Wednesday 10-17-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 371181

    #31
    Wednesday's Essentials
    Tony Mejia

    Game of the Night - New Orleans at Houston (-7.5/229), ESPN, 8:05 ET

    These teams have met twice since DeMarcus Cousins tore his achilles in the closing seconds of a Pelicans’ win late last January, a moment that forever altered the future of New Orleans’ franchise. Losing the All-Star center they envisioned playing next to Anthony Davis into the next decade forced them to go out and acquire Nikola Mirotic, whose ability to spread the floor made for a more efficient brand of ball as Alvin Gentry got the team to play at the faster tempo he prefers, ultimately leading to a playoff berth.

    Although they made a lukewarm offer to Cousins, the Pels were ready to move on when he passed on the deal and are excited about adding Julius Randle as a replacement in addition to keeping Mirotic in the fold. Rajon Rondo left for the Lakers, so Elfrid Payton was signed to try and fill the role next to Jrue Holiday so that Gentry always has playmakers on the floor looking to push and feed Davis, who has made no secret of his desire to emerge as MVP this season.

    That type of push is possible, especially if the Pelicans can find a way to overcome the Southwest Divisions top team, a Rockets squad that has surpassed the Spurs as the team to beat in what’s been the NBA’s most loaded division over the past two decades. The Northwest is vying for that distinction now, but there’s still plenty of quality for New Orleans to overcome with the Spurs still a factor and the Mavericks and Grizzlies looking improved to start the season. Houston is the team to beat, however, and opens at home looking to bounce back from a demoralizing end to their championship pursuit last May. Had Chris Paul not blown a hamstring in Game 5 of the Western Conference finals, the Rockets probably would’ve opened on Tuesday and hosted a “Ring Night.” Instead, they’ll tip off looking to see this season’s roster take shape given a number of tweaks.

    Paul returns alongside reigning MVP James Harden and center Clint Capela, who just missed out on an All-Star spot but signed a five-year, $90 million extension nonetheless. Carmelo Anthony has come on board to serve as the team’s sixth man, making the transition after being unwilling to come off the bench in Oklahoma City, where he wore down over the course of last season, eroding into a liablity come playoffs. James Ennis III will start at small forward alongside holdovers P.J. Tucker and Capela up front, while the departure of standout defenders Trevor Ariza and Luc Mbah a Moute require guys like Michael Carter-Williams and Marquese Chriss to step their games up off the bench. Shooter Brandon Knight is also on board, but will join Chriss and forward Zhou Qi in missing this game due to injury.

    New Orleans is healthy, but lost three of four against Houston last season and hasn’t won a season series against its division rival since 2011. The Rockets have scored over 100 points against New Orleans in 13 straight, winning 10 of those matchups outright. Mike D’Antoni and Gentry are great friends who believe in getting up and down the floor, so it’s no surprise to see this total as high as it is, approaching 230. Despite their preference for playing at a fast pace, the ‘over’ was just 2-2 last season.

    Memphis at Indiana(-6.5/207), 7:05 p.m. ET:
    Mike Conley looked sharp this preseason after missing the first 70 games last season due to a torn Achilles, ending the Grizzlies’ realistic chances of contending before they really got started. Losing him so early ended up costing David Fizdale his job after he clashed with Marc Gasol amid all the losing, altering the direction of the franchise. J.B. Bickerstaff ended up being hired as head coach after an interim stint and gets Conley, Gasol and Chandler Parsons back at 100 percent, so there’s optimism that this group can return to playoff contention. No. 4 pick Jaren Jackson, Jr. struggled with foul trouble in exhibitions but only turned 19 last month and is likely to provide rollercoaster rides as he gets acclimated. Although Gasol and Conley can still be one of the top defenders at their positions when they’re right, the Griz no longer employ the “grit and grind” style that delivered results when those two were younger and they had Zach Randolph to play through in the post and Tony Allen to lock people up on the perimeter, so we’ll see how this group adapts over the long haul should everyone stay healthy.

    Indiana won’t sneak up on anyone like it did last season when Victor Oladipo emerged as one of the top guards in the East. He’s got all major contributors back around him with the exception of Lance Stephenson. Tyreke Evans should provide an upgrade on the wing after choosing the Pacers among a number of suitors, while shooter Doug McDermott and center Kyle O’Quinn add quality depth to an already deep roster. Thaddeus Young put together 16 points and 10 rebounds in 29 minutes in the preseason tune-up after sitting out most of the last few weeks with a bruised right foot. His opting in to the final year of his contract rivals Evans’ acquisition as the most important move of the offseason. Cory Joseph (Canada) and Bojan Bogdanovic (Croatia) played for national teams this summer so they should be in shape to play key roles in Nate McMillan’s rotation. According to the Indianapolis Star’s J. Michael, the Pacers shot just 32.7 from 3-point range this preseason. Indiana has gone 56-26 at home over the last two seasons and have averaged 135 points in wins over its last two home openers. Myles Turner has played major roles in both wins. He signed an extension to open the week and will play despite an ankle tweak. Indiana swept Memphis last season. The Griz were just 6-35 on the road.

    Milwaukee (-2/217) at Charlotte, 7:05 p.m. ET:
    Former Spurs top assistants Mike Budenholzer and James Borrego debut as head coaches of their new teams. Budenholzer arrives after leaving Atlanta following a five-year run, while Borrego, who had an interim stint in the head seat with the Magic back in 2015, will be in the head seat for his first season opener. Both want to play with pace and will look to push whenever possible, placing movement without the ball and sharing it via the extra pass above all else. The Bucks averaged 124.8 points this preseason, an average aided by one overtime game but nonetheless impressive and indicative of the style Bud wants to employ. Giannis Antetokounmpo led Milwaukee in scoring in all three games he played, averaging 24 points and 11.6 rebounds. He’ll be an MVP candidate this season and has a familiar supporting cast around him, welcoming in center Brook Lopez and forward Ersan Ilyasova to spread the floor. They’ve got John Henson shooting 3s too. We’ll see how that goes.

    The Hornets likely need to get off to a good start to avoid being blown up, so it will be interesting to see how they attack this season. There’s an initiative to play Kemba Walker off the ball more, allowing young shooting guards Jeremy Lamb and Malik Monk more freedom. Borrego wants the ball to stick less and is hoping to see Walker thrive without being so ball-dominant. The Charlotte Observer's Rick Bonnell reported that Borrego instituted a 12-second shot clock at practices in an effort to play faster, resulting in the team averaging 118.3 points over their last three preseason games, all wins. The Hornets and Bucks played four times last season, but all games took place by Christmas. Khris Middleton averaged 30.5 points against Charlotte as the teams split 2-2, but with Dwight Howard gone and two new coaches in place, you can’t trust much from last season.

    Miami (-2.5/210.5) at Orlando, 7:05 p.m. ET:
    Florida’s franchises square off after dueling in the preseason nine days ago, playing a sloppy 90-89 game where both teams shot poorly, combining to shoot 30 percent from 3-point range (27-for-56) in Miami. We’ll see if the teams can find the range in Orlando as the Steve Clifford era tips off in Central Florida as the Heat and Magic open up against one another for the third straight year. The teams have split the last two meetings with the Orlando winning last October. Erik Spoelstra opens his 10th season at the helm in Miami and will be facing his sixth Magic head coach in that span, a familiar face who has coached in the Southeast Division for the past five years in Charlotte and was an assistant with Orlando from ’07-’12. Spoelstra’s Heat beat Clifford’s Hornets the first eight times the teams played and went 22-9 against them during his stint in Charlotte, which includes winning the last six.

    The Heat have dangled key pieces in an effort to try and pry Jimmy Butler out of Minnesota, so there are few players on the roster who can feel safe outside of team legends Dwyane Wade and Udonis Haslem, each entering their final season with the franchise. Goran Dragic and Josh Richardson have each been a fixture in rumors and should make up the starting backcourt, while Orlando is expected to give D.J. Augustin first crack at point guard ahead of Jerian Grant. He and shooting guard Evan Fournier combined to shoot 3-for-18 (16.7%) in the Oct. 8 exhibition loss. Heat centers Hassan Whiteside and Bam Adebayo will look to make Orlando lottery pick Mo Bamba’s debut a forgettable one when he enters for Nikola Vucevic, who is likely to be moved by the trade deadline. The Heat and Magic split last season’s series after Orlando won three of four in 2016-17, the first season where they managed to win more than they lost against Miami since 2009. Forward James Johnson (hernia) and guard Dion Waiters (ankle) are rout, while wing Justise Winslow (hamstring) is doubtful to play. Dragic (knee) is a go.

