Service Plays Thursday 9/6/18

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ASA
OPINION ONLY on Under 45 Points - Atlanta @ Philadelphia, Thursday at 8:20 PM ET

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Chris Jordan
Winning Day # 7 of 9

300♦ Opening Night Lock

Eagles -1

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Paul Leiner

2000* Falcons

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Kelso

25* Atlanta Falcons

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Al Demarco

Top-Rated 15 Dime Winner


Philadelphia at home over Atlanta. The line is pick-em at 11:00 am pacific.

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Vegasdatasbase

Atlanta Falcons

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Worlds Worst Picker

Cubs

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Bondi

3* Atlanta

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Jack Jones

15* Atlanta

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Robert Ferringo

2-Unit Play. Take #451 Atlanta (+1) over Philadelphia (8 p.m., Thursday, Sept. 6)

1-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 45.0 Atlanta at Philadelphia (8 p.m., Thursday, Sept. 6)

I feel like the defending champs are in a little bit of trouble out of the gate. And this spot sets up well for the Falcons. The Eagles have seen the usual amount of post-Super Bowl roster turnover and are missing some key guys from last year. They are also still without Carson Wentz. I like Nick Foles. He could be a starter for a dozen teams in the NFL. But he's been banged up this preseason and he's looked pretty bad when he's been out there. Let's be honest: he caught lightning in a bottle late last year and rode that to a title. But that momentum isn't going to carry over here. The Falcons have revenge after a tight loss in the playoffs last season. And the Eagles may be distracted by all the Super Bowl champion hoopla tonight. I think the Falcons come to play and I like them to get this win.

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Vernon Croy

4-Unit Play. Take #451-452 Atlanta/Philadelphia GAME TOTAL UNDER 45 (Thursday, September 6th at 8:30 PM ET)

Take Atlanta/Philadelphia GAME TOTAL UNDER as my 4-Unit NFL Smash for Thursday night. This pick falls into one of my top NFL systems and I have this game staying well under the posted total tonight. The O/U is 0-7 for the Falcons in their last 7 games against a conference opponent and the O/U is 6-12 for the Eagles in their last 18 home games. The Eagles will have to step up defensively if they want a shot at winning this game with all of the injuries they have offensively. You can also expect the Eagles to work the clock with their ground game in this home opener tonight with a healthy Ajayi in the backfield who practiced fully this week. The Eagles allowed just 12.4 ppg at home last season and just 5 ppg in the first half on their home games last season, while the Falcons allowed just 12.7 ppg over their last 3 games last season. Play the UNDER.

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Strike Point

3-Unit Play. Take #451 Atlanta (+1) over Philadelphia (8 p.m., Thursday, September 6)
The Falcons were one Julio Jones jumpball away from taking out the eventual Super Bowl Champions last year in the playoffs. Atlanta is the same team only more potent offensively this year so this game could spell trouble for the Eagles. Philly is nursing a hang over the size of the Liberty Bell after they won their first title ever last year and with Nick Foles starting game one (Wentz is still out) they are at a major disadvantage in this one. They still have weapons, although Alshon Jeffery is out, and will be able to move the ball at times but the Foles magic will be tested with a fast and hungry Atlanta defense. Its is always great when football is back but the Eagles may need a few weeks for the dust to settle before they know if they can repeat. Take the Points but Atlanta has a chance to take this one outright.

[New York Knight]

Data from the 100+ William Hill Sportsbooks in Nevada and also New Jersey










CGTechnology breakdown on ATL-PHI


Opened Eagles -4, peaked at 4.5 in late June. Down to 2 by Wednesday, and got to Pick this afternoon

"On pointspread, 78% of all dollars on Atlanta"

"On moneyline, 68% of all dollars on Atlanta. On total, 57% of all dollars are on Under. No respected money has shown up yet on either side."

"Ideal result as of now would be an Eagles win that covers all number -4 and down. A high-scoring game would be ideal as well, but Eagles covering is a bigger need."


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The Greek Sportsbook

Sharp Action

Falcons
Under (small)


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Top Bet Sportsbook


66% of cash on Atlanta who opened +4 and now are -1


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Pinnacle


Spread
Falcons (-1) 60%
Eagles (+1) 40%

ML
Falcons 62%
Eagles 38%

Total (44.5)
Over 37%
Under 63%

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Sports Insights Contributing Books


62% of spread bets are on Atlanta +1

57% of total bets are on over 44.5


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BetOnline

"Sharp money on Falcons tonight"


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MGM Race and Sports ...


Borgata AC ...

Ticket count is even ... Money is 5/1 in favor of Falcons


In Vegas / Mississippi ...

Pointspread ticket count is about 5/1 for Atlanta and money is 7/1 Atlanta

[New York Knight]

Tally

Free / Paid

Using THEIR lines ... lots of line movement in this game


Falcons - 22 .... 1 GOM
Eagles - 13 ..... 1 GOY
Over - 4
Under - 16

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Prez
4% Eagles Over