Monday 10-22-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, October 22

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COLORADO (5-1-0-2, 12 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (4-4-0-0, 8 pts.) - 10/22/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 22-8 ATS (+11.5 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 51-46 ATS (+113.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 86-66 ATS (+157.5 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
COLORADO is 23-15 ATS (+43.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 23-15 ATS (+43.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 6-12 ATS (-10.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 254-269 ATS (-92.4 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 (+0.2 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 3-2-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.9 Units)

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CAROLINA (4-3-0-1, 9 pts.) at DETROIT (1-5-0-2, 4 pts.) - 10/22/2018, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 40-50 ATS (-15.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 15-27 ATS (-14.8 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 102-118 ATS (-113.1 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 4-2 (+2.8 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 4-2-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.2 Units)

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ST LOUIS (2-3-0-2, 6 pts.) at WINNIPEG (5-2-0-1, 11 pts.) - 10/22/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 18-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 43-27 ATS (+13.6 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 118-97 ATS (+216.9 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1996.
ST LOUIS is 19-10 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 11-3 ATS (+14.0 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 8-2 (+6.7 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 8-2-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.6 Units)

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WASHINGTON (3-2-0-2, 8 pts.) at VANCOUVER (5-3-0-0, 10 pts.) - 10/22/2018, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 69-45 ATS (+4.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 42-25 ATS (+11.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 382-362 ATS (-41.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-1 (+1.7 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 3-1-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.0 Units)

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Opening Line Report - Week 7
Joe Williams

The Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs were flexed into the Sunday Night Football spot this week in place of the Los Angeles Rams and San Francisco 49ers. The way the Niners played on Monday in Green Bay, perhaps that's bad idea. Now, the Niners will face another postseason hopeful on their own home turf as double-digit underdogs.

Four more teams are enjoying their bye week this week, and we'll get our first London game at 9:30 am ET, after a primetime battle in England this past weekend. The Tennessee Titans and Los Angeles Chargers will square off in Jolly Old England, and the Titans hope they can fare a little better than they did in the Music City last week when they put up a goose egg against the Baltimore Ravens.

Monday, Oct. 22

New York Giants at Atlanta Falcons (-6, 54.5)

The Giants hit the road on Monday night after playing at home last Thursday. If you've followed Chris David's 'Total Talk', the over/under might be of interest to you. The 'over' is a perfect 5-0 after the Patriots went over on Sunday night. The 'Thursday Night Total' system says to thump the 'over' for the home team from Thursday in the previous week. The Giants were romped at home against the Eagles last Thursday, so they should be involved in a high-scoring game this Monday, and hey, they're rested.

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NFL
Long Sheet

Week 7

Monday. October 22

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NY GIANTS (1 - 5) at ATLANTA (2 - 4) - 10/22/2018, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 55-34 ATS (+17.6 Units) in road games off a division game since 1992.
ATLANTA is 32-53 ATS (-26.3 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NFL

Week 7

Trend Report

Monday. October 22

New York Giants
NY Giants is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
NY Giants is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of NY Giants's last 13 games
NY Giants is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Giants's last 6 games on the road
NY Giants is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of NY Giants's last 11 games when playing Atlanta
NY Giants is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
NY Giants is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Giants's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Atlanta is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games
Atlanta is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Atlanta's last 11 games when playing NY Giants
Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Giants
Atlanta is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Giants

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NFL
Dunkel

Week 7

MONDAY OCTOBER 22, 2018

NY Giants
@
Atlanta

Game 475-476
October 22, 2018 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating: NY Giants
125.296
Atlanta
129.293
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Atlanta
by 4
61
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Atlanta
by 6 1/2
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Giants
(+6 1/2); Over

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NFL

Week 7

Monday
Giants (1-5) @ Falcons (3-3)— Atlanta defense allowed 37.5 ppg in last four games, yielding 19 TD’s on foes’ last 39 drives; in four home games, Falcons scored 17 TD’s on 40 drives, averaging 34.5 ppg, but they split those games (over 4-0). Atlanta is 9-7 vs spread in last 16 games as home favorites. Giants lost their last three games, giving up 33-33-34 points; they’ve been minus in turnovers in five of their last six games. Big Blue is 6-4 in last 10 games as road underdogs, 2-1 this year; their road losses are by 7-2 points- their only win was 27-22 in Houston. Giants won five of last seven series games; they’re 7-1 in last eight visits here, with last one in ’12. Over is 3-1 in last four Giant games, 5-0 in Atlanta’s last five games.

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Tech Trends - Week 7
Bruce Marshall

Monday, Oct. 22

N.Y. GIANTS at ATLANTA (ESPN, 8:25 p.m. ET)
Falcs only 7-11 v. spread in reg season since early 2017. Streaky “totals” team lately, now “over” 5-1 this season after closing 2017 with seven straight “under” results. Huge “over” 16-3 in 2016. G-Men 2-4 vs. line after Philly loss.
Tech Edge: “Over,” based on recent “totals” trends.