    Brooklyn at Detroit (-5/212), 7:05 p.m. ET:
    The Pistons couldn’t pay off opening a new downtown arena with a playoff appearance despite making an in-season trade for Blake Griffin, so Stan Van Gundy was ultimately not retained. Although Michigan head coach John Beilein was a serious candidate, reigning Coach of the Year Dwane Casey was ultimately hired and gets back Reggie Jackson to run the point. Had he not missed 37 games due to an injured ankle last season, Van Gundy may have finished better than 39-43 and wouldn’t have lost his spot. It’s easy to forget that Detroit won 14 of its first 20 last season. Van Gundy made a soft landing at ESPN, while Casey, shown the door by Toronto after failing to get past LeBron James, makes the short trip across the border.

    Andre Drummond had a productive preseason but shot just 6-for-21 against Brooklyn when the teams met in Detroit on Oct. 8. Jackson played just 16 minutes and shot 2-for-7 while Griffin scored 17 points in 21 minutes as both saw their first exhibition action, so don’t glean much from that result. D’Angelo Russell did score 25 points in the 110-108 OT win that also saw Caris LeVert flirt with a triple-double. His emergence is a key x-factor for Brooklyn, who hopes he’ll take a step forward alongside Russell. With Rondae Hollis-Jefferson out indefinitely with a hip ailment and Allen Crabbe nursing an ankle injury, the play of LeVert and a heavily bearded Joe Harris will be vital. Backup point guard Shabazz Napier is also likely sidelined. Detroit is healthier, listing only starting SF Stanley Johnson (sore toe) as a question mark. He should play.

    Atlanta at New York (-3.5/215), 7:35 p.m. ET:
    It wouldn’t be surprising to see these teams vying for the No. 1 pick come April, so it’s easy to joke that we could see some tanking early. All kidding aside, both Fizdale and Atlanta’s Lloyd Pierce would love to see their seasons get off to good starts as they begin their respective head-coaching tenures in this opener. Opportunities to win will be few and far between, so don’t expect to see the Knicks favored in too many games until Kristaps Porzingis makes his return after All-Star break, which isn’t necessarily set in stone. Tim Hardaway, Jr. will likely be tasked with being the primary scoring option until the Latvian star returns but comes into this one nursing an ankle injury. He led the team in scoring in New York’s last three preseason games from the wing, while center Enes Kanter and rookie Kevin Knox should also play major roles. Fizdale likes Emmanuel Mudiay’s length and views him as a backcourt fixture, but he will miss tonight’s game with an ankle injury. A neck issue has shooting guard Courtney Lee listed as doubtful, so Trey Burke, Frank Ntilikina and Ron Baker are likely in for extended runs. Lance Thomas will start alongside Knox and Kanter up front and is expected to serve in a glue-guy role.

    The Hawks are hoping for big things out of second-year forward John Collins but aren’t going to throw him out there with an ankle that’s less than 100 percent, so he won’t play. Center Dewayne Dedmon (ankle) is also out, so look for former Phoenix lottery pick Alex Len and Miles Plumlee to play the bulk of the minutes inside. Len has extended his range out to the 3-point line and may play a larger role for Atlanta than most expect, but I’d also look for them to go small whenever possible. Rookie point guard Trae Young will get the keys from the jump and looks to get out and run alongside promising forward Taurean Prince and Collins once healthy. 41-year-old Vince Carter will start opposite Kent Bazemore on the wing.

