEM, has excellent early speed abilities to compliment for this sprint, is the overall pace profile leader, and has won five straight starts, with four of those "Circle Trip Results" also meeting my criteria to be tabbed as a "POWER RUN WIN." Jockey Edgar Zayas has been in her irons on 7 previous occasions, hitting the board in 6 of those rides, winning 5 times, and Zayas is back today on "Opening Day" here at Belmont Park for his 8th ride, gunning for a 6th trip into the "Winners Circle." #3 BROADWAY RUN also has a nice pace profile, and has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in each of her three career starts to date, including a pair of "POWER RUN WINS" being included in the recent streak of racing consistency.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Belmont Park
Belmont Park - Race 6

Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (6-8) Pick 4 (.50) Races (6-9), Double Wagers


Optional Claiming $40,000 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 92 • Purse: $70,000 • Post: 4:14P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $13,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $40,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES OTHER THAN CLAIMING OR STARTER SINCE MARCH 1 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $40,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * SATISFY: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. NOBLE FREUD: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. LADY BERGEN: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. BYSELF: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. NO HAYNE NO GAYNE: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
7
SATISFY
5/2

9/2
1
NOBLE FREUD
7/2

6/1
6
LADY BERGEN
2/1

7/1
2
BYSELF
4/1

9/1
5
NO HAYNE NO GAYNE
12/1

9/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
6
LADY BERGEN
6

2/1
Front-runner
93

89

100.6

84.4

75.9
1
NOBLE FREUD
2

7/2
Front-runner
99

91

95.5

83.8

76.8
4
SANDY BELLE
4

15/1
Front-runner
89

91

87.2

80.4

69.9
2
BYSELF
1

4/1
Front-runner
87

84

75.0

83.8

76.8
7
SATISFY
8

5/2
Stalker
90

91

90.6

86.7

82.7
3
BABY BOSS
3

8/1
Stalker
89

76

77.0

65.4

52.9
1A
WEGETSDAMUNNYS
7

7/2
Alternator/Stalker
90

89

71.0

76.0

66.0
5
NO HAYNE NO GAYNE
5

12/1
Alternator/Stalker
92

84

67.3

83.1

71.6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Golden Gate Fields - Race #3 - Post: 2:15pm - Optional Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $27,000 Class Rating: 83

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#4 RIVER OF DOUBT (ML=7/2)


RIVER OF DOUBT - Have to like the early speed on this one. No one else may even be close. You have to like that latest race rating, 75, which is the best most recent race speed rating of this group. Earnings per race is something that I feel can be a very valuable handicapping factor. This mount is ranked at the top of the list in this group.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 TOMLIN (ML=1/1), #1 SCATAPULP (ML=3/1), #2 BEAUTIFUL CREATURE (ML=6/1),

TOMLIN - Notched a substandard speed figure last out in a Maiden Special race on Aug 3rd. Unlikely to see an improved performance off of that rating. SCATAPULP - Tough to bet on any horse in a sprint event at 3/1 when she hasn't shown any on the board results in sprints in the last couple months. Tough for anyone who saw this questionable contender in her last affair to wager on her in today's event. BEAUTIFUL CREATURE - Finished first in her most recent effort with a mediocre speed figure. When I look at today's Equibase class figure, it would take an improved performance to score after that in this field.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#4 RIVER OF DOUBT to win at post-time odds of 1/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
4 with 5

