Friday 10-26-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Friday, October 26

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MIAMI (5 - 2) at BOSTON COLLEGE (5 - 2) - 10/26/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in October games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 80-56 ATS (+18.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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INDIANA (4 - 4) at MINNESOTA (3 - 4) - 10/26/2018, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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UTAH (5 - 2) at UCLA (2 - 5) - 10/26/2018, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 120-87 ATS (+24.3 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 2-0 against the spread versus UCLA over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 2-0 straight up against UCLA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WYOMING (2 - 6) at COLORADO ST (3 - 5) - 10/26/2018, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WYOMING is 2-0 against the spread versus COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
WYOMING is 2-0 straight up against COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LOUISIANA TECH (5 - 2) at FLA ATLANTIC (3 - 4) - 10/26/2018, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA ATLANTIC is 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) in home games since 1992.
FLA ATLANTIC is 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) in home lined games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLA ATLANTIC is 1-0 against the spread versus LOUISIANA TECH over the last 3 seasons
FLA ATLANTIC is 1-0 straight up against LOUISIANA TECH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF

Week 9

Trend Report

Friday, October 26

Louisiana Tech @ Florida Atlantic
Louisiana Tech
Louisiana Tech is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Louisiana Tech is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road

Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Florida Atlantic is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games

Miami-FL @ Boston College
Miami-FL
Miami-FL is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Boston College
Miami-FL is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing Boston College

Boston College
Boston College is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston College's last 5 games when playing Miami-FL

Indiana @ Minnesota
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Indiana's last 15 games on the road

Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana

Wyoming @ Colorado State
Wyoming
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Wyoming's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Wyoming's last 5 games

Colorado State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado State's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado State's last 7 games

Utah @ California-Los Angeles
Utah
Utah is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
Utah is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games on the road

California-Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of California-Los Angeles's last 7 games when playing Utah
California-Los Angeles is 7-15 ATS in its last 22 games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 9

Friday, October 26

Miami-FL @ Boston College

Game 115-116
October 26, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami-FL
96.831
Boston College
95.195
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami-FL
by 1 1/2
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami-FL
by 3 1/2
49 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston College
(+3 1/2); Under

Indiana @ Minnesota

Game 117-118
October 26, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
82.033
Minnesota
84.442
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 2 1/2
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 2 1/2
54
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+2 1/2); Over

Utah @ UCLA

Game 119-120
October 26, 2018 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
99.042
UCLA
91.229
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 8
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 10 1/2
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
UCLA
(+10 1/2); Over

Wyoming @ Colorado State

Game 121-122
October 26, 2018 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Wyoming
77.950
Colorado State
69.976
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wyoming
by 8
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado State
by 2
46
Dunkel Pick:
Wyoming
(+2); Over

Louisiana Tech @ Florida Atlantic

Game 131-132
October 26, 2018 @ 6:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Louisiana Tech
79.026
Florida Atlantic
78.408
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Louisiana Tech
by 1
61
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida Atlantic
by 3 1/2
58
Dunkel Pick:
Louisiana Tech
(+3 1/2); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF

Week 9

Friday’s games
Miami had won four I-A games in row before a 16-13 loss at Virginia; ‘canes were held under 150 RY in last two games, after running for 239+ yards in previous four games. Under Richt, Miami is 7-4 as road favorites. Boston College was held to 13-23 points in its losses; they scored 38+ in their wins. Eagles are 7-8 as home dogs under Addazio, 3-1 in last four tries. Underdogs covered three of last four Miami-BC games; teams haven’t met since ’12. ACC home underdogs are 6-4 vs spread. Four of six Miami games went over total; over is 5-2 in Eagle games.

Minnesota lost its last four games, allowing 43.3 ppg; Gophers gave up 383 YR to a winless Nebraska team LW, and lost 53-28- they’re 7-4 in last 11 games as home underdogs. Indiana lost last three games, giving up 41.3 ppg; they had Penn St by throat LW but lost 33-28. Under Allen, Hoosiers are 2-3 as road faves. Minnesota won three of last four games with Indiana, winning 16-7/63-26 in last two meetings played here- teams last met in ’13. Big 14 home underdogs are 6-9 vs spread. Three of last four Minnesota games, four of last five Indiana games went over.

UCLA scored 37-31 points in winning its last two games after an 0-5 start; since ’15, Bruins are 1-5 as home underdogs, 1-1 this year. UCLA allowed 462 TY in three of its last four games. Utah scored 40-42-41 points in winning its last three games; Utes are 4-3-1 in last eight games as a road favorite, 0-1-1 this year- they gained 1.036 TY in beating Arizona/USC last couple weeks. Road team won four of last five Utah-UCLA games; Utes won 52-45/30-28 in last two visits to the Rose Bowl. Underdogs are 3-2 vs spread in last five series games.

Wyoming lost its last six I-A games, scoring 13 ppg; they only beat I-AA Wofford 17-14. Cowboys threw for total of only 294 yards in last three games- they’re 0-3 as road underdogs this year, after being 11-7 the previous four years. Cowboys beat Colorado State 16-13/38-17 the last two years, but Josh Allen is in the NFL now; underdogs covered four of last five series games. CSU won two of its last three games after a 1-4 start; Rams are 1-5 in last six games as home favorites. Mountain West home favorites are 6-7 vs spread this season.

Florida Atlantic (-4) won 48-23 at Louisiana Tech LY, despite being outgained 512-415. FAU lost three of its last four games overall; under Kiffin, they’re 7-2 as home favorites. Owls allowed 200+ RY in four of seven games this year. Tech won three of its last four games; they’re 12-5 vs spread in their last 17 road games. Bulldogs scored 29+ points in all five of their wins, were held to 21-7 in their losses. C-USA home favorites are 5-11 vs spread this year.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tech Trends - Week 9
Bruce Marshall

Friday, Oct. 26

MIAMI-FLA. at BOSTON COLLEGE...Richt on 3-8 spread skid since late 2017. Miami 1-6 vs. spread last seven away from home. Addazio 18-12-1 as dog since 2014, 8-2 vs. spread last 10 at Chestnut Hill.
Boston College, based on team trends.


INDIANA at MINNESOTA...Fleck just 3-9-1 vs. spread in Big Ten games since LY for Gophers. Minny also just 3-8 vs. points last 11 Big Ten home games.
Slight to Indiana, based on team trends.


UTAH at UCLA... Whittingham 5-2 vs. line vs. UCLA since Utes entered Pac-12 in 2011. Bruins 6-13 last 19 vs. line at home (1-3 for Chip). Utes 7-2 vs. spread last nine on Pac-12 road.
Utah, based on team and series trends.


WYOMING at COLORADO STATE...Border war! Bohl 2-8 vs. spread last ten games without Josh Allen. Though Wyo has beaten CSU last two years (both with Allen).
Slight to Colorado State, based on recent trends.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

College Football's Top ATS Teams (based on cover %):

1. Washington St. 7-0 ATS
t2. Florida 6-1 ATS
t2. Fresno St. 6-1 ATS
t2. Georgia Southern 6-1 ATS
t2. Iowa 6-1 ATS
t2. UAB 6-1 ATS
t2. Utah St. 6-1 ATS
t2. Texas A&M 6-1 ATS
t2. Virginia 6-1 ATS
10. App. St. 5-1 ATS


College Football's Worst ATS Teams (based on cover %):

t130. Navy 1-6 ATS
t130. Louisville 1-6 ATS
t130. Wake Forest 1-6 ATS
t130. Florida Atlantic 1-6 ATS
127. Connecticut 1-5-1 ATS
t121. 5 teams tied at 2-6 ATS (Washington, UL-Monroe, UMass, New Mexico St., Wyoming)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

College football trends for Week 8:

— Washington State is 15-5 in last 20 games as a road underdog.

— Home side covered 7 of last 10 Wisconsin-Northwestern games.

— Pitt is 8-15-1 vs spread in its last 24 home games.

— Kansas covered once in its last six games as a home underdog.

— New Mexico covered only two of last nine conference games.

— North Carolina covered six of its last eight games vs Virginia.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Friday's Tip Sheet
Brian Edwards

**Miami at Boston College**

-- Both teams have had two weeks to prepare for this ACC showdown. As of Thursday morning, most betting shops had Miami (5-2 straight up, 3-4 against the spread) installed as a 3.5-point favorite with a total of 49.5. The Eagles were +145 on the money line (risk $100 to win $145).

-- Boston College (5-2 SU, 5-2 ATS) is undefeated in four home games with a 3-1 spread record. The Eagles have beaten UMass (55-21), Holy Cross (62-14), Temple (45-35) and Louisville (38-20), with the lone non-cover coming against the Owls as 13-point home ‘chalk.’ They took the cash as 11-point home favorites vs. U of L last week, as the 58 combined points inched ‘over’ the 56.5-point total. With just a 24-20 advantage early in the fourth quarter, BC’s David Bailey scored on a one-yard touchdown run. Then with 3:34 remaining, Jeff Smith’s five-yard dash into the end zone gave BC the spread cover and allowed ‘over’ backers to rejoice. The Eagles had a 20-15 edge over the Cardinals in first downs and a 430-217 advantage in total offense. Anthony Brown completed 16-of-22 passes for 179 yards and one TD without an interception. Bailey rushed for 112 yards and one TD on 28 carries, while Ben Glines ran 17 times for 107 yards and one score.

-- BC star sophomore RB A.J. Dillon is ‘probable’ and set to return Friday night after missing back-to-back games with a sprained ankle. Dillon, a first-team All-ACC selection as a freshman in 2017 when he ran for 1,589 yards and 14 TDs, has rushed for 652 yards and six TDs with a 6.2 yards-per-carry average.

-- Boston College owns a 7-8 spread record in 15 games as a home underdog during Steve Addazio’s six-year tenure.

-- Brown, a third-year sophomore QB, has completed 58.7 percent of his throws for 1,238 yards with a 14/4 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Sophomore WR Kobay White has 15 receptions for 265 yards and three TDs, while Smith has 14 catches for 255 yards and three TDs.

-- Miami saw its five-game winning streak snapped in a 16-13 loss at Virginia as a seven-point road favorite on Oct. 13. Redshirt freshman QB N’Kosi Perry threw two first-half interceptions and was yanked in favor of senior QB Malik Rosier, who connected on 12-of-23 passes for 170 yards with one interception. Rosier ran for an 11-yard TD with 3:04 remaining to slice the deficit to three, but it was too little and too late for the Hurricanes. Travis Homer rushed for 95 yards on eight carries and made three catches for 50 yards. Trajan Bandy had a pair of interceptions for UM in the losing effort.

-- Mark Richt has decided to go back to Rosier as his starting QB in what seems to be an odd decision. Rosier has completed 52.1 percent of his passes for 781 yards with a 5/3 TD-INT ratio. However, he has just one TD pass compared to three picks in the two games he’s played in against Power Five opponents. Perry has a 56.2 completion percentage for 666 passing yards with an 11/5 TD-INT ratio. He had four TD passes without an interception to rally Miami to a 28-27 home win over FSU on Oct. 6.

-- Homer, a second-team All-ACC honoree in 2017, has rushed for a team-high 529 yards and one TD while averaging 5.8 YPC. He also has six catches for 68 yards. RB Deejay Dallas has 393 rushing yards, two TDs and a 5.8 YPC average. True freshman Lorenzo Lingard, the prize jewel of Richt’s most recent recruiting class, has run for 136 yards and two TDs with an 8.0 YPC average. However, Lingard injured his knee earlier this week and is ‘out’ indefinitely.

-- Jeff Thomas has emerged as UM’s top wideout, catching 17 balls for 401 yards and three TDs. Lawrence Cager has 15 receptions for 265 yards and six TDs, while Brevin Jordan has 18 grabs for 208 yards and four TDs.