    Cleveland at Toronto (-12/214), 7:35 p.m. ET:
    The post-LeBron James era begins with Cleveland as a double-digit underdog, a role that it hasn’t seen much of over the past few years but could become the norm. Pride figures to go a long way for the Cavs, especially at home, but they could be in a trouble spot here given where the league’s schedule-makers have them opening up. Toronto will have no mercy, especially since it lost six of seven meetings last season, getting swept out of the Eastern Conference semifinals to close out the Casey/DeMar DeRozan era. Point guard Kyle Lowry is among those most bitter about how things ended, but the majority of last year’s team returns intact and will be coached by Nick Nurse, a top assistant who will look to put his own spin on things while preserving continuity.

    Kawhi Leonard will debut for the Raptors after being acquired in a package for DeRozan and impressed in the preseason, showing no signs of the injury that caused so much disharmony in San Antonio, ultimately ending his time there. Only guard Delon Wright (thigh) is listed as questionable for a Raptors roster that ranks right up there with the Celtics as the East’s deepest. The Cavs will build around Kevin Love, who was dealing with a sore foot but will play and be the focal point on the offensive end. Larry Nance, Jr. just got extended and will help Tristan Thompson in the paint, while last year’s midseason acquisitions, guards George Hill, Jordan Clarkson and wing Rodney Hood, will all look for increased touches to find more of a comfort zone with James gone. Hood shot poorly in the preseason and is nursing an ankle tweak but should play. Same goes for Nance, while J.R. Smith is doubtful with an elbow injury. Lottery pick Collin Sexton impressed throughout camp but will be tasked with making an impact off the bench to open his career since Ty Lue has decided on Hill as the starting point.

    Minnesota at San Antonio (-3/210.5), 8:35 p.m. ET:
    Neither Popovich nor Tom Thibodeau could’ve had much peace of mind as their head hit the pillow on Tuesday night, which is assuming they managed to sleep at all. It’s hard to imagine guys who are meticulous in their preparation and obsess over every detail can be comfortable with how their seasons are starting, but the moment of truth has arrived following tumultuous offseasons. The Spurs moved on from Leonard and long-time guards Tony Parker (departed via free agency), Manu Ginobili (retirement) and Danny Green (traded) while adding DeRozan and new starting center Jakob Poeltl. Unfortunately, that wasn’t the end of their roster turnover since promising point guard Dejounte Murray (ACL) and rookie wing Lonnie Walker IV (MCL) were lost for the season due to torn ligaments. Derrick White was slated to take over for Murray could potentially miss two months because of a heel injury. The cursed start will lead to shooter Bryn Forbes starting and veteran Patty Mills getting the bulk of the work off the bench for a roster whose depth used to be a major strength. Rudy Gay’s bout with a heel issue went better than White’s, so he’ll be starting next to LaMarcus Aldridge and Poeltl up front. Pau Gasol will come off the bench.

    The Timberwolves will bring awkward to new levels since Jimmy Butler is expected to start next to teammates he blew up last week in an effort to get himself dealt out of town. Upset that Karl-Anthony Towns as given a lucrative extension despite flopping in the playoffs, Butler doesn’t feel owner Glen Taylor is invested in his future and will play for Thibodeau only as long as it takes to get his ticket out of town. Count on Butler giving his normal effort out on the floor, but it’s got to be concerning that there’s such little harmony among this group, potentially affecting chemistry. Butler didn’t accompany the Timberwolves to Milwaukee for their preseason finale, so it’s anyone’s guess how things will go in San Antonio, where at least Butler won’t have to hear boos like he probably would’ve in Minneapolis. It’s likely we’ll see Thibs open with the same starting five (Andrew Wiggins, Taj Gibson, Towns, Jeff Teague, Butler) that was utilized most of last season, including a Western Conference first-round series that featured the Wolves being blown out by 18 points or more in three of their contests against Houston.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 371181

      #32
      MLB
      Long Sheet

      Wednesday, October 17


      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      MILWAUKEE (101 - 69) at LA DODGERS (97 - 74) - 5:05 PM
      WADE MILEY (L) vs. CLAYTON KERSHAW (L)
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      MILWAUKEE is 5-6 (+1.4 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
      6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.2 Units)

      WADE MILEY vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
      MILEY is 4-5 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.18 and a WHIP of 1.253.
      His team's record is 6-9 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-9. (-3.9 units)

