Service Plays Sunday 9/23/18

[Can'tPickAWinner]

King creole

3* LA RAMS / LA CHARGES over 47.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy

Reg season YTD thru 9/21: 6-9, -18.8 units

3-Unit Play. #467. Take New Orleans Saints +3 over the Atlanta Falcons (Sunday @ 1pm)

We'll gladly take the field goal here with the Saints with the better playcaller, better quarterback and the healthier defense here than the Falcons. The Falcons lost Neal for the season likely here and they come off a very nice win over the Panthers but this Saints team is going to be very hungry after an absolute dud of a performance last week against the Browns at home. This is a divison game, and we get the better quarterback with the points here as this is a Saints team very hungry for an important win in the division after losing the opening week to the Bucs. Would not be a bit surprised here to see the Saints cover and possibly win Outright here.

7-Unit Play. #470. Take Baltimore Ravens -5 over Denver Broncos (Sunday @ 1pm)

How much do we really know about Denver? They beat a Seahawk team that is 0-2 and they beat a Oakland team that can't score. Now, they have to facea Baltimore team who just gave up 34 points their last game to Cincinnati a division rival, who is going to be mad, coming back home, wanting to avoid a 1-2 start to a year that Harbaugh is on the hot seat and do you really trust Case Keenum here against this Ravens defense who is going to get after it. The Broncos defense is obviously very good but if the Seahawks could figure out how to score points here, then it's certainly possible for the Ravens and Flacco to do the same as Flacco has had 50+ passing attempts last game which has gone a bit unnoticed. The Ravens got dominated early that game and we like them to start off this game very fast. We just cannot see the Ravens starting 1-2 and this is a nice spot to go against the Broncos who are on the road for their first game and likely struggle a bit out of the gates.

3-Unit Play. #479. Take San Francisco 49ers +6.5 over Kansas City Chiefs (Sunday @ 1pm)

Pat Mahomes is the savior! Pat Mahomes is the savior! Well, hold on a bit here. He's going to be a great quarterback and he's got immense talent (same kid who beat out Baker Mayfield which is why Baker transferred and same kid who Andy Reid decided to let Alex Smith go). Having said that, the Niners played like garbage last week against the Lions barely winning, gets to face Mahomes here and the Chiefs who are very high on everyone's board and will up for this game in a massive way this weekend. Jimmy G is no slouch and this many points with a competent Niners defense that nearly beat the Vikings and should have it it wasn't for a dropped pass, sets up well here for the Niners to bounce-back defensively after a poor showing against the Lions. Niners hang tough and this is a great public fade this week.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Allen Eastman
411 Play
Dallas

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Warren Sharp

Denver/Baltimore Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc Lawrence

Double Perfect NFL Sunday Night Super Play!

Lions

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Norm Hitzges' Picks of the Pole

Dallas +1.5
Dallas-Seattle UNDER 41.5

SINGLE PLAYS
Carolina -3
Jacksonville -6.5
Baltimore -5.5
San Francisco +6.5
Minnesota -16.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

COLIN COWHERD'S BLAZIN' 5

Indianapolis +6 1/2

NY Giants +6 (likes them outright)

Cincinnati +3 (outright)

Washington +3 (outright)

Seattle -1 1/2 (strongest play of the week)

[Knuckle Sandwich]

DOUBLE DRAGON SPORTS - NFL WEEK #3

4-UNIT STRONGS
JAGUARS -9.5 vs titans (1pm)
SAINTS +3 (-130) at falcons (1pm)
RAVENS -5.5 vs broncos (1pm)
49'ERS +7 (-125) at chiefs (1pm)
BEARS -5at cardinals (4:25pm)
SEAHAWKS -1.5 vs cowboys (4:25pm)
PATRIOTS -7 at lions (SNF - 8:20pm)

*All Lines from VI Consensus 9/21/18 - 8pm
**All times Eastern

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Todd Fuhrman

New Orleans +3
San Fran +6.5
Washington +3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Francesca picks for Week 3:
Vikings -16.5
Panthers -3
Bears -4.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Football Jesus : Ravens-5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DWAYNE BRYANT
SUNDAY, September 23, 2018
NFL -- 1:00 PM ET
[473] Oakland Raiders at [474] Miami Dolphins
PLAY: OVER 44.5 (-104)
BET SIZE: 5%
My football totals system is a combination of relevant statistical data, history involving similar games, and current market data. A play is made when enough of these factors align. The size of the play is determined by a combination of how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.


Projected Points Scored = 52


Miami has a balanced offense, and Oakland's defense is severely lacking in many areas. One of those areas is their pass rush. The Raiders have arguably the worst pass rush in the NFL now that Khalil Mack is playing in Chicago. Dolphins QB Ryan Tannehill has proven to be a very solid QB when he has a clean pocket, and he should have plenty of that in this one.


Oakland's offense is better than what we've seen so far in 2018. They faced a very tough Rams defense in Week 1, and then traveled to Denver to take on another solid D. I expect the Raiders to find plenty of success against a Miami defense that faced a rookie QB in Week 2 (Jets' Sam Darnold) and Titans backup QB Blaine Gabbert in Week 1. Derek Carr is much better than either of those two, and he has solid weapons in receivers Amari Cooper and Jordy Nelson, and TE Jared Cook.


================================================== ===


NFL -- 1:00 PM ET
[479] San Francisco 49ers at [480] Kansas City Chiefs
PLAY: [479] SAN FRANCISCO +6.5 (-105)
BET SIZE: 4%
After scoring a combined 80 points in upset road wins at the Chargers and Steelers, the Chiefs and wonder-boy QB Patrick Mahomes find themselves the darlings of recreational bettors everywhere. But this is a tough spot for KC to cover, as this line is a bit inflated. And teams playing their home opener in Week 3 are just 8-24-2 ATS since 2007.


This will be KC's first time as a favorite this season. Laying point with a lousy defense is never a good idea. The Chiefs have allowed the most yards through two games, and they will once again be without the QB of their defense, safety Eric Berry. Niners QB Jimmy Garrapolo is 8-1 as a starter, and more than capable of keeping his team in this one.


Bottom line: I love getting points with the better defense, and the 49ers D welcomes back LB Reuben Foster from suspension. I wouldn't be surprised if Jimmy G leads the Niners to an upset victory.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pointwise phones

3-houston
la chargers
tampa bay
2-new england
minnesota

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Spartan

3* LA CHARGES +7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brad powers

3* Seattle. -1.5