Friday 10-19-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Arthur Ralph Sports

FREE play FRI: Golden ST -2

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Marc Lawrence Incredible Stat of the Day:

Boise State is 3-14-1 ATS in its last 18 lined home games, and 4-18 ATS as a conference home favorite of 21 or more points.

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Evangeline Downs
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Maiden - 400y on the Dirt. Purse: $13500 Class Rating: 74

QUARTER HORSE 400Y, FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 4 SIXY FAST FORTUNE 4/1

# 3 ACE BLACK PATRIOT 3/1

# 9 EASY BUT FAST 15/1

SIXY FAST FORTUNE seems to be the wager in here. Last time out, this colt faced a tougher crew. Has the looks of a profitable play. Has been racing solidly and has among the strongest speed in the race for today's distance. ACE BLACK PATRIOT - He has been running strongly and the Equibase Speed Figures are among the top in this group of horses. Should compete well in the early pace battle which bodes well with this field. EASY BUT FAST - Look for a reliable performance with the class drop.

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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park West

10/19/18, GPW, Race 8, 5.09 ET
1 1/16M [Turf] 1.39.01 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $47,000.
Claiming Price $35,000 (Races where entered for $25,000 or less not considered in allowances) (Condition Eligibility). FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR RESTRICTED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $35,000
$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5
Best in race - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Top Horse Win Percent 32.00, $1 ROI 1.18, For Race Category Non-Maiden Turf
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer FLAGS
100.0000 10 She's Right Again 15-1 Camacho S Nagle Sarah T
099.2640 9 Designing 12-1 Jaramillo E Summers Chad JWL
098.1734 5 Seafire (IRE) 5-1 Gonzales J J Lerman Roy S.
097.6666 4 Nikki's Cause 9/5 Vasquez M A Joseph. Jr. Saffie A. F
097.5627 1 Baroness Vontrappe 6-1 Zayas E J Nicks Ralph E. C
097.5596 8 Southern Sis 4-1 Panici L Casse Mark E. E
096.8640 7 Snirvana (IRE) 8-1 Maragh R R Biancone Patrick L.
095.8017 6 Hogans Holiday 12-1 Reyes L Vitali Marcus J.
095.0180 3 Janet B Doesit All 20-1 Montalvo C Dwoskin Steven S
094.8874 2 Whiteheelgirl 20-1 Berrios H I Lichoa Alfredo
If Race Is Off Turf
Top Horse Win Percent 18.42, $1 ROI 0.52, For Race Category Non-Maiden Dirt
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer FLAGS
100.0000 4 Nikki's Cause 9/5 Vasquez M A Joseph. Jr. Saffie A. F
099.6303 8 Southern Sis 4-1 Panici L Casse Mark E. EW
099.2808 10 She's Right Again 15-1 Camacho S Nagle Sarah T
098.8196 1 Baroness Vontrappe 6-1 Zayas E J Nicks Ralph E. C
096.8271 5 Seafire (IRE) 5-1 Gonzales J J Lerman Roy S.
096.4267 7 Snirvana (IRE) 8-1 Maragh R R Biancone Patrick L.
096.2641 9 Designing 12-1 Jaramillo E Summers Chad JL
094.7021 3 Janet B Doesit All 20-1 Montalvo C Dwoskin Steven S
093.6697 6 Hogans Holiday 12-1 Reyes L Vitali Marcus J.
093.1285 2 Whiteheelgirl 20-1 Berrios H I Lichoa Alfredo

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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Keeneland

10/19/18, KEE, Race 5, 3.18 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.08.02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $32,000.
Claiming Price $75,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD
Double-Exacta ($1 min)-Trifecta-Pick 3 ($.50 min)-Superfecta ($.10 min)-Pick - 6-Super High Five ($1 min)
Best in race - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Top Horse Win Percent 19.67, $1 ROI 0.47, For Race Category MSW_MCLM Dirt
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer FLAGS
100.0000 4 Carolina Beach 10-1 Santana. Jr. R Hough Stanley M.
099.9175 5 Hush Y'all 8-1 Geroux F Cox Brad H. T
099.7854 1 What a Fox 4-1 Ortiz J L Asmussen Steven M.
099.0372 9 Katie's Bayou 7/2 Gilligan J Gelner Scott L
098.4036 11 Tschudi's Girl 9/2 Graham J Margolis Steve C
098.3078 7 Miz Nightcap 15-1 Murrill M Mason Ingrid
097.6328 10 Sweetest Appeal(b-) 6-1 Hernandez. Jr. B J Stewart Dallas
097.2786 6 Carry the One(b-) 20-1 Franco M Barkley Jason W
096.7471 12 Elle Factor(b-) 10-1 Jimenez A Hancock John A. SFE
096.2674 8 Holywood Humor 20-1 Gaffalione T Chapman James K. J
094.4475 3 Cirrusly 15-1 Saez G Foley Gregory D.
092.2183 2 Queen Alexandrina 15-1 Albarado R McPeek Kenneth G.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Laurel Park
Laurel Park - Race 6