      CLAYTON KERSHAW vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
      KERSHAW is 6-6 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.15 and a WHIP of 1.071.
      His team's record is 8-7 (-4.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-7. (-0.7 units)

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      BOSTON (113 - 56) at HOUSTON (107 - 61) - 8:35 PM
      RICK PORCELLO (R) vs. CHARLIE MORTON (R)
      Top Trends for this game.
      HOUSTON is 155-77 (+35.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
      BOSTON is 113-56 (+35.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
      BOSTON is 54-30 (+21.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
      BOSTON is 78-46 (+17.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
      BOSTON is 89-40 (+32.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
      BOSTON is 76-36 (+23.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
      BOSTON is 44-30 (+13.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
      HOUSTON is 48-36 (-26.6 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
      HOUSTON is 23-21 (-23.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
      HOUSTON is 30-29 (-29.9 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
      HOUSTON is 43-37 (-13.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
      HOUSTON is 9-13 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      BOSTON is 5-5 (+1.6 Units) against HOUSTON this season
      8 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+5.9 Units)

      RICK PORCELLO vs. HOUSTON since 1997
      PORCELLO is 2-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 5.19 and a WHIP of 1.384.
      His team's record is 4-2 (+2.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (+0.0 units)

      CHARLIE MORTON vs. BOSTON since 1997
      MORTON is 3-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 4.32 and a WHIP of 1.521.
      His team's record is 4-1 (+2.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-1. (+2.9 units)
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 371181

        #33
        MLB

        Wednesday, October 17


        National League
        Brewers @ Dodgers (Series tied, 2-2)

        Miley is 0-0, 3.63 in his last four starts (17.1 IP); under is 4-2 in his last six starts. Team in his starts: 13-5, 8-2 road He’s allowed one run in three starts (18.2 IP) vs LA this season.
        5-inning record: 11-5-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-13

        Kershaw is 1-1, 5.63 in his last three starts; over is 3-1 in his last four starts. Team in his starts: 17-11, 7-6 home. He is 1-2, 6.60 vs Milwaukee this season.
        5-inning record: 16-8-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-28

        Dodgers won nine of their last 12 games overall, nine of last 11 at home. Under is 5-2-1 in their last eight games. LA is in playoffs for 6th year in row; they lost 7th game of World Series LY. Dodgers’ last WS title was in 1988.

        Milwaukee won 13 of its last 15 games; they’ve won seven of last eight road games. Under is 7-1 in their last eight games. Brewers are in playoffs for first time since 2011- they lost Game 7 of the 1982 World Series.

        American League
        Boston @ Houston (Red Sox lead series, 2-1)

        Porcello is 2-0, 4.76 in his last five starts; under is 4-1-1 in his last six road starts. Team in his starts: 23-11, 12-7 road.
        Porcello is 1-0, 4.50 in three games (2 starts) vs Houston this year.
        5-inning record: 22-10-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-34

        Morton is pitching for first time since Sept 30; he is 4-o, 4.85 in his last seven starts- under is 3-1-1 in his last five. Team in his starts: 18-12, 10-6 home.
        Morton is 1-1, 6.97 vs Boston this season.
        5-inning record: 17-6-7 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-30

        Houston is 12-3 in its last 15 games; they won four of their four playoff games, with last three going over total. Red Sox won five of their last seven games; they scored 36 runs in their last five games. Over is 9-2 in their last 11 games.

        Red Sox are in playoffs for third year in row; they won World Series in 2013. Astros won their first WS title LY, in their second try (’05); they’re in playoffs for third time in four years.
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 371181

          #34
          MLB
          Weather Report

          Wednesday, October 17


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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 371181

            #35
            MLB

            Wednesday, October 17


            Trend Report

            Milwaukee Brewers
            Milwaukee is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
            Milwaukee is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 8 games
            Milwaukee is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
            Milwaukee is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games on the road
            Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
            Milwaukee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers
            The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Milwaukee's last 15 games when playing LA Dodgers
            Milwaukee is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
            The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 10 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
            Los Angeles Dodgers
            LA Dodgers is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
            LA Dodgers is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
            LA Dodgers is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
            LA Dodgers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games at home
            LA Dodgers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
            LA Dodgers is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
            The total has gone UNDER in 10 of LA Dodgers's last 15 games when playing Milwaukee
            LA Dodgers is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
            The total has gone UNDER in 8 of LA Dodgers's last 10 games when playing at home against Milwaukee


