If this is your first visit, be sure to
check out the FAQ by clicking the
link above. You may have to register
before you can post: click the register link above to proceed. To start viewing messages,
select the forum that you want to visit from the selection below.
Behind the Bets Podcast Picks (Season Record 21-17-1)
Stanford at Arizona St. – Arizona St. (+2.5)
Cincinnati at Temple – Temple (-3)
Tulsa at Arkansas – Tulsa (+7)
California at Oregon St. – Oregon St. (+7)
Ohio St. at Purdue – Purdue (+13.5)
Nevada at Hawaii – Nevada (+3)
Mississippi St. at LSU – Mississippi St. (+6.5)
Cincinnati at Temple – Temple (-3)
UCF at East Carolina – Over (66)
Auburn at Ole Miss – Auburn (-3.5)
Minnesota at Nebraska – Nebraska (-3.5)
Minnesota at Nebraska – Over (56)
8-Unit Play: Take 314 Temple -3 over Cincinnati (12 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 20)
I'm laying the points with the Temple Owls as they look to hand Cincy its first loss on the season. We always give a team credit for being undefeated at this juncture, but we know to lower that that credit when the schedule has been as soft as Cincy's...one of the easiest in FBS. Temple is a different team now than when they started the season with a loss to Buffalo. Frank Nutile started at QB in the opener and things did not go too well. Anthony Russo has taken the majority of the snaps since then and he has gotten progressively better during the course of the season. Russo has 5 TD passes and just 2 INTs in the last two games and he's the more accurate passer of the two. Temple got another boost this week when RB Ryquell Armstead was upgraded to probable (ankle). Having noted that, we were ready to fire on Temple even if he couldn't play. Defensively, Temple has been a beast against the pass and they held their last 2 opponents to 480 total yards combined on 3.66 yards per play! Temple even out-gained Boston College in their lone loss over the last 5 games and only trailed by 3 inside 4 minutes to go in the game. Cincy's lone marquee win came in the season opener against UCLA, but the Bruins were a mess up until last week. And we note the Bearcats were out-gained in that contest finishing with just 304 total yards against a UCLA defense allowing over 410 yards per game. Temple enters on a 21-5 ATS run in conference games and 12-4 ATS in their last 16 against teams with a winning record. The Owls won last year's game 35-24 and we expect a similar final margin here. I'm laying the points with Temple on Saturday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
3-Unit Play: 322 Duke -7 over Virginia (12:30 p.m., Saturday, October 20)
I'm laying the points with Duke on Saturday. Massive win last week for the Cavaliers, but man, were they horrible on offense. UVA gained just 231 total yards on 3.73 yards per play. In fact, they were out-gained by more than 100 yards, but Miami's 3 INTs were more damaging to the Hurricanes than UVA's 3 INTs were to the Cavaliers. Yes, it was that ugly. Now, after celebrating the huge win as an underdog, the Cavs must regroup on the road against the Duke attack. We have played Duke 3 times this season and cashed all 3 including last week's 28-14 win over Ga Tech. The Blue Devils will look to get the ground game going early, but also have a 68% passer and own the ACC's best redzone defense. Tough spot for UVA...and we'll back the Blue Devils for the 4th time this season. Duke minus the points on Saturday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
3-Unit Play: Take 368 Washington St. -3 over Oregon (7 p.m., Sat. October 20)
I'm laying the spot with Washington State on Saturday. Oregon has been involved in some crazy endings of late, including two games that went to OT, splitting against Stanford and Washington. The Ducks were out-gained by UW last weekend and finished with less than 380 total yards. UW had a chance to win it in regulation but missed the potential game winning FG attempt. Wazzu has been off for a week, own the extremely efficient Gardner Minshew at QB and face the nation's 90th ranked pass defense. The Cougars have been a monster at home this season, including on the defensive side of the football. In fact, Mike Leach's stop-unit held Utah to 322 yards on 4.5 yards per play in a Cougar win a few weeks ago. Back to Minshew. The East Carolina-transfer is not only completing 69% of his passes, but he's averaging almost 8 yards per pass and has 19 TD passes and just 4 INTs. Minshew now has 35 TD passes since the start of last season. And while the Ducks are 3-13-1 ATS off a SU win, the Cougars are on an 8-0 ATS run at home. I'm laying the points with Washington State on Saturday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
4-Unit Play: Take 399 Auburn -3.5 over Ole Miss (12 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 20)
I'm laying the points with Auburn on Saturday. Things have gone a little south for Auburn since the season opening win over Washington. But I do believe the offense is catching the right opponent to get back into the win column, but most importantly in a game lined low, the Tiger defense should have little trouble slowing down Ole Miss. Let's not forget that Auburn not only out-gained Tennessee last week, but held the Vols to less than 400 yards. Auburn simply couldn't overcome a mistake-filled effort that included committing 3 turnovers with no takeaways. Ole Miss owns the nation's 122nd ranked defense in total yards allowed per game, including 120th against the pass and 112th defending the run, while allowing over 35 ppg. We're backing Auburn minus the points on Saturday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
4 Unit Play. Take #330 Army Black Knights -7.5 over Miami Redhawks (12p.m., Saturday, October 20 CBSSN) Army has beaten the teams that they are supposed to beat this season, and expect that trend to continue Saturday afternoon in West Point, NY. The Black Knights have won 5 straight home games. Miami is 0-3 ATS in their nonconference games this season. The Redhawks have played every week of the season, and it is hard to prepare for the triple option on short notice. Army is 4-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 games.
2 Unit Play. Take #356 Arkansas Razorbacks -7 over Tulsa Golden Hurricanes (12p.m., Saturday, October 20 SECN) Tulsa is coming off a brutal beat against USF and playing their third road game in their last 4 will doom them in. Arkansas also has a long losing streak but they have a first year coach and expect them to continue playing hard for the remainder of the season. It is important that they win their next two games before facing a brutal slate to close out the regular season.
8 Unit Play. Take #380 Nebraska Cornhuskers -3.5 over Minnesota Golden Gophers (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 20 BTN) TOP COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAY OF THE WEEK. It ends tonight! Nebraska will put together a 60-minute game against a similar opponent talent wise and record their first victory of the season and first with Scott Frost as head coach. Minnesota played well last week at Ohio State, but I just do not believe they can put forth that same effort in this game. They did not play as well the last two games before that, getting blown out by Maryland and Iowa. This will be their third road game in their last four games, and both of their road games have lost by double digits. I still like freshman QB Martinez and believe he will have success against this Gopher defense. The favorite in Gopher games has covered the spread 9 of the last 10 games. Nebraska had a 231-32 edge in rushing last week. Today is the day the stats reflect the result, and Nebraska will win this game by double digits. We will hit a big play in the process as well.
3 Unit Play. Take #398 Missouri Tigers -9 over Memphis Tigers (4p.m., Saturday, October 20 SECN) We will side with the Power 5 conference in this battle of Tigers. Memphis put a lot of effort into their game last week against UCF, trying to knock them off for the first time since 2016. They fell short in that game, and I do not believe they will be able to get back up for this game in Columbia. QB Lock has picked apart non-Power 5 teams, and expect that to continue on Saturday. Memphis is 4-3, but they have not beaten anybody this season (UCONN, Mercer, Georgia State, & South Alabama). Missouri is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games. Memphis is 1-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 10 games against SEC teams.
4 Unit Play. Take #399 Auburn Tigers -3.5 over Ole Miss Rebels (12p.m., Saturday, October 20 ESPN) Auburn is been a great disappointment of late, but playing Ole Miss is just what the doctor ordered to get back on track. The Tigers dominated this game last year, winning 44-23 (led 35-3 at half), and this will be another double-digit victory for a team and coach desperate to get back on track. The Rebels have been giving up 263 yards per game rushing in conference play. Auburn has the better defense in this game, and Ole Miss will struggle to move the football and keep up in scoring. Auburn is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games played in Oxford.
3 Unit Play. Take #403 Mississippi State Bulldogs +7 over LSU Tigers (7p.m., Saturday, October 20 ESPN) We will take a flyer on the Bulldogs in this game. LSU is riding high after a dominating win against Georgia last week, but they still have deficiencies on offense. If Mississippi State can take care of the football, they should be able to take this game down to the wire. The Bulldogs have covered the spread in their last 4 games with LSU.
Comment