Sunday 10-21-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Century Downs - Race #9 - Post: 4:59pm - Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,000 Class Rating: 70

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#8 MOON DUDE (ML=3/1)
#5 COLE'S CORNER (ML=8/1)


MOON DUDE - Gelding took a little vacation, but has been racing into shape. Sophisticated horseplayers will tell you that this horse has strong early speed. Have to give this gelding a shot. Ran a solid outing last time out within the last thirty days. Carrying 5 pounds less this race. Trainer has him in a good spot. He has the highest EPS (earnings per start). Check out this animal. COLE'S CORNER - Entered a $6,250 Claiming race at Century Downs last time around the track and raced on the mud finishing fifth. Will most certainly do better right here.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 TOP NOTCH SCOTCH (ML=5/2), #4 TURF NINJA (ML=9/2), #6 KIRWAN'S MOUNTAIN (ML=6/1),

TOP NOTCH SCOTCH - You think this equine is going to be victorious just because he's always close. Just doesn't finish on top often. TURF NINJA - Difficult to take this less than sharp equine at the price after the finish position (sixth) in the last affair. KIRWAN'S MOUNTAIN - Hasn't finished in the money in any short distance races recently. Improbable to see him doing it in today's event either.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#8 MOON DUDE is going to be the play if we are getting 7/5 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [5,8]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Golden Gate Fields
Golden Gate Fields - Race 10

$1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $1 Superfecta (.10 min)) $1 Rolling Super High Five


Claiming $6,250 • 1 Mile • All-Weather • Ages 3 and up • CR: 86 • Purse: $11,000 • Post: 5:26P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * KING'S PEAK: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. ACRIMONIOUS: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. HOUSE OF CHANCE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. WAR UNION: Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and horse has run w ell in the past in its first and/or second starts after a long layoff. RONTON: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
8
KING'S PEAK
7/2

5/1
1
ACRIMONIOUS
4/1

7/1
5
HOUSE OF CHANCE
8/1

7/1
6
WAR UNION
6/1

8/1
7
RONTON
5/2

10/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
1
ACRIMONIOUS
1

4/1
Front-runner
86

79

93.9

77.7

70.2
5
HOUSE OF CHANCE
5

8/1
Front-runner
89

83

84.2

82.6

76.1
2
PIONEEROFTHESTORM
2

9/2
Front-runner
86

78

82.5

63.5

54.5
7
RONTON
7

5/2
Alternator/Front-runner
77

82

78.6

74.7

65.7
6
WAR UNION
6

6/1
Alternator/Stalker
84

81

100.4

71.0

64.5
8
KING'S PEAK
8

7/2
Trailer
82

82

72.6

78.8

71.3
4
MADI'S THUNDERBIRD
4

15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
72

67

79.3

49.0

36.5
3
ALL ABOUT FAMILY
3

15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
69

67

55.9

63.5

51.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Gulfstream Park West - Race #10 - Post: 6:07pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $17,000 Class Rating: 65

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#5 NATION U S A (ML=9/2)
#2 LIGHT BREEZE (ML=20/1)
#4 ENDURING ARCH (ML=30/1)


NATION U S A - I like that latest contest on October 6th at Gulfstream Park West where he finished second. Gelding had the second fastest workout of the day prepping for this. This animal has increased his Equibase speed figures in each of the last 2 races. That kind of progress is worth considering when its time to bet. This gelding's last rating recorded on October 6th is utmost in last race speed figures. LIGHT BREEZE - Was in a $10,000 Maiden Claiming race at Gulfstream Park last time out. That contest had a class number of 72 and he is moving down today. A certain strong challenger. The recent bullet 36.6 work should put this gelding on track for today's effort. ENDURING ARCH - Traditional handicapping theory - 3rd or 4th start after a layoff generally leads to a big effort. Going to run a nice one here.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 MISTER STORM (ML=2/1), #9 PEGASALL (ML=3/1), #3 SUNRISE BOULEVARD (ML=4/1),

MISTER STORM - Doesn't appear to be worth 2/1 this time out. Pass on him this time. PEGASALL - Didn't close ground at any point on September 22nd. Hard to play today at the expected odds. SUNRISE BOULEVARD - I foretell a letdown for this horse in this affair.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #5 NATION U S A to win if you can get at least 3/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,4,5]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [2,4,5] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Keeneland

10/21/18, KEE, Race 9, 5.30 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.08.02 CLAIMING. Purse $18,000.
Claiming Price $7,500 (Races Where Entered For $6,250 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD
Exacta ($1 min)-Trifecta ($.50 min)-Superfecta ($.10 min)-Super High Five ($1 - min)
Best in race - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Top Horse Win Percent 29.00, $1 ROI 0.94, For Race Category Non-Maiden Dirt
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer FLAGS
100.0000 5 Run to Freedom 8-1 Leon S Jurado Luis A. S
099.7393 12 Reeder 5-1 Ouzts P W Smith Larry E. TF
099.4243 4 Paddy's Notes 3-1 Parker D L West Aaron M.
098.8238 1 Mun Up 20-1 Morales E Godsey. Jr. Claudie Ma W
098.0164 8 Swamp Ruler 6-1 Gilligan J Moquett Ron E
097.8007 6 Ceejay's Mister 20-1 Prentice. Jr. E E Kahles Ronald
096.8737 11 She Read My Texts 6-1 Mojica. Jr. R Kobiskie Dane
095.4892 2 Grateful Cause 6-1 Landeros C Reed Eric R. L
095.2960 3 How's My Bud 6-1 Hernandez. Jr. B J Vance Thomas D.
095.0039 7 Tiz Funny 10-1 Graham J Barkley Jeff
094.8502 9 Emmett's Dream 20-1 Lebron V Draper Otto JC
093.9258 10 Street Factor 30-1 Zajac M Jackson James R.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Portland Meadows
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Stakes - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $10000 Class Rating: 96

CRATER LAKE H. - FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. BY SUBSCRIPTION OF $50 EACH WHICH SHOULD ACCOMPANY THE NOMINATION AND $100 TO PASS THE ENTRY BOX. FOR HORSES NOT ORIGINALLY NOMINATED, A SUPPLEMENTAL PAYMENT OF $200 ALONG WITH THE ENTRY FEE MAY BE MADE AT ANY TIME PRIOR TO THE CLOSING OF ENTRIES. TOTAL EARNINGS IN 2017-2018 WILL BE USED TO DETERMINE PREFERENCE OF HORSES ASSIGNED


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 2 CAPITAL EXPENSE 4/1

# 6 THE PRESS 6/1

# 3 CANTCHACO 4/1

CAPITAL EXPENSE has a solid shot to take this race. Baze has this gelding running well and is a decent selection based on the formidable Equibase speed figs recorded in sprint races lately. Should go to the lead and should never look back. THE PRESS - Has performed well as of late in sprint races, posting a nifty 89 avg Equibase speed fig. Has been racing in the most competitive company of the field recently. CANTCHACO - He has posted solid numbers under today's conditions and will most likely fare well against this field. This gelding has a strong win percent in dirt sprint races.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Parx Racing
Parx Racing - Race 6

Daily Double / Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8) Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta


Claiming $7,500 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 59 • Purse: $19,000 • Post: 3:10P
(PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 21 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Lone Trailer. ARGUMENTATIVE is the Lone Trailer of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * LUCKY STASH: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. HALEY'S THUNDER: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
5
LUCKY STASH
4/5