            Boston Red Sox
            Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
            Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
            The total has gone OVER in 10 of Boston's last 12 games
            Boston is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
            Boston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
            The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston's last 8 games on the road
            Boston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Houston
            The total has gone OVER in 8 of Boston's last 9 games when playing Houston
            The total has gone OVER in 7 of Boston's last 8 games when playing on the road against Houston
            Houston Astros
            Houston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
            Houston is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games
            Houston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
            Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games at home
            Houston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Boston
            The total has gone OVER in 8 of Houston's last 9 games when playing Boston
            The total has gone OVER in 7 of Houston's last 8 games when playing at home against Boston
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 371181

              #36
              MLB
              Dunkel

              Wednesday, October 17



              Milwaukee @ LA Dodgers

              Game 911-912
              October 17, 2018 @ 5:05 pm

              Dunkel Rating:
              Milwaukee
              (Miley) 16.735
              LA Dodgers
              (Kershaw) 20.296
              Dunkel Team:
              Dunkel Line:
              Dunkel Total:
              LA Dodgers
              by 3 1/2
              5
              Vegas Team:
              Vegas Line:
              Vegas Total:
              LA Dodgers
              -170
              7
              Dunkel Pick:
              LA Dodgers
              (-170); Under

              Boston @ Houston


              Game 913-914
              October 17, 2018 @ 8:35 pm

              Dunkel Rating:
              Boston
              (Porcello) 18.258
              Houston
              (Morton) 16.867
              Dunkel Team:
              Dunkel Line:
              Dunkel Total:
              Boston
              by 1 1/2
              9
              Vegas Team:
              Vegas Line:
              Vegas Total:
              Houston
              -145
              8 1/2
              Dunkel Pick:
              Boston
              (+125); Over
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 371181

                #37
                POSTSEASON STARTER STAT OF THE DAY

                Wade Miley, Milwaukee Brewers (5-2, 2.57 ERA): There's a red-hot lefty working Game 5 of the NLCS – and it isn't that guy from Los Angeles. Miley has been terrific in the postseason for the Brewers, holding the Rockies and Dodgers to five hits over 10 1/3 scoreless innings while issuing just one walk. Miley has been firtually mistake-free over his past nine starts overall, failing to allow a single home run over that time while issuing more than one free pass just once in that span.

                Look for Miley to keep the Dodgers off-balance yet again, making the under play on both Los Angeles' run (+105) and hit totals (+115) intriguing options Wednesday night.


                Early Deadlock?

                There hasn't been much scoring in the Dodgers-Brewers series the first time through the order. The teams have combined to score just three runs over the first two innings of their four games to date, and Kershaw (2.60 ERA through first two innings) and Miley (2.97) are not good bets to blow up early in Wednesday's encounter.

                Given how tightly these teams have played in the early going, bettors might want to consider wagering on the "tied after two innings" prop, which pays out at an intriguing +140.


                Flying Solo

                When the first home run of the game leaves Minute Maid Park, there's a good chance it will come with nobody on base. Of the 27 home runs Porcello has surrendered this season, 18 have been of the solo variety. And Morton's splits are even more extreme, with 16 of the 18 home runs he has allowed in 2018 coming with the bases empty.

                These teams are loaded with home-run threats, especially at the top of the order – so we recommend taking the first home run to be a solo blast (-135).


                Umpire Trends

                Jim Wolf is working behind home plate for Game 4 of the NLCS – and that's good news for the Dodgers, if recent trends hold. The home team has won six consecutive games with Wolf calling balls and strikes for the Brewers, and is 5-1 in his past six home plate assignments overall. Also of note, the over is 4-0 in his past four games behind the dish.

                Mark Carlson will be doing the honors for the Red Sox-Astros game Wednesday night. There doesn't appear to be an edge in favor of either team; the Astros are 5-1 SU in his past six games calling balls and strikes, while the Red Sox are 5-2 SU in his past seven home plate assignments. The over has cashed in five of his past six games behind the plate.
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 371181

                  #38
                  NHL
                  Dunkel

                  Wednesday, October 17


                  NY Rangers @ Washington

                  Game 51-52
                  October 17, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  NY Rangers
                  10.271
                  Washington
                  12.315
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  Washington
                  by 2
                  8
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  Washington
                  No Line
                  N/A
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  Washington
                  N/A

                  St. Louis @ Montreal

                  Game 53-54
                  October 17, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  St. Louis
                  11.885
                  Montreal
                  9.296
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  St. Louis
                  by 2 1/2
                  6
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  Montreal
                  -115
                  5 1/2
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  St. Louis
                  (-105); Over

                  Boston @ Calgary


                  Game 55-56
                  October 17, 2018 @ 9:35 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  Boston
                  13.174
                  Calgary
                  11.959
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  Boston
                  by 1
                  7
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  Calgary
                  -110
                  6
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  Boston
                  (-110); Over

                  NY Islanders @ Anaheim


                  Game 57-58
                  October 17, 2018 @ 10:05 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  NY Islanders
                  9.276
                  Anaheim
                  12.819
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  Anaheim
                  by 3 1/2
                  5
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  Anaheim
                  No Line
                  N/A
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  Anaheim
                  N/A
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 371181

                    #39
                    NHL
                    Long Sheet

                    Wednesday, October 17


                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    NY RANGERS (2-4-0-0, 4 pts.) at WASHINGTON (2-2-0-1, 5 pts.) - 10/17/2018, 7:05 PM
                    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    WASHINGTON is 5-3 (+1.3 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
                    WASHINGTON is 5-3-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
                    4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.0 Units)

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    ST LOUIS (1-2-0-2, 4 pts.) at MONTREAL (3-1-0-1, 7 pts.) - 10/17/2018, 7:05 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    ST LOUIS is 21-11 ATS (+32.2 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
                    MONTREAL is 32-56 ATS (-41.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                    MONTREAL is 9-22 ATS (-14.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    ST LOUIS is 4-0 (+4.2 Units) against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
                    ST LOUIS is 4-0-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
                    2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.1 Units)

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    BOSTON (4-1-0-0, 8 pts.) at CALGARY (3-2-0-0, 6 pts.) - 10/17/2018, 9:35 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    CALGARY is 4-12 ATS (-13.0 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    BOSTON is 3-1 (+1.6 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
                    BOSTON is 3-1-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
                    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    NY ISLANDERS (2-2-0-0, 4 pts.) at ANAHEIM (4-1-0-1, 9 pts.) - 10/17/2018, 10:05 PM
                    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    ANAHEIM is 2-2-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
                    3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.0 Units)
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 371181

                      #40
                      NHL

                      Wednesday, October 17


                      Trend Report

                      St. Louis Blues
                      St. Louis is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
                      St. Louis is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
                      The total has gone OVER in 8 of St. Louis's last 11 games
                      St. Louis is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
                      St. Louis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                      The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games on the road
                      St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
                      St. Louis is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Montreal
                      Montreal Canadiens
                      Montreal is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
                      Montreal is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games
                      Montreal is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
                      Montreal is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home
                      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montreal's last 7 games at home
                      Montreal is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
                      Montreal is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against St. Louis


                      New York Rangers
                      NY Rangers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
                      NY Rangers is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
                      The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Rangers's last 8 games
                      NY Rangers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
                      NY Rangers is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Rangers's last 7 games on the road
                      NY Rangers is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Washington
                      NY Rangers is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
                      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Rangers's last 7 games when playing Washington
                      NY Rangers is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
                      Washington Capitals
                      Washington is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
                      Washington is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
                      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games
                      Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
                      Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
                      Washington is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing NY Rangers
                      Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Rangers
                      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing NY Rangers
                      Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Rangers