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NFL's Top OVER Teams (based on Over %):

1. Buccaneers 5-0
t2. Falcons 5-1
t2. Packers 5-1
t2. Chargers 5-1
t2. 49ers 5-1
6. Lions 4-1
t7. Bengals 4-2
t7. Colts 4-2
t7. Chiefs 4-2
t7. Jets 4-2
t7. Steelers 4-2

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NFL's Top UNDER Teams (based on Under %):

t1. Cardinals 4-2
t1. Ravens 4-2
t1. Bills 4-2
t1. Cowboys 4-2
t1. Broncos 4-2
t1. Texans 4-2
t1. Raiders 4-2
t1. Seahawks 4-2
t1. Titans 4-2
10. Redskins 3-2

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NFL's Top ATS Teams (based on ATS %):

1. Chiefs 6-0 ATS
2. Lions 4-1 ATS
t3. Ravens 4-2 ATS
t3. Bengals 4-2 ATS
t3. Dolphins 4-2 ATS
t3. Browns 4-2 ATS


NFL's Worst ATS Teams (based on ATS %):

32. Texans 1-5 ATS
31. Broncos 1-4-1 ATS
t24. Packers 2-4 ATS
t24. Eagles 2-4 ATS
t24. Falcons 2-4 ATS
t24. Colts 2-4 ATS
t24. Giants 2-4 ATS
t24. Raiders 2-4 ATS
t24. 49ers 2-4 ATS

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Ugly Dogs - Week 7
Tom Wilkinson

If you want to win money betting NFL games then you need to go against the grain. One of the ways to do that is to take teams that no one else wants to bet. I call them ugly dogs and last week those ugly dogs went 4-0 against the spread and in the last two weeks they are sizzling 9-1 ATS. We have four plays for this week that we’ll be backing and taking the points. Let’s look at the Week 7 ugly dog picks.

New York Giants +6 at Atlanta Falcons

Does anyone want a part of the Giants with Eli Manning at quarterback? The Giants are 1-5 and have looked awful on offense with Manning under center. The Giants are a complete train wreck with Odell Beckham Jr. complaining constantly and with a defense that rarely makes big plays. The Falcons are nothing special, but bettors still believe in Atlanta and at least the Falcons have an offense. Atlanta is playing at home and they should be able to score plenty of points.

Why is the line only six points? The Giants have looked bad and Atlanta is playing at home on a Monday night. The public will be backing the Falcons in this game and that helps out cause. It is definitely ugly taking Eli Manning and the Giants but that is what it is all about with the ugly dogs. We’ll take the Giants plus the points in this one.

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MNF – N.Y. Giants at Atlanta: The ‘over’ has gone 4-0 at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium this season and fans have been treated to points by the Falcons (34.5 PPG) and their opponents (33.2 PPG). I actually thought this total would be a tad higher due to Atlanta’s defense but New York hasn’t shown much firepower on offense (19.5 PPG). While the Giants have struggled offensively, their two best scoring efforts came on the road at Houston (27) and at Carolina (31). Knowing Atlanta hasn’t been able to stop anybody, you can see why sharp bettors have jumped on New York in this spot.

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MNF - Giants at Falcons
Kevin Rogers

LAST WEEK

The Giants (1-5 SU, 2-4 ATS) pulled off a terrific comeback two weeks ago to take a 31-30 lead over Carolina with a minute remaining. The Panthers went down the field and booted a 63-yard field goal to edge New York, 33-31, but the Giants cashed as 6 ½-point underdogs. New York followed up that close shave defeat with a dreadful effort in last Thursday’s 34-13 home setback to defending champion Philadelphia to suffer its third straight defeat.

Dating back to the 2017 season, the Giants own an 0-7 ATS mark off an ATS win, which includes double-digit home defeats to the Saints and Eagles in this situation. The Eagles jumped out to a 24-6 halftime lead and never looked back as the lone highlights for the Giants belonged to rookie running back Saquon Barkley who picked up over 50 yards on two separate plays. Besides that, star receiver Odell Beckham, Jr. walked off the field before halftime with the offense on the field, while embattled veteran Eli Manning posted his worst quarterback rating of the season (66.1).

The Falcons (2-4 SU, 2-4 ATS) dug themselves a 1-4 hole in the tough NFC South through five games, but Atlanta picked up its second divisional victory in a 34-29 home triumph over Tampa Bay. Quarterback Matt Ryan threw three touchdown passes and racked up 354 yards through the air, while the 2016 MVP has now thrown for three or more scores in three games this season.

Atlanta topped the 31-point mark for the fourth time in four games at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, while Ryan has not been intercepted in four straight contests. The running game never got going with Devonta Freeman still sidelined (70 total yards), but All-Pro wide receiver Julio Jones hauled in 10 catches for 143 yards in spite of not scoring a touchdown this season. Since losing to Tampa Bay in the 2016 opener, the Falcons have won seven of their past eight home games against division foes.