2/1
3
HALEY'S THUNDER
3/1

7/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
1
PRINCESS RASHELLE
1

15/1
Front-runner
58

45

76.6

31.4

17.4
5
LUCKY STASH
5

4/5
Front-runner
73

77

71.1

73.0

68.5
3
HALEY'S THUNDER
3

3/1
Alternator/Front-runner
62

55

65.6

54.8

48.3
9
CHESSEN
9

12/1
Alternator/Stalker
61

62

68.2

56.0

48.5
8
ANITA LASS
8

15/1
Alternator/Stalker
58

55

47.6

46.4

38.4
2
ARGUMENTATIVE
2

8/1
Trailer
50

45

44.2

39.8

29.3
7
SOFT LANDING
7

30/1
Alternator/Non-contender
54

55

48.8

33.0

20.5
6
SOMETHINGWITHLILLY
6

30/1
Alternator/Non-contender
55

47

44.4

41.0

26.0
4
HELLO MOON
4

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
64

42

31.4

38.0

28.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Santa Anita Park

10/21/18, SA, Race 6, 3.09 PT
6 1/2F [Turf About] 1.10.04 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $32,000.
DOWNHILL TURF FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES
$1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $2 Rolling Double - $0.50 Rolling Pick Three (Races 6-7-8) - $0.50 Pick 4 (Races 6-7-8-9) - $1 Superfecta (.10 Min.) / $1 Rolling Super High 5
Best in race - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Top Horse Win Percent 25.00, $1 ROI 0.71, For Race Category Non-Maiden Turf
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer FLAGS
100.0000 3 Exultation 5-1 Conner T Eurton Peter E
099.4045 7 Worthy Turk 3-1 Van Dyke D Miller Peter JC
099.0211 8 Buckys Pick 8-1 Delgadillo A Garcia Victor L. SW
097.7479 6 Wild Wild Kingdom 6-1 Figueroa H Miller Peter
097.5870 5 Offshore 4-1 Prat F Baltas Richard
097.0714 2 Snazzy Dresser 4-1 Franco G Papaprodromou George
096.8162 1 Catch Fire 20-1 Pereira T J Aguirre Paul G. F
096.6385 9 Spa Shackalacka 5-1 Baze T D'Amato Philip L
096.3235 4 Heartfullofstars 20-1 Talamo J Sherlock Gary
094.3278 10 Stylistics United 50-1 Martinez F F Bradvica Louis A.
091.7651 11 Zapana's Game 50-1 Pena B Dunham Daniel
If Race Is Off Turf
Top Horse Win Percent 33.33, $1 ROI 0.96, For Race Category Non-Maiden Dirt
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer FLAGS
100.0000 3 Exultation 5-1 Conner T Eurton Peter E
099.6615 7 Worthy Turk 3-1 Van Dyke D Miller Peter JC
099.4936 6 Wild Wild Kingdom 6-1 Figueroa H Miller Peter
099.1378 8 Buckys Pick 8-1 Delgadillo A Garcia Victor L. SW
099.0990 1 Catch Fire 20-1 Pereira T J Aguirre Paul G. TF
098.6147 9 Spa Shackalacka 5-1 Baze T D'Amato Philip L
098.5065 5 Offshore 4-1 Prat F Baltas Richard
097.3010 4 Heartfullofstars 20-1 Talamo J Sherlock Gary
097.2238 2 Snazzy Dresser 4-1 Franco G Papaprodromou George
093.0367 10 Stylistics United 50-1 Martinez F F Bradvica Louis A.
091.4187 11 Zapana's Game 50-1 Pena B Dunham Daniel

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Will Rogers Downs
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 10 - Claiming - 550y on the Dirt. Purse: $10200 Class Rating: 83

QUARTER HORSE 550Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 4 ADMIRAL ZOOMWALT 8/5

# 2 FURR WHEELIN 8/1

# 5 THE CASH FERRY 8/1

ADMIRAL ZOOMWALT is the most favorable bet in this race. As of late Flores has been on fire which may give the edge to this gelding. Had one of the most competitive Equibase Speed Figs of this field in his last contest. Seems to have a decent class edge based on the most recent company kept. FURR WHEELIN - Is difficult not to consider based on speed figures which have been very strong - 75 avg - of late. With a formidable 77 speed rating last time out, will surely be a factor in this competition.