EXACTA, TRIFECTA &DAILY DOUBLE (RACES 6-7) / 10 cent SUPERFECTA 50 cent PICK 3 (Races 6-7-8) / 50 cent PICK 5 (Races 6-7-8-9-10) $1.00 SUPER HIGH 5


Optional Claiming $50,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 108 • Purse: $47,000 • Post: 3:00P
(PLUS UP TO 30% MBF) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, WAIVER CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE SIRED OR STATE BRED RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $50,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE AUGUST 19 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $50,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $35,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Dominant Stalker. EVEN THUNDER is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * EVEN THUNDER: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
2
EVEN THUNDER
5/2

2/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
3
SARATOGA JACK
3

10/1
Front-runner
107

92

95.8

90.2

77.7
4
TOUR DE FORCE
4

3/1
Front-runner
99

99

90.8

84.7

74.2
5
RIVER DEEP
5

7/2
Front-runner
99

98

89.1

93.8

85.3
6
MARENGO ROAD
6

6/1
Stalker
109

96

84.7

96.2

89.2
2
EVEN THUNDER
2

5/2
Alternator/Stalker
112

107

104.1

109.6

106.1
7
TOP OF MIND
7

5/1
Trailer
108

100

50.2

89.1

84.6
1
FINAL PROSPECT
1

12/1
Alternator/Non-contender
108

98

90.2

90.8

82.8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Lone Star Park
Lone Star Park - Race 11

Exacta / Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / Daily Double


Trial • 440 Yards • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 98 • Purse: $5,500 • Post: 10:25
QUARTER HORSE 440Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. WEIGHT, 125 LBS.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * HES LIMITLESS: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. THREE BAR CARTEL: Horse's win percentage at today's distan ce(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. ONE FAMOUS FDD: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the dis tance/surface. SHE EAT FIRE: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
8
HES LIMITLESS
2/1

5/1
3
THREE BAR CARTEL
5/2

6/1
7
ONE FAMOUS FDD
7/2

7/1
4
SHE EAT FIRE
9/2

8/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
1
IVORY N ASHES
1

30/1
Average
80

59

4.1

0.0

0.0
2
JESS JUMPN BEAU
2

20/1
Average
90

81

4.9

0.0

0.0
3
THREE BAR CARTEL
3

5/2
Fast
92

96

2.9

0.0

0.0
4
SHE EAT FIRE
4

9/2
Fast
91

89

3.1

0.0

0.0
5
LOUISIANA SEIS
5

6/1
Average
84

85

3.7

0.0

0.0
6
ONE SWEET PROMISE
6

50/1
Slow
0

0

8.1

0.0

0.0
7
ONE FAMOUS FDD
7

7/2
Fast
99

92

2.4

0.0

0.0
8
HES LIMITLESS
8

2/1
Fast
97

94

2.1

0.0

0.0
9
UNTRESABLE LAD
9

30/1
Slow
0

0

6.6

0.0

0.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Penn National - Race #6 - Post: 8:17pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $15,500 Class Rating: 61

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#7 RESISTANCE (ML=7/2)


RESISTANCE - This horse's last race was out at Penn National in a race with a class number of 77. Dropping considerably in class figure this time around puts her in a solid position right here in this race. Whitney rode this animal for the first time last out and comes right back in today's contest. This equine is at the top in earnings per start. She looks good in today's event.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 JERILYN ROCKS (ML=2/1), #4 POLAR OPPOSITE (ML=3/1), #5 DAMISELA (ML=4/1),