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park

09/07/18, GP, Race 3, 2.59 ET
1M [Turf] 1.31.02 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $29,000.
Claiming Price $20,000 (Races where entered for $10,000 or less not considered in allowances). FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $12,500 OR LESS IN 2017-2018 OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $20,000
$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5 - $.50 Bet 3 (Races 3-4-5)
Best in race - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Top Horse Win Percent 23.69, $1 ROI 0.91, For Race Category Non-Maiden Turf
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer FLAGS
100.0000 9 Song of Melody(b-) 6-1 Jaramillo E Zerpa Gilberto TW
098.2752 4 Scatnap 7/2 Gaffalione T Joseph. Jr. Saffie A. F
097.4896 5 Athera 4-1 Jaramillo E Gallegos Jose A. C
096.6820 10 Amaluna 6-1 Batista J A Maragh Ricko E
096.4631 1 Balada 3-1 Camacho S Lichoa Alfredo L
093.7008 3 Final Flurry 6-1 Donis A Brinsley Monte S
092.5786 2 My Gal Lollipop 15-1 Batista J A Rountree Cathy
092.5069 6 Prado Vision 10-1 Reyes L Abarrio Juan Carlos Pe
091.0007 8 Game Girl 12-1 Maragh R R Arterburn Lonnie
090.1537 7 Conquest Dynasty 5-1 Ruiz J Garcia Rodolfo
If Race Is Off Turf
Top Horse Win Percent 30.67, $1 ROI 0.84, For Race Category Non-Maiden Dirt
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer FLAGS
100.0000 1 Balada 3-1 Camacho S Lichoa Alfredo L
099.5558 4 Scatnap 7/2 Gaffalione T Joseph. Jr. Saffie A.
099.3605 9 Song of Melody(b-) 6-1 Jaramillo E Zerpa Gilberto T
098.3033 5 Athera 4-1 Jaramillo E Gallegos Jose A. FC
097.9177 10 Amaluna 6-1 Batista J A Maragh Ricko E
097.8630 3 Final Flurry 6-1 Donis A Brinsley Monte SW
095.5313 6 Prado Vision 10-1 Reyes L Abarrio Juan Carlos Pe
094.3091 7 Conquest Dynasty 5-1 Ruiz J Garcia Rodolfo
093.4372 8 Game Girl 12-1 Maragh R R Arterburn Lonnie
091.4433 2 My Gal Lollipop 15-1 Batista J A Rountree Cathy

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Lethbridge
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $3800 Class Rating: 66

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2018. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 120 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 7 BOOZIN TIME 8/1

# 2 SOUTHERN ECHO 10/1

# 3 MAJOR MOMENT 3/1

I think BOOZIN TIME is a quite good selection and is a decent value bet given the line at 8/1. Exhibits the look of a profitable play, averaging a solid 72 speed fig which is one of the strongest in this field. Solid choice to take this race going in a dirt sprint. Put up a very strong speed fig last time out. SOUTHERN ECHO - This mare could improve now going off Lasix. With a sound jockey who has won at a solid 18 percent rate over the last 30 days. This has to be one of the top selections. MAJOR MOMENT - Will likely be one of the front-runners of the group going into the midpoint of the contest. This gelding with Stewart in the saddle makes him a solid contender.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Laurel - Race #4 - Post: 2:40pm - SO - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $28,000 Class Rating: 78

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#1 RITHM AND RAP (ML=6/1)
#3 HOT FRIESIA (ML=7/2)
#5 SARAH'S TREASURE (ML=2/1)


RITHM AND RAP - The morning line odds on this filly are higher than those of the other entrant from the shedrow of handler Merryman. Often the longer-priced part of a 'split' entry wins. Believe in this horse. No other viable pace gives this animal a strong chance at the winner's circle. Dropped down in class last out, running against the same type today. This filly is in fine form, having run a nice race on August 12th, finishing third. HOT FRIESIA - This jockey and trainer have a lucrative ROI when they team up. Racing at a similar level as last race on August 12th at Laurel. I think Merryman has found a good spot for her, and I like her chances in this race. SARAH'S TREASURE - This mare is in superb condition right now. Ran third last out and comes back quickly.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 BRIDGEWATER (ML=5/2), #4 ROSY'S RAINBOW (ML=6/1),

BRIDGEWATER - Awfully tough to play any horse that just won a Maiden Claimer, then steps up to face winners. This was a live horse, but now this one hasn't been doing anything in the morning. Have to watch your step with this one. Finished first in her most recent performance with a mediocre fig. When I look at today's class rating, it would take an improved performance to score after that in this field. ROSY'S RAINBOW - Tough for me to be playing this kind of maiden breaker.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#1 RITHM AND RAP is going to be the play if we are getting 7/2 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,3]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,3,5] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[1,3,5] with [1,3,5] with [1,2,3,4,5] with [1,2,3,4,5] Total Cost: $36

SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Penn National
Penn National - Race 2

W-P-S / Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta / Daily Double $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4) / $0.20 Hollywood Hi 5


Maiden Claiming $5,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 53 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 6:27P
(PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Lone Front-runner. SPYDERBOLT is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SPYDERBOLT: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs. C. VICTOR: Horse ra nks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. DUBLIN MY MONEY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs.
7
SPYDERBOLT
5/1

4/1
9
C. VICTOR
8/1

5/1
5
DUBLIN MY MONEY
6/1

8/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
7
SPYDERBOLT
7

5/1
Front-runner
60

54

75.4

39.6

32.1
11
PROVERBS FOUR RVF
11

4/1
Alternator/Stalker
53

51

58.0

42.2

32.7
8
FORBIDDEN CABLE
8

3/1
Alternator/Stalker
0

0

54.0

45.2

38.7
2
SULTAN OF SWATARA
2

10/1
Alternator/Stalker
56

47

45.0

45.2

31.7
9
C. VICTOR
9

8/1
Alternator/Stalker
66

53

42.8

49.2

44.7
5
DUBLIN MY MONEY
5

6/1
Alternator/Trailer
66

59

39.6

36.8

24.8
10
PECOS BILL
10

12/1
Alternator/Trailer
0

0

25.2

41.6

24.1
1
OUR PAUL THOMAS
1

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

74.8

26.0

13.0
3
KING VICTORIA
3

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

42.6

26.2

8.7
6
FALSE I. D.
6

8/1
Alternator/Non-contender
51

44

41.8

38.0

27.0
4
GUARICHONGO
4

30/1
Alternator/Non-contender
56

44

31.2

37.2

20.2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Sweetwater Downs
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Maiden - 330y on the Dirt. Purse: $4500 Class Rating: 87

QUARTER HORSE 330Y, FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 3 JESSES CARTEL 7/2

# 7 BIG RED DASH 3/1

# 2 CD PROUD FLYIN D KAS 12/1

I've got to go with JESSES CARTEL. With Dominguez in the saddle guiding her, this filly should be able to break out early in this competition. May best this group here, showing solid numbers of late. Has earned formidable speed figures in short races in the past. BIG RED DASH - Had one of the best Equibase Speed Figures of this group of horses in this race in his last competition. He has garnered strong figures under today's conditions and will almost certainly fare well versus this field. CD PROUD FLYIN D KAS - Have to love when any pony makes a quick return to the track. With one of the strongest jockeys in terms of returns at the window, don't count this filly out.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Betting Recap - Week 1
Joe Williams

Overall Notes



The largest underdogs to win straight up
Cincinnati (+14.5, ML +450) at UCLA, 26-17
Villanova (+14.5, ML +450) at Temple, 19-17
Hawaii (+13.5, ML +425) vs. Navy, 59-41
Maryland (+13, ML +400) vs. Texas, 34-29
Brigham Young (+11, ML +320) at Arizona, 28-23

The largest favorites to cover
Toledo (-48.5) vs. Virginia Military, 66-3
Mississippi State (-47.5) vs. Stephen F. Austin, 63-6
Texas A&M (-46.5) vs. Northwestern State, 59-7
Florida (-43) vs. Charleston Southern, 53-6
Ohio State (-40) vs. Oregon State, 77-31

Top 25 Notes

-- Top-ranked Alabama remains the gold standard in college football until further notice. They rolled up a 51-14 victory against Louisville as a 23 1/2-point favorite at Camping World Stadium in Orlando, Fla. The only drama in this game came down to whether or not the over or under would cash. See bad beats below. ... There were concerns that Ohio State might be a bit distracted due to the Urban Meyer suspension, but Oregon State knows the Buckeyes were plenty focused. Ohio State covered the largest spread of any FBS vs. FBS game, hammering the beleaguered Beavers by a 77-31 score. They ended up getting the cover late, yet another big-time program dealing out a bit of a bad beat in the opening weekend. ... On the 11-year anniversary of their colossal upset in Ann Arbor, Appalachian State was at it again at Penn State. They entered the game as 24 1/2-point underdogs, but the Mountaineers put a scare into the Top 10 Nittany Lions. App State scored 28 points in the final quarter to force overtime, 38-38. Penn State survived in OT, 45-38, but soon Big Ten clubs are going to refuse to take calls from Boone, N.C. about future scheduling.

-- Auburn-Washington looked like one of the best matchups of the opening slate on paper, and it certainly lived up to the billing. Sure, there were some mistakes on both sides, but this one came right down to the end. Auburn ended up securing a 21-16 victory, potentially damaging Washington's playoff hopes before their second game of the season, while the Tigers earned a huge feather for their cap.

-- Michigan-Notre Dame was another highly anticipated matchup, as these two storied schools renewed their rivalry. Jim Harbaugh has a new toy under center in QB Shea Patterson, but the Wolverines were tripped up 24-17 to lose for the 17th straight time on the road against a ranked opponent.

