Service Plays Saturday 10/6/18

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sleepyj

3* Nevada / Fresno st over 58

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JR ODONNELL

3* GOY

Virginia tech +7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marco D'Angelo/Sports Unlimited

3 Oklahoma
3 Western Michigan

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Strike Point Sports

3-Unit Play. Take #323 Syracuse (-3.5) over Pittsburgh (12:20 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 6)
We can see why people would say this is a letdown spot for the Orange after losing a game at Clemson that they should have won, but the Orange weren't supposed to win that game. They were showcasing that they are a good team. The Orange are considerably better than many people gave them credit for at the beginning of the season. Syracuse has an offense that can play with any team in the country, outside of a few teams, and their defense showed, versus Clemson, that they are a solid side of the football. Pittsburgh just isn't very good regardless of where they are playing. Yes, playing in front of your home crowd is always a bonus, but the Panthers are just 7-17 ATS in their last 24 home games. The Orange meanwhile are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games overall and 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games. Take the Orange in this matchup as their offense will be too much for the Panthers to keep pace with.

4-Unit Play. Take #326 Central Florida (-24) over SMU (7 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 6)
Again, we see Central Florida not getting the respect they deserve. We jumped on a short line last week in the CFU/Pittsburgh game, and we are jumping right back on them this week. The only line that CFU hasn't covered thus far this season was when they were favored by 52 points! The final in that game was 38-0 though and the only reason they didn't cover is because they pretty much stopped playing as they were up 38-0 after the third quarter. Central Florida is the type of team that you take until they are favored by 30+ points. They are just considerably better than all of the teams on their schedule. I mean they are the reigning "National Champs..." The SMU Mustangs are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games while the Central Florida Knights are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall. Take the home team in this matchup as they are 6-0-1 ATS in the last seven meetings between these two teams.

3-Unit Play. Take #330 Ohio State (-26) over Indiana (4 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 6)
Indiana hasn't beaten anyone. Yes, they are 4-1, but the only good team they played was Michigan State and they were down 28-7 through three quarters before making it somewhat of a game in a 35-21 loss. Indiana did beat Virginia but they aren't very good at all. Ohio State on the other hard are really good. Their victory at Penn State was a truly impressive win. Penn State is a good football team and Ohio State went on the road and came back to win a game where they outgained and out possessed the Nitany Lions. Look for OSU to absolute roll an Indiana team that isn't ready for what's about to happen. The Hooisers just want to make a bowl game and they know that this isn't a game that they need to win to get to one. OSU won last years meeting 49-21 and this years homecoming should be more of the same.

3-Unit Play. Take #338 Michigan (-17.5) over Maryland (noon, Saturday, Oct. 6)
Michigan didn't come through for us last weekend, but if you watched the game it could've been a much different result if it wasn't for a phantom hold call. Now, we aren't saying they would've covered the big number, but Michigan had scored a touchdown, and had the ball back flying down the field. They had a 25-yard run called back on the weirdest hold call that we have ever seen. At that point the Wolverines would've taken the lead, and they wouldn't have looked back. That was then, and this is now. Michigan is going to steamroll Maryland. This is the type of game that ends 48-20. The Michigan home crowd is going to be the 12th man in this one as they haven't seen their squad since Sept. 22nd. This is the last of Michigan's unranked portion of the schedule as their next three opponents are currently ranked in the top 25. If Michigan had only one ranked opponent next it could be a look ahead, but in this situation its more about taking care of business before taking the next step. Maryland is 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games while Michigan is 4-1 ATS in their last five home games. Take Michigan here as they are very successful coming into games off a loss (15-5-1 ATS in their last 21).

6-Unit Play. Take #348 Akron (-4.5) over Miami Ohio (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 6)
This line keeps going down as Miami money comes in, but that money is going right into the pocket of the books. Akron has a legit defense and Miami Ohio's offense isn't scaring anyone. The Zips defense currently number two in the country in total defense. Akron has already defeated Northwestern and played Iowa State tough. Yes, the Zips offense isn't one that people are writing stories about, but Miami Ohio's defense isn't much better. Playing at home is going to be huge for the Zips in this game. They have had a great start to the season and as this is their first MAC game of the year they are looking to make a statement. The Redhawks won this matchup last year, and the Zips remember. Will revenge be the deciding factor? No, but it is on the minds of the Zips players, coaches, and fanbase. Miami of Ohio ranks 93rd in the nation in passing offense and 108th in the country in rushing offense. Even worse for Miami of Ohio is the fact that they have only converted 27 of 74 third down opportunities. That is huge when playing on the road and when playing a team that has only allowed teams to convert 14 of 47 third down opportunities. This game could be close for a while but in the end the Zips pull away to win 27-14. Take the Zips as they have covered eight of their last 10 conference games while Miami Ohio is an awful 0-5 ATS in their last five games against a team with a winning record.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Allan Eastman

4-Unit Play. Take #315 South Florida (-15.5) over Massachusetts (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 6)
South Florida is undefeated this season and they are 5-0 SU going back to their bowl win over Texas Tech. They have won seven of their last eight games. The Bulls haven't been very good against the spread. But they should get a blowout win here. Massachusetts has one of the worst defenses in college football. This team gave up 55 points to Boston College, 63 points to Florida International, and 58 points to Ohio. I don't think they will be able to stop the Bulls attack. South Florida is 7-2 ATS against teams with a losing record and the Minutemen are 2-5 ATS in their last seven nonconference games. South Florida will be too much for Massachusetts and should win this shootout easily.

4-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 43.5 LSU at Florida (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 6)
This is a big game in the SEC. Both of these teams need this win. These are two hated rivals that both have excellent defenses and erratic offenses. This total opened at 47.5 and has been bet down to 43.5. That tells me where the sharp money is going. This one should be a slugfest. Last year's game was 17-16 and the year before that it was 16-10. The 'under' is 4-2 in the last six meetings between these two teams. Going back further the 'under' is 15-7 in the last 22 meetings and is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings down in Florida. The 'under' is 7-1 in LSU's last eight road games and is 16-6 in the Tigers' last 22 SEC games. The 'under' is the play in this one.

3-Unit Play. Take #340 Cincinnati (-7) over Tulane (Noon, Saturday, Oct. 6)
The Bearcats are 5-0 and they are playing very well. They are 4-1 ATS in their five games and are coming off a big 49-7 win over Connecticut on the road. I think the Bearcats will be even better playing at home. Tulane is coming off a huge upset win over Memphis as a 14-point underdog. I think they will have a letdown here and their last road game was a 49-6 blowout loss at Ohio State. This game likely won't be a blowout loss. But I do think Cincinnati will be too much for them. The Bearcats are No. 5 in the country in defense and No. 2 in points allowed, giving up just 12.2 points per game. This defense should be able to shut down Tulane's option attack. Cincinnati is 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games against a team with a losing record. Tulane is just 1-6 ATS on the road. Play Cincinnati.

3-Unit Play. Take #380 Louisiana Tech (-9.5) over UAB (7 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 6)
This is a matchup of two of the top teams in Conference USA. I am going with the home team. This spread opened at 8.5 and has been bet up by sharp money to 9.5. That tells me what I need to know. Louisiana Tech played LSU very tough two weeks ago. They then went on the road and took down a very good North Texas team to make it a 3-0 ATS run. Louisiana Tech is 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall. UAB is just 2-4 ATS in their last six games and I think they are going to struggle here. Play the Bulldogs to get a double-digit home win.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vernon Croy


6-Unit Play. Take #349 Notre Dame -7 over Virginia Tech (Saturday, October 6th at 8:00 PM ET)

Take Notre Dame ATS as my 6-Unit CFB Smash for Saturday. This pick falls into one of my top CFB systems and the Irish are hands down the superior team here on the road Saturday who I have winning by 14+ points. The Irish have had the 5th toughest strength of schedule in the country this season while the Hokies have had the 124th toughest strength of schedule. The Irish have averaged 32.8 ppg this season and that is against some very good teams and the Irish are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after a win by more than 20 points. The Irish have been covering machines during the month of October going 39-18-2 ATS in their last 59 games played in October and they will be able to move the ball against this Hokie defense that gave up 49 points to Old Dominion. The Irish bring a well-balanced offense into this game and they just handled a very good Stanford team with ease allowing just 55 rushing yards and 174 yards through the air in that 24-point win. Play Notre Dame ATS as the Hokies poor strength of schedule catches up with them Saturday night.

4-Unit Play. Take #392 Mississippi State +4 over Auburn (Saturday, October 6th at 7:30 PM ET)
Take Mississippi State ATS as my 4-Unit CFB Smash for Saturday. This pick falls into one of my top CFB systems and I have the Bulldogs winning this game by 4+ points over the Tigers at home Saturday. The Bulldogs had a letdown last week against a Gators team they should have beat and that loss is giving us a great line with the Bulldogs here Saturday. This is also a revenge game for the Bulldogs who lost by 39 to the Tigers last season and the bulldogs are 23-6 ATS in their last 29 games when playing a team with a winning record on the road. The Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after a win and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games when playing a team with a winning record. Play Mississippi State ATS.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Missanelli

illinois

[Hombre de Burro]

Brian Edwards:
Auburn -3.5 @ Mississippi St.
Syracuse -3.5 @ Pitt
Georgia Southern -13.5 vs. South Alabama
S. Carolina vs. Missouri < 63.5

[Red Dog]

CPAW can you clarify Esslers 3* total of the month. Colorado plays Ariz. St and California plays Arizona. Thanks for all you do!

Dave Essler

3* Colorado / Arizona over

3* Florida +3

[DamnMexican]

gurusdeportivos.com

Texas moneyline +240

[Majorp]

Hottest Capper on IG

LasVegasDataBase is on Michigan under 45

12-0 on his last 12 picks documented on Instagram

[Istandfortheanthem]

Anybody find Paul Leiner’s 3000* for 3:30 game?

[KMF]

Sports Cash System

Main:
2 - Astros

Extras:
4 - Red Sox

[Knuckle Sandwich]

DOUBLE DRAGON SPORTS - NCAA WEEK #6

7-UNIT TOPS
MIZZOU +1 at south carolina (12pm)
COLORADO -2.5 vs arizona st. (4pm)
TEXAS A&M -5.5 vs kentucky (7pm)
UTAH +5 at stanford (10:30pm)
FRESNO ST. -13 at nevada (10:30pm)

4-UNIT STRONGS
NW +10.5 at michigan st. (12pm)
IOWA ST. +10.5 at okie st. (3:30pm)
VANDY +26.5 at georgia (3:30pm)
FSU +14 (-120) at miami, fl. (3:30pm)
NOTRE DAME -6 at virginia tech (8pm)

*All Lines from VI Consensus 10/3/18 - 10:30pm
**All times Eastern

[Wellngood76]

Scoutspicks
Twin 10 unit GOY plays
317 Clemson-20.5
412 San Jose St +3.5
Twin 12 unit Scout Honor Plays
348 Akron -5.5
355 Arizona St +3.5.