JERILYN ROCKS - The morning-line favorite is vulnerable here with the lack of morning drills. Pace makes the race. Tough for this early speedball to be able to manage the pressured pace from the rest of this field. POLAR OPPOSITE - I'm always apprehensive of any entrant that earns her biggest speed figure on an 'off' track. DAMISELA - The result of fifth in the last affair shows me that this horse may be going out of form. Going to have a hard go of it with all of the other front-runners in this race.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#7 RESISTANCE is the play if we get odds of 1/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
7 with [2,3]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Santa Anita
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Maiden Special Weight - 9.0f on the Turf. Purse: $50000 Class Rating: 103

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 3 SELLWOOD 2/1

# 5 CUPID'S CLAWS 7/2

# 4 HOLLY BLAME 5/1

I think SELLWOOD is a decent choice. He has been moving admirably recently while recording sharp speed figures. Has solid early speed and will probably fare soundly versus this field. Has garnered solid Equibase speed figs in turf route races in the past. CUPID'S CLAWS - Is hard not to examine based on speed figures which have been decent - 96 avg - of late. Wagerers using horses with this rider and handler duo have done strongly recently. HOLLY BLAME - Seems to have a very strong class edge based on the recent company kept. Looks solid against this group and ought to be one of the leaders.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Woodbine - Race #9 - Post: 5:08pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $18,700 Class Rating: 66

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#6 COURTLY DIVA (ML=6/1)


COURTLY DIVA - This is a classic 'Lone Front-runner' scenario. If Bahen gets him out of the gate cleanly it'll likely be smooth sailing.

Vulnerable Contenders: #10 GEORGIA SWEETS (ML=2/1), #9 IF YOU ONLY KNEW (ML=5/2), #2 ASHA IRONBORN (ML=4/1),

GEORGIA SWEETS - No speed in this event to help this come from behinder's hopes. IF YOU ONLY KNEW - This sustainer will probably be closing much too late to make an impact in this contest. ASHA IRONBORN - Hard to play any horse to turn things around if there is no value to taking the risk.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Putting our cash on #6 COURTLY DIVA to win. Have to have odds of at least 1/1 or better though

EXACTA WAGERS:
Skip

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Long Sheet

Friday, October 19

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA DODGERS (98 - 74) at MILWAUKEE (101 - 70) - 8:35 PM
HYUN-JIN RYU (L) vs. WADE MILEY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 98-74 (-20.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA DODGERS are 40-46 (-24.2 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 68-55 (-18.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 101-70 (+27.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 53-35 (+16.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
MILWAUKEE is 54-31 (+16.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 32-17 (+11.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
MILWAUKEE is 21-8 (+14.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday this season.
MILWAUKEE is 69-37 (+31.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 73-58 (+23.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 43-26 (+19.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
MILWAUKEE is 49-37 (+15.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MILWAUKEE is 27-17 (+14.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
MILEY is 13-6 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 5-7 (+0.4 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.2 Units)

HYUN-JIN RYU vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
RYU is 1-0 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.09 and a WHIP of 1.201.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

WADE MILEY vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
MILEY is 4-5 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.18 and a WHIP of 1.264.
His team's record is 6-10 (-2.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-9. (-3.9 units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Friday, October 19

National League
Dodgers @ Brewers (Dodgers lead series, 3-2)
Dodgers won Ryu’s last five starts (4-0, 0.89), which all stayed under. Team in his starts: 12-5, 4-3 home
Ryu allowed two runs in 4.1 IP in his only start vs Milwaukee this year.
5-inning record: 10-5-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-17

Miley is 0-0, 3.63 in his last five starts (17.1 IP); under is 5-2 in his last seven starts. Team in his starts: 13-6, 5-3 home
Miley faced one batter (walk) starting Game 5; think he goes longer here.
He’s allowed one run in four starts (19 IP) vs LA this season.
5-inning record: 11-5-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-18

Dodgers won 10 of their last 13 games overall, on road. Under is 4-0 in their last four games. LA is in playoffs for 6th year in row; they lost 7th game of World Series LY. Dodgers’ last WS title was in 1988.

Milwaukee won 13 of its last 16 games; seven of last eight at home. Under is 8-1 in their last nine games. Brewers are in playoffs for first time since 2011- they lost Game 7 of the 1982 World Series.

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MLB
Weather Report

Friday, October 19

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MLB

Friday, October 19

Trend Report

Los Angeles Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
LA Dodgers is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
LA Dodgers is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games on the road
LA Dodgers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
LA Dodgers is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
LA Dodgers is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
LA Dodgers is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Milwaukee is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 9 games
Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Milwaukee is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 12 games at home
Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
Milwaukee is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing LA Dodgers
Milwaukee is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
Milwaukee is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers