Thursday 10-25-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 372270

    #61
    Brandon Lee

    Oct 25 '18, 7:00 PM in 1h
    NCAA-F | Toledo vs Western Michigan
    Play on: Western Michigan -6½ -104 at pinnacle

    10* FREE NCAAF PICK (W Michigan -6.5)
    I'll take my chances with Western Michigan winning by at least a touchdown at home. Not only do I think Western Michigan is the better team, but I also think they have a huge advantage here playing at home with both teams on short rest, as each were in action this past Saturday.
    I know both teams have struggled against the spread up to this point, but I just feel there’s some hidden value with Western Michigan right now, especially as a small home favorite. The Broncos were dealt a tough hand, having to play 5 of their first 8 games on the road and one of their home games was against a Power 5 opponent.
    It’s also worth noting that despite managing just 3-points and 208 total yards in a loss at Michigan, Western Michigan comes into this game ranked 25th in the country in scoring (36.4 ppg) and are 24th in total offense (467.1 ypg). I look for that Broncos offense to have a field day here against a struggling Rockets defense, that comes in ranked 101st in the country against the run (195.1 ypg) and 111th agains the pass (268.6 ypg).
    As for the Toledo offense, it’s got some fire-power, but when they have stepped up competition, it’s not been nearly as potent. The best example of that was last week’s home loss to Buffalo, where they managed just 295 total yards and 8 first downs. Note that basically all of their offense came on two plays, as they had a 70 yard TD run and 80-yard TD pass. Not to mention, 8 first downs is atrocious in today’s game, especially at home.
    Some might think that Toledo’s ground game, which ranks 42nd at 195.3 ypg will be a factor against a Western Michigan defense that ranks 79th agains the run (168.8 ypg). However, I don’t think that will be the case. Western Michigan allowed 334 rushing yards to Syracuse in their opener and 308 rushing yards to Michigan the very next week. Since those two games, they have allowed just 114.2 ypg on the ground in their last 6.
    Something else to note is that while Toledo is getting outgained by 71 ypg in conference play, the Broncos are outgaining opponents by 90 ypg in conference play. I just don’t think it’s asking a lot here for Western Michigan to win by a touchdown on their home field. Not to mention the Rockets are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Give me the Broncos -6.5!
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 372270

      #62
      Steve Janus

      Oct 25 '18, 7:00 PM in 1h
      NCAA-F | Baylor vs West Virginia
      Play on: Baylor +14 -109 at GTBets

      1* Free Sharp Play on Baylor +14 -109
      My money is on the Bears to cash in a cover as 14-point dogs against the Mountaineers. West Virginia is still ranked in the Top 25 and have an impressive 5-1 record, but the schedule has been very easy to this point. They got their biggest test of the season last time out at Iowa State and lost 30-14 in a game that wasn't as close as the final score. Baylor went just 1-11 last year, but have shown big time improvement in year two under Matt Rhule. They nearly upset Texas on the road last time out and I wouldn't be shocked if they pulled off the big upset in Morgantown tonight. Bet Baylor +14!
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 372270

        #63
        Mike Williams

        Oct 25 '18, 7:05 PM in 1h
        NBA | Blazers vs Magic
        Play on: Blazers -3 -102 at 5Dimes

        1* on Blazers -3 -102
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 372270

          #64
          Jack Jones

          Oct 25 '18, 7:05 PM in 1h
          NBA | Blazers vs Magic
          Play on: Blazers -3 -102 at 5Dimes

          Jack’s Free Pick Thursday: Portland Trail Blazers -3
          We’re getting the Portland Trail Blazers pretty cheap tonight against the Orlando Magic. I’ll gladly back the Blazers here who are off to a 2-1 start and motivated for a victory following a tough one-point overtime loss to the Wizards last time out. They’ve had two days off to get ready for Orlando and should be primed for a big effort.
          I think the Magic are now getting respect from oddsmakers after their 2-2 SU & 3-1 ATS start to the season. That’s especially the case off a shocking win at Boston as 11-point underdogs last time out. But if anything, that sets them up for a letdown spot here, and they simply aren’t that good. One of their losses was an 88-120 home loss to the Hornets. That effort is more indicative of their talent level.
          The Blazers have owned the Magic, going 4-1 SU & 3-1-1 ATS in the last five meetings. Their four wins have all come by 5 points or more and by an average of 14.5 points per game. Again, asking them to lay only 3 points here isn’t asking too much.
          The Blazers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight Thursday games. The Magic are 18-40 ATS int heir last 58 games following a win. Orlando is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 games when playing on two days’ rest. Portland is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on two days’ rest. The road team is 3-0-1 ATS in the last four meetings. Bet the Blazers Thursday.
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 372270

            #65
            Dave Price

            Oct 25 '18, 7:05 PM in 1h
            NBA | Cavs vs Pistons
            Play on: Cavs +8 -105 at pinnacle

            Dave’s Thursday Free Play:
            1* on Cleveland Cavaliers +8
            The Key: I think the price is right to back the Cavaliers as 8-point road underdogs to the Detroit Pistons tonight. This number is getting out of hand because Cleveland is 0-4 and Detroit is 3-0. But the Cavaliers will clearly be hungry for their first victory so you know they are going to show up. The Pistons are fortunate to be 3-0 as their 3 wins have come by 3, 2 and 1 point and by a combined 6 points. Two of the wins were against Brooklyn and Chicago, and the other was against a Philadelphia team that was playing without its best player in Ben Simmons. This price is too steep for the Pistons tonight. The Cavs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on zero rest. The Cavs are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Take Cleveland.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 372270

              #66
              Capping Computer

              Oct 25 '18, 7:05 PM in 1h
              NHL | Predators vs Devils
              Play on: Devils +107 at 5Dimes

              1* Computer Pick on Devils +107
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 372270

                #67
                Andre Ramirez

                Oct 25 '18, 7:05 PM in 1h
                NBA | Cavs vs Pistons
                Play on: Pistons -9 -110 at BMaker

                NBA 75 DIME GAME
                PISTONS -9
                The Pistons have played three close games this season, beating the Nets by three, the Bulls on the road by two and Philadelphia by one. Cleveland has lost by 12, eight and 22 entering Wednesday night. The Cavaliers have struggled to stop opposing offenses and are playing in the second game of a back to back here. Griffin became the first Pistons play since Richard Hamilton in 2006 to hit the 50 point mark. He doesn’t have as big of a game here but the Pistons get the victory. Cleveland has to prove that they can pull off a victory or two before you can rely on them.
                Pistons by 12 points or more.
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 372270

                  #68
                  Sal Michaels

                  Oct 25 '18, 7:30 PM in 1h
                  NCAA-F | Georgia Tech vs Virginia Tech
                  Play on: Georgia Tech +3 -110 at Bovada

                  Free Play on Georgia Tech +3 -110
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 372270

                    #69
                    Cole Faxon

                    Oct 25 '18, 7:30 PM in 1h
                    NCAA-F | Georgia Tech vs Virginia Tech
                    Play on: Georgia Tech +3 -110 at Bovada

                    FREE PLAY on Georgia Tech +3 -110
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 372270

                      #70
                      Bobby Conn

                      Oct 25 '18, 7:30 PM in 1h
                      NCAA-F | Appalachian State vs Georgia Southern
                      Play on: Appalachian State -9 -105 at Bovada

                      1* Free Play on Appalachian State -9 -105
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 372270

                        #71
                        Totals Guru

                        Oct 25 '18, 7:30 PM in 1h
                        NCAA-F | Georgia Tech vs Virginia Tech
                        Play on: OVER 58½ -105

                        Free Total Annihilator On Georgia Tech vs Virginia Tech over 58½ -105
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 372270

                          #72
                          Info Plays

                          Oct 25 '18, 7:30 PM in 1h
                          NCAA-F | Georgia Tech vs Virginia Tech
                          Play on: Virginia Tech -3 -115 at BMaker

                          1* Free Play on Virginia Tech -3 -115
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 372270

                            #73
                            Marc Lawrence

                            Oct 25 '18, 7:30 PM in 1h
                            NCAA-F | Georgia Tech vs Virginia Tech
                            Play on: Virginia Tech -2½ -115 at BMaker

                            Play - Virginia Tech (Game 112).
                            Edges - Hokies: 5-1 ATS weekdays; and 4-1 ATS with rest … Yellow Jackets: 0-5-1 ATS in first of consecutive away games … and head coach Paul Johnson 3-9 ATS away when coming off a SU favorite loss … With that we recommend a 1* play on Virginia Tech. Thank you and good luck as always.
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 372270

                              #74
                              Jimmy Boyd

                              Oct 25 '18, 8:05 PM in 2h
                              NBA | Celtics vs Thunder
                              Play on: Thunder +102 at 5Dimes

                              Free Pick on Oklahoma City Thunder +102
                              I'm taking the Thunder at home on the money line in Thursday's big showdown with the Celtics. Oklahoma City has gotten off to an 0-3 start, including a 11-point home loss to the Kings last time out, which was also the first game for star point guard Russell Westbrook.
                              This is too good a team to be sitting without a win and I look for the effort here to be at a max and it should help that OKC has had 3 days off leading up to this game. Boston is a lot of people's pick to win the east with LeBron James now in the west, but the Celtics are sitting at just 2-2 and just lost at home to the Magic as a 11-point favorite.
                              Thunder are 13-2 against the money line in their last 15 off an upset loss as a favorite of 10 or more and we also find a strong system in play that backs this up even more. Home teams are 21-5 against the money line over the last 5 seasons when off an upset loss as a favorite and facing a team that just lost at home by 3-points or less. Take Oklahoma City!
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 372270

                                #75
                                Sean Murphy

                                Oct 25 '18, 8:20 PM in 2h
                                NFL | Dolphins vs Texans
                                Play on: Texans -7 -115 at BMaker

                                Thursday NFL Free play. My selection is on Houston minus the points over Miami at 8:20 pm et on Thursday.
                                This is not a favorable spot for the Dolphins as they travel on a short week to face a red hot Texans squad that is quietly gaining confidence and a serious contender for the AFC South crown. If there's one thing Houston does well it's take away opposing running games, which should put this game squarely in the hands of Dolphins QB Brock Osweiler. He has played better than expected since taking over for Ryan Tannehill but will face an uphill climb here with WRs Albert Wilson and Kenny Stills sidelined. Look for the Texans to make enough plays down the stretch to secure a win and cover. Take Houston (8*).
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