                      Boston Bruins
                      Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
                      Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
                      Boston is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
                      Boston is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games on the road
                      The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Boston's last 23 games on the road
                      Boston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Calgary
                      Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Calgary
                      Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Calgary
                      Calgary Flames
                      Calgary is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
                      Calgary is 5-14 ATS in its last 19 games
                      Calgary is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
                      Calgary is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games
                      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games
                      Calgary is 4-21 ATS in its last 25 games at home
                      Calgary is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games at home
                      Calgary is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Boston
                      Calgary is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston
                      Calgary is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Boston


                      New York Islanders
                      NY Islanders is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
                      NY Islanders is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
                      NY Islanders is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
                      The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Islanders's last 10 games
                      NY Islanders is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
                      NY Islanders is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games on the road
                      The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Islanders's last 7 games on the road
                      NY Islanders is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Anaheim
                      Anaheim Ducks
                      Anaheim is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
                      Anaheim is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
                      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Anaheim's last 5 games
                      Anaheim is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
                      Anaheim is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games at home
                      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Anaheim's last 6 games at home
                      Anaheim is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Islanders
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                      Twitter@cpawsports


                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 371181

                        #41
                        Jack Jones

                        Oct 17 '18, 5:05 PM in 3h
                        MLB | Brewers vs Dodgers
                        Play on: Brewers +166 at 5Dimes

                        Jack’s Free Pick Wednesday: Milwaukee Brewers +166
                        I’m going to take a shot with the Milwaukee Brewers at a great value Wednesday night. Clayton Kershaw has fallen short in these big postseason games time and time again and is consistently overvalued in them.
                        Kershaw was blasted in Game 5 of the World Series last year. And he was blasted in Game 1 of this series, giving up 5 runs, 4 earned, and 8 base runners in 3 innings to the Brewers. The Dodgers lost that game 6-5 only after making a late rally following a 6-1 deficit.
                        Wade Miley has been one of the most underrated starters in baseball this season. He is 5-2 with a 2.27 ERA and 1.143 WHIP in 18 starts this year. Miley has owned the Dodgers, going 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA in three starts against them in 2018, pitching 18 2/3 shutout innings in the process. He deserves more respect than he’s getting.
                        The Brewers are 7-1 in their last eight road games. Milwaukee is 8-1 in Miley’s last nine starts, including 4-0 in his last four road starts. Bet the Brewers Wednesday.
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                        Comment

                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 371181

                          #42
                          Info Plays

                          Oct 17 '18, 5:05 PM in 3h
                          MLB | MIL vs LAD
                          Play on: OVER 7 -125

                          1* Free Play on Brewers vs Dodgers over 7 -125
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                          Comment

                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 371181

                            #43
                            Mike Lundin

                            Oct 17 '18, 5:05 PM in 3h
                            MLB | Brewers vs Dodgers
                            Play on: Dodgers -168 at GTBets

                            #MLB FREE PICK FROM MIKE LUNDIN
                            The LA Dodgers claimed a a 2-1 victory in Game 4 to even the series at two games apiece.
                            Today they hand the ball to Clayton Kershaw (9-5, 2.73 ERA) who will be looking for revenge after getting knocked around for five runs (four earned) in just three innings in Game 1 of this series. A rare poor outing for the Dodgers' ace who was outstanding in his first start during the playoffs when he held Atlanta to two hits over eight scoreless innings.
                            The Brew Crew turn to left-hander Wade Miley (5-2, 2.57 ERA) who has yet to allow a run in this postseason. Milwaukee manager Craig Counsell hasn't allowed his pitchers go deep into the games in the playoffs though, and that could backfire here as its bullpen has seen a lot of action and is running the risk of getting worn down.
                            8* play on LA Dodgers.
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                            Comment

                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 371181

                              #44
                              Mike Williams

                              Oct 17 '18, 7:05 PM in 5h
                              NBA | Bucks vs Hornets
                              Play on: Bucks -2½ -109 at GTBets

                              1* on Bucks -2½ -109
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                              Comment

                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 371181

                                #45
                                Bobby Conn

                                Oct 17 '18, 7:05 PM in 5h
                                NBA | Bucks vs Hornets
                                Play on: Bucks -2 -115 at BMaker

                                1* Free Play on Bucks -2 -115
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                                Comment

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