Wednesday 10-3-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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MLB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, October 3

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OAKLAND (97 - 65) at NY YANKEES (100 - 62) - 8:05 PM
LIAM HENDRIKS (R) vs. LUIS SEVERINO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 97-65 (+21.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 97-65 (+36.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 44-33 (+12.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
OAKLAND is 47-34 (+19.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
OAKLAND is 60-43 (+20.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
OAKLAND is 65-40 (+28.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
OAKLAND is 41-23 (+24.4 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
OAKLAND is 41-43 (+7.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
OAKLAND is 23-19 (+10.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 3-3 (+1.3 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)
LIAM HENDRIKS vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
HENDRIKS is 0-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 7.37 and a WHIP of 1.228.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
LUIS SEVERINO vs. OAKLAND since 1997
SEVERINO is 1-1 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 5.22 and a WHIP of 1.403.
His team's record is 1-3 (-3.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-3. (-2.3 units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Wednesday, October 3

American League
A’s (97-65) @ New York (100-62)
Oakland will use its bullpen in this game; not sure who comes in after Hendriks pitches the first inning. Hendriks didn’t allow a run in his last 11 appearances (11.1 IP). Team in his starts: 4-4, 1-1 road Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-8

Severino is 2-0, 2.25 in his last two starts; over is 7-2 in his last nine. Team in his starts: 24-8, 13-1 home
5-inning record: 20-8-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 9-32

A’s are 7-5 in their last 12 games; they split six games with New York this year- home team won four of those six games. New York is 9-4 in its last 13 games.

A’s are in playoffs for first time since 2014; they won 22 games more than they did LY. New York is in playoffs for third time in last six years; they haven’t been to a World Series since 2009.

______________________________

Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 9/18
NYY 34-24-15……44-25-8………78-48
A’s 27-34-12……36-28-14…..63-62


%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 9/18)
NYY 18-74……..31-76………49
A’s 18-77…..…..23-76…….41

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MLB
Weather Report

Wednesday, October 3

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MLB

Wednesday, October 3

Trend Report

Oakland Athletics
Oakland is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Oakland's last 14 games
Oakland is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oakland's last 8 games on the road
Oakland is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing NY Yankees
Oakland is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
Oakland is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
Oakland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
New York Yankees
NY Yankees is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home
NY Yankees is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games at home
NY Yankees is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
NY Yankees is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 5 games
NY Yankees is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Oakland
NY Yankees is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing Oakland
NY Yankees is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Oakland
NY Yankees is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Dunkel

Wednesday, October 3

Montreal @ Toronto

Game 1-2
October 3, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montreal
11.308
Toronto
10.199
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Montreal
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-220
6
Dunkel Pick:
Montreal
(+180); Over

Boston @ Washington

Game 3-4
October 3, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
12.478
Washington
11.512
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-135
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(+115); Over

Calgary @ Vancouver

Game 5-6
October 3, 2018 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Calgary
11.847
Vancouver
10.833
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
-130
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Calgary
(-130); Under

Anaheim @ San Jose

Game 7-8
October 3, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Anaheim
10.629
San Jose
12.162
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Jose
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Jose
-170
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Jose
(-170); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Long Sheet

Wednesday, October 3

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MONTREAL (29-40-0-13, 71 pts.) at TORONTO (52-30-0-7, 111 pts.) - 10/3/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 29-54 ATS (-31.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-4-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.7 Units)

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BOSTON (55-26-0-13, 123 pts.) at WASHINGTON (65-32-0-9, 139 pts.) - 10/3/2018, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 66-41 ATS (+14.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 16-5 ATS (+7.3 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 202-159 ATS (+362.9 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 6-0 (+6.2 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 6-0-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.8 Units)

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CALGARY (37-35-0-10, 84 pts.) at VANCOUVER (31-40-0-11, 73 pts.) - 10/3/2018, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 28-23 ATS (+56.6 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 5-4-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.5 Units)

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ANAHEIM (44-29-0-13, 101 pts.) at SAN JOSE (51-30-0-11, 113 pts.) - 10/3/2018, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE is 27-12 ATS (+10.2 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE is 9-4 (+4.0 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE is 9-4-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+5.2 Units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Wednesday, October 3

Trend Report

Montreal Canadiens
Montreal is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Montreal is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montreal's last 7 games
Montreal is 7-18 ATS in its last 25 games on the road
Montreal is 3-16 SU in its last 19 games on the road
Montreal is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
Montreal is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games when playing Toronto
Montreal is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
Montreal is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto Maple Leafs
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Toronto is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games at home
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
Toronto is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games when playing Montreal
Toronto is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Montreal


Boston Bruins
Boston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Boston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Boston is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Boston is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Boston's last 15 games on the road
Boston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Boston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games when playing Washington
Boston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington Capitals
Washington is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Washington is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Washington is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Boston
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston


Calgary Flames
Calgary is 2-12 ATS in its last 14 games
Calgary is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games
Calgary is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Calgary is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games on the road
Calgary is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Vancouver
Calgary is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing Vancouver
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing Vancouver
Calgary is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Vancouver
Calgary is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Vancouver
Vancouver Canucks
Vancouver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Vancouver is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Vancouver is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games
Vancouver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Vancouver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Vancouver's last 17 games at home
Vancouver is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Calgary
Vancouver is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vancouver's last 5 games when playing Calgary
Vancouver is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Calgary
Vancouver is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Calgary


Anaheim Ducks
Anaheim is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Anaheim is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Anaheim's last 14 games on the road
Anaheim is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Jose
Anaheim is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Jose
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Anaheim's last 9 games when playing San Jose
Anaheim is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against San Jose
Anaheim is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against San Jose
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Anaheim's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Jose
San Jose Sharks
San Jose is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
San Jose is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Jose's last 6 games
San Jose is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
San Jose is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Jose's last 9 games at home
San Jose is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Anaheim
San Jose is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Anaheim
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Jose's last 9 games when playing Anaheim
San Jose is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Anaheim
San Jose is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Anaheim
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Jose's last 5 games when playing at home against Anaheim

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sal Michaels

Oct 03 '18, 7:35 PM in 1h
NHL | Bruins vs Capitals
Play on: UNDER 5½ +105

Free Play on Bruins vs Capitals under 5½ +105

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Cole Faxon

Oct 03 '18, 7:35 PM in 1h
NHL | Bruins vs Capitals
Play on: UNDER 5½ +112

FREE PLAY on Bruins/Capitals under 5½ +112

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams

Oct 03 '18, 7:35 PM in 1h
NHL | Bruins vs Capitals
Play on: Bruins +105 at Bovada

1* on Bruins +105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn

Oct 03 '18, 7:35 PM in 1h
NHL | Bruins vs Capitals
Play on: Bruins +105 at Bovada

1* Free Play on Bruins +105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness

Oct 03 '18, 7:35 PM in 1h
NHL | Bruins vs Capitals
Play on: Capitals -120 at 5Dimes

