Tuesday 9-11-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Diamond Trends - Tuesday
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day:

-- The Rockies are 12-0 SU at home after a win in which they trailed and it is not a series opener.

SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

-- This one has appeared in this spot multiple times this season. The Orioles are now 0-21 SU as a 135-plus home dog after a game in which they had more strikeouts than hits.

Hitter-Based Trend of the Day:

-- Active yet again and keeps winning... The Athletics are now 16-0 SU in franchise history as a 130-plus favorite after a game in which Matt Chapman was hitless in at least three at bats.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day:

-- The Dodgers are 0-7 SU with Hyun Jin Ryu after August. The Dodgers were the favorite in each of their last three in this spot, but they never led in all three.

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Cole Faxon

Sep 11 '18, 6:40 PM in 2h
MLB | Dodgers vs Reds
Play on: Reds +161 at YouWager

FREE PLAY on Reds +161

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Sal Michaels

Sep 11 '18, 10:05 PM in 5h
MLB | Rangers vs Angels
Play on: Rangers +144 at YouWager

Free Play on Rangers +144

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Mike Williams

Sep 11 '18, 6:40 PM in 2h
MLB | Astros vs Tigers
Play on: Tigers +225 at YouWager

1* on Tigers +225

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Bobby Conn

Sep 11 '18, 6:40 PM in 2h
MLB | Astros vs Tigers
Play on: Astros -275 at MyBookie

1* Free Play on Astros -275

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Jimmy Boyd

Sep 11 '18, 7:05 PM in 2h
MLB | OAK vs BAL
Play on: UNDER 9½ -110

1* Free Pick on Orioles/A's UNDER 9.5
The books have set the total too high for Tuesday's MLB action between the Orioles and A's. Baltimore will send out Alex Cobb, who is coming off a strong outing at Seattle, where he allowed just 1 run on 4 hits in 6 innings. Cobb has faced the A's 9 times in his career and owns a strong 2.25 ERA and 1.150 WHIP.
Oakland will counter with Michael Fiers, who has a strong 3.36 ERA and 1.172 WHIP in 27 starts this season. He too was on point in his last outing, allowing just 2 runs on 3 hits in 6 innings at home against the Yankees. Fiers has faced Oakland 3 times and has a 2.25 ERA and 0.900 WHIP in this 3 starts.
UNDER is 25-15 in the Orioles last 40 home games vs a right-handed starter and 19-9-3 in their last 31 at home against a team with a winning road record. UNDER is 9-4 in the A's last 13 road games and 5-1 in their last 6 following an off day. Take the UNDER!

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Totals Guru

Sep 11 '18, 8:05 PM in 3h
MLB | MIL vs CHC
Play on: OVER 8½ -110

Free Total Annihilator On Brewers vs Cubs over 8½ -110

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Matt Fargo

Sep 11 '18, 10:15 PM in 6h
MLB | Braves vs Giants
Play on: Giants +125 at GTBets

The Braves have won four straight games and with the Phillies getting rained out last night, they now have a five-game lead in the National League East over Philadelphia. Atlanta has been one of the best road teams in baseball this season as it is 43-30 which is the third best record in MLB and best in the National League. Thus, there prices are adjusted because of it and there seems to be a bit of an overadjustment tonight in what is not as big of an advantage as it may look like on paper. They have lost four straight games when their opponent scored two runs or less. San Francisco is in another funk as it has lost nine straight games with the offense scoring three runs or less in eight of those. That may lead to believe they are at a huge disadvantage against the Braves top starter but that is not the case. Mike Foltynewicz has had a breakout season as he has posted a 2.75 ERA and 1.12 WHIP in 27 starts but he has not accounted for many wins as he has just 10 while Atlanta has gone only 12-15 in those games. The Giants have excelled in these spots as they are 17-9 this season against National League starters with a WHIP of 1.15 or better. Andrew Suarez has been decent yet unspectacular but he has been good enough to keep the Giants around in games for the most part. He does have a solid 3.07 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 12 home starts and the Braves are 1-6 in their last seven games against left-handed starters. Here, we play on home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 that are hitting .215 or worse over their last 15 games going up against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.00 or better over his last three starts. This situation is 33-14 (70.2 percent) over the last five seasons. Play (964) San Francisco Giants

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Kenny Walker

Sep 11 '18, 10:10 PM in 6h
MLB | Padres vs Mariners
Play on: Mariners -199 at GTBets

Free Pick on Mariners

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Cappers Club

Sep 11 '18, 10:10 PM in 6h
MLB | Padres vs Mariners
Play on: Padres +187 at 5Dimes

Padres +187
This play just missed out on our premium card. The San Diego Padres and the Seattle Mariners face off on Tuesday and as a value play the Padres have the value.
ON the mound for the Mariners is Marco Gonzales who has been hit hard as of late. In his last start he went three innings giving up eight runs.
The Padres are going to have a chance to light him up again.
Back the Padres
5* FREE Cappers Club Play on Padres ML

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Dave Price

Sep 11 '18, 10:15 PM in 6h
MLB | Braves vs Giants
Play on: Braves -130 at pinnacle

Dave’s Tuesday Free Play:
1* on Atlanta Braves -130
The Key: The Atlanta Braves in a pennant race and trying to clinch the NL East. They have a lot more to play for right now than the San Francisco Giants, and it’s showing. I cashed in the Braves last night as my free play over the Giants, who are now 0-9 in their last 9 games overall. San Francisco has now scored 3 or fewer runs in 12 of its last 14 games. Mike Foltynewicz has been the ace of the Braves staff this season and should shut them down again. He is 10-9 with a 2.75 ERA in 27 starts this year and 6-6 with a 2.71 ERA in 13 road starts. He’ll be opposed by Andrew Suarez, who is 6-10 with a 4.33 ERA in 25 starts this year. The Braves are 7-1 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Take Atlanta.

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Mark Wilson

Sep 11 '18, 8:15 PM in 4h
MLB | PIT vs STL
Play on: UNDER 8 +105

Free Play on Pirates vs Cardinals under 8 +105

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John Martin

Sep 11 '18, 8:05 PM in 3h
MLB | Brewers vs Cubs
Play on: Cubs -122 at betonline

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Chicago Cubs -123
I expect the Chicago Cubs to bounce back from a 3-2 loss to the Brewers last night that has them sitting just one game ahead of Milwaukee in the NL Central. Jose Quintana is 2-0 with a 2.55 ERA in his last three starts. Quintana has dominated the Brewers as he is 5-2 with a 1.78 ERA and 0.82 WHIP in nine previous starts against them. Chicago is 16-3 off a one-run loss this season. The Cubs are 16-5 in Quintana’s last 21 home starts. Chicago is 5-1 in Quintana’s last six starts against the Brewers. Give me the Cubs.

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John Ryan

Sep 11 '18, 7:10 PM in 3h
MLB | Blue Jays vs Red Sox
Play on: Blue Jays +287 at 5Dimes

The Play and the Matchup
Toronto (971)
TORONTO (65 - 78) at BOSTON (98 - 46)
Tuesday, 9/11/2018 7:10 PM
RYAN BORUCKI (L) vs. CHRIS SALE (L)
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
5-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.

Place a 5-star wager on the Toronto Blue Jays, which the market has them riced as 255 road dogs.

SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls for the Blue Jays to have a lower, more efficient hits-per-run ratio and use 3 or more pitchers than Boston. In past games, where they have met these performance measures and installed as road dogs of 200 and higher they have gone 10-2 for 83% and a nice 152% ROI. When they have been road dogs and had the better HPR ratio and used 3 or more pitchers then the opponent, the Blue Jays are 224-57 for 80% and a nice 87% ROI.

DB Situational Query
Play against home favorites with a money line of -150 or more starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or fewer earned runs in his last 2 outings and is now facing an opponent with a struggling starting pitcher sporting an ERA 7.00 or worse over his last 5 starts.
222-248 since 1997 47.2%, +15,380 per $100 wagered.

This system is one of the best and illustrates why it is necessary to identify dogs in MLB that can win their share of games over the course of a season if you fully intend on generating profits. Chris Sale is on the hill tonight and he is a monster to say the least. It does NOT matter if this game wins or loses tonight. That may sound insane to some of you, but your focus is on the fact that this database query has made $15,380 wagering just $100 per game. When you re-read that last sentence is there one ounce of fear of losing even if you are facing Sale tonight? Not a bit and that is one of the best practices in sports betting.

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Ross Benjamin

Sep 11 '18, 8:15 PM in 4h
MLB | White Sox vs Royals
Play on: Royals -130 at betonline

Ross Benjamin has an MLB 10* Top Play money line underdog winner on Tuesday’s card. Ross is 83-63 (57%) L146 with his MLB picks at an average money line price of +101. Ross has been a master of identifying MLB money line betting value for 2 decades. Don’t miss this golden opportunity to cash with this handsome rate of return on investment wager.
White Sox (Covey) @ Royals (Keller) 8:15 PM ET
Game# 975-976
Play On: Royals -135
The White Sox enter tonight having lost 6 straight games and have been outscored by a combined 40-13 during that futile stretch. Dylan Covey returns to the starting rotation tonight due to an injury after he’d been relegated to the bullpen. Covey had a horrible 8.37 ERA and 1.82 WHIP during his last 5 starts.
Kansas City has won 9 of their last 10 home games and that includes capturing 6 in a row at Kauffman Stadium. The Royals Brad Keller has exhibited very good form over his last 5 starts while compiling an excellent 1.97 ERA. Bet on the Royals for my Tuesday 9/11 MLB free pick of the day.