Service Plays Friday 10/19/18

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358391

    #16
    Dwayne Bryant

    Date Expert Rating Game Play
    Oct 19 Dwayne Bryant 4% [MLB] (957) Los Angeles Dodgers at (958) Milwaukee Brewers

    Time: 8:35 PM EDT
    Total Under 7.5 (-106)
    Analysis:MLB -- 8:35 PM ET
    [957] Los Angeles Dodgers at [958] Milwaukee Brewers
    List Ryu & Miley

    PLAY: UNDER 7.5 (-106)
    BET SIZE: 4%

    My baseball totals system is a combination of relevant statistical data, history involving similar games, and current market data. A play is made when enough of these factors align. The size of the play is determined by a combination of how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.

    Projected Runs Scored = 6
    Last edited by Can'tPickAWinner; 10-19-2018, 02:07 PM.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358391

      #17
      From Northcoast group of handicappers:

      Friends of Mike Lee

      NBA
      3* #709 Cleveland +8.5
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358391

        #18
        Miller locks

        7:38 pm est nba
        new york knicks vs. Brooklyn nets

        pick: New york knicks +4 (-105)

        risk: 11 units

        8:39 pm est mlb
        los angeles dodgers vs. Milwaukee brewers

        pick: Milwaukee brewers (-102)

        risk: 11 units

        10:38 pm est nba
        golden state warriors vs. Utah jazz

        pick: Utah jazz +3 (-110)

        risk: 11 units
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358391

          #19
          Fezzik

          2* Boise st / Colorado st over 63.5

          2* Boston / Toronto over 207.5

          2* Minnesota / Cleveland over 223.5
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358391

            #20
            Hackman

            flames even
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358391

              #21
              Matt Fargo NHL top Play

              Play on: Panthers +155 10*


              This is a play on the FLORIDA PANTHERS for our NHL Friday Breakaway. The Panthers entered the 2018-19 season with high expectations after missing the playoffs a season ago as they were inconsistent enough to end up a point short of the postseason. Four games in and they do not have a victory but it certainly is not because of a lack of competing as two losses have been by a single goal while the other two have come in a shootout. Three of those have come against future playoff teams while the other came against surprisingly good Vancouver so the schedule has been challenging along the way. The Capitals stopped a two-game skid with a 4-3 overtime win against the visiting Rangers on Wednesday night as it continues to be an inconsistent season for the reining Stanley Cup Champions. Special teams will be big for Florida as Washington has scored nine power-play goals in six games but have scored just two even strength goals in its last three games. The Panthers have been solid in the penalty kill, allowing just three goals in 12 man down situations. That 12 is key as it is the fewest in the NHL so Florida does not give opponents many opportunities and that is big in this spot as Washington is second in the NHL in power play percentage and is tied for first with nine power play goals. Here, we play on teams against the moneyline after three straight losses by one goal or extra time going up against an opponent after playing a game where seven or more total goals were scored. This situation is 25-8 (75.8 percent) over the last 5 seasons. 10* (51) Florida Panthers
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358391

                #22
                Teddy Covers 4% [CFB] (307) COLORADO STATE at (308) BOISE STATE

                Time: 9:00 PM EDT COLORADO STATE 24.0 (-108)
                Analysis:4% Take Colorado State (#307)
                Here’s an excerpt from what I have written supporting Colorado State over the last two weeks – wins and covers over San Jose State and New Mexico:
                “The Rams have been consistently good in the Bobo era, winning at least seven games in each of the last five seasons. Their talent level isn’t way down, despite graduation losses. I understand that Colorado State’s first five games in 2018 were nothing short of dismal; a major disappointment thusfar. But make no mistake about it – the Rams are an undervalued commodity right now. Yes, they are coming off a truly embarrassing loss to 1-AA Illinois State prior to their bye week. But the Rams were also good enough to beat an SEC foe, Arkansas. They’ve got seven Mountain West games remaining. Senior cornerback VJ Banks: “This is a brand-new season in a sense, so we’ve got a fresh slate. Our goal of a conference championship is still attainable, so we have plenty to play for.” Sophomore safety Jamal Hicks after hearing ‘we came back from the dead to earn bowl eligibility stories from multiple coaches on the staff: “We're trying to be like that; we're trying to create some madness around here.
                The betting markets aren’t buying the concept that the Rams have turned their season around with those back-2-back hard fought victories; both games where Colorado State had to execute effectively on both sides of the football to emerge victorious – legit confidence builders. This certainly isn’t a ‘blowout’ series. Last year’s game in FT Collins was an OT thriller. In 2016, Boise won at home by only five points as 28 point favorites. Four of the last five meetings have been highly competitive, decided by less than two touchdowns.
                And it’s not like Boise enjoys a huge home field edge on the blue turf these days. The Broncos are 3-15 ATS in their last 18 tries as home chalk, an under-the-radar ATS disaster area in this role. Boise has shown defensive vulnerability in each of the last two weeks, bad news in this pointspread range. Take Colorado State.
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358391

                  #23
                  Maxdalury

                  NBA: Boston at Toronto
                  Toronto -2.5 @ 1.91 odds for risk of 4 units
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358391

                    #24
                    11th:

                    11th: NOTE: MIL has just become the Favorite at most books: MLB 8u: 958 MIL-106 1st 5. MIL-101g. MIL-.5+150 1st 5. MIL-1.5+190g. MIL O 4 & O 7.5. NCAAF 6u: 309 AF-10.
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358391

                      #25
                      Andre Gomes

                      2* Orlando / Charlotte under 216.5
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358391

                        #26
                        NBACLUB

                        Memphis Grizzlies - Atlanta Hawks

                        Under 213
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358391

                          #27
                          Originally posted by Can'tPickAWinner
                          Andre Gomes

                          2* Orlando / Charlotte under 216.5

                          2* Charlotte -1.5
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358391

                            #28
                            Sleepyj

                            3* LA DODGERS -107
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358391

                              #29
                              Northcoast

                              Marquee Air Force/UNLV Under 56.5
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 358391

                                #30
                                MLB(Bob Balfe)
                                8:35 PM EST
                                Rotation #957-958
                                Dodgers -110 over Brewers
                                Ryu/Miley
                                The Brewers have fooled around with starting one guy and taking him out 5 pitches later.* This plan is something I don’t like and it might end up backfiring today on them as Miley gets the start again.* How many times do you see a guy start back to back games.* It’s weird.* The Dodgers are starting to play a little bit better and it could set up for a great east/west coast world series.**Take the Dodgers.

                                NBA
                                7:35 PM EST
                                Rotation #703-704
                                Nets -4 over Knicks
                                The Knicks looked brutal in the first quarter against a bad basketball team the other night, but as they settled in they showed they were a much better team on the glass and dominated the basketball game.* The Nets lost a close game the other night, but are improving as a team.* I think this Nets roster has more proven talent on it as well.* Once both teams are 100% healthy they should be competitive this year.* I agree with Vegas in making the Nets the favorite here.**Take Brooklyn.
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