-- Two games were cancelled due to inclement weather, including the Akron-Nebraska. It was supposed to be the celebration of Scott Frost's return to Lincoln. His debut will have to wait another week until Colorado pays a visit next week. The other cancelled game was South Dakota State-Iowa State, the first cancelled game for the Cyclones since 1963 when John F. Kennedy was assassinated. There are no plans to make up either contest.

Big Five Conference Report (ACC, Big 10, Big 12, Pac-12, SEC)

-- The Atlantic Coast Conference (ACC) mostly did what they were supposed to do, and that is win. That is, except for Louisville. North Carolina-California was also a bit of a coin-flip game, and the Golden Bears came away with the 24-17 result. UNC slipped to 0-4 SU over the past four season openers, and a disturbing 0-5-1 ATS across the past six season openers dating back to Sept. 1, 2012. ... Wake Forest grinded out a tough 23-17 win in overtime on the road against Tulane as the Green Wave narrowly covered a seven-point number at most shops. The Demon Deacons have been favored by three or more points just four times since the start of the 2010 season. The last time they covered as favorites by a field goal or more on the road was Nov. 28, 2009 at Duke.

-- Mid-American giant killer Northern Illinois entered the weekend 4-1 SU in their past five against Big Ten opponents. Iowa was wearing their upset bug repellent and never gave the Huskies a chance to threaten. It was a 3-0 lead at halftime for Iowa, so the thought was NIU could still make it happen. But the Hawkeyes pulled away in the second half for an emphatic 33-7 victory. ... Indiana hung on tight for a 38-28 road victory against Butch Davis and Florida International despite hot and humid conditions in South Florida. The Golden Panthers did grab the cover, however. ... Northwestern handed Purdue a loss in Thursday's game, 31-27. While the Wildcats won at Ross-Ade, the Boilermakers showed they're not going to be a pushover any longer.

-- Oklahoma was expected to receive a little more resistance from Lane Kiffin and Florida Atlantic on Saturday, but the Owls remain a cream puff rather than a giant killer like App State, NIU, etc. Boomer Sooner laid down the boom, rolling up a 56-0 lead at one point before the Owls finally lit up their side of the scoreboard. ... It looks like another long season is in the offing for Kansas, as they suffered a 26-23 setback against FCS Nicholls State. Hey, at least the Jayhawks forced them to overtime. ... Kansas State almost joined their rivals in misery, as FCS South Dakota gave the Wildcats all they could handle at Bill Snyder Family Stadium in Manhattan. In the end, K-State survived 27-24, but they have a lot of work to do. ... West Virginia humbled Tennessee in a neutral-site battle, as QB Will Grier kept his Heisman campaign on schedule.

-- UCLA was unable to pull any comeback heroics like last season against Texas A&M. It was Cincinnati spoiling the debut of Chip Kelly, 26-17. ... Southern California was a bit sluggish in their home opener against UNLV, but the alarm clock went off to start the fourth quarter. The Runnin' Rebels trailed just 19-14 going into the final 15 minutes, but the Trojans outscored the visitors 24-7 and they nearly covered. ... Washington State-Wyoming was supposed to be more of a defensive struggle, at least for the visiting Cougars. The Cowboys have an impressive defense, and they shut down New Mexico State in Week Zero. The Cougs weren't having any of it, piling up 41 points in a 41-19 win. It wasn't as lopsided as it looks, though. Wazzu entered the final 15 minutes up just 20-19 before running away.

-- Ole Miss looked mighty impressive on the road at Texas Tech, winning 47-27 to easily cover a 2 1/2-point number. ... South Carolina was not a very kind host to Coastal Carolina, smashing the Chanticleers by a 49-15 count. The Gamecocks covered the 30 1/2-point number, their largest spread covered since winning 70-10 as 34 1/2-point favorites on Nov. 23, 2013 against, yep...Coastal Carolina. ... Vanderbilt was supposed to receiver a bigger test against South Middle Tennessee, as they were just a three-point favorite. The Commodores roughed up the Blue Raiders by a 35-7 count.