OVER EASY

As mentioned above, the Falcons are lighting up the scoreboard, especially at home. All four games at Mercedes-Benz Stadium have sailed OVER the total, even the high total of 57 last Sunday against Tampa Bay. The Atlanta defense is busted up due to injuries, as the only UNDER for the Falcons this season hit in the season opener at Philadelphia. The Giants have allowed 33 points or more in three straight games, while the past two road games for New York have cashed the OVER against Houston and Carolina.

SERIES HISTORY

The Giants are making their first visit to Atlanta since getting blanked by the Falcons in 2012 in an ugly 34-0 road defeat. The most recent meeting between these two NFC squads came at Met Life Stadium in 2015 as the Falcons rallied for 14 fourth quarter points in a 24-20 triumph as two-point underdogs. Ryan torched the Giants for 363 yards passing, while Jones caught 13 passes for 135 yards. The last time these teams met on a Monday night came back in 2007 at the Georgia Dome when the Giants ripped the Falcons, 31-10, the season before Atlanta drafted Ryan.

MONDAY NIGHT LIGHTS

New York has not been a reliable team to back on Monday nights over the last few seasons by going 2-5 SU/ATS since 2014, including a 14-point home loss to Detroit last season. The Falcons have won in each of their past four appearances on Monday night since 2015, while hosting their first Monday night contest since 2015, when Atlanta edged Philadelphia in the season opener, 26-24.

HANDICAPPER’S CORNER

NFL expert Joe Nelson is back this week, first giving his take on the Big Blue, “A lot of the negative attention has fallen on Manning, a two-time Super Bowl winner but past his prime at age 37. Ironically Manning is on pace for his best completion rate of his career at nearly 69 percent while his current 7.23 yards per attempt average is his highest since 2014. Manning does have eight turnovers in six games which some of which he deserves blame for, some of it can be pinned on the offensive line, something many fans expected to be addressed in the NFL draft last spring but the Giants opted for the luxury of Barkley in the backfield. Barkley has done his part posting 5.2 yards per carry while already catching 40 passes as the focal point of the offense.”

On the other side, the Falcons are thriving at quarterback following a slow start in Week 1, “It has been a resurgent season for Ryan, who is fourth in QB Rating at this point in the season while completing nearly 70 percent of his passes. He is third in the NFL in passing yards and has a 7:1 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Ryan has needed to do the heavy lifting with Freeman injured and his task could be more difficult this week with star rookie Calvin Ridley injured last week and a question mark for Monday,” Nelson notes.

Game Props – According to Westgate Superbook

Total Gross Passing Yards – Eli Manning
OVER 278 ½ (-110)
UNDER 278 (-110)

Total Touchdown Passes – Eli Manning
OVER 1 ½ (-140)
UNDER 1 ½ (+120)

Total Receiving Yards – Odell Beckham, Jr.
OVER 93 ½ (-110)
UNDER 93 ½ (-110)

Total Completions – Matt Ryan
OVER 26 ½ (-110)
UNDER 26 ½ (-110)

Total Touchdown Passes – Matt Ryan
OVER 2 ½ (EVEN)
UNDER 2 ½ (-120)

Will Julio Jones score a touchdown?
YES (+120)
NO (-140)

LINE MOVEMENT

The Falcons opened up as six-point favorites at the Westgate Superbook last Monday when Week 7 lines were released. However, that number has dipped down to Atlanta laying as low as 3 ½ points at several books. The total opened at 54 ½, but is slowly going down to 53 and even 52 ½ at some books in spite of Atlanta’s high-scoring outputs at home.

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Dustin Hawkins

Oct 22 '18, 7:05 PM in 1h
NHL | Avalanche vs Flyers
Play on: Flyers -118 at BMaker

Free Play on Flyers -118

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Ross Benjamin

Oct 22 '18, 7:05 PM in 1h
NHL | Avalanche vs Flyers
Play on: Avalanche +116 at betonline

Dating back to last season, Ross has gone an outstanding 10-3 (77%) L13 with his NBA 10* Top Play totals picks. Ross also has a winning total on the Monday night NFL game between the Giants/Falcons (8:15 ET/ESPN). Ross’ NFL totals picks are 7-2 (78%) L9 and his NFL picks overall have gone 31-20 (61%) L51. Spend a little to make a lot with one of the world’s prominent sports handicapping professionals!
Colorado @ Philadelphia 7:05 PM ET
Game# 1-2
Play On: Philadelphia +116
Colorado is coming off road wins of 5-3 against New Jersey and 3-1 versus Carolina during its last 2 games played. Conversely, Philadelphia is coming off a 5-2 home win over New Jersey in their previous game. The Flyers are 0-3 this season following a win. Since the start of last season, Philadelphia is 6-12 at home against non-conference opponents and it includes 0-2 this season. Bet on Colorado as a money line underdog for my Monday 10/22 free pick.