My free play is on the Was Caps at 7:35 ET. The Washington Capitals were perennial underachievers throughout their history, particularly in the postseason. However, the Caps finally shed that label in last spring's stirring postseason run, one which ended with Washington capturing its first Stanley Cup title. Tonight, the Capitals will raise that championship banner to the Capital One Arena rafters and begin their title defense against the Boston Bruins.
Boston opened last season just 6-7-4 but the Bruins roared to a 50-20-12 record the rest of the way, as the team's 112 points were second-best in the Eastern Conference. The Bruins defeated the Toronto Maple Leafs in seven games in the first round of the Stanley Cup playoffs but fell in five games to the East's No. 1-seeded Tampa Bay Lightning in the second round. The Bruins' top line of Patrice Bergeron, Brad Marchand and David Pastrnak combined for 99 goals and were the team's top three scorers.
Goalie Tuukka Rask, owner of a 21-game point streak last season but inconsistent in the playoffs, will have a new No. 2 netminder in Jaroslav Halak, who spent the last four seasons with the New York Islanders
Alex Ovechkin led the league in scoring for the seventh time by netting 49 goals, before sparking the run to the Cup with 15 goals and 27 points in 24 postseason games to win the Conn Smythe Trophy. Top-line center Evgeny Kuznetsov notched a career-high 83 points before adding a team-best 32 points in the playoffs while rugged winger Tom Wilson rounded out the top line with 14 goals. Center Nicklas Backstrom had his eighth 50-assist season while Lars Eller centers the third line. Goalie Braden Holtby had a career-worst 2.99 goals-against average and was benched at the start of the postseason. However, he came up YUGE in the team's 'run to the cup.' He too will have a new backup in Pheonix Copley.
The Bruins were the best team in the NHL for a long stretch last season but they are overly reliant on their No. 1 line last season and have made no significant additions to their starting lineup. Meanwhile, Washington returns nearly its entire roster intact and new coach Todd Reirden knows this team VERY well. Reirden ascended to the top spot when Barry Trotz stepped down and ultimately took the New York Islanders' top job. He was Trotz's top assistant the last four years!
The Bruins' success last season was a bit ahead of schedule, as they boast one of the youngest rosters in the league. It doesn't help that Boston will be missing a key player in the opener, as defenseman Torey Krug injured his left ankle in the final preseason game. He's in a walking boot and will be evaluated in three weeks. Krug had 59 points (14 goals, 45 assists) in 76 games last season. Expectations remain high for the Capitals and they should. The Bruins will be a good early test and the fact that Washington has won 12 straight regular-season games in four seasons against Boston, makes the Caps the play here on Opening Night.
Good luck...Larry

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Sawyer

Oct 03 '18, 7:35 PM in 1h
NHL | Bruins vs Capitals
Play on: Capitals -114 at 5Dimes

Take the Washington Capitals with the money-line versus the Boston Bruins. Washington (0-0-0) will be hanging their Stanley Cup banner tonight as they begin their 2018-19 season. The Capitals have won 16 of their last 21 home games in the first-half of the season. Washington has also won 22 of their last 31 games against fellow Eastern Conference opponents. Boston (0-0-0) lost 8 of their last 10 games on the road last year. The Bruins have also struggled against the Capitals as they have lost 21 of their last 27 meetings with them including lost their 6 games in Washington. While the emotional distraction of celebrating their championship keeps me from endorsing the Capitals as a play for clients, Washington is my top NHL play for opening night. Best of luck — Frank.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd

Oct 03 '18, 8:05 PM in 1h
MLB | OAK vs NYY
Play on: UNDER 8½ -105

1* Free Pick on A's/Yankees UNDER 8.5
We easily cashed in on the UNDER in Tuesday's NL Wild Card matchup between the Cubs/Rockies. Including the two tie-breaker games on Monday we have seen the UNDER go a perfect 3-0 since the regular-season concluded. I expect another low-scoring game on Wednesday when the Yankees host the A's in the AL Wild Card game.
New York will have their ace on the mound in Luis Severino, who after a rough patch in the 2nd half found his groove down the stretch run. Severino posted a 2.04 ERA and 1.019 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He's also got a 2.74 ERA in 15 home starts on the season.
The A's will start Liam Hendricks, as they take a page out of the Rays playbook and go without a tradition starter and instead imply the "Opener" strategy and attack this one with their bullpen from the start. Oakland used this strategy 9 times in the final month of the season with great results, as they posted as a 1.86 ERA in those games.
Adding to this is a great system in play. UNDER is 160-88 (65%) in October games dating back to 1997 with a total of 8 to 8.5 where you have a team (A's) that has a bullpen WHIP under 1.200 over their last 10 games. Take the UNDER!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hunter Price

Oct 03 '18, 8:05 PM in 1h
MLB | A's vs Yankees
Play on: Yankees -1½ OFF at sportsbook

1* Free Pick on Yankees -1½ OFF