-- Miami has compiled a 7-4 spread record as a road favorite on Richt’s watch since he took the job in 2016.

-- The ‘over’ is 5-2 overall for BC, 4-0 in its home games. The Eagles have seen their games average combined scores of 65.6 points per game.

-- The ‘over’ is 5-2 overall for the ‘Canes, 1-1 in their road assignments. They’ve seen their games average combined scores of 55.6 PPG.

-- These former Big East rivals haven’t squared off since 2012. UM owns a 24-5 lead in the all-time series, including a 41-32 victory as a two-point road favorite in 2012. Going back to 2001, the ‘under’ is on a 5-1 run in the past six games in this rivalry.

-- Kickoff from Alumni Stadium in Chestnut Hill is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN. According to weather.com, the forecast is for cloudy skies with showers later at night. Winds are expected to be at around 10 miles per hour with temperatures in the upper 30s.

**Utah at UCLA**

-- As of Thursday morning, most books had Utah (5-2 straight up, 4-3 against the spread) listed as a 10.5-point favorite with a total of 54.5. The Bruins were +320 on the money line (risk $100 to win $320). The forecast is for perfect football weather – clear skies, light wind and a low temperature in the mid-60s.

-- Utah has won three consecutive games both SU and ATS to take over first place in the Pac-12 South with a 3-2 record in league play. USC is also 3-2 in conference action, but the Utes own the tiebreaker over the Trojans after beating them 41-28 as 6.5-point home ‘chalk’ last week. Junior QB Tyler Huntley balled out with 22 completions on 29 throws for 341 passing yards and four TDs without an interception. Huntley also ran for 33 yards and one TD. Zack Moss ran 25 times for 136 yards, and WR Britain Covey had four receptions for 79 yards and one TD.

-- Kyle Whittingham’s squad is 2-1 SU and 1-2 ATS in three road outings to date. The Utes have failed to cover the number in a pair of games as road favorites this year. They won 17-6 at No. Illinois but needed a late pick-six to seal the game and didn’t cover as 12.5-point ‘chalk.’ As a 1.5-point road favorite at Washington State, Utah lost by a 28-24 count.

-- Huntley has completed 65.5 percent of his passes for 1,536 yards with an 11/3 TD-INT ratio. He has rushed for 240 yards and four TDs as well. Moss has run for a team-best 753 yards and seven TDs while averaging 5.6 YPC. He also has six catches for 36 yards and one TD. Covey has a team-best 42 receptions for 458 yards and one TD, in addition to rushing for 88 yards on nine attempts. He’s also completed 2-of-2 passes for 64 yards and one TD. Covey is ranked 10th in the Pac-12 in all-purpose yards with 677.

-- Utah’s defense is led by senior LB Chase Hansen, who has 63 tackles, 10 tackles for loss, four sacks, one QB hurry and two interceptions for 40 return yards and one TD. The Utes are ranked seventh in the nation in total defense, No. 1 at defending the run and 16th in scoring ‘D’ (17.7 PPG).

-- UCLA (2-5 SU, 3-4 ATS) got off to an atrocious 0-5 start to begin The Chip Kelly Era, only to respond with back-to-back victories at California (37-7) and vs. Arizona (31-30). Junior RB Joshua Kelley rushed 31 times for 136 yards and one TD, and he also had four catches for 43 yards in last week’s triumph over the Wildcats, who took the cash as 10-point road underdogs. Wilton Speight, the grad transfer QB from Michigan, hit on 17-of-27 pass attempts for 204 yards and two TDs without an interception. Theo Howard had three receptions for 84 yards, while Caleb Wilson had six catches for 82 yards.

-- UCLA has lost three of its four home games both SU and ATS. The Bruins have tasted defeat vs. Cincinnati (26-17), vs. Fresno State (38-14) and vs. Washington (31-24). Their lone spread cover came as 21-point home underdogs vs. the Huskies.

-- UCLA true freshman QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson left last week’s game due to an arm injury, but he’s been upgraded to ‘probable’ vs. Utah. Thompson-Robinson has a 60.2 completion percentage, 1,176 passing yards with a 6/3 TD-INT ratio. Speight will be ready if needed. He has completed 64.1 percent of his throws for 249 yards with a 2/1 TD-INT ratio.

-- Junior RB Joshua Kelley has emerged as the Bruins’ featured back, rushing for 569 yards and five TDs while averaging 5.5 YPC. Wilson has a team-best 29 receptions for 417 yards and one TD, and Howard has 28 grabs for 371 yards and two TDs. Kelley also has 15 catches for 119 yards.

-- This Pac-12 South rivalry has seen Utah prevail in back-to-back meetings and three of the past four both SU and ATS. The ‘under’ cashed in five consecutive encounters from 2011-15, but the ‘over’ has been a winner the past two games. Utah destroyed UCLA 48-17 as a 9.5-point home favorite last year, with the 65 combined points jumping ‘over’ the 53.5-point tally. Huntley threw for 234 yards and four TDs without an interception, and he rushed 18 times for 93 yards. Moss produced 153 rushing yards and two TDs on 23 attempts.

-- Utah won 52-45 at UCLA as a 3.5-point road underdog in 2016. Both teams scored enough points on their own to get ‘over’ the 42.5-point total.

-- The ‘over’ is 4-3 overall for Utah, 2-1 in its road contests. The Utes have watched their games average combined scores of 48.0 PPG.

-- The ‘over’ is 4-3 overall for the Bruins, 3-1 in their home outings. They’ve seen their games play to average combined scores of 54.1 PPG.

-- Kickoff is slated for 10:30 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

-- If you don’t follow me on Twitter or listen to my Games Galore podcast (feel free to subscribe on i-tunes and those other various pod platforms) or catch me on radio shows as a weekly guest with Chris Vernon (Fridays in Memphis), Sharp & Benning (1620 The Zone in Omaha on Thursday’s at 11:40 a.m. Eastern) or Qualk & Kelly (on The Roar in Clemson), then perhaps you haven’t heard of my recent guarantee? I’ve been suggesting it since the presser announcing the Ohio State head football coach’s three-game suspension, but it’s now been upgraded to GUARANTEE status: Oscar Liar will quit (or perhaps even get fired or agree to some sort of buyout) by Jan. 15 of 2019 at the absolute latest. Trust me, folks! When times get tough, Oscar gets gone. You will see soon…

-- BetOnline.ag has Alabama as the -175 favorite to win the College Football Playoff. If you want the field (any other team), you can get a +145 return. It’s October still, people, and the Crimson Tide is nearly a -200 ‘chalk’ to repeat as national champs. That’s utterly ridiculous, but more than fair. Look, we know we’ve got to let the games play out. Shit happens during a football season. Stuff like injuries, suspensions, chemistry issues, friction between coaching staff members, etc. But the only type of shit that’s going to prevent Nick Saban’s team from winning the CFP is a slew of injuries to at least four starters and one of them must include the Heisman Trophy favorite, sophomore QB Tua Tagovailoa. Otherwise, the Tide is just going to keep on rolling and remember, Tagovailoa is back next year, too. Holy Yikes!

-- Tagovailoa is the -300 ‘chalk’ to win the Heisman at BetOnline.ag. The next-shortest odds belong to Oklahoma’s Kyler Murray (+325), Ohio State’s Dwayne Haskins (6/1), PSU’s Trace McSorley (14/1), WVU’s Will Grier (18/1), UCF’s McKenzie Milton (20/1), Kentucky’s Benny Snell (50/1), Wisconsin’s Jonathan Taylor (50/1) and Oregon’s Justin Herbert (66/1).

-- FAU is a 3.5-point home favorite for Friday’s C-USA matchup vs. La. Tech in Boca Raton. Owls’ starting QB Chris Robison is ‘questionable’ with an ankle injury. Robison has been mediocre this season, anyway, throwing eight TD passes compared to 10 interceptions. He’s run for 183 yards and a pair of scores. Senior safety Jalen Young is also a question mark due to a knee injury. Young was a first-team All-CUSA pick in 2017 when he had 77 tackles and seven interceptions. La. Tech is 3-1 both SU and ATS in four road assignments, with the lone outright defeat coming at LSU. The CBS Sports College Network will have the telecast at 6:30 p.m. Eastern.

-- On FS1 at 8:00 p.m. Eastern on Friday, Minnesota (3-4 SU, 4-3 ATS) will play host to Indiana (4-4 SU, 3-5 ATS) as a 2.5-point home underdog. The total was 54 late Thursday. Since starting P.J. Fleck’s second campaign with the Gophers 3-0 both SU and ATS, they’ve lost four games in a row against Big Ten competition by margins of 25, 16, 17 and 29 points.

-- 5Dimes.eu has updated some of its Games of the Year lines. Some examples include Texas -3 vs. WVU, Michigan -8.5 vs. PSU, PSU -7 vs. Wisconsin, Ohio State -2.5 vs. Michigan and Notre Dame -7.5 vs. USC.

-- You think TCU (3-4 SU, 2-5 ATS) head coach Gary Patterson was tired of KeVontae Turpin’s nonsense? When Patterson dismissed him from the program earlier this week after learning about an arrest this past Sunday and another one back in March, he told reporters that he hadn’t even informed Turpin yet but that the senior WR and special-teams ace could find out on Twitter. Turpin had 29 receptions for 410 yards and three TDs. He also returned a punt and a kickoff back for a TD. The Horned Frogs have also lost QB Shawn Robinson to a season-ending injury. Robinson (60.6%) has thrown for 1,326 yards with a mediocre 9/8 TD-INT ratio. Sophomore signal caller Michael Collins will get the starting nod at Kansas. Collins has completed only 13-of-31 throws (41.9%) for 247 yards with a 3/1 TD-INT ratio.

-- Michigan State lost its best WR Felton Davis to a season-ending Achilles injury in last week’s home loss to Michigan. Davis was a second-team All-B10 selection last year when he had 55 receptions for 776 yards and nine TDs. The senior, who has played his last down for the Spartans, had 31 catches for 474 yards and four TDs in seven games this season. Also, QB Brian Lewerke is ‘questionable’ with a shoulder injury (at least as of early Thursday) for this week’s home game vs. Purdue. The Boilermakers have won four games in a row and won over the hearts of America by not only destroying Ohio State, but introducing us to its inspiring fan Tyler Trent, who is courageously battling cancer like the incredible fighter that he is.

-- Wisconsin has been one of the nation’s biggest disappointments, yet it still controls its own destiny to win the Big Ten West. The Badgers might not have three-year starting QB Alex Hornibrook on Saturday at Northwestern, though. Hornibrook (11/6 TD-INT) is ‘questionable’ and in concussion protocol.

-- UMass QB Andrew Ford has been downgraded to ‘doubtful’ at UConn due to a leg injury. Ford, who has thrown for 1,340 yards with a 9/5 TD-INT ratio, had a 22/4 TD-INT ratio last season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd

Oct 26 '18, 7:35 PM in 1h
NBA | Mavs vs Raptors
Play on: UNDER 226½ -110

1* Free Pick on Mavs/Raptors UNDER 226.5
The books have set the total too high for Friday's NBA non-conference clash between the Raptors and Mavericks. The OVER cashed in each of Toronto's first 4 games, which is definitely playing into the high total here.
Last time out they totaled just 217 points with a total of 226 against the Timberwolves and that's a really good Minnesota offense. I just don't see Dallas scoring enough here for this to eclipse the mark. While the Mavs come in averaging 114.7 ppg, they are only scoring 102 ppg on the road and have shot 43% or worse in 3 of their 4 games. This Toronto defense has held each of their first 5 opponents under 43% shooting from the field.
UNDER is 13-1 in the Mavs last 14 road games after a combined score of 215 or more in 3 straight games and 10-4 in their last 14 on the road against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. UNDER is also 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in the series. Take the UNDER!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Price

Oct 26 '18, 7:35 PM in 1h
NBA | Warriors vs Knicks
Play on: Warriors -12 -100 at pinnacle

Dave’s Friday Free Play:
1* on Golden State Warriors -12
The Key: The Warriors have opened 4-1 this season with their only loss coming by 2 points at previously unbeaten Denver. They seem to be having no championship hangover, especially after winning their last 2 games by 20 points over the Suns and by 22 over the Warriors. They should be able to cover this 12-point spread against a depleted Knicks team that is 1-4 and coming off back-to-back double-digit losses to Milwaukee by 11 and Miami by 23. The Knicks are without Kristaps Porzingis, Kevin Knox and Courtney Lee right now, and both Lance Thomas and Emmanuel Mudiay are questionable tonight. The Knicks just don’t have the guns to hang with the Warriors tonight. Take Golden State.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sal Michaels

Oct 26 '18, 8:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Indiana vs Minnesota
Play on: Indiana -2 -110 at BMaker

Free Play on Indiana -2 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cole Faxon

Oct 26 '18, 8:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Indiana vs Minnesota
Play on: Minnesota +3 -109 at GTBets

FREE PLAY on Minnesota +3 -109

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ross Benjamin

Oct 26 '18, 8:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Indiana vs Minnesota
Play on: Minnesota +2 -105 at 5Dimes

Indiana @ Minnesota 8:00
Game# 117-118
Play On: Minnesota +2.0
Indiana will go on the road to take on a 3-4 (.428) Minnesota team. The Hoosiers are 0-7 in conference away games since 2016 when facing an opponent with a win percentage of .428 or better. Indiana enters this week with a 4-4 record and has lost 3 straight. As a matter of fact, their only win during their last 5 games has come against a horrible Rutgers team, and even then, it was decided by a narrow 7-point margin. Conversely, Minnesota is 11-0 at home since 2016 when facing an opponent with a win percentage of .500 or less. Bet on Minnesota plus the small number for my Friday 10/26 free pick.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones

Oct 26 '18, 8:05 PM in 1h
NBA | Clippers vs Rockets
Play on: Clippers +4 -106 at pinnacle

Jack’s Free Pick Friday: Los Angeles Clippers +4
It’s no secret that the Houston Rockets haven’t been nearly as good whenever Chris Paul or James Harden are out of the lineup. Paul missed the last two games, and the Rockets lost 112-115 on the road to the Clippers, and 89-100 at home to the Jazz.
Now Paul is expected to return tonight to face the Clippers at home. However, Harden suffered a hamstring injury against the Jazz and has been ruled out for this game now. James Ennis III is also out with a hamstring injury. The Rockets are only good when Harden and Paul play together, but they’re mediocre without one.
I like this Clippers team because they get after it defensively. They had the top defense in the NBA in the preseason, giving up just 97 points per game. Patrick Beverly has dubbed the new Clippers “Clamp City” because of their defensive prowess. And I think they’ll be able to shut down the Rockets tonight without Harden.
The Clippers are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Los Angeles is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 Friday games. The Rockets are 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall. Los Angeles is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings. Bet the Clippers Friday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin

Oct 26 '18, 8:05 PM in 1h
NBA | Bucks vs Wolves
Play on: Wolves +1 -105 at BetPhoenix

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Minnesota Timberwolves +1
The Milwaukee Bucks have feasted on an easy early schedule to get to 4-0 on the season. They won three home games against the Pacers, Knicks and 76ers, and their lone road win came by a single point at Charlotte, 113-112. Now they hit the road for the second time this season and are actually favored, getting a ton of respect from oddsmakers. I like the Timberwolves here. They are 0-3 on the road, but 2-0 at home this season. They beat the Pacers by 10 at home and the Cavs by 8 at home. Their three road losses came by 4, 4, and 7 points to the Spurs, Mavs and Raptors, respectively. I think they improve to 3-0 at home with a win over the Bucks here. The home team is 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings, including 19 and 17-point wins by the Timberwolves in their last two home meetings with the Bucks. Give me the Timberwolves.