Mid-Major Report

-- Temple was shocked by FCS Villanova at home, losing 19-17. The Owls led 17-13 heading to the final quarter, but the Wildcats ended up celebrating in the end. For FBS teams nicknamed the Owls (FAU, Temple and Rice), they ended up 0-3 SU and 1-2 ATS. Only Rice earned a cover in their 45-27 loss against Houston. ... Memphis lost a lot of key components, but it didn't show in their 66-14 victory over FCS Mercer. The Tigers piled up 28 points in both the first and second quarter to build a 56-0 halftime lead before letting the reserves bring it home. ... SMU had their lunch handed to them by North Texas, 46-23. The two sides combined for 33 points in the fourth quarter, but came up just short of the total (71 1/2).

-- Texas El-Paso entered their contest against FCS Northern Arizona as seven-point underdogs despite the fact the game was being played at home. Vegas got it right, and then some...as the Lumberjacks crushed their FBS opponent by a 30-10 count. It's gonna be a long season in El Paso, so be prepared to fade the Miners. ... Marshall picked up a 35-28 road win against rival Miami-Ohio, covering as one-point road 'dogs. The Thundering Herd is now 6-0 SU/5-1 ATS across their past six season openers. ... Old Dominion went to Liberty, favored by five points. The Flames, playing in their first game ever as an FBS program, never faltered in the 52-10 victory against the Monarchs.

-- Central Michigan opened on the road against Kentucky, and John Bonamego's crew hung around for a while. In fact, they trailed just 21-20 at halftime. But the Chips were scoreless in the second half to slip up 35-20. They were able to hang around for the cover, however. ... Ohio roughed up FCS Hampton in their opener last season, but this year they had trouble with Howard. The Bison won a game against the FBS last season at UNLV, and they were trying to spring another upset as 31 1/2-point 'dogs. Eventually the Bobcats won 38-32, but it wasn't pretty.

-- Idaho dropped back down to FCS, and Fresno State treated them rather rudely in their visit to the Valley. The Bulldogs scored seven rushing touchdowns en route to a 79-13 win. ... Nevada also went for a 70-burger against FCS Portland State, winning 72-19 to cover a four-touchdown spread. ... Offense was not missing in the Islands, either. Hawaii is off to a 2-0 SU/ATS start after sinking Navy. The Warriors are using the run-and-shoot and look like a very entertaining group early on. ... San Jose State is going to be terrible again. They were dropped 44-38 at home against FCS UC-Davis. Ouch.

Bad Beats

-- Oregon State was covering the 40-point number for the entire game, but Beavers side bettors were sunk by Buckeyes reserve RB Master Teague, as he ripped off a 33-yard touchdown run with 3:50 to go for the 77-31 win and cover.

-- Louisville didn't score much in their neutral-site battle against 'Bama, but they scored enough. 'Under' (60) were left muttering to themselves after Kemari Averett hauled in an 8-yard TD pass with 1:55 to play to close the Tide lead to 51-14, changing the 'under' to an 'over'. Why? WHY?!?!?!

-- Army was trailing 31-14, and they were attempting a long field goal in the closing minutes at Duke. The field goal was blocked, which was the good news for 'under' (46) bettors. The bad news is that the Blue Devils returned it deep into Black Knights territory. With 3:59 to go, Duke booted a 30-yard field goal which had no impact on the score or line, but it flipped an 'under' to an 'over'.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Early Line Moves - Week 2

The second week of the college football season is upon us and it is the first real week where we can track early line moves. The first week of the season was completely different because the college football odds were up for months in some cases. This time around the odds were released on Sunday night or Monday morning, so we will get true early line movement we can track.

Let’s look at the early line moves for Week 2 college football action, some line moves around the key number of three and a few smaller line moves on some of the marquee games for Week 2.

Week 2 Early Moves

TCU -17.5 to -22.5 at SMU
The first game of Week 2 is getting a lot of action, as bettors are pounding the TCU Horned Frogs at SMU. The Horned Frogs looked good last week in a 55-7 rout of Southern, while the Mustangs were routed 46-23 at North Texas. This Friday night game can be seen on ESPN 2.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Friday, September 7

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TCU (1 - 0) at SMU (0 - 1) - 9/7/2018, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TCU is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
SMU is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 63 since 1992.
SMU is 95-126 ATS (-43.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SMU is 1-1 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons
TCU is 2-0 straight up against SMU over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF

Week 2

Trend Report

Friday, September 7

Texas Christian @ Southern Methodist
Texas Christian
Texas Christian is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Southern Methodis
Texas Christian is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Southern Methodist

Southern Methodist
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Southern Methodist's last 5 games when playing Texas Christian
Southern